A Cohort Study for Derivation and Validation of Early Detection of Pancreatic Fistula After Pancreaticoduodenectomy

Drain fluid biomarkers for prediction and diagnosis of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula: A narrative review

Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) has continued to compromise patient recovery post-pancreatectomy despite decades of research seeking to improve risk prediction and diagnosis. The current diagnostic criteria for CR-POPF requires elevated drain fluid amylase to present alongside POPF-related complications including infection, haemorrhage and organ failure. These worrying sequelae necessitate earlier and easily obtainable biomarkers capable of reflecting evolving CR-POPF. Drain fluid has recently emerged as a promising source of biomarkers as it is derived from the pancreas and hence, capable of reflecting its postoperative condition. The present review aims to summarise the current knowledge of CR-POPF drain fluid biomarkers and identify gaps in the field to invigorate future research in this critical area of clinical need. These findings may provide robust diagnostic alternatives for CR-POPF and hence, to clarify their clinical utility require further reports detailing their diagnostic and/or predictive accuracy.

Preoperative and intraoperative risk factors of postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy – systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction: Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a potentially life-threatening complication after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). It is observed when the amylase activity in the drain fluid exceeds three times the normal upper value. Grades B and C of POPF are considered as clinically relevant. Fistula might originate due to failure of healing of a pancreatic anastomosis or from raw pancreatic surface. Materials and methods: 18 retrospective and prospective studies published between 2015 and 2020 were included in this meta-analysis. Total number of patients was 5836. To investigate potential risk factors associated with the occurrence of POPF, odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated. To compare discontinuous data, mean differences (MD) were calculated. Results: 13 factors were divided into preoperative and intraoperative groups. Male sex, higher BMI, soft pancreatic texture and small pancreatic duct were considered as significant risk factors while vascular resection lowered the risk of development pancreatic fistula. Discussion: It is considered that the development of POPF is associated with intrapancreatic fat. More severe infiltration with fat tissue is responsible for soft texture of the gland, while higher BMI is one of the risk factors of increased pancreatic fat. On the contrary, diabetes is associated with fibrotic pancreas which could lower the risk of developing POPF.

Proposal of a Clinically Useful Criterion for Early Drain Removal After Pancreaticoduodenectomy

PURPOSE

This study aimed to establish a reliable criterion for early drain removal after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) based on predictive factors of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) available on postoperative day 3 (POD3).

METHODS

A total of 300 consecutive patients who underwent PD with pancreaticojejunostomy at our hospital from 2011 to 2015 were analyzed retrospectively. CR-POPF was defined as POPF grade B or C according to the definition by ISGPF. Clinicopathological factors available on or before POD3 were analyzed to identify predictors of CR-POPF. Using obtained predictors, we developed a criterion for no CR-POPF and internally validated its relevance in 100 consecutive patients.

RESULTS

The incidence rates of CR-POPF, severe complications (Clavien-Dindo ≥ grade IIIa), and postoperative mortality were 35%, 9.6%, and 0.3%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that drain amylase (d-AMY) levels ≥ 350 IU/l on POD3, C-reactive protein (CRP) levels ≥ 14 mg/dl on POD3, preoperative endoscopic retrograde biliary drainage, and no portal vein resection were significant predictors of CR-POPF. Using the strongest predictors (i.e., d-AMY and CRP), we established a criterion for no CR-POPF: d-AMY levels < 350 IU/l and CRP levels < 14 mg/dl on POD3. The incidence rates of CR-POPF were 6%, 38%, and 88% in patients who fulfilled both of (n = 149), each of (n = 74), and none of (n = 77) the two factors, respectively. In the internal validation cohort, the positive predictive value of CR-POPF was 89%.

CONCLUSIONS

A simple two-factor criterion available on POD3 after PD has a reliable predictive ability. In patients who fulfill this criterion, early drain removal is considered safe.

Postoperative serum procalcitonin versus C-reactive protein as a marker of postoperative infectious complications in pancreatic surgery: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Aim of this meta-analysis was to compare diagnostic accuracy C-reactive protein and procalcitonin between postoperative days 3 and 5 to predict infectious complications post pancreatic surgery.

METHODS

A systemic literature search was performed using MEDLINE, EMBASE and SCOPUS to identify studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of procalcitonin and C-reactive protein to predict infectious complications between postoperative days 3 and 5 following pancreatic surgery. A meta-analysis was performed using random-effect model and pooled predictive parameters.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies consisting of 2212 patients were included in the final meta-analysis. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, area under curve and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) for day 3 C-reactive protein were 62%, 67%, 0.772 and 6.54, respectively. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, area under curve and DOR for day 3 procalcitonin were 74%, 79%, 0.8453 and 11.03, respectively. Sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve and DOR for day 4 C-reactive protein were 60%, 68%, 0.8022 and 11.90, respectively. Sensitivity, specificity and DOR of postoperative day 5 procalcitonin level for predicting infectious complications were 83%, 70% and 12.9, respectively. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, Area Under Receiver Operating Curve and DOR were 50%, 70%, 0.777 and 10.19, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Postoperative procalcitonin is a better marker to predict postoperative infectious complications after pancreatic surgeries.

C-reactive protein is superior to white blood cell count for early detection of complications after pancreatoduodenectomy: a retrospective multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

Early detection of major complications after pancreatoduodenectomy could improve patient management and decrease the "failure-to-rescue" rate. In this retrospective cohort study, we aimed to compare the value of C-reactive protein (CRP) and white blood cell count (WBC) in the early detection of complications after pancreatoduodenectomy.

METHODS

We assessed pancreatoduodenectomies between January 2012 and December 2017. Major complications were defined as grade III or higher according to the Clavien-Dindo classification. Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) was a secondary endpoint. ROC-curve and logistic regression analysis were performed for CRP and WBC. Results were validated in an external cohort.

RESULTS

In the development cohort (n = 285), 103 (36.1%) patients experienced a major complication. CRP was superior to WBC in detecting major complications on postoperative day (POD) 3 (AUC:0.74 vs. 0.54, P < 0.001) and POD 5 (AUC:0.77 vs. 0.68, P = 0.031), however not on POD 7 (AUC:0.77 vs. 0.76, P = 0.773). These results were confirmed in multivariable analysis and in the validation cohort (n = 202). CRP was also superior to WBC in detecting POPF on POD 3 (AUC: 0.78 vs. 0.54, P < 0.001) and POD 5 (AUC: 0.83 vs. 0.71, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CRP appears to be superior to WBC in the early detection of major complications and POPF after pancreatoduodenectomy.

Combination of postoperative C-reactive protein value and computed tomography imaging can predict severe pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Recent management after pancreatoduodenectomy recommends either omission of prophylactic drainage or early removal. This potentially makes the diagnosis of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) difficult because the diagnosis is based on the amylase value of drain effluent. The aim of this study was to determine if severe POPF could be predicted independent of drainage information.

METHODS

Records of consecutive patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy between 2012 and 2018 were included for further analysis. The presence of a peripancreatic collection (PC) on routine postoperative (day7) computed tomography (early CT) and perioperative characteristics were analyzed.

RESULTS

PC appeared in 82/211 patients (39%) and was associated with clinically relevant POPF (p < 0.001). The C-reactive protein (CRP) on postoperative day5 was a good predictor of severe POPF (needing interventional therapy or Grade C) (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.802; 95% confidence interval, 0.702-0.875). Presence of a PC and a high CRP value were independent risk factors for severe POPF following multivariate analysis. The combination of CRP<5.0 mg/dL on postoperative day 5 and the absence of a PC had 98% negative predictive value.

CONCLUSION

The combination of CRP measurement and PC evaluation by early CT was useful in predicting severe POPF after pancreatoduodenectomy.

Impaired immune reaction and increased lactate and C-reactive protein for early prediction of severe morbidity and pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Prediction of complications after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) remains of interest. Blood parameters and biomarkers during first and second postoperative days (POD1, POD2) may be early indicators of complications.

METHODS

This case-control study included 50 patients. Baseline, POD1 and POD2 values of leukocytes, neutrophils, lymphocytes, platelets, hemoglobin, C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin and arterial lactate were compared between individuals presenting Clavien ≥ III morbidity, pancreatic fistula (PF) or clinically relevant PF (CRPF) and those without these morbidities. Common variables reaching significance were further analyzed in order to calculate a predictive score.

RESULTS

Severe morbidity, PF and CRPF rates were 28.0%, 26.0% and 14.0%, respectively. Patients with severe morbidity had lower leukocytes on POD2 (P = 0.04). Patients with PF presented higher CRP on POD2 (P = 0.001), higher lactate on POD1 (P = 0.007) and POD2 (P = 0.008), and lower lymphocytes on POD1 (P = 0.007) and POD2 (P = 0.008). Patients with CRPF had lower leukocytes and neutrophils on POD1 (P = 0.048, P = 0.038), lower lymphocytes on POD1 (P = 0.001) and POD2 (P = 0.003), and higher CRP on POD2 (P = 0.001). Baseline parameters and procalcitonin obtained no statistical associations. Score was defined according to lymphocytes on POD1 < 650/µL and CRP on POD2 ≥ 250 mg/L allocating patients in 3 risk categories. PF and CRPF rates were statistically higher as risk category increased (P<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow tests showed a good accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Impaired immunological reaction during early postoperative period (lower leukocytes and, particularly, lymphocytes) in response to surgical aggression would favor complications after PD. Likewise, acidosis (higher arterial lactate) could behave as risk factor of PF. An elevated CRP on POD2 is also an early biomarker of PF. Our novel score based on postoperative lymphocyte count and CRP seems reliable for early prediction of PF.

Predictive value of drain pancreatic amylase concentration for postoperative pancreatic fistula on postoperative day 1 after pancreatic resection: An updated meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) is a potentially fatal complication following pancreaticoduodenectomy. Early prediction and exclusion of POPF may be highly advantageous to enhance patient outcomes, and accelerate recovery. In this meta-analysis, we sought to assess the prediction of drain pancreatic amylase concentration on postoperative day 1 (DPA1) for POPF.

METHODS

By searching online databases up to April 2018, all researches mentioned DPA1 for detecting POPF were analyzed. STATA 12.0 was used to analyze pooled predictive parameters.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies were finally analyzed including 4676 patients in total. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of DPA1 were respectively 0.85 (95% CI: 0.71, 0.93), 0.80 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.85) to predict overall POPF, and 0.70 (95% CI: 0.53, 0.82), 0.88 (95% CI: 0.86, 0.90) to predict CR-POPF. If pretest probability was 50%, corresponding post-test (+) were respectively 81%, 86% for overall POPF and CR-POPF when DPA1 was above cutoffs, while the post-test (-) were respectively 16%, 26% when DPA1 was under cutoffs. In subgroup analysis, sensitivities of cutoff >5000 group, 1000< cutoff <5000 group, and cutoff <1000 group were respectively 0.65 (0.43-0.82), 0.82 (0.71-0.89), 0.87 (0.78-0.92); and specificities were respectively 0.88 (0.83-0.92), 0.83 (0.77-0.88), 0.71 (0.62-0.79). Positive LR was 5.5 (3.4-8.8), 4.8 (3.4-6.7), and 3.0 (2.3-4.0) respectively. Negative LR was 0.40 (0.22-0.72), 0.22 (0.13-0.37), and 0.19 (0.11-0.32) respectively.

CONCLUSION

DPA1, which has good sensitivity and specificity, is useful for predicting overall POPF and CR-POPF, according to the present studies. Meanwhile, it should be cautious to apply because there is a wide range in cutoffs between different studies.

Evaluation of Drain Amylase Level after Pancreaticoduodenectomy with Special Reference to Delayed Pancreatic Fistula

Postoperative pancreatic fistula (PF) is a relatively frequent and occasionally fatal complication of pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). Several risk factors for PF have been reported, including high drain amylase level (D-AMY). Among the 140 consecutive patients who underwent PD, we analyzed 110 cases with D-AMY measurements over time after PD. According to the D-AMY change, we divided patients into five patterns and defined delayed PF cases. We analyzed clinical characteristics, including serum amylase and D-AMY, and examined the correlation between the period of drain insertion and PF grade. In 15 delayed PF cases, 12 cases were grade B or C, pancreatic cancer was less frequent, pancreatic ducts were smaller, and soft pancreas texture was more commonly observed. The D-AMYon postoperative day (POD) 1 was higher in cases of delayed PF compared with non-PF cases ( P < 0.0001). In 28 cases with drain removal before POD 7, grade B or C PF was not observed afterward. The average D-AMYon POD 1 in cases with drain removal before POD 1 was significantly lower than in delayed PF cases. Although further studies are required to determine the most appropriate timing of drain removal, it is thought that intra-abdominal drains should be removed within seven days of PD in cases without signs of PF. On the other hand, delayed PF should be considered in cases of soft pancreas texture and/or high D-AMY on POD 1, even if D-AMY levels are low on POD 3 or decreasing on POD 5.