Noninvasive predictors of large varices in patients hospitalized with gastroesophageal variceal hemorrhage

One in four patients with gastrointestinal bleeding develops shock or hemodynamic instability: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Hemodynamic instability and shock are associated with untoward outcomes in gastrointestinal bleeding. However, there are no studies in the existing literature on the proportion of patients who developed these outcomes after gastrointestinal bleeding.

AIM

To determine the pooled event rates in the available literature and specify them based on the bleeding source.

METHODS

The protocol was registered on PROSPERO in advance (CRD42021283258). A systematic search was performed in three databases (PubMed, EMBASE, and CENTRAL) on 14th October 2021. Pooled proportions with 95%CI were calculated with a random-effects model. A subgroup analysis was carried out based on the time of assessment (on admission or during hospital stay). Heterogeneity was assessed by Higgins and Thompson's I2 statistics. The Joanna Briggs Institute Prevalence Critical Appraisal Tool was used for the risk of bias assessment. The Reference Citation Analysis (https://www.referencecitationanalysis.com/) tool was applied to obtain the latest highlight articles.

RESULTS

We identified 11589 records, of which 220 studies were eligible for data extraction. The overall proportion of shock and hemodynamic instability in general gastrointestinal bleeding patients was 0.25 (95%CI: 0.17-0.36, I2 = 100%). In non-variceal bleeding, the proportion was 0.22 (95%CI: 0.14-0.31, I2 = 100%), whereas it was 0.25 (95%CI: 0.19-0.32, I2 = 100%) in variceal bleeding. The proportion of patients with colonic diverticular bleeding who developed shock or hemodynamic instability was 0.12 (95%CI: 0.06-0.22, I2 = 90%). The risk of bias was low, and heterogeneity was high in all analyses.

CONCLUSION

One in five, one in four, and one in eight patients develops shock or hemodynamic instability on admission or during hospitalization in the case of non-variceal, variceal, and colonic diverticular bleeding, respectively.

Role of portal color Doppler ultrasonography as noninvasive predictive tool for esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients

Background

Esophageal varices (EV) is the most common apprehensive complication of portal hypertension in patients with cirrhotic liver. Guidelines recommend Upper gastro-intestinal endoscopic screening for EV in patients with newly diagnosed chronic cirrhosis (Imperiale et al. in Hepatology 45(4):870–878, 2007). Yet, it is invasive, time consuming and costly. To avoid unnecessary endoscopy, some studies have suggested Doppler ultrasound examination as simple, and noninvasive tool in prediction and assessment of severity of EV (Agha et al. in Dig Dis Sci 54(3):654–660, 2009). Our study was to assess the role of different Doppler indices of portal vein, hepatic and splenic arteries as a noninvasive tool for prediction of esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients.

Results

This prospective case control study was conducted on 100 cirrhotic liver patients and 100 of healthy volunteers as control group. Patients were subjected to clinical examination, upper gastrointestinal tract endoscopy, abdominal ultrasonography with duplex Doppler evaluation of different portal Doppler hemodynamic indices were done for each patient. The results revealed that portal vein diameter, hepatic artery pulsatility index, portal hypertensive index, portal vein flow velocity, portal congestion index have high sensitivity for prediction of EV. However, Splenic artery resistance index, hepatic artery resistance index HARI, liver vascular index and platelet count/spleen diameter have less sensitivity for prediction of EV.

Conclusion

Measuring the portal hemodynamic indices can help physicians as noninvasive predictors of EV in cirrhotic patients to restrict the need for unnecessary endoscopic screening especially when endoscopic facilities are limited.

Correlation between Platelet Count and Grading of Esophageal Varices in Liver Cirrhosis Patients: A Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND: Esophageal varices are a major complication of liver cirrhosis. Esophageal varices bleeding is life-threatening and an urgent medical emergency. Low platelet count and esophageal varices are common findings in liver cirrhosis. Platelet count is suggested as a non-invasive screening tool to predict the grading of esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis patients. Several studies have found a correlation between platelet count and grading of esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis patients. However, the results are conflicting. AIM: This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the correlation between platelet count and the grading of esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis patients. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed through the database search from PubMed, SCOPUS, Ovid EMBASE, and EuropePMC to obtain all relevant articles with the following search terms: "correlation" and "platelet" or "thrombocytopenia" AND "esophageal varices" and "liver cirrhosis" or "chronic liver disease" that were published within the year of 2000-2021. Articles were collected by using PRISMA flow diagrams. The data were extracted from the eligible study within inclusion and exclusion criteria. The quality of each study was assessed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS). A meta-analysis was conducted to determine the overall pooled correlation coefficient (r) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: There were a total of 1008 patients from eight included studies. The meta-analysis showed that the pooled correlation coefficient between platelet count and grading of esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis patients was r = -0.42 (95%CI -0.65 to -0.13; p = 0.005; I2 = 96.06%). CONCLUSION: There was a moderate negative correlation between platelet count and grading of esophageal varices. Thus, low platelet count may indicate higher grades of esophageal varices in liver cirrhosis patients.

Non-endoscopic predictors of esophageal varices in children with chronic liver disease and their utility in resource-constrained countries

BACKGROUND

Although endoscopy is the standard diagnostic screening test to identify esophageal varices in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), selective endoscopy in patients who are at higher risk of having varices may be cost-effective in a resource-constrained country. The aim of this prospective study was to identify non-endoscopic parameters that may predict the presence of varices, especially high-risk esophageal varices in children with CLD.

METHODS

From January 2016 through March 2018, consecutive children with CLD without a history of variceal bleeding were prospectively included. Esophagogastroduodenoscopy was done in all the children to detect and to grade esophageal varices. Both univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were done using SPSS version 22 to identify factors associated with esophageal varices.

RESULTS

The mean age of 84 children was 9.7 ± 3.2 years (male 44). Esophageal varices were present in 71.4% of children and 55% of them had large varices. On univariate analysis, low platelet count (< 100,000/mm³) and splenomegaly were found to be associated with the presence of esophageal varices (p = 0.006 and 0.001, respectively) and large varices (p = 0.03 and 0.01, respectively). On multivariate analysis, both low platelet count and splenomegaly were independent predictors for the presence of esophageal varices (respectively, OR 11.21, 95% CI 1.2-96.9; and OR 11.39, 95% CI 3.19-40.59).

CONCLUSIONS

Splenomegaly and low platelet count independently predict the presence of any grade of esophageal varices and can be used as screening tests to select children for endoscopy. This strategy may help in relieving medical, social, and economic costs in resource-constrained countries.

Triple-phase abdominal computed tomography for detecting spontaneous portopulmonary shunts in cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Data on prevalence of portopulmonary shunts (PPS) are quite limited. Most studies have used cineportography or echocardiography for diagnosis. Only few recent case reports have reported the use of computed tomography (CT) for identification of PPS. This study tried to determine the prevalence of PPS in patients with cirrhosis using contrast-enhanced CT of the abdomen, and to determine their association with demographic and clinical characteristics.

METHODS

A total of 150 subjects with cirrhosis who had previously undergone triple-phase CT were analyzed. PPS was diagnosed when at least one esophageal varix met all of the following criteria: (i) it could be followed cephalad into the chest to the level of the inferior pulmonary vein or left atrium; (ii) it abutted the wall of either of these structures; (iii) it had luminal continuity with one of these structures; and (iv) it was no longer seen one slice above the level of contact.

RESULTS

Of 150 subjects, 18 were excluded for incomplete data. The prevalence of PPS was found to be 26/132 (19.7%). Of these, 14 (53.8%) patients had PPS draining into the left atrium and 12 (46.2%) had those draining into one of the pulmonary veins. Presence of PPS was associated with the presence of varices at endoscopy, ascites, thrombocytopenia and splenomegaly.

CONCLUSION

In our study, the largest study on PPS to date, the prevalence of PPS in cirrhotic patients using triple phase CT was found to be 19.7%. CT may be a useful technique to study PPS and their clinical implications.

Can serum fibrosis markers predict medium/large oesophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis?

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS

Non-invasive predictors of medium/large oesophageal varices (LOVs) could reduce the number of screening endoscopies. As portal hypertension is a consequence of liver fibrosis, serum fibrosis markers were evaluated together with other variables as possible non-invasive predictors of medium OV/LOV.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 154 cirrhotic patients with splenomegaly and 30 healthy control subjects were recruited in a prospective study in two gastroenterology centres in Upper Egypt. Clinical parameters assessed included Child-Pugh class, liver size and ascites. Laboratory parameters included complete blood count, liver function tests, and aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/platelet ratio. Transforming growth factor-β(1) (TGF-β(1)), alpha(2) macroglobulin (A(2)M) and hyaluronic acid (HA) were assayed. Ultrasonographic examination was done for assessment of liver span, portal vein diameter and detection of minimal ascites. Oesophageal varices were diagnosed and graded by oesophagogastroduodenoscopy.

RESULTS

Fifty-four patients (35%) had no or small varices and 100 (65%) patients had medium OV/LOV by endoscopy. On multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of medium OV/LOV were the presence of ascites (β=0.258, p=0.047) and serum HA (β=0.449, p=0.009). The receiver operating characteristic curve for HA showed the area under the curve to be 0.916. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values and diagnostic accuracy of HA at a cut-off value of 207μgl(-1) were 94%, 77.8%, 88.7%, 87.5% and 88.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of ascites and serum HA level higher than 207μgl(-1) can predict the presence of medium OV/LOV in cirrhotic patients. This would help physicians to identify patients who would most likely benefit from screening endoscopy and thus, reduce costs and discomfort from unnecessary endoscopic procedures.