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Ye B, Xie J, Xi K, Huang Z, Liao Y, Chen Z, Ji W. The value of a risk model combining specific risk factors for predicting postoperative severe morbidity in biliary tract cancer. Front Oncol 2024; 13:1309724. [PMID: 38375202 PMCID: PMC10876292 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1309724] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2023] [Accepted: 12/29/2023] [Indexed: 02/21/2024] Open
Abstract
Purpose Several surgical risk models are widely utilized in general surgery to predict postoperative morbidity. However, no studies have been undertaken to examine the predictive efficacy of these models in biliary tract cancer patients, and other perioperative variables can also influence morbidity. As a result, the study's goal was to examine these models alone, as well as risk models combined with disease-specific factors, in predicting severe complications. Methods A retrospective study of 129 patients was carried out. Data on demographics, surgery, and outcomes were gathered. These model equations were used to determine the morbidity risks. Severe morbidity was defined as the complication comprehensive index ≥ 40. Results Severe morbidity was observed in 25% (32/129) patients. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that four parameters [comprehensive risk score ≥1, T stage, albumin decrease value, and international normalized ratio (INR)] had a significant influence on the probability of major complications. The area under the curve (AUC) of combining the four parameters was assessed as having strong predictive value and was superior to the Estimation of Physiologic Ability and Surgical Stress System (E-PASS) alone (the AUC value was 0.858 vs. 0.724, p = 0.0375). The AUC for the modified E-PASS (mE-PASS) and Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the Enumeration of Mortality and Morbidity (POSSUM) in patients over the age of 70 was classified as no predictive value (p = 0.217 and p = 0.063, respectively). Conclusion The mE-PASS and POSSUM models are ineffective in predicting postoperative morbidity in patients above the age of 70. In biliary tract cancer (BTC) patients undergoing radical operation, a combination of E-PASS and perioperative parameters generates a reasonable prediction value for severe complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- BaoLong Ye
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, Ganzhou Hospital-Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Ganzhou, China
- Department of General Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, The Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital of Nanchang University, Ganzhou, China
- Research Institute of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - JunFeng Xie
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, Ganzhou Hospital-Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Ganzhou, China
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, The Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital of Nanchang University, Ganzhou, China
| | - KeXing Xi
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, Ganzhou Hospital-Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Ganzhou, China
- Department of General Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - ZhiShun Huang
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, Ganzhou Hospital-Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Ganzhou, China
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, The Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital of Nanchang University, Ganzhou, China
| | - YanNian Liao
- Research Institute of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - ZiWen Chen
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, Ganzhou Hospital-Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Ganzhou, China
- Department of Gastrointestinal and Hernia Surgery, The Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital of Nanchang University, Ganzhou, China
| | - Wu Ji
- Department of General Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
- Research Institute of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
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Zhang Y, Jia L, Tian Y, He J, He M, Chen L, Hao P, Li T, Peng L, Chong W, Hai Y, You C, Fang F. Association of Postoperative Drift in Hemoglobin With Mortality After Brain Tumor Craniotomy. Neurosurgery 2023; 93:168-175. [PMID: 36752640 DOI: 10.1227/neu.0000000000002396] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2022] [Accepted: 12/07/2022] [Indexed: 02/09/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Postoperative downward drift in hemoglobin (Hb) concentration may be associated with complications and death, even if nadir Hb remains more than the red blood cell transfusion threshold of 7 g/dL. OBJECTIVE To assess whether postoperative Hb drift in patients undergoing brain tumor craniotomy influences mortality in the immediate perioperative period. METHODS This retrospective cohort study included patients undergoing craniotomy for brain tumors. We defined no postoperative Hb decrease, mild decrease, moderate decrease, and severe decrease as postoperative Hb drift of ≤25%, 26% to 50%, 51% to 75%, and >75%, respectively. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality after craniotomy. RESULTS This study included 8159 patients who underwent a craniotomy for brain tumors. Compared with patients with no postoperative Hb drift, the odds of postoperative mortality at 30 days increased in patients with mild postoperative Hb drift (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.47, 95% CI 1.72-3.56), moderate drift (adjusted OR 6.56, 95% CI 3.42-12.59), and severe drift (adjusted OR 12.33, 95% CI 3.48-43.62). When postoperative Hb drift was analyzed as a continuous variable, for each 10% increase in Hb drift, the adjusted OR of postoperative mortality at 30 days was 1.46 (95% CI 1.31-1.63). CONCLUSION In patients undergoing brain tumor craniotomy, a small postoperative Hb drift was associated with increased odds of postoperative mortality at 30 days, even if the nadir Hb level remained greater than the red blood cell transfusion threshold of 7 g/dL. Future randomized clinical trials of perioperative transfusion practices may examine the effect of both nadir Hb and Hb drift.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu Zhang
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Lu Jia
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Yixin Tian
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Jialing He
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Miao He
- Department of Anesthesia, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Lvlin Chen
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Pengfei Hao
- Department of Neurosurgery, Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
| | - Tiangui Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, Longquan Hospital, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Liyuan Peng
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Weelic Chong
- Sidney Kimmel Medical College, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Yang Hai
- Department of Medical Oncology, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Chao You
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Fang Fang
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
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Patella M, Mongelli F, Minerva EM, Previsdomini M, Perren A, Saporito A, La Regina D, Gavino L, Inderbitzi R, Cafarotti S. Effect of postoperative haemoglobin variation on major cardiopulmonary complications in high cardiac risk patients undergoing anatomical lung resections. Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg 2019; 29:883-889. [PMID: 31408170 DOI: 10.1093/icvts/ivz199] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2019] [Revised: 06/28/2019] [Accepted: 07/10/2019] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Recent evidence shows that permissive anaemia strategies are safe in different surgical settings. However, effects of variations in haemoglobin (Hb) levels could have a negative impact in high-risk patients. We investigated the combined effect of postoperative Hb concentration and cardiac risk status on major cardiopulmonary complications after anatomical lung resections. METHODS We retrospectively analysed the records, collected in a prospective clinical database, of 154 consecutive patients undergoing anatomical lung resections at our institution (February 2017-February 2019). Hb levels were displayed as preoperative concentration, nadir Hb level before onset of complications and delta Hb (ΔHb). Cardiac risk was stratified according to the Thoracic Revised Cardiac Risk Index (ThRCRI). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to test the associations between patients, surgical variables and cardiopulmonary complications according to the European Society of Thoracic Surgeons definitions. RESULTS Cardiopulmonary complications occurred in 63 patients (17%). In the fully adjusted multivariable model, higher values of ΔHb were associated with increased risk of complications [odds ratio (OR) 1.07; P < 0.001], along with higher ThRCRI classes (classes A-B versus C-D: OR 0.09; P < 0.001). Interaction terms with transfusion were not statistically significant, indicating that the harmful effect of ΔHb was independent. According to receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, a ΔHb of 29 g/l was found to be the best cut-off value for predicting complications. CONCLUSIONS In our series, ΔHb, rather than nadir Hb, was associated with an increased risk of complications, particularly in patients with higher cardiac risk. Restrictive transfusion strategies should be carefully applied in patients undergoing lung resections and balanced according to individual clinical status.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miriam Patella
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | - Francesco Mongelli
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | | | - Marco Previsdomini
- Department of Intensive Medicine, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | - Andreas Perren
- Department of Intensive Medicine, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | - Andrea Saporito
- Perioperative Medicine Research Group, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | - Davide La Regina
- Perioperative Medicine Research Group, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | - Lorenzo Gavino
- Department of Intensive Medicine, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | - Rolf Inderbitzi
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
| | - Stefano Cafarotti
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, San Giovanni Hospital, Bellinzona, Switzerland
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