Revisiting the Value of Drains After Low Anterior Resection for Rectal Cancer: a Multi-institutional Analysis of 996 Patients

Updating the Predictive Models for Mortality and Morbidity after Low Anterior Resection Based on the National Clinical Database

INTRODUCTION

We previously developed risk models for mortality and morbidity after low anterior resection using a nationwide Japanese database. However, the milieu of low anterior resection in Japan has undergone drastic changes since then. This study aimed to construct risk models for 6 short-term postoperative outcomes after low anterior resection, i.e., in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, anastomotic leakage, surgical site infection except for anastomotic leakage, overall postoperative complication rate, and 30-day reoperation rate.

METHODS

This study enrolled 120,912 patients registered with the National Clinical Database, who underwent low anterior resection between 2014 and 2019. Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed to generate predictive models of mortality and morbidity using preoperative information, including the TNM stage.

RESULTS

We developed new risk prediction models for the overall postoperative complication and 30-day reoperation rates for low anterior resection, which were absent from the previous version. The concordance indices for each endpoint were 0.82 for in-hospital mortality, 0.79 for 30-day mortality, 0.64 for anastomotic leakage, 0.62 for surgical site infection besides anastomotic leakage, 0.63 for complications, and 0.62 for reoperation. The concordance indices of all four models included in the previous version showed improvement.

CONCLUSION

This study successfully updated the risk calculators for predicting mortality and morbidity after low anterior resection using a model based on vast nationwide Japanese data.

Clinical practice guidelines for enhanced recovery after colon and rectal surgery from the American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons and the Society of American Gastrointestinal and Endoscopic Surgeons

The American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons (ASCRS) and the Society of American Gastrointestinal and Endoscopic Surgeons (SAGES) are dedicated to ensuring high-quality innovative patient care for surgical patients by advancing the science, prevention, and management of disorders and diseases of the colon, rectum, and anus as well as minimally invasive surgery. The ASCRS and SAGES society members involved in the creation of these guidelines were chosen because they have demonstrated expertise in the specialty of colon and rectal surgery and enhanced recovery. This consensus document was created to lead international efforts in defining quality care for conditions related to the colon, rectum, and anus and develop clinical practice guidelines based on the best available evidence. While not proscriptive, these guidelines provide information on which decisions can be made and do not dictate a specific form of treatment. These guidelines are intended for the use of all practitioners, healthcare workers, and patients who desire information about the management of the conditions addressed by the topics covered in these guidelines. These guidelines should not be deemed inclusive of all proper methods of care nor exclusive of methods of care reasonably directed toward obtaining the same results. The ultimate judgment regarding the propriety of any specific procedure must be made by the physician in light of all the circumstances presented by the individual patient. This clinical practice guideline represents a collaborative effort between the American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons (ASCRS) and the Society of American Gastrointestinal and Endoscopic Surgeons (SAGES) and was approved by both societies.

Association of the collagen score with anastomotic leakage in rectal cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Collagen changes in the extracellular matrix caused by neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy are a potential mechanism of anastomotic leakage. We aimed to construct a fully quantitative collagen score to describe collagen structure changes in the extracellular matrix and then develop and validate a prediction model to identify patients who are at a high risk of postoperative anastomotic leakage.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study in which 372 patients were enrolled, and their baseline clinicopathological characteristics were collected. Anastomotic distal and proximal "doughnut" specimens underwent second harmonic generation imaging, and collagen features were extracted. A LASSO regression was used to select significant predictors, and the collagen score was constructed. A prediction model based on collagen score was developed and internally and externally validated.

RESULTS

The primary cohort included 214 consecutive patients, and the anastomotic leakage rate was 8.9%. The validation cohort comprised 158 consecutive patients, and the anastomotic leakage rate was 10.1%. The collagen score was significantly related to anastomotic leakage in both cohorts (P < .001). Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor location, preoperative albumin, and collagen score were independent predictors of anastomotic leakage. These 3 predictors were incorporated into the prediction model, and a nomogram was established. The model showed good discrimination in the primary (area under the curve: 0.954) and validation (area under the curve: 0.928) cohorts. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.

CONCLUSION

The collagen score is associated with anastomotic leakage, and the collagen nomogram based on the collagen score is useful for individualized prediction of anastomotic leakage in rectal cancer patients with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy after surgery.