The Glasgow Prognostic Score accurately predicts survival in patients with biliary tract cancer not indicated for surgical resection

Prognostic value of the modified Glasgow prognostic score in biliary tract cancer patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is an invasive adenocarcinoma affecting the hepatobiliary system, but high recurrence rates highlight the need for more effective adjuvant approaches. The modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) has been explored as an independent prognostic indicator in patients with BTC. However, consensus on its prognostic value is lacking. This meta-analysis aimed to comprehensively assess the association between mGPS and diverse clinical outcomes in BTC by systematically analyzing relevant studies.

METHODS

A systematic search approach was used to look for eligible papers published until June 2023 in PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase, with a focus on overall survival (OS) and disease-free/recurrence-free survival (DFS/RFS). The prognostic potential of mGPS was assessed using hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% CIs.

RESULTS

A total of 15 papers comprising 2447 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The results demonstrated that, in patients with BTC, the high mGPS was associated with poorer OS (HR=1.49, 95% CI=1.35-1.65, P<0.001) and DFS/RFS (HR=3.23, 95%CI=1.98-5.26, P=0.193).

CONCLUSION

According to this meta-analysis, our study found that high mGPS was associated with poorer OS and DFS/RFS in patients with BTC.

The prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in cholangiocarcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is used as biomarker in malignant diseases showing significant association with poor oncological outcomes. The main research question of the present study was whether NLR has also prognostic value in cholangiocarcinoma patients (CCA). A systematic review was carried out to identify studies related to NLR and clinical outcomes in CCA evaluating the literature from 01/2000 to 09/2021. A random-effects model, pooled hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to investigate the statistical association between NLR and overall survival (OS) as well as disease-free survival (DFS). Subgroup analyses, evaluation of sensitivity and risk of bias were further carried out. 32 studies comprising 8572 patients were eligible for this systematic review and meta-analysis. The pooled outcomes revealed that high NLR prior to treatment is prognostic for poor OS (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.18–1.38, p < 0.01) and DFS (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.17–1.66, p < 0.01) with meaningful HR values. Subgroup analysis revealed that this association is not significantly affected by the treatment modality (surgical vs. non-surgical), NLR cut-off values, age and sample size of the included studies. Given the likelihood of NLR to be prognostic for reduced OS and DFS, pre-treatment NLR might serve as a useful biomarker for poor prognosis in patients with CCA and therefore facilitate clinical management.

The Glasgow Prognostic Score and stricture site can predict prognosis after endoscopic duodenal stent placement for malignant gastric outlet obstruction

Endoscopic duodenal stent (DS) placement for malignant gastric outlet obstruction (GOO) is rapidly increasing in clinical practice; however, the most suitable patient candidates for DS placement have not been determined. One hundred and thirty-five patients with GOO who underwent DS placement in three Japanese referral centers between January 2010 and October 2019 were retrospectively evaluated. Overall survival (OS) after DS placement, technical/clinical success rates, adverse events, and predictive factors affecting OS after DS placement were also analyzed. The median OS after DS placement of all patients was 81 (7–901) days. Technical and clinical success rates were 99.3% and 83.7%, respectively. The GOO Scoring System score significantly increased before and after DS placement (0.9 vs. 2.7, P < 0.001). The procedure-related complication rate was 6.0%. All 19 patients (14.1%) with stent occlusion underwent endoscopic re-intervention successfully. Multivariate analyses revealed chemotherapy after DS placement (P = 0.01), stricture site in D3 (distal part of the papilla) (P = 0.01), and a Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) of 0–1 before duodenal stent placement (P < 0.001) were factors significantly associated with prolonged OS. In conclusion, patients with a GPS of 0–1 and D3 stricture who are tolerant of chemotherapy are suitable candidates for DS placement.

Biomarkers for Evaluating the Inflammation Status in Patients with Cancer

Inflammation can be a causative factor for carcinogenesis or can result from a consequence of cancer progression. Moreover, cancer therapeutic interventions can also induce an inflammatory response. Various inflammatory parameters are used to assess the inflammatory status during cancer treatment. It is important to select the most optimal biomarker among these parameters. Additionally, suitable biomarkers must be examined if there are no known parameters. We briefly reviewed the published literature for the use of inflammatory parameters in the treatment of patients with cancer. Most studies on inflammation evaluated the correlation between host characteristics, effect of interventions, and clinical outcomes. Additionally, the levels of C-reactive protein, albumin, lymphocytes, and platelets were the most commonly used laboratory parameters, either independently or in combination with other laboratory parameters and clinical characteristics. Furthermore, the immune parameters are classically examined using flow cytometry, immunohistochemical staining, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay techniques. However, gene expression profiling can aid in assessing the overall peri-interventional immune status. The checklists of guidelines, such as STAndards for Reporting of Diagnostic accuracy and REporting recommendations for tumor MARKer prognostic studies should be considered when designing studies to investigate the inflammatory parameters. Finally, the data should be interpreted after adjusting for clinically important variables, such as age and cancer stage.

Second-line chemotherapy in biliary tract cancer: Outcome and prognostic factors

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The prognosis of biliary tract cancer (BTC) is poor. Standard treatment for advanced BTC is a chemotherapy (CT) with gemcitabine and cisplatin. Phase III evidence for a second-line (2L) CT is lacking. We aimed to investigate the feasibility of a 2L CT, to estimate the outcome and to identify prognostic markers.

METHODS

Patients of our institution with advanced BTC between 2000 and 2015 receiving CT were included. Data were analysed in univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Three-hundred and fifteen and 144 patients (45.7%) received first-line (1L) and 2L CT respectively. The OS of patients receiving 2L CT was 16.67 and 9.9 months from the beginning of 1L and 2L CT respectively. The overall response rate and the disease control rate after 3 months were 9.7% and 33.6% respectively. Adverse events of grade 3 or more were observed in 26.1%. One patient died of gemcitabine-related haemolytic uraemic syndrome. Age of more than 70 years was not associated with a poor outcome. In multivariate analysis, CEA levels of >3 µg/L (P = 0.004, hazard ratio [HR] 1.89, 95% CI 1.22, 2.91), cholinesterase (CHE) levels of <5 kU/L (P = 0.001, HR 2.11, 95% CI 1.34, 3.31) and leukocytosis (P = 0.001, HR 2.90, 95% CI 1.51, 5.56) were associated with poor survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a relevant toxicity, our data suggest that 2L CT may be feasible in fit BTC patients. CEA elevation, leukocytosis and low CHE levels are unfavourable prognostic markers. Results from prospective randomized trials are urgently awaited.

Prognostic significance of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in biliary tract cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Inflammation was considered to perform crucial roles in the development and metastasis of malignancies. A heightened neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio has been described to be associated with detrimental survivals in different malignancies. Debate remains over the impact of heightened neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio on survivals in biliary tract cancer. The review evaluated the prognostic value of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in biliary tract cancer.

Methods

MEDLINE, the Cochrane Library, EMBASE, and the Chinese SinoMed were systematically searched for relevant articles. Associations between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and long-term outcomes were expressed as the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. The odds ratio was utilized to assess the association between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and clinicopathological parameters.

Results

Fourteen studies consisting of 3217 patients were analyzed: 1278 (39.73%) in the high pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio group and 1939 (60.27%) in the low pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio one. The results proved that heightened pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio was significantly associated with detrimental overall survival and relapse free survival for biliary tract cancer patients. In addition, elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio was positively correlated with higher carbohydrate antigen 19-9 levels, advanced TNM staging and greater lymph node involvement.

Conclusion

This meta-analysis marked that an increased pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio was significantly linked with detrimental long-term outcomes and clinicopathological parameters for patients with biliary tract cancer.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and their dynamic changes during chemotherapy is useful to predict a more accurate prognosis of advanced biliary tract cancer

Background and Purpose

Systemic inflammation is known to promote carcinogenesis in biliary tract cancer (BTC). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are indicative of systemic inflammation. We evaluated the clinical significance of systemic inflammation measured by NLR and PLR in patients with advanced BTC. Additionally, we also co-analyzed the dynamics of NLR and PLR during chemotherapy.

Methods

We reviewed 450 patients with unresectable BTC receiving palliative chemotherapy. NLR and PLR were obtained before initiation of palliative chemotherapy. Changes in NLR, PLR were obtained by subtracting the initial value from the value obtained after progression of chemotherapy.

Results

Higher systemic inflammation status also had relation with a primary tumor site (p = 0.003) and higher levels of CEA (p = 0.038). The ROC cut-off values of NLR and PLR for predicting overall survival (OS) were 3.8 and 121, respectively. Patients with a high NLR or PLR had worse OS independently in multivariate analysis (6.90 vs. 9.80 months, p =0.002; 7.83 vs. 9.90 months, p =0.041, respectively). High NLR with increased NLR after chemotherapy is associated with worse OS and progression-free survival (PFS) (p < 0.001, p = 0.013 respectively). Results are similar for PLR.

Conclusion

Systemic inflammation represented by NLR and PLR, predicts the OS of patients with advanced BTC who are receiving palliative chemotherapy. In addition, considering NLR/PLR with a dynamic change of NLR/PLR during chemotherapy might help to predict a more accurate prognosis.

Risk estimation for biliary tract cancer: Development and validation of a prognostic score

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Biliary tract cancer is a rare tumour entity characterized by a poor prognosis. We aimed to identify prognostic factors and create a prognostic score to estimate survival.

METHODS

Clinical data of the training set, consisting of 569 patients treated from 2000 to 2010 at Hannover Medical School, were analysed. A prognostic model defining three prognostic risk groups was derived from Cox regression analyses. The score was applied and validated in an independent cohort of 557 patients from four different German centres.

RESULTS

Median overall survival (OS) was 14.5 months. If complete resection was performed, the patients had a significantly improved OS (23.9 months; n=242) as compared to patients with non-resectable tumours (9.1 months; n=329, P<.0001). Based on univariable and multivariable analyses of clinical data, a prognostic model was created using variables available before treatment. Those were age, metastasis, C-reactive protein (CRP), international normalized ratio (INR) and bilirubin. The prognostic score distinguished three groups with a median OS of 21.8, 8.6 and 2.6 months respectively. The validation cohort had a median OS of 20.2, 14.0 and 6.5 months respectively. The prognostic impact of the score was independent of the tumour site and of treatment procedures.

CONCLUSIONS

Here, we identified prognostic factors and propose a prognostic score to estimate survival, which can be applied to all patients independent of tumour site and before initial treatment. Further validation in prospective trials is required.

The systemic inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Score as a powerful prognostic factor in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma

Introduction and Objective

The combination of C-reactive protein and albumin, the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), had independent prognostic value in patients with varying cancers, except for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). The aim of this study was to describe the relationship between GPS and survival in patients with UTUC after adjustment for other prognostic factors.

Materials and Methods

We queried 2 UTUC databases. Retrospective clinical series on patients with localized UTUC managed by nephroureterectomy with bladder cuff, for whom data from the Yamaguchi Uro-Oncology Group and Osaka Medical College registry, including age, presence of bladder cancer, pT stage, lymphovascular invasion, C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin, were analyzed. The GPS was constructed by combining CRP and albumin. Cancer specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) and relative excess risk of death were estimated by GPS categories after adjusting for gender, age, ECOG performance status (PS), grade, and lymphovascular invasion (LVI).

Results

Seven hundred and twenty four UTUC patients were identified. Our final cohort included 574 patients; of these, 29.2% died during a maximum follow up of 16.7 years. The estimated mean 10-year CSS of patients with GPS of scre-0, -1, and -2 was 99.5, 95.1, and 75.9 months, respectively. Patients with GPS of score-2 had poorest 10-year estimated mean OS of 67.6 months (57.2–77.9). Raised GPS also had a significant association with excess risk of cancer death at 10 years (GPS 2: Relative Excess Risk = 1.74, 95% CI 1.20–2.54) after adjusting for gender, patients’ age, ECOG PS, and tumor focality. C-index of GPS both for CSS and OS were superior to patients’ age and tumor focality, and comparable to grade.

Conclusions

The GPS is an independent prognostic factor for CSS and OS after surgery with curative intent for localized UTUC. It significantly increases the accuracy of established prognostic factors. The GPS may provide a meaningful adjunct for patient counseling and clinical trial design.

Prognostic Factors and Scoring Model for Survival in Metastatic Biliary Tract Cancer

Purpose

Metastatic biliary tract cancer (mBTC) has a dismal prognosis. In this study, an independent dataset of patients with mBTC was used to implement and validate a routine clinico-laboratory parameter-based scoring model for risk group identification.

Materials and Methods

From September 2006 to February 2015, 482 patients with mBTC were assigned randomly (ratio, 7:3) into investigational (n=340) and validation datasets (n=142). The continuous variables were dichotomized using a normal range or the best cutoff values determined using the Contal and O'Quigley statistical methods. Following a Cox’s proportional hazard model, the scoring model was derived by summing the rounded chi-square scores for the factors identified by multivariate analysis.

Results

The performance status (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group 3-4), hypoalbuminemia (< 3.4 mg/dL), carcinoembryonic antigen (≥ 9 ng/mL), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (≥ 3.0), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (≥ 120 U/mL) were identified as independent prognosticators (Harrell’s C index, 0.682; integrated area under the curve, 0.653). Survival was clearly correlated with the risk groups (low, intermediate, and high, 14.0, 7.3, and 2.3 months, respectively; p < 0.001). The prognosis was also discriminative in the validation data set (median survival, 16.7, 7.5, and 1.9 months, respectively; p < 0.001). Chemotherapy did not offer any survival benefits for high-risk patients.

Conclusion

These proposed prognostic criteria for mBTC can facilitate accurate patient risk stratification and treatment-related decision-making.

Prognostic Significance of Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio in Oncologic Outcomes of Cholangiocarcinoma: A Meta-analysis

Increasing evidence indicates that the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a useful biomarker of long-term outcomes in patients with cholangiocarcinoma. However, the prognostic role of NLR in patients with cholangiocarcinoma remains unclear. Thus, the current meta-analysis was undertaken to clarify the correlation between NLR and overall survival (OS) in cholangiocarcinoma, and a comprehensive literature research was conducted to understand the association of NLR and prognosis of cholangiocarcinoma. The hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to assess OS. The synthesized HR of 1.449 (95% CI: 1.296-1.619, P < 0.001) indicated that a high NLR had an unfavourable effect on OS. Overall, this meta-analysis suggested that elevated preoperative NLR is associated with poorer rates of survival in cholangiocarcinoma patients.

The C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, a novel inflammation-based prognostic score, predicts outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The C-reactive protein/albumin (CRP/Alb) ratio is associated with outcomes in septic patients. We investigated the prognostic value of the CRP/Alb ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 186 newly diagnosed HCC patients and investigated the correlations among the pretreatment CRP/Alb ratio, clinicopathological parameters, and overall survival (OS). Multivariate analyses were performed to identify the clinicopathological parameters associated with OS. Subsequently, we evaluated the prognostic value of the CRP/Alb ratio compared with other inflammation-based prognostic scores [Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS (mGPS), and neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR)] using the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The optimal cutoff level for the CRP/Alb ratio was 0.037. An elevated CRP/Alb ratio (≥0.037) was associated with tumor progression and reduced liver functional reserve. In the multivariate analysis, the CRP/Alb ratio [hazard ratio (HR) 3.394; p < 0.0001], Cancer Liver Italian Program score (HR 2.686; 95% CI 2.122-3.401; p < 0.0001), and vascular invasion (HR 3.376; 95% CI 1.594-7.151; p = 0.001) were independently associated with OS (HR 3.394; p < 0.0001). The CRP/Alb ratio had higher AUC values at 6 months (0.844), 12 months (0.863), and 24 months (0.82) compared with the GPS, mGPS, and NLR.

CONCLUSION

The CRP/Alb ratio might be an independent prognostic marker in patients with HCC, and may have comparable prognostic ability to other established inflammation-based prognostic scores. The prognostic value of this novel inflammation-based prognostic score needs to be verified in patients with other types of cancer.

Curative-intent surgery for hilar cholangiocarcinoma: prognostic factors for clinical decision making

BACKGROUND

The surgical approach for hilar cholangiocarcinoma (HC) has largely evolved, and increased resectability rates are reported. Large series of patients with resections for HC were published in the last years, and potential predictors for survival were explored. However, the usefulness of these predictors in clinical decision making is controversial.

PURPOSE

The aim of the present review is to explore the main prognostic factors after curative-intent surgery for HC, as emerged from the current literature. Furthermore, the impact of these predictors on clinical decision making is assessed.

CONCLUSION

An aggressive surgical approach has improved the survival rates in patients with HC and implies bile duct resection associated with liver resection and loco-regional lymph node dissection. The AJCC staging system remains the main tool to assess the prognosis after resection of HC. Margin-negative resections and absence of lymph node metastases are the main prognostic factor after curative-intent surgery for HC. Response to chemotherapy is also a prognostic factor. Markers of systemic inflammatory response might predict prognosis of patients with HC, but their usefulness in clinical decision making remains unclear.

Inflammation based regulation of cancer cachexia

Cancer cachexia, consisting of significant skeletal muscle wasting independent of nutritional intake, is a major concern for patients with solid tumors that affects surgical, therapeutic, and quality of life outcomes. This review summarizes the clinical implications, background of inflammatory cytokines, and the origin and sources of procachectic factors including TNF-α, IL-6, IL-1, INF-γ, and PIF. Molecular mechanisms and pathways are described to elucidate the link between the immune response caused by the presence of the tumor and the final result of skeletal muscle wasting.