Atrial fibrillation pattern and factors affecting the progression to permanent atrial fibrillation

The value of serial echocardiography in risk assessment of patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

Progression from paroxysmal to persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. We examined the association of left atrial (LA) remodeling by serial echocardiography, and AF progression over an extended follow-up period. Two-hundred ninety patients (mean age 61  ±  11 years, 73% male) who underwent transthoracic echocardiography performed at first presentation for non-valvular paroxysmal AF (PAF) and repeat echocardiogram 1-year later, were followed for progression to persistent AF. LA and left ventricular (LV) dimensions, volumes, LA reservoir, conduit and booster pump strains, LV global longitudinal systolic strain (GLS) assessed by 2D speckle tracking, and PA-TDI (time delay between electrical and mechanical LA activation- reflecting the extent of LA fibrosis) were compared on serial echocardiography. Sixty-nine (24%) patients developed persistent AF over a mean follow-up period of 6.3 years. At baseline, patients with subsequent persistent AF had larger LA dimensions (46 mm vs. 42 mm, p < 0.001), indexed LA volumes (41 ml/m2 vs. 34 ml/m2, p < 0.001), lower LA reservoir and conduit strain (17.6% vs. 27.6%, p < 0.001; 10.5% vs. 16.3%, p < 0.001; respectively) and longer PA-TDI (155 ms vs. 132 ms, p < 0.001) compared to the PAF group. Patients with subsequent persistent AF showed over time significant enlargement in LA volumes (from 37.7 ml/m2 to 42.4 ml/m2, p < 0.001), lengthening of PA-TDI (from 142.2 ms to 162.2 ms, p = 0.002), and decline in LA reservoir function (from 21.9% to 18.1%, p = 0.024) after adjusting for age, gender, diabetes and LV GLS. There were no changes in LA diameter, LA conduit or booster pump function. Conversely, the PAF group showed no decline in LA function. Patients who developed persistent AF had larger LA size and impaired LA function and atrial conduction times at baseline, compared to patients who remained PAF. Over the 1-year time course of serial echocardiographic evaluation, there was progression of LA remodeling in patients who subsequently developed persistent AF, but not in patients who remained in PAF.

Anticoagulation in Patients with Atrial High-rate Episodes Detected by Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices

Atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE) are atrial tachyarrhythmias that are identified by the use of continuous rhythm monitoring devices such as pacemakers, defibrillators, or implantable cardiac monitors. Nevertheless, the therapeutic implications of these rhythm disturbances remain uncertain. The presence of AHRE is associated with an increased risk of stroke as compared to patients who do not exhibit AHRE. The utilisation of oral anticoagulation has the ability to mitigate the likelihood of stroke occurrence in patients with AHRE. However, it is important to note that this treatment approach is also linked to a severe bleeding rate of approximately 2% per year. The stroke rate among individuals diagnosed with AHRE appears to be comparatively lower when compared to patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation. The efficacy and safety of anticoagulation in patients with AHRE have yet to be definitively established. Further research is required to provide a comprehensive understanding of the effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulation in individuals with AHRE.

A Predictive Model of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Acute Myocardial Infarction Based on the Lymphocyte to C-Reactive Protein Ratio

Purpose

Lymphocyte to C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) is a recognized systemic inflammatory marker and novel prognostic indicator for several cancers. This study investigated the relationship between preoperative LCR and new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Patients and Methods

Patients with AMI (n=662) with no history of atrial fibrillation (AF) were enrolled and classified into NOAF and non-NOAF groups based on the occurrence of postoperative NOAF during hospitalization. Logistic regression models were used to analyze NOAF risk factors and to assess the association between preoperative LCR and NOAF incidence. We constructed a new nomogram from the selected NOAF risk factors, and tested its predictive performance, degree of calibration, and clinical utility using receiver operating characteristic and calibration curves, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curves.

Results

Overall, 84 (12.7%) patients developed NOAF during hospitalization. The LCR was significantly lower in the NOAF group. Preoperative LCR accurately predicted NOAF after AMI and was correlated with increased NOAF risk. Age, body mass index, diabetes, serum albumin levels, uric acid levels, left atrium (LA) diameter, left ventricular ejection fraction, left circumflex artery stenosis > 50%, and Killip class II status were independent predictors of NOAF after AMI. In addition, a new nomogram combined with LCR was constructed to stratify the risk of NOAF in patients with AMI. The performance of the new nomogram was satisfactory, as shown by the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve.

Conclusion

Preoperative LCR was an independent predictor of NOAF in patients with AMI after PCI. The novel nomogram combined with LCR could rapidly and individually identify and treat patients at a high risk of NOAF.

Plasma myeloperoxidase: association with atrial fibrillation progression and recurrence after catheter ablation

Background

Myeloperoxidase (MPO), released by activated neutrophils, is significantly increased in atrial fibrillation (AF). MPO may play a role in the progression of atrial fibrillation and further involved in AF recurrence after catheter ablation. We compared plasma MPO levels in paroxysmal and persistent AF and explored their role in AF recurrence after catheter ablation.

Methods

Plasma MPO levels were measured in consecutive patients with paroxysmal AF (n = 225) and persistent AF (n = 106). Samples of patients were collected from the femoral vein during catheter ablation and all patients included were followed up after catheter ablation.

Results

Plasma MPO levels increased from paroxysmal AF to persistent AF patients (56.31 [40.33-73.51] vs. 64.11 [48.65-81.11] ng/ml, p < 0.001). MPO significantly correlated with left atrium volume (LAV) and there existed a significant interaction between the two in relation to AF recurrence (p for interaction <0.05). During a median follow-up of 14 months, 28 patients with paroxysmal AF (12.44%) and 27 patients with persistent AF (25.47%) presented with recurrence after catheter ablation. The percentage of recurrence increased stepwise with increasing tertiles of MPO levels in both paroxysmal AF and persistent AF. MPO levels remained independently associated with AF recurrence after adjusting for potential confounding variables.

Conclusion

MPO levels were higher in persistent AF than in paroxysmal AF and MPO was positively correlated with LAV in AF. Elevated MPO levels may predispose a switch in AF phenotype and AF recurrence after catheter ablation.

Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention: 25 years of research at EP Europace journal

Stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is one pillar of the management of this common arrhythmia. Substantial advances in the epidemiology and associated pathophysiology underlying AF-related stroke and thrombo-embolism are evident. Furthermore, the introduction of the non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (also called direct oral anticoagulants) has clearly changed our approach to stroke prevention in AF, such that the default should be to offer oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention, unless the patient is at low risk. A strategy of early rhythm control is also beneficial in reducing strokes in selected patients with recent onset AF, when compared to rate control. Cardiovascular risk factor management, with optimization of comorbidities and attention to lifestyle factors, and the patient's psychological morbidity are also essential. Finally, in selected patients with absolute contraindications to long-term oral anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion or exclusion may be considered. The aim of this state-of-the-art review article is to provide an overview of the current status of AF-related stroke and prevention strategies. A holistic or integrated care approach to AF management is recommended to minimize the risk of stroke in patients with AF, based on the evidence-based Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway, as follows: A: Avoid stroke with Anticoagulation; B: Better patient-centred, symptom-directed decisions on rate or rhythm control; C: Cardiovascular risk factor and comorbidity optimization, including lifestyle changes.

Insertable cardiac monitoring results in higher rates of atrial fibrillation diagnosis and oral anticoagulation prescription after ischaemic stroke

AIMS

After an ischaemic stroke, atrial fibrillation (AF) detection allows for improved secondary prevention strategies. This study aimed to compare AF detection and oral anticoagulant (OAC) initiation in patients with an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) vs. external cardiac monitor (ECM) after ischaemic stroke.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Medicare Fee-for-Service (FFS) insurance claims and Abbott Labs device registration data were used to identify patients hospitalized with an ischaemic stroke in 2017-2019 who received an ICM or ECM within 3 months. Patients with continuous Medicare FFS insurance and prescription drug enrolment in the prior year were included. Patients with prior AF, atrial flutter, cardiac devices, or OAC were excluded. Insertable cardiac monitor and ECM patients were propensity score matched 1:4 on demographics, comorbidities, and stroke hospitalization characteristics. The outcomes of interest were AF detection and OAC initiation evaluated with Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. A total of 5702 Medicare beneficiaries (ICM, n = 444; ECM, n = 5258) met inclusion criteria. The matched cohort consisted of 2210 Medicare beneficiaries (ICM, n = 442; ECM, n = 1768) with 53% female, mean age 75 years, and mean CHA₂DS₂-VASc score 4.6 (1.6). Insertable cardiac monitor use was associated with a higher probability of AF detection [(hazard ratio (HR) 2.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) (2.31, 3.59)] and OAC initiation [HR 2.91, CI (2.28, 3.72)] compared to patients monitored only with ECM.

CONCLUSION

Patients with an ischaemic stroke monitored with an ICM were almost three times more likely to be diagnosed with AF and to be prescribed OAC compared to patients who received ECM only.

Imaging in atrial fibrillation: A way to assess atrial fibrosis and remodeling to assist decision-making

The 2020 ESC atrial fibrillation (AF) guidelines suggest the novel 4S-AF scheme for the characterization of AF. Imaging techniques could be helpful for this objective in everyday clinical practice, and information derived from these techniques reflects basic aspects of the pathophysiology of AF, which may facilitate treatment decision-making, and optimal management of AF patients. The aim of this review is to provide an overview of the mechanisms associated with atrial fibrosis and to describe imaging techniques that may help the management of AF patients in clinical practice. Transthoracic echocardiography is the most common procedure given its versatility, safety, and simplicity. Transesophageal echocardiography provides higher resolution exploration, and speckle tracking echocardiography can provide incremental functional and prognostic information over conventional echocardiographic parameters. In addition, LA deformation imaging, including LA strain and strain rate, are related to the extent of fibrosis. On the other hand, multidetector-row computed tomography and cardiac magnetic resonance provide higher resolution data and more accurate assessment of the dimensions, structure, and spatial relationships of the LA. Imaging is central when deciding on catheter ablation or cardioversion, and helps in selecting those patients who will really benefit from these procedures. Moreover, imaging enhances the understanding of the underlying mechanisms of atrial remodeling and might assists in refining the risk of stroke, which help to select the best medical therapies/interventions. In summary, evaluation of LA enlargement, LA remodeling and fibrosis with imaging techniques adds clinical and prognostic information and should be assessed as a part of routine comprehensive AF evaluation.

New Perspectives on Risk Stratification and Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: An Analysis of Recent Contributions on the Journal of Cardiovascular Disease and Development

The medical approach to atrial fibrillation (AF) underwent a paradigm shift over time, evolving from considering AF as a simple arrhythmic phenomenon to a complex nosological entity [...].

Factors Associated with Progression of Atrial Fibrillation and Impact on All-Cause Mortality in a Cohort of European Patients

BACKGROUND

Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) may often progress towards more sustained forms of the arrhythmia, but further research is needed on the factors associated with this clinical course.

METHODS

We analyzed patients enrolled in a prospective cohort study of AF patients. Patients with paroxysmal AF at baseline or first-detected AF (with successful cardioversion) were included. According to rhythm status at 1 year, patients were stratified into: (i) No AF progression and (ii) AF progression. All-cause death was the primary outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 2688 patients were included (median age 67 years, interquartile range 60-75, females 44.7%). At 1-year of follow-up, 2094 (77.9%) patients showed no AF progression, while 594 (22.1%) developed persistent or permanent AF. On multivariable logistic regression analysis, no physical activity (odds ratio [OR] 1.35, 95% CI 1.02-1.78), valvular heart disease (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.23-2.15), left atrial diameter (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05), or left ventricular ejection fraction (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.97-1.00) were independently associated with AF progression at 1 year. After the assessment at 1 year, the patients were followed for an extended follow-up of 371 days, and those with AF progression were independently associated with a higher risk for all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio 1.77, 95% CI 1.09-2.89) compared to no-AF-progression patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In a contemporary cohort of AF patients, a substantial proportion of patients presenting with paroxysmal or first-detected AF showed progression of the AF pattern within 1 year, and clinical factors related to cardiac remodeling were associated with progression. AF progression was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.

Structural and electrophysiological determinants of atrial cardiomyopathy identify remodeling discrepancies between paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation

Background

Progressive atrial fibrotic remodeling has been reported to be associated with atrial cardiomyopathy (ACM) and the transition from paroxysmal to persistent atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to identify the anatomical/structural and electrophysiological factors involved in atrial remodeling that promote AF persistency.

Methods

Consecutive patients with paroxysmal (n = 134) or persistent (n = 136) AF who presented for their first AF ablation procedure were included. Patients underwent left atrial (LA) high-definition mapping (1,835 ± 421 sites/map) during sinus rhythm (SR) and were randomized to training and validation sets for model development and evaluation. A total of 62 parameters from both electro-anatomical mapping and non-invasive baseline data were extracted encompassing four main categories: (1) LA size, (2) extent of low-voltage-substrate (LVS), (3) LA voltages and (4) bi-atrial conduction time as identified by the duration of amplified P-wave (APWD) in a digital 12-lead-ECG. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression were performed to identify the factors that are most relevant to AF persistency in each category alone and all categories combined. The performance of the developed models for diagnosis of AF persistency was validated regarding discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness. In addition, HATCH score and C2HEST score were also evaluated for their performance in identification of AF persistency.

Results

In training and validation sets, APWD (threshold 151 ms), LA volume (LAV, threshold 94 mL), bipolar LVS area < 1.0 mV (threshold 4.55 cm²) and LA global mean voltage (GMV, threshold 1.66 mV) were identified as best determinants for AF persistency in the respective category. Moreover, APWD (AUC 0.851 and 0.801) and LA volume (AUC 0.788 and 0.741) achieved better discrimination between AF types than LVS extent (AUC 0.783 and 0.682) and GMV (AUC 0.751 and 0.707). The integrated model (combining APWD and LAV) yielded the best discrimination performance between AF types (AUC 0.876 in training set and 0.830 in validation set). In contrast, HATCH score and C2HEST score only achieved AUC < 0.60 in identifying individuals with persistent AF in current study.

Conclusion

Among 62 electro-anatomical parameters, we identified APWD, LA volume, LVS extent, and mean LA voltage as the four determinant electrophysiological and structural factors that are most relevant for AF persistency. Notably, the combination of APWD with LA volume enabled discrimination between paroxysmal and persistent AF with high accuracy, emphasizing their importance as underlying substrate of persistent AF.

Impact of anthropometric factors on outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients: analysis on 10 220 patients from the European Society of Cardiology (ESC)-European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) EurObservational Research Programme on Atrial Fibrillation (EORP-AF) general long-term registry

AIM

To investigate the association of anthropometric parameters [height, weight, body mass index (BMI), body surface area (BSA), and lean body mass (LBM)] with outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Ten-thousand two-hundred twenty patients were enrolled [40.3% females, median age 70 (62-77) years, followed for 728 (interquartile range 653-745) days]. Sex-specific tertiles were considered for the five anthropometric variables. At the end of follow-up, survival free from all-cause death was worse in the lowest tertiles for all the anthropometric variables analyzed. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, an independent association with all-cause death was found for the lowest vs. middle tertile when body weight (hazard ratio [HR] 1.66, 95%CI 1.23-2.23), BMI (HR 1.65, 95%CI 1.23-2.21), and BSA (HR 1.49, 95%CI 1.11-2.01) were analysed in female sex, as well as for body weight in male patients (HR 1.61, 95%CI 1.25-2.07). Conversely, the risk of MACE was lower for the highest tertile (vs. middle tertile) of BSA and LBM in males and for the highest tertile of weight and BSA in female patients. A higher occurrence of haemorrhagic events was found for female patients in the lowest tertile of height [odds ratio (OR) 1.90, 95%CI 1.23-2.94] and LBM (OR 2.13, 95%CI 1.40-3.26).

CONCLUSIONS

In AF patients height, weight, BMI, BSA, and LBM were associated with clinical outcomes, with all-cause death being higher for patients presenting lower values of these variables, i.e. in the lowest tertiles of distribution. The anthropometric variables independently associated with other outcomes were also different between male and female subjects.

Atrial cardiomyopathy markers and new-onset atrial fibrillation risk in patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is common and independently correlated with poor prognosis. The purpose of this study is to explore whether atrial cardiomyopathy (ACM) markers improve NOAF risk assessment and contribute to therapy decision-making to improve prognosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 4713 patients with AMI without a documented history of atrial fibrillation (AF). We measured markers of ACM including P-wave terminal force in ECG lead V1 (PTFV1), Left atrial dimension (LAD), and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP). Patients were stratified into tertiles of PTFV1, LAD, and BNP levels. Associations between markers and NOAF were evaluated using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, 222 (4.71%) patients had NOAF out of 4713 patients. The prevalence of NOAF increased gradually with PTFV1, LAD, and BNP tertiles. On multivariable regression analysis with potential confounders, elevated PTFV1, LAD, and BNP markers were significantly associated with an increased risk of NOAF. The addition of PTFV1, LAD, and BNP to the AF risk factors recommended by the 2020 ESC Guidelines significantly improved risk discrimination for NOAF.

CONCLUSION

Atrial cardiomyopathy markers including PTFV1, LAD, and BNP were strongly associated with NOAF after AMI. The prediction performance of the clinical model for NOAF was increased by the addition of these markers.

The search for a gold standard to clinically diagnose and monitor atrial cardiomyopathy

Tufano A, Lancellotti P. "Atrial cardiomyopathy: Pathophysiology and clinical implications". Eur J Intern Med. 2022 Mar 11:S0953-6205(22)00097-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2022.03.007. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 35288030.

Atrial fibrillation progression and the importance of early treatment for improving clinical outcomes

Over time, atrial fibrillation (AF) naturally progresses from initially paroxysmal to persistent/permanent AF caused by structural and electrical remodelling with a complex underlying pathogenesis. It has been demonstrated that this progression of AF itself is linked to negative cardiovascular outcomes (stroke, systemic embolism, and hospitalization due to heart failure). Consequently, there is a profound rationale for early treatment of AF as a cornerstone of AF management. Recent randomized trials produced evidence that early rhythm control is effective in maintaining sinus rhythm, lower the risk of cardiovascular outcomes, and that catheter ablation of AF is effective to delay AF progression. This review will illuminate current evidence regarding the hypothesis of early AF treatment to prevent AF progression and improve clinical outcomes.

Chronic Kidney Disease with Mild and Mild to Moderate Reduction in Renal Function and Long-Term Recurrences of Atrial Fibrillation after Pulmonary Vein Cryoballoon Ablation

The aim of this research was to evaluate if patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mild or mild to moderate depression of renal function have an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrences after cryoballoon (CB) ablation. We performed a retrospective analysis of AF patients undergoing pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) by CB. The cohort was divided according to the KDIGO CKD-EPI classification into a (1) normal, (2) mildly decreased, or (3) mild to moderate reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Freedom from AF recurrences was the primary endpoint. A total of 1971 patients were included (60 ± 10 years, 29.0% females, 73.6% paroxysmal AF) in the study. Acute success and complication rates were 99.2% and 3.7%, respectively, with no significant differences among the three groups. After a follow-up of 24 months, AF recurrences were higher in the mildly and mild to moderate CKD groups compared to the normal kidney function group (23.4% vs. 28.3% vs. 33.5%, p < 0.05). Mild to moderate CKD was an independent predictor of AF recurrences after the blanking period (hazard ratio:1.38, 95% CI 1.02−1.86, p = 0.037). In conclusion, a multicenter analysis of AF patients treated with cryoablation revealed mild to moderate reductions in renal functions were associated with a higher risk of AF recurrences. Conversely, the procedural success and complication rates were similar in patients with normal, mildly reduced, or mild to moderate reduction in eGFR.

Atrial High-Rate Episodes Detected by Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices: Dynamic Changes in Episodes and Predictors of Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Simple Summary

Atrial high rate episodes (AHRE) detected by cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) may be associated with a risk of progression towards long-lasting episodes (≥24 h) and clinical atrial fibrillation (AF). Identification of this subset of patients is key to promptly starting oral anticoagulant therapy and possibly avoiding stroke and systemic thromboembolism. In the present study, we describe the clinical characteristics of 104 retrospectively enrolled patients with AHRE episodes lasting 5 min–23 h 59 min, no AF at 12-lead ECG, and no history of prior clinical AF. Moreover, we define predictors of the composite outcome of clinical AF and/or AHRE episodes lasting ≥24 h. Over a median follow-up of 24.3 (10.6–40.3) months, 31/104 (29.8%) patients experienced the composite outcome. Baseline CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and the longest AHRE episode at enrollment lasting 12 h–23 h 59 min were independently associated with the composite outcome and with incident clinical AF as well. To conclude, in patients with AHRE, the incidence of clinical AF or AHRE episodes lasting ≥24 h is high. Baseline patients’ characteristics (CHA₂DS₂-VASc score) and AHRE duration may help to intensify monitoring and decision-making, being independently associated with clinical AF in a two-year follow-up.

Abstract

Background. Atrial high rate episodes (AHRE) detected by cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) may be associated with a risk of progression towards long-lasting episodes (≥24 h) and clinical atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods. Consecutive CIED patients presenting AHRE (with confirmation of an arrhythmia lasting 5 min–23 h 59 min, atrial rate ≥175/min, with no AF at 12-lead ECG and no prior clinical AF) were retrospectively enrolled. The aims of this study were to describe patients’ characteristics and the incidence of adverse events, and second, to identify potential predictors of the composite outcome of clinical AF and/or AHRE episodes lasting ≥24 h. Results. 104/107 (97.2%) patients (median age 79.7 (74.0–84.2), 33.7% female) had available follow-up data. Over a median follow-up of 24.3 (10.6–40.3) months, 31/104 (29.8%) patients experienced the composite outcome of clinical AF or AHRE episodes lasting ≥24 h. Baseline CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and the longest AHRE episode at enrollment lasting 12 h–23 h 59 min were independently associated with the composite outcome (Hazard ratio (HR); 95% CI: 1.40; 1.07–1.83 and HR: 8.15; 95% CI 2.32–28.65, respectively). Baseline CHA₂DS₂-VASc score and the longest AHRE episode at enrollment lasting 12 h–23 h 59 min were the only independent predictors of incident clinical AF (HR: 1.45; 95% CI 1.06–2.00 and HR: 4.25; 95% CI 1.05–17.20, respectively). Conclusions. In patients with AHRE, the incidence of clinical AF or AHRE episodes lasting ≥24 h is high in a two-year follow-up. Baseline patients’ characteristics (CHA₂DS₂-VASc score) and AHRE duration may help to intensify monitoring and decision-making, being independently associated with clinical AF at follow-up.

Clinical Phenotype Classification of Atrial Fibrillation Patients Using Cluster Analysis and Associations with Trial-Adjudicated Outcomes

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Given the great clinical heterogeneity of atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, conventional classification only based on disease subtype or arrhythmia patterns may not adequately characterize this population. We aimed to identify different groups of AF patients who shared common clinical phenotypes using cluster analysis and evaluate the association between identified clusters and clinical outcomes.

METHODS

We performed a hierarchical cluster analysis in AF patients from AMADEUS and BOREALIS trials. The primary outcome was a composite of stroke/thromboembolism (TE), cardiovascular (CV) death, myocardial infarction, and/or all-cause death. Individual components of the primary outcome and major bleeding were also assessed.

RESULTS

We included 3980 AF patients treated with the Vitamin-K Antagonist from the AMADEUS and BOREALIS studies. The analysis identified four clusters in which patients varied significantly among clinical characteristics. Cluster 1 was characterized by patients with low rates of CV risk factors and comorbidities; Cluster 2 was characterized by patients with a high burden of CV risk factors; Cluster 3 consisted of patients with a high burden of CV comorbidities; Cluster 4 was characterized by the highest rates of non-CV comorbidities. After a mean follow-up of 365 (standard deviation 187) days, Cluster 4 had the highest cumulative risk of outcomes. Compared with Cluster 1, Cluster 4 was independently associated with an increased risk for the composite outcome (hazard ratio (HR) 2.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.70-3.46), all-cause death (HR 2.35, 95% CI 1.58-3.49) and major bleeding (HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.19-3.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Cluster analysis identified four different clinically relevant phenotypes of AF patients that had unique clinical characteristics and different outcomes. Cluster analysis highlights the high degree of heterogeneity in patients with AF, suggesting the need for a phenotype-driven approach to comorbidities, which could provide a more holistic approach to management aimed to improve patients' outcomes.

Optimizing indices of AF susceptibility and burden to evaluate AF severity, risk and outcomes

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has heterogeneous patterns of presentation concerning symptoms, duration of episodes, AF burden, and the tendency to progress towards the terminal step of permanent AF. AF is associated with a risk of stroke/thromboembolism traditionally considered dependent on patient-level risk factors rather than AF type, AF burden, or other characterizations. However, the time spent in AF appears related to an incremental risk of stroke, as suggested by the higher risk of stroke in patients with clinical AF vs. subclinical episodes and in patients with non-paroxysmal AF vs. paroxysmal AF. In patients with device-detected atrial tachyarrhythmias, AF burden is a dynamic process with potential transitions from a lower to a higher maximum daily arrhythmia burden, thus justifying monitoring its temporal evolution. In clinical terms, the appearance of the first episode of AF, the characterization of the arrhythmia in a specific AF type, the progression of AF, and the response to rhythm control therapies, as well as the clinical outcomes, are all conditioned by underlying heart disease, risk factors, and comorbidities. Improved understanding is needed on how to monitor and modulate the effect of factors that condition AF susceptibility and modulate AF-associated outcomes. The increasing use of wearables and apps in practice and clinical research may be useful to predict and quantify AF burden and assess AF susceptibility at the individual patient level. This may help us reveal why AF stops and starts again, or why AF episodes, or burden, cluster. Additionally, whether the distribution of burden is associated with variations in the propensity to thrombosis or other clinical adverse events. Combining the improved methods for data analysis, clinical and translational science could be the basis for the early identification of the subset of patients at risk of progressing to a longer duration/higher burden of AF and the associated adverse outcomes.

Beyond the 2020 guidelines on atrial fibrillation of the European society of cardiology

The most recent atrial fibrillation (AF) guidelines delivered by European Society of Cardiology (ESC) offer an updated approach to AF management, with the perspective of improved characterization of the arrhythmia, the cardiac substrate and the patients profile in terms of associated risk factors and comorbidities. Recommendations were based on careful scrutiny and assessment of all available evidence with the final aim to offer to practitioners a lower level of uncertainty in the complex process of decision making for patients with AF. The 2020 ESC guidelines on AF propose a paradigm shift in the clinical approach to AF patients, moving from a single-domain AF classification to comprehensive characterization of AF patients. Given the complex nature of AF, an integrated holistic management of AF patients is suggested by the guidelines for improving patients outcomes through the formal introduction of the CC (Confirm AF and Characterize AF) to ABC (Atrial fibrillation Better Care) pathway. In line with this concept, these new guidelines underline the importance of a more comprehensive management of AF patients which should not be limited to simply prescribe oral anticoagulation or decide between a rhythm or rate control strategy. Indeed, each step of the ABC pathway represents one of the pivotal pillars in the management of AF and only a holistic approach has the potential to improve patients' outcomes. In this review we will discuss the background that supports some of the new recommendations of 2020 ESC guidelines, with important implications for daily management of AF patients.

Clinical Factors Associated with Atrial Fibrillation Detection on Single-Time Point Screening Using a Hand-Held Single-Lead ECG Device

Our aim was to assess the prevalence of unknown atrial fibrillation (AF) among adults during single-time point rhythm screening performed during meetings or social recreational activities organized by patient groups or volunteers. A total of 2814 subjects (median age 68 years) underwent AF screening by a handheld single-lead ECG device (MyDiagnostick). Overall, 56 subjects (2.0%) were diagnosed with AF, as a result of 12-lead ECG following a positive/suspected recording. Screening identified AF in 2.9% of the subjects ≥ 65 years. None of the 265 subjects aged below 50 years was found positive at AF screening. Risk stratification for unknown AF based on a CHA2DS2VASc > 0 in males and >1 in females (or CHA2DS2VA > 0) had a high sensitivity (98.2%) and a high negative predictive value (99.8%) for AF detection. A slightly lower sensitivity (96.4%) was achieved by using age ≥ 65 years as a risk stratifier. Conversely, raising the threshold at ≥75 years showed a low sensitivity. Within the subset of subjects aged ≥ 65 a CHA2DS2VASc > 1 in males and >2 in females, or a CHA2DS2VA > 1 had a high sensitivity (94.4%) and negative predictive value (99.3%), while age ≥ 75 was associated with a marked drop in sensitivity for AF detection.