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Campbell HE, Ratushnyak S, Georgieva A, Impey L, Rivero-Arias O. Exploring the potential cost-effectiveness of a new computerised decision support tool for identifying fetal compromise during monitored term labours: an early health economic model. COST EFFECTIVENESS AND RESOURCE ALLOCATION 2024; 22:72. [PMID: 39375735 PMCID: PMC11460220 DOI: 10.1186/s12962-024-00580-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2024] [Accepted: 09/23/2024] [Indexed: 10/09/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Around 60% of term labours in the UK are continuously monitored using cardiotocography (CTG) to guide clinical labour management. Interpreting the CTG trace is challenging, leading to some babies suffering adverse outcomes and others unnecessary expedited deliveries. A new data driven computerised tool combining multiple clinical risk factors with CTG data (attentive CTG) was developed to help identify term babies at risk of severe compromise during labour. This paper presents an early health economic model exploring its potential cost-effectiveness. METHODS The model compared attentive CTG and usual care with usual care alone and simulated clinical events, healthcare costs, and infant quality-adjusted life years over 18 years. It was populated using data from a cohort of term pregnancies, the literature, and administrative datasets. Attentive CTG effectiveness was projected through improved monitoring sensitivity/specificity and potential reductions in numbers of severely compromised infants. Scenario analyses explored the impact of including litigation costs. RESULTS Nationally, attentive CTG could potentially avoid 10,000 unnecessary alerts in labour and 2400 emergency C-section deliveries through improved specificity. A reduction of 21 intrapartum stillbirths amongst severely compromised infants was also predicted with improved sensitivity. Attentive CTG could potentially lead to cost savings and health gains with a probability of being cost-effective at £25,000 per QALY ranging from 70 to 95%. Potential exists for further cost savings if litigation costs are included. CONCLUSIONS Attentive CTG could offer a cost-effective use of healthcare resources. Prospective patient-level studies are needed to formally evaluate its effectiveness and economic impact in routine clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- H E Campbell
- National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - S Ratushnyak
- National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - A Georgieva
- Oxford Labour Monitoring Group, Nuffield Department of Women's and Reproductive Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - L Impey
- Fetal Medicine Unit, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK
| | - O Rivero-Arias
- National Perinatal Epidemiology Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
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Schifrin BS. Alternative to intensive management of the active phase of the second stage of labor: a multicenter randomized trial (Phase Active du Second STade trial) among nulliparous women with an epidural: a comment. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2023; 229:181-181.e1. [PMID: 37031758 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2023.03.042] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2022] [Accepted: 03/30/2023] [Indexed: 04/11/2023]
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Schifrin BS, Koos BJ, Cohen WR, Soliman M. Approaches to Preventing Intrapartum Fetal Injury. Front Pediatr 2022; 10:915344. [PMID: 36210941 PMCID: PMC9537758 DOI: 10.3389/fped.2022.915344] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2022] [Accepted: 06/21/2022] [Indexed: 12/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Electronic fetal monitoring (EFM) was introduced into obstetric practice in 1970 as a test to identify early deterioration of fetal acid-base balance in the expectation that prompt intervention ("rescue") would reduce neonatal morbidity and mortality. Clinical trials using a variety of visual or computer-based classifications and algorithms for intervention have failed repeatedly to demonstrate improved immediate or long-term outcomes with this technique, which has, however, contributed to an increased rate of operative deliveries (deemed "unnecessary"). In this review, we discuss the limitations of current classifications of FHR patterns and management guidelines based on them. We argue that these clinical and computer-based formulations pay too much attention to the detection of systemic fetal acidosis/hypoxia and too little attention not only to the pathophysiology of FHR patterns but to the provenance of fetal neurological injury and to the relationship of intrapartum injury to the condition of the newborn. Although they do not reliably predict fetal acidosis, FHR patterns, properly interpreted in the context of the clinical circumstances, do reliably identify fetal neurological integrity (behavior) and are a biomarker of fetal neurological injury (separate from asphyxia). They provide insight into the mechanisms and trajectory (evolution) of any hypoxic or ischemic threat to the fetus and have particular promise in signaling preventive measures (1) to enhance the outcome, (2) to reduce the frequency of "abnormal" FHR patterns that require urgent intervention, and (3) to inform the decision to provide neuroprotection to the newborn.
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Affiliation(s)
- Barry S. Schifrin
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Western University of Health Sciences, Pomona, CA, United States
| | - Brian J. Koos
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
| | - Wayne R. Cohen
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Arizona College of Medicine, Tucson, AZ, United States
| | - Mohamed Soliman
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology, and Molecular Genetics, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
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Moors S, Joshi R, Bullens LM, van Oostrum NHM, Regis M, van den Heuvel ER, Oei SG, van Laar JOEH, van der Hout-van der Jagt MB. A randomized controlled trial studying the effect of maternal hyperoxygenation on fetal heart rate in suspected fetal distress. Physiol Meas 2020; 41:115002. [PMID: 33049730 DOI: 10.1088/1361-6579/abc0b6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the effect of maternal hyperoxygenation on fetal heart rate (FHR) when applied for suspected fetal distress during the second stage of term labor. APPROACH A single-center randomized controlled trial was conducted in a tertiary care hospital in The Netherlands. Participants were included during the second stage of labor in case of an intermediary or abnormal FHR pattern. Patients were randomized to receive either 100% oxygen at 10 l/min until delivery, or conventional care without additional oxygen. The primary outcome was the change in FHR pattern before and after the onset of the study, measured as the change in depth and duration of FHR decelerations. Secondary outcome measures were features based on phase-rectified signal averaging (PRSA), baseline assignability, and deceleration characteristics of the FHR pattern. MAIN RESULTS Between March 2016 and April 2018, 117 women were included. The FHR pattern could be analyzed for 71 participants, the other 46 women delivered before the end of the post time-frame. A 2.3% reduction in depth and duration of FHR decelerations was found after maternal hyperoxygenation, compared to a 10% increase in the control group (p = 0.24). Maternal hyperoxygenation had a significantly positive effect on PRSA metrics, with a decrease in PRSA-acceleration capacity (p = 0.03) and PRSA-deceleration capacity (p = 0.02) in the intervention group compared to the control group. SIGNIFICANCE The difference in depth and duration of decelerations after the start of the study was not significantly different between both study groups. A statistically significant positive effect on PRSA-deceleration capacity and PRSA-acceleration capacity was found after maternal hyperoxygenation, which might be associated with a positive effect on neonatal outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Moors
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Máxima Medical Center, Veldhoven, The Netherlands. Eindhoven MedTech Innovation Center (e/MTIC), Groene Loper 19, Eindhoven 5600 MB, The Netherlands. Department of Electrical Engineering, Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, The Netherlands
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Boudet S, Houzé de l'Aulnoit A, Demailly R, Peyrodie L, Beuscart R, Houzé de l'Aulnoit D. Fetal heart rate baseline computation with a weighted median filter. Comput Biol Med 2019; 114:103468. [PMID: 31577964 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2019.103468] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2019] [Revised: 09/14/2019] [Accepted: 09/23/2019] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Automated fetal heart rate (FHR) analysis removes inter- and intra-expert variability, and is a promising solution for reducing the occurrence of fetal acidosis and the implementation of unnecessary medical procedures. The first steps in automated FHR analysis are determination of the baseline, and detection of accelerations and decelerations (A/D). We describe a new method in which a weighted median filter baseline (WMFB) is computed and A/Ds are then detected. METHOD The filter weightings are based on the prior probability that the sampled FHR is in the baseline state or in an A/D state. This probability is computed by estimating the signal's stability at low frequencies and by progressively trimming the signal. Using a competition dataset of 90 previously annotated FHR recordings, we evaluated the WMFB method and 11 recently published literature methods against the ground truth of an expert consensus. The level of agreement between the WMFB method and the expert consensus was estimated by calculating several indices (primarily the morphological analysis discordance index, MADI). The agreement indices were then compared with the values for eleven other methods. We also compared the level of method-expert agreement with the level of interrater agreement. RESULTS For the WMFB method, the MADI indicated a disagreement of 4.02% vs. the consensus; this value is significantly lower (p<10-13) than that calculated for the best of the 11 literature methods (7.27%, for Lu and Wei's empirical mode decomposition method). The level of inter-expert agreement (according to the MADI) and the level of WMFB-expert agreement did not differ significantly (p=0.22). CONCLUSION The WMFB method reproduced the expert consensus analysis better than 11 other methods. No differences in performance between the WMFB method and individual experts were observed. The method Matlab source code is available under General Public Licence at http://utsb.univ-catholille.fr/fhr-wmfb.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samuel Boudet
- Univ Nord de France, UCLille, Faculté de Médecine et Maïeutique, Biomedical Signal Processing Unit (UTSB), F-59800, Lille, France.
| | - Agathe Houzé de l'Aulnoit
- Univ Nord de France, UCLille, Faculté de Médecine et Maïeutique, Biomedical Signal Processing Unit (UTSB), F-59800, Lille, France; Lille Catholic Hospital, Obstetrics Department, F-59020, Lille, France
| | - Romain Demailly
- Univ Nord de France, UCLille, Faculté de Médecine et Maïeutique, Biomedical Signal Processing Unit (UTSB), F-59800, Lille, France; Lille Catholic Hospital, Obstetrics Department, F-59020, Lille, France
| | - Laurent Peyrodie
- Yncréa École des hautes études d'ingénieur, Biomedical Signal Processing Unit (UTSB), 59800, Lille, France; I3MTO EA 4708 Orléans, France
| | - Régis Beuscart
- Univ Nord de France, CHU Lille, UDSL EA2694, F-59000, Lille, France
| | - Denis Houzé de l'Aulnoit
- Univ Nord de France, UCLille, Faculté de Médecine et Maïeutique, Biomedical Signal Processing Unit (UTSB), F-59800, Lille, France; Lille Catholic Hospital, Obstetrics Department, F-59020, Lille, France
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Using Hourly Time-Outs and a Standardized Tool to Promote Team Communication, Medical Record Documentation, and Patient Satisfaction During Second-Stage Labor. MCN Am J Matern Child Nurs 2019; 43:195-200. [PMID: 29652678 DOI: 10.1097/nmc.0000000000000442] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND During labor, effective communication and collaboration among the healthcare team is critical for patient safety; however, there is currently no standard for communication and documentation of the plan of care as agreed upon by healthcare team members and the woman in labor. OBJECTIVES The goal of this project was to increase consistency in communication and collaboration between clinicians and laboring women during second-stage labor. METHODS An hourly "time-out" meeting of all healthcare team members was initiated for all women during second-stage labor. A documentation tool was implemented to ensure regular and clear communication between the clinical team and laboring women. Data were collected via medical review of cases of second-stage labor lasting more than 2 hours (n = 21 in the pre-implementation group; n = 39 for 3 months postimplementation; and n = 468 patients for 2 years post-implementation). Surveys were conducted of the clinical team (n = 40) and patients (n = 28). RESULTS Following implementation, documented agreement of the plan of care increased from 14.3% before the project to 82.1% 3 months after implementation and remained at 81.6% 2 years after implementation. All nurses who participated in the survey reported a clear understanding of how and when to complete necessary medical record documentation during second-stage labor. The providers viewed the project favorably. Most women (92.9%) reported satisfaction with their experience. This project enhanced collaborative communication between members of the clinical team and laboring women and improved patient satisfaction. The improvements were sustainable over a 2-year period.
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Bullens LM, Hulsenboom ADJ, Moors S, Joshi R, van Runnard Heimel PJ, van der Hout-van der Jagt MB, van den Heuvel ER, Guid Oei S. Intrauterine resuscitation during the second stage of term labour by maternal hyperoxygenation versus conventional care: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial (INTEREST O2). Trials 2018; 19:195. [PMID: 29566729 PMCID: PMC5865381 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-018-2567-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2017] [Accepted: 03/01/2018] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Perinatal asphyxia is, even in developed countries, one the major causes of neonatal morbidity and mortality. Therefore, if foetal distress during labour is suspected, one should try to restore foetal oxygen levels or aim for immediate delivery. However, studies on the effect of intrauterine resuscitation during labour are scarce. We designed a randomised controlled trial to investigate the effect of maternal hyperoxygenation on the foetal condition. In this study, maternal hyperoxygenation is induced for the treatment of foetal distress during the second stage of term labour. METHODS/DESIGN This study is a single-centre randomised controlled trial being performed in a tertiary hospital in The Netherlands. From among cases of a suboptimal or abnormal foetal heart rate pattern during the second stage of term labour, a total of 116 patients will be randomised to the control group, where normal care is provided, or to the intervention group, where before normal care 100% oxygen is supplied to the mother by a non-rebreathing mask until delivery. The primary outcome is change in foetal heart rate pattern. Secondary outcomes are Apgar score, mode of delivery, admission to the neonatal intensive care unit and maternal side effects. In addition, blood gas values and malondialdehyde are determined in umbilical cord blood. DISCUSSION This study will be the first randomised controlled trial to investigate the effect of maternal hyperoxygenation for foetal distress during labour. This intervention should be recommended only as a treatment for intrapartum foetal distress, when improvement of the foetal condition is likely and outweighs maternal and neonatal side effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION EudraCT, 2015-001654-15; registered on 3 April 2015. Dutch Trial Register, NTR5461; registered on 20 October 2015.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lauren M Bullens
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Máxima Medical Centre, PO Box 7777, 5500, MB, Veldhoven, The Netherlands. .,Department of Electrical Engineering, Eindhoven University of Technology, PO Box 513, 5600, MB, Eindhoven, The Netherlands.
| | - Alexandra D J Hulsenboom
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Máxima Medical Centre, PO Box 7777, 5500, MB, Veldhoven, The Netherlands
| | - Suzanne Moors
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Máxima Medical Centre, PO Box 7777, 5500, MB, Veldhoven, The Netherlands
| | - Rohan Joshi
- Department of Clinical Physics, Máxima Medical Centre, PO Box 7777, 5500, MB, Veldhoven, The Netherlands.,Department of Industrial Design, Eindhoven University of Technology, PO Box 513, 5600, MB, Eindhoven, The Netherlands
| | - Pieter J van Runnard Heimel
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Máxima Medical Centre, PO Box 7777, 5500, MB, Veldhoven, The Netherlands
| | - M Beatrijs van der Hout-van der Jagt
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Máxima Medical Centre, PO Box 7777, 5500, MB, Veldhoven, The Netherlands.,Department of Electrical Engineering, Eindhoven University of Technology, PO Box 513, 5600, MB, Eindhoven, The Netherlands
| | - Edwin R van den Heuvel
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Eindhoven University of Technology, PO Box 513, 5600, MB, Eindhoven, The Netherlands
| | - S Guid Oei
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Máxima Medical Centre, PO Box 7777, 5500, MB, Veldhoven, The Netherlands.,Department of Electrical Engineering, Eindhoven University of Technology, PO Box 513, 5600, MB, Eindhoven, The Netherlands
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Jezewski J, Wrobel J, Matonia A, Horoba K, Martinek R, Kupka T, Jezewski M. Is Abdominal Fetal Electrocardiography an Alternative to Doppler Ultrasound for FHR Variability Evaluation? Front Physiol 2017; 8:305. [PMID: 28559852 PMCID: PMC5432618 DOI: 10.3389/fphys.2017.00305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2017] [Accepted: 04/27/2017] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Great expectations are connected with application of indirect fetal electrocardiography (FECG), especially for home telemonitoring of pregnancy. Evaluation of fetal heart rate (FHR) variability, when determined from FECG, uses the same criteria as for FHR signal acquired classically—through ultrasound Doppler method (US). Therefore, the equivalence of those two methods has to be confirmed, both in terms of recognizing classical FHR patterns: baseline, accelerations/decelerations (A/D), long-term variability (LTV), as well as evaluating the FHR variability with beat-to-beat accuracy—short-term variability (STV). The research material consisted of recordings collected from 60 patients in physiological and complicated pregnancy. The FHR signals of at least 30 min duration were acquired dually, using two systems for fetal and maternal monitoring, based on US and FECG methods. Recordings were retrospectively divided into normal (41) and abnormal (19) fetal outcome. The complex process of data synchronization and validation was performed. Obtained low level of the signal loss (4.5% for US and 1.8% for FECG method) enabled to perform both direct comparison of FHR signals, as well as indirect one—by using clinically relevant parameters. Direct comparison showed that there is no measurement bias between the acquisition methods, whereas the mean absolute difference, important for both visual and computer-aided signal analysis, was equal to 1.2 bpm. Such low differences do not affect the visual assessment of the FHR signal. However, in the indirect comparison the inconsistencies of several percent were noted. This mainly affects the acceleration (7.8%) and particularly deceleration (54%) patterns. In the signals acquired using the electrocardiography the obtained STV and LTV indices have shown significant overestimation by 10 and 50% respectively. It also turned out, that ability of clinical parameters to distinguish between normal and abnormal groups do not depend on the acquisition method. The obtained results prove that the abdominal FECG, considered as an alternative to the ultrasound approach, does not change the interpretation of the FHR signal, which was confirmed during both visual assessment and automated analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Janusz Jezewski
- Institute of Medical Technology and Equipment ITAMZabrze, Poland
| | - Janusz Wrobel
- Institute of Medical Technology and Equipment ITAMZabrze, Poland
| | - Adam Matonia
- Institute of Medical Technology and Equipment ITAMZabrze, Poland
| | - Krzysztof Horoba
- Institute of Medical Technology and Equipment ITAMZabrze, Poland
| | - Radek Martinek
- Department of Cybernetics and Biomedical Engineering, VSB-Technical University of OstravaOstrava, Czechia
| | - Tomasz Kupka
- Institute of Medical Technology and Equipment ITAMZabrze, Poland
| | - Michal Jezewski
- Institute of Electronics, Silesian University of TechnologyGliwice, Poland
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Georgieva A, Redman CW, Papageorghiou AT. Computerized data-driven interpretation of the intrapartum cardiotocogram: a cohort study. Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand 2017; 96:883-891. [DOI: 10.1111/aogs.13136] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2016] [Accepted: 03/19/2017] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Antoniya Georgieva
- Nuffield Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology; University of Oxford; Women's Center; John Radcliffe Hospital; Oxford UK
| | - Christopher W.G. Redman
- Nuffield Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology; University of Oxford; Women's Center; John Radcliffe Hospital; Oxford UK
| | - Aris T. Papageorghiou
- Nuffield Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology; University of Oxford; Women's Center; John Radcliffe Hospital; Oxford UK
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Schifrin BS, Koos B. Defining the limits of electronic fetal heart rate. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2017; 216:532. [PMID: 28143699 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2017.01.035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2016] [Accepted: 01/19/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Brian Koos
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA
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The effect of augmentation of labour with syntocinon on the fetal CTG using objective computerised analysis: a nested case–control study. Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol 2014; 176:112-8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ejogrb.2014.02.032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2013] [Revised: 02/12/2014] [Accepted: 02/15/2014] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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Georgieva A, Papageorghiou AT, Payne SJ, Moulden M, Redman CWG. Phase-rectified signal averaging for intrapartum electronic fetal heart rate monitoring is related to acidaemia at birth. BJOG 2014; 121:889-94. [PMID: 24842087 DOI: 10.1111/1471-0528.12568] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/16/2013] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Recent studies suggest that phase-rectified signal averaging (PRSA), measured in antepartum fetal heart rate (FHR) traces, may sensitively indicate fetal status; however, its value has not been assessed during labour. We determined whether PRSA relates to acidaemia in labour, and compare its performance to short-term variation (STV), a related computerised FHR feature. DESIGN Historical cohort. SETTING Large UK teaching hospital. POPULATION All 7568 Oxford deliveries that met the study criteria from April 1993 to February 2008. METHODS We analysed the last 30 minutes of the FHR and associated outcomes of infants. We used computerised analysis to calculate PRSA decelerative capacity (DC(PRSA)), and its ability to predict umbilical arterial blood pH ≤ 7.05 using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves and event rate estimates (EveREst). We compared DC(PRSA) with STV calculated on the same traces. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE Umbilical arterial blood pH ≤ 7.05. RESULTS We found that PRSA could be measured in all cases. DC(PRSA) predicted acidaemia significantly better than STV: the area under the ROC curve was 0.665 (95% CI 0.632-0.699) for DC(PRSA), and 0.606 (0.573-0.639) for STV (P = 0.007). EveREst plots showed that in the worst fifth centile of cases, the incidence of low pH was 17.75% for DC(PRSA) but 11.00% for STV (P < 0.001). DC(PRSA) was not highly correlated with STV. CONCLUSIONS DC(PRSA) of the FHR can be measured in labour, and appears to predict acidaemia more accurately than STV. Further prospective evaluation is warranted to assess whether this could be clinically useful. The weak correlation between DC(PRSA) and STV suggests that they could be combined in multivariate FHR analyses.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Georgieva
- Nuffield Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, University of Oxford, Women's Centre, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK; Department of Engineering Science, Institute of Biomedical Engineering, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
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