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Zeng RW, Ong CEY, Ong EYH, Chung CH, Lim WH, Xiao J, Danpanichkul P, Law JH, Syn N, Chee D, Kow AWC, Lee SW, Takahashi H, Kawaguchi T, Tamaki N, Dan YY, Nakajima A, Wijarnpreecha K, Muthiah MD, Noureddin M, Loomba R, Ioannou GN, Hao Tan DJ, Ng CH, Huang DQ. Global Prevalence, Clinical Characteristics, Surveillance, Treatment Allocation, and Outcomes of Alcohol-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024:S1542-3565(24)00601-3. [PMID: 38987014 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2024.06.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2024] [Revised: 05/25/2024] [Accepted: 06/02/2024] [Indexed: 07/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although the burden of alcohol-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing with rising alcohol consumption, clinical presentation and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC have not been systematically assessed. We aimed to determine the prevalence, clinical characteristics, surveillance rates, treatment allocation, and outcomes of alcohol-associated HCC. METHODS Medline and Embase were searched from inception to January 2023. Proportional data were analyzed using a generalized linear mixed model. The odds ratio (OR) or mean difference comparing alcohol-associated HCC and other causes was obtained with pairwise meta-analysis. Survival outcomes were evaluated using a pooled analysis of hazard ratios. RESULTS Of 4824 records identified, 55 articles (86,345 patients) were included. Overall, 30.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 24.0%-37.7%) of HCC was alcohol associated, with the highest proportion in Europe and the lowest in the Americas. People with alcohol-associated HCC were more likely male but were similar in age and comorbidities compared with other causes. A total of 20.8% (95% CI, 11.4%-34.9%) of people with alcohol-associated HCC underwent surveillance compared with 35.0%, 31.6%, and 21.4% in hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, and metabolic dysfunction-associated HCC, respectively (all P < .05). Alcohol-associated HCC had a lower likelihood of Barcelona Clínic Liver Cancer C stage (0/A) (OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.6-0.9; P = .018) and curative therapy (24.5% vs 33.9%; OR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5-0.9; P = .003), and higher mortality (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.5; P = .012) when compared with other causes. CONCLUSIONS Alcohol-associated HCC is associated with lower surveillance rates, more advanced BCLC stage, lower likelihood of receiving curative therapy, and poorer survival. These data call for measures to reduce heavy alcohol consumption and improve strategies for effective HCC surveillance in high-risk individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Christen En Ya Ong
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Elden Yen Hng Ong
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Charlotte Hui Chung
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Wen Hui Lim
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Jieling Xiao
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | | | - Jia Hao Law
- Division of Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Surgery, Department of Surgery, National University Hospital, Singapore
| | - Nicholas Syn
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Biostatistics & Modelling Domain, Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Douglas Chee
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore
| | - Alfred Wei Chieh Kow
- Division of Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Surgery, Department of Surgery, National University Hospital, Singapore; Division of Surgical Oncology, National University Cancer Institute, Singapore; National University Centre for Organ Transplantation, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Sung Won Lee
- Division of Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | | | - Takumi Kawaguchi
- Department of Digestive Disease Information & Research, School of Medicine, Kurume University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Nobuharu Tamaki
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Musashino Red Cross Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Yock Young Dan
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore; National University Centre for Organ Transplantation, National University Health System, Singapore
| | - Atsushi Nakajima
- Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama City University, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Karn Wijarnpreecha
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Arizona College of Medicine, Phoenix, Arizona; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Banner University Medical Center, Phoenix, Arizona
| | - Mark D Muthiah
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore; National University Centre for Organ Transplantation, National University Health System, Singapore
| | | | - Rohit Loomba
- NAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California
| | - George N Ioannou
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Veterans Affairs Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, Washington; Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
| | - Darren Jun Hao Tan
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore
| | - Cheng Han Ng
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Department of Digestive Disease Information & Research, School of Medicine, Kurume University, Fukuoka, Japan
| | - Daniel Q Huang
- Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore; National University Centre for Organ Transplantation, National University Health System, Singapore.
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Jin D, Qian L, Chen J, Yu Z, Dong J. Prognostic impact of CD68+ tumor-associated macrophages in hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis. Medicine (Baltimore) 2024; 103:e37834. [PMID: 38640338 PMCID: PMC11029977 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000037834] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/01/2024] [Revised: 03/11/2024] [Accepted: 03/15/2024] [Indexed: 04/21/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidence from clinical research suggests that the tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) were associated with prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of the present meta-analysis was to conduct a qualitative analysis to explore the prognostic value of CD68 + TAMs in HCC. METHODS This study conducted a systematic search in Pubmed, Embase, the Cochrane Library and China National Knowledge Internet from inception of the databases to November 2023. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated employing fixed-effect or random-effect models depending on the heterogeneity of the included trials. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the risk of prejudice. RESULTS We analyzed 4362 HCC patients. The present research indicated that the expression levels Of CD68 + TAMs were significantly associated with overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.30-1.84) and disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.17-1.78). Subgroup analysis based on cutoff values showed that the "Median" subgroup showed a pooled HR of 1.66 with a 95% CI ranging from 1.32 to 2.08, which was slightly higher than the "Others" subgroup that exhibited a pooled HR of 1.40 and a 95% CI of 1.07 to 1.84. The "PT" subgroup had the highest pooled HR of 1.68 (95% CI: 1.19-2.37), indicating a worse OS compared to the "IT" (pooled HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.13-2.01) and "Mix" (pooled HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.03-2.26) subgroups. Moreover, in the sample size-based analysis, studies with more than 100 samples (>100) exhibited a higher pooled HR of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.28 to 1.93) compared to studies with fewer than 100 samples (<100), which had a pooled HR of 1.45 (95% CI: 1.00-2.10). CONCLUSIONS The analysis suggests that CD68 + TAMs were significantly associated with unfavorable OS and DFS in HCC patients, and may be served as a promising prognostic biomarker in HCC. However, more large-scale trials are needed to study the clinical value of TAMs in HCC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Danwen Jin
- Pathological Diagnosis Center, Zhoushan Hospital, Zhoushan City, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Liyong Qian
- Pathological Diagnosis Center, Zhoushan Hospital, Zhoushan City, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Jiayao Chen
- Department of Laboratory, Zhoushan Hospital, Zhoushan City, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Ze Yu
- Laboratory of Cell Biology and Molecular Biology, Zhoushan Hospital, Zhoushan City, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Jinliang Dong
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhoushan Hospital, Zhoushan City, Zhejiang Province, China
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Xu HQ, Wang CG, Zhou Q, Gao YH. Effects of alcohol consumption on viral hepatitis B and C. World J Clin Cases 2021; 9:10052-10063. [PMID: 34904075 PMCID: PMC8638036 DOI: 10.12998/wjcc.v9.i33.10052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2021] [Revised: 04/15/2021] [Accepted: 08/25/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
The liver is the main target organ for hepatitis viruses and the vital organ for alcohol metabolism. These two factors of viral hepatitis and alcohol abuse in combination can exert dual harmful actions, leading to enhanced damage to the liver. Epidemiological studies have revealed a higher prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among alcoholics than the general population. The interaction of alcohol with viral hepatitis [e.g., hepatitis B virus (HBV), HCV] and the underlying mechanisms are not fully understood. The effects of alcohol on viral hepatitis include promoted viral replication, weakened immune response, and increased oxidative stress. Clinically, alcohol abuse is correlated with an increased risk of developing end-stage liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B and C, suggesting that the combination of alcohol and HBV/HCV lead to more severe liver damage. The influence of mild to moderate alcohol drinking on the HBV-induced liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma among patients infected with HBV remains unclear. Unlike HBV infected patients, no safe level of alcohol intake has been established for patients with HCV. Even light to moderate alcohol use can exert a synergistic effect with viral hepatitis, leading to the rapid progression of liver disease. Furthermore, interferon-based therapy is less effective in alcohol drinkers than in control patients, even after abstinence from alcohol for a period of time. Therefore, abstaining from alcohol is highly recommended to protect the liver, especially in individuals with HBV/HCV infection, to improve the clinical efficacy of antiviral treatment and prevent the rapid progression of chronic viral hepatitis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hong-Qin Xu
- Department of Hepatology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, Jilin Province, China
| | - Chun-Guang Wang
- Department of Surgery, The Second Hospital of Jilin University, Jilin University, Changchun 130041, Jilin Province, China
| | - Qiang Zhou
- Department of Hepatology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, Jilin Province, China
| | - Yan-Hang Gao
- Department of Hepatology, The First Hospital of Jilin University, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, Jilin Province, China
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Magri MC, Nunes AKDS, Dantas BP, Manchiero C, Prata TVG, Alves GM, Tengan FM. Meta-Analysis of the Prevalence of HBV Infection Among Alcohol Users Worldwide. Alcohol Alcohol 2020; 55:136-143. [PMID: 31912149 DOI: 10.1093/alcalc/agz102] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2019] [Revised: 08/15/2019] [Accepted: 08/29/2019] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
AIMS To investigate the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection among alcohol users. METHODS A systematic search of articles in the PubMed, Web of Science and EMBASE databases was conducted. The methodological quality of each study was scored, and a meta-analysis was performed taking into account the heterogeneity expected among the studies. Publication bias was assessed using Begg's and Egger's tests. RESULTS The search identified 998 reports that yielded 18 eligible studies. The studies comprised 12,204 alcohol users, who were mostly men. The mean score on the quality evaluation was 6.9, and 11 studies were classified as having a low risk of bias. The estimated worldwide prevalence of HBV was 20.0% (95%CI: 19.0-20.0). The heterogeneity among the studies was substantial (I2 = 96.7%). In subgroup analyses, it was observed that among alcohol user dependents with no description of liver damage, alcohol users with different stages of chronic liver disease and alcohol users who all had cirrhosis, the estimated prevalence was 10.0% (95%CI: 8.0-14.0), 14.0% (95%CI: 13.0-15.0) and 32.0% (95%CI: 29.0-35.0), respectively. The meta-regression analysis showed that the study quality score had an influence on the investigated prevalence (P = 0.005). Nevertheless, the funnel plot showed asymmetry, and there was evidence of publication bias according to Egger's test (P = 0.003) but not Begg's test (P = 0.869). CONCLUSIONS The prevalence of HBV among alcohol users was high. HBV infection and alcohol consumption are factors affecting the development and worsening of liver disease; therefore, we suggest that adult alcohol users should be carefully monitored.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mariana Cavalheiro Magri
- Laboratorio de Investigacao Medica em Hepatologia por Virus (LIM-47), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Arielle Karen da Silva Nunes
- Laboratorio de Investigacao Medica em Hepatologia por Virus (LIM-47), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Bianca Peixoto Dantas
- Laboratorio de Investigacao Medica em Hepatologia por Virus (LIM-47), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Caroline Manchiero
- Laboratorio de Investigacao Medica em Hepatologia por Virus (LIM-47), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Thamiris Vaz Gago Prata
- Laboratorio de Investigacao Medica em Hepatologia por Virus (LIM-47), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Grayce Mendes Alves
- Laboratorio de Investigacao Medica em Hepatologia por Virus (LIM-47), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Fátima Mitiko Tengan
- Laboratorio de Investigacao Medica em Hepatologia por Virus (LIM-47), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.,Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Ho SY, Huang YH, Lee YH, Lee RC, Nagaria TS, Hou MC, Huo TI. Metastasis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Prevalence, determinants, prognostic impact and ability to improve the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system. Liver Int 2018; 38:1803-1811. [PMID: 29608816 DOI: 10.1111/liv.13748] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2018] [Accepted: 03/24/2018] [Indexed: 12/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIM Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and metastasis are classified as advanced or terminal stage by the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system. This study investigates the prevalence, determinants, and prognostic effect of metastasis and its ability to improve the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system. METHODS A total of 3414 patients were enrolled. The Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression methods were used to determine survival predictors. Akaike information criterion was used to compare the prognostic performance of staging systems. RESULTS There were 357 (10%) patients having extrahepatic metastasis at the time of diagnosis. Metastases were associated with old age, alcoholism, hepatitis B, poorer liver function, higher α-foetoprotein level and larger tumour burden (all P < .05). Vascular invasion was associated with metastasis regardless of total tumour volume, and higher α-foetoprotein level and multiple tumours were associated with metastasis in patients with smaller tumour volume (all P < .05). Patients with both vascular invasion and metastasis had significantly worse outcome compared to patients with either vascular invasion or metastasis (P < .05). In the Cox proportional model, the co-existence of vascular invasion and metastasis was an independent predictor of decreased survival (P < .05). Re-allocating 181 Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C patients with both vascular invasion and metastasis into stage D was associated with lower Akaike information criterion, indicating enhanced prognostic power of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer. CONCLUSIONS Metastasis is not uncommon, and is strongly associated with tumoural factors and poor long-term survival in hepatocellular carcinoma. Modification of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system based on vascular invasion and metastasis may further improve its predictive accuracy in advanced stage patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV, USA
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Shu-Yein Ho
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Hsiang Huang
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Rheun-Chuan Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teddy S Nagaria
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Ming-Chih Hou
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Ho SY, Hsia CY, Kudaravalli P, Lee YH, Chiou YY, Tsai YJ, Huang YH, Huo TI. Using nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system for treatment selection in patients with stage C hepatocellular carcinoma. BMC Cancer 2018. [PMID: 29540157 PMCID: PMC5852970 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-018-4202-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been used for outcome prediction. Patients with BCLC stage C HCC often undergo anti-cancer therapy against current treatment guidelines in real world practice. We aimed to use the nomogram to provide guidance on treatment selection for BCLC stage C patients. Methods A total of 1317 patients with stage C HCC were retrospectively analyzed and divided into four groups by nomogram points. One-to-one matched pairs between patients receiving different treatments were generated by the propensity score with matching model within these groups. Survival analysis was performed by Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test. Results Patients with higher nomogram points were more often treated with targeted or supportive therapies (p < 0.001). Patients receiving targeted or supportive therapies had a decreased survival compared to patients undergoing aggressive treatments (surgical resection, ablation, transarterial chemo-embolization or transplantation) across all four groups (p < 0.001). After matching for baseline differences in the propensity model, patients receiving different treatments had comparable age, gender, etiology of liver disease, tumor burden, severity of cirrhosis and performance status. Survival analyses were re-performed and disclosed that patients with nomogram points < 15 had better overall outcome after aggressive treatments (p < 0.05). For patients with nomogram points > 15, there was no significant difference in survival between patients receiving two different treatment strategies. Conclusions The nomogram of BCLC system is a feasible tool to help stage C HCC patients to select primary anti-cancer treatment in pursuance of better overall survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV, USA
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Shu-Yein Ho
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Yuan Hsia
- Department of Surgery, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Praneeth Kudaravalli
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV, USA
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-You Chiou
- Departments of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Ya-Ju Tsai
- Renown Regional Medical Center, Reno, NV, USA
| | - Yi-Hsiang Huang
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Ho SY, Huang YH, Lee YH, Chiou YY, Hsieh TH, Fang T, Tsai YJ, Hou MC, Huo TI. Impact of tumor burden on prognostic prediction for patients with terminal stage hepatocellular carcinoma: A nomogram study. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0188031. [PMID: 29125877 PMCID: PMC5681267 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0188031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2017] [Accepted: 10/29/2017] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The recently proposed nomogram of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) lacks predictive accuracy for patients with stage D hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Tumor burden is crucial in prognostic prediction but is not included in the criteria of stage D HCC. This study aims to develop a nomogram with tumor burden as the core element for BCLC stage D patients. METHODS A total of 386 patients were randomly grouped into derivation and validation sets (1:1 ratio). The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to select factors with significant prognostic effect and generate the nomogram. Concordance indices and calibration plots were used to evaluate the performance of nomogram. RESULTS Overall survival of study patients was significantly associated with tumor burden as well as hepatitis B, serum α-fetoprotein level, cirrhosis and performance status in multivariate Cox regression (all p<0.05). Beta-coefficients of these variables in derivation set were used to generate the nomogram. Each patient was assigned with a total nomogram point that predicted individualized 6-month and 1-year survival. The derivation and validation sets had a c-index of 0.759 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.552-0.923) and 0.741 (95% CI: 0.529-0.913), respectively. The calibration plots were close to the 45-degree line for 6-month and 1-year survival prediction for all quarters of patients in both derivation and validation sets. CONCLUSION Tumor burden is significantly associated with the outcome for patients with stage D HCC. The tumor burden-incorporated nomogram may serve as a feasible and easy-to-use tool in predicting survival on an individual level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV, United States of America
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States of America
| | - Shu-Yein Ho
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Hsiang Huang
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-You Chiou
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Ting-Hui Hsieh
- Gastroenterology Consultants, Reno, NV, United States of America
| | - Tom Fang
- Gastroenterology Consultants, Reno, NV, United States of America
| | - Ya-Ju Tsai
- Renown Regional Medical Center, Reno, NV, United States of America
| | - Ming-Chih Hou
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- * E-mail:
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8
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Hsia CY, Lee YH, Nagaria TS, Lee RC, Ho SY, Hou MC, Huo TI. A New Treatment-integrated Prognostic Nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Sci Rep 2017; 7:7914. [PMID: 28801646 PMCID: PMC5554253 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-08382-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2016] [Accepted: 07/10/2017] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
The nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) has accurate outcome prediction. This study aims to propose a treatment-integrated nomogram derived from BCLC for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A total of 3,371 patients were randomly grouped into derivation (n = 2,247) and validation (n = 1,124) sets. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to generate the nomogram from tumor burden, cirrhosis, performance status (PS) and primary anti-cancer treatments. Concordance indices and calibration plots were used to evaluate the performance of nomogram. The derivation and validation sets had the same concordance index of 0.774 (95% confidence intervals: 0.717-0.826 and 0.656-0.874, respectively). In calibration plots, survival distributions predicted by the nomogram and observed by the Kaplan-Meier method were similar at 3- and 5-year for patients from derivation and validation sets. Validation group patients divided into 10 subgroups by the original and new treatment-integrated BCLC nomogram were used to evaluate the prognostic performance of integrating primary anti-cancer treatments. Compared to the nomogram of original BCLC system, the treatment-integrated nomogram of BCLC system had larger linear trend and likelihood ratio X2. In conclusion, based on the results of concordance index tests, integrating primary anti-cancer treatments into the BCLC system provides similar discriminatory ability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei: No 201, Sec. 2, Shipai Rd, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.,Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine Reno, 1155 Mill Street, Reno, NV, 89502, USA
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei: No 201, Sec. 2, Shipai Rd, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.,Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston: 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA, 02115, USA
| | - Cheng-Yuan Hsia
- Department of Surgery, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei: No 201, Sec. 2, Shipai Rd, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan
| | - Teddy S Nagaria
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Medical Sciences Building, 6th Floor, 1 King's College Cir, Toronto, Canada
| | - Rheun-Chuan Lee
- Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei: No 201, Sec. 2, Shipai Rd, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan
| | - Shu-Yein Ho
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei: No 201, Sec. 2, Shipai Rd, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan
| | - Ming-Chih Hou
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei: No 201, Sec. 2, Shipai Rd, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei: No 201, Sec. 2, Shipai Rd, Taipei, 112, Taiwan. .,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan. .,Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei: No 155, Sec. 2, Linong St, Taipei, 112, Taiwan.
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9
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Su CW, Yang YY, Lin HC. Impact of etiological treatment on prognosis. Hepatol Int 2017; 12:56-67. [PMID: 28702738 DOI: 10.1007/s12072-017-9807-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2017] [Accepted: 06/08/2017] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Portal hypertension (PHT) is a frequent and severe complication of cirrhosis. PHT may lead to the development of various complications with high mortality. Liver transplantation is the gold standard as a surgical curative treatment for end-stage liver disease. Theoretically, etiological treatment focusing on the pathophysiology of the underlying disease should be the objective of the nonsurgical management of cirrhotic PHT. Chronic viral hepatitis is the major etiology of cirrhosis and PHT. In cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection, antiviral therapies can suppress viral replication, ameliorate hepatic inflammation, regress fibrosis, and restore liver functional reserve. Moreover, they can delay the progression of liver cirrhosis and ameliorate the severity of PHT. In patients with hepatitis C virus-induced liver cirrhosis, interferon and ribavirin combination therapy provide a favorable long-term prognosis, including lower rates of liver-related and non-liver-related deaths, hepatic decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma, particularly in those who have successful eradication of the virus after therapy. In patients with PHT, direct antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus infection have good safety profiles and excellent viral suppression. Moreover, DAAs can reduce hepatic venous pressure gradient. However, these effects are stronger during the earlier stage of liver cirrhosis. Abstinence is the cornerstone of etiological treatment for alcoholic liver disease. The effects of pharmacological treatments are not satisfactory, and additional studies are mandatory.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chien-Wei Su
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, 201, Sec. 2, Shih-Pai Road, Taipei, 11217, Taiwan.,Department of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Ying-Ying Yang
- Division of Clinical Training, Department of Medical Education, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, 201, Sec. 2, Shih-Pai Road, Taipei, 11217, Taiwan. .,Department of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
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10
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Hsia CY, Lee YH, Al Juboori A, Lee RC, Lin HC, Huo TI. Nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system for individual prognostic prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver Int 2016; 36:1498-506. [PMID: 26972815 DOI: 10.1111/liv.13114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2015] [Accepted: 03/05/2016] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The predictive accuracy of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system on a single patient is not clear. This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict individualized survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the BCLC system. METHODS A total of 3179 patients were randomly grouped into derivation (n = 2119) and validation (n = 1060) sets. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to generate the nomogram from tumour burden, cirrhosis and performance status (PS). The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by concordance indices and calibration tests. RESULTS Beta coefficients from the Cox model were used to assign nomogram points to different degrees of tumour burden, Child-Turcotte-Pugh classification and PS. A nomogram with a scale of 0-26 was developed and the predicted survival rates at 3 and 5 years were calculated. The derivation set had a concordance index of 0.766 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.686-0.838); and the validation set showed a concordance index of 0.775 (95% CI: 0.607-0.909). The calibration plots were close to the 45-degree line for 3- and 5-year survival prediction of BCLC stages 0-C patients in both derivation and validation groups. For BCLC stage D patients, calibration plots in both groups showed deviation from the 45-degree line for 3- and 5-year prediction. CONCLUSIONS This study provides quantitative evidence to support the prognostic ability of BCLC system. This straightforward and easy-to-use nomogram may accurately predict the survival at 3 and 5 years for individual HCC patient except for BCLC stage D patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV, USA
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Yuan Hsia
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Surgery, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Alhareth Al Juboori
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV, USA
| | - Rheun-Chuan Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
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11
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Active Treatments Prolong the Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Performance Status 3 or 4: A Propensity Score Analysis. J Clin Gastroenterol 2015; 49:878-84. [PMID: 25710525 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0000000000000300] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
GOALS AND BACKGROUNDS Best supportive care is suggested as the standard treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with performance status (PS) 3-4 by the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) system. To investigate the rationale of treatment allocation. STUDY A total of 2660 HCC patients were reviewed. One-to-one matched pairs between PS 3 and 4 patients receiving supportive care and anti-HCC treatments were generated by using the propensity score with matching model. The survival analysis was performed with the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. The hazard ratio was calculated with the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS Among 328 patients with PS 3-4, 38% of patients received active anti-HCC treatments against the BCLC system. Compared with patients undergoing supportive care, patients receiving anti-HCC treatments more often had milder cirrhosis, smaller tumor burden, and lower serum α-fetoprotein levels (all P<0.05). Patients undergoing supportive care had significantly decreased survival (P<0.0001). With propensity scores, 101 pairs of similar HCC patients with PS 3-4 were selected from different treatment groups. They were comparable in age, sex, etiologies of liver disease, severity of cirrhosis, tumor burden, and prevalence of diabetes mellitus (all P>0.05) at baseline. In the matching model, patients with PS 3-4 undergoing supportive care had significantly shortened survival with an adjusted hazard ratio of 4.711 (confidence interval: 3.041-7.297, P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS Over one-third of patients with PS 3-4 receive active anti-HCC treatments against the BCLC allocation algorithm in this study. Active anticancer therapies rather than best supportive care should be performed if there is no apparent contraindication.
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12
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Hsia CY, Lee YH, Nagaria TS, Lee RC, Lin HC, Huo TI. Surgical Resection is Better than Transarterial Chemoembolization for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Beyond the Milan Criteria: A Prognostic Nomogram Study. Ann Surg Oncol 2015; 23:994-1002. [PMID: 26487000 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-015-4929-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2015] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The clinical outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving surgical resection (SR) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) are diverse. This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict individualized survival risk in patients with HCC beyond the Milan criteria undergoing aggressive treatments (SR and TACE). METHODS A total of 1009 patients were enrolled in the study and randomly grouped into derivation (n = 505) and validation sets (n = 504). The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to select significant prognostic predictors from the derivation set to generate the nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by discrimination (concordance index) and calibration tests. RESULTS Serum albumin <3.8 g/dL, α-fetoprotein ≥400 ng/mL, TACE, vascular invasion, multiple tumors, and tumor volume ≥200 cm(3) were associated with poor survival in the multivariate Cox model (all p < 0.05). A nomogram with a scale of 0-47 was developed with these six variables, and the predicted survival rates at 1 and 3 years were calculated. The derivation set with bootstrapping (B = 100) had a good concordance index of 0.694 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68-0.708]. Discrimination test in the validation set provided a concordance index of 0.71 (95 % CI 0.697-0.722), and the calibration plots well-matched the 45-degree line for 1- and 3-year survival prediction. The respective survival for patients undergoing SR or TACE could be predicted based on the nomogram across different risk scores. CONCLUSIONS This easy-to-use nomogram may accurately predict survival at 1 and 3 years for individual HCC patients beyond the Milan criteria, and provide quantitative survival advantage of SR over TACE.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV, USA.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Yuan Hsia
- Department of Surgery, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teddy S Nagaria
- Department of Pathology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Rheun-Chuan Lee
- Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan. .,Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.
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13
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Lee YH, Hsia CY, Huang YH, Lin HC, Chiou YY, Lee FY, Huo TI. Using serum α-fetoprotein for prognostic prediction in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: what is the most optimal cutoff? PLoS One 2015; 10:e0118825. [PMID: 25738614 PMCID: PMC4349891 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118825] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2014] [Accepted: 01/08/2015] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Background and Aims The prognostic ability of α-fetoprotein (AFP) for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was examined by using different cutoff values. The optimal AFP cutoff level is still unclear. Methods A total of 2579 HCC patients were consecutively enrolled in Taiwan, where hepatitis B is the major etiology of chronic liver disease. Four frequently used AFP cutoff levels, 20, 200, 400, 1000 ng/mL, were investigated. One-to-one matched pairs between patients having AFP higher and lower than the cutoffs were selected by using the propensity model. The adjusted hazard ratios of survival difference were calculated with Cox proportional hazards model. Results Patients with a higher AFP level were associated with more severe cirrhosis, more frequent vascular invasion, higher tumor burden and poorer performance status (all p<0.0001). In the propensity model, 4 groups of paired patients were selected, and there was no difference found in the comparison of baseline characteristics (all p>0.05). Patients with AFP <20 ng/mL had significantly better long-term survival than patients with AFP ≧20 ng/mL (p<0.0001), and patients with AFP <400 ng/mL had significantly better overall outcome than patients with AFP ≧400 ng/mL (p = 0.0186). There was no difference of long-term survival between patients divided by AFP levels of 200 and 1000 ng/mL. The adjusted hazard ratios of AFP ≧20 ng/mL and AFP ≧400 ng/mL were 1.545 and 1.471 (95% confidence interval: 1.3–1.838 and 1.178–1.837), respectively. Conclusions This study shows the independently predictive ability of baseline serum AFP level in HCC patients. AFP levels of 20 and 400 ng/mL are considered feasible cutoffs to predict long-term outcome in unselected HCC patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Biostatistics, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Yuan Hsia
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Surgery, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Hsiang Huang
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-You Chiou
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Fa-Yauh Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- * E-mail:
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14
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Hsu CY, Liu PH, Lee YH, Hsia CY, Huang YH, Chiou YY, Tsai YJ, Nagaria TS, Huo TI. Aggressive Therapeutic Strategies Improve the Survival of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Performance Status 1 or 2: A Propensity Score Analysis. Ann Surg Oncol 2014; 22:1324-31. [DOI: 10.1245/s10434-014-4151-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2014] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
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15
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Abstract
GOALS/BACKGROUND Macrovascular invasion (MaVI) is often detected by radiologic imaging in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients and may affect their long-term survival. We aimed to investigate the prevalence, determinants, and prognostic impact of MaVI in patients with HCC receiving curative and noncurative therapies. STUDY A total of 2654 HCC patients in a single center were identified. The risk factors and prognostic determinants of MaVI were determined. RESULTS A total of 928 (35%) patients had MaVI. Old age, lower serum α-fetoprotein level, higher serum sodium level, good performance status, smaller total tumor volume, and better liver functional reserve were significantly associated with a lower risk for VI. In the Cox proportional hazards model, patients with lower serum albumin level, higher serum bilirubin and α-fetoprotein level, worse performance status, the presence of ascites, and MaVI independently predicted a decreased long-term survival in patients undergoing both curative and noncurative treatments. In addition, lower sodium level and larger tumor size were independently associated with a poor outcome in the noncurative treatment group. Of the patients with MaVI, the 1-year survival rates for patients receiving surgical treatment, local ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and supportive care were 83%, 75%, 57%, and 24%, respectively (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS MaVI represents a distinct tumor phenotype of HCC and is associated with younger age, aggressive tumor behavior, poor liver functional reserve, and poor performance status. It adversely affects the survival of HCC patients independent of treatment strategy. Intensive anticancer therapy should be proposed to achieve a better long-term survival for the at-risk patients.
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16
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Hsu CY, Lee YH, Liu PH, Hsia CY, Huang YH, Lin HC, Chiou YY, Lee FY, Huo TI. Decrypting cryptogenic hepatocellular carcinoma: clinical manifestations, prognostic factors and long-term survival by propensity score model. PLoS One 2014; 9:e89373. [PMID: 24586728 PMCID: PMC3933535 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0089373] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2013] [Accepted: 01/18/2014] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Background and Aims The clinical aspects of cryptogenic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), defined as HCC in patients without hepatitis B, C or alcoholism, are not clear. We investigated its clinical presentations, long-term survival and prognostic predictors. Methods A total of 2645 HCC patients were studied. One-to-one matched pairs between viral/alcoholic and cryptogenic HCC patients were generated by using the propensity model. The survival analysis was performed with the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, and hazard ratios were calculated with Cox proportional hazards model. Results Among 366 (14%) patients with cryptogenic HCC, 34% of patients were presented with abdominal discomfort, and 31% of patients were identified incidentally. Compared to patients with viral/alcoholic HCC, cryptogenic HCC patients were significantly older (p<0.0001), with poorer performance status (p = 0.0031) and less often underwent curative treatment (p = 0.0041). They also had larger tumor burden (p<0.0001), poorer renal function (p<0.0001), lower α-fetoprotein level (p<0.0001), and more advanced Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages (p<0.0001). With propensity score model, 366 pairs of similar HCC patients were selected and similar long-term survival between the two groups of patients was found (p = 0.1038). For cryptogenic HCC patients, α-fetoprotein ≧49 ng/mL (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.955, p = 0.0002), Child-Turcotte-Pugh class B/C (HR: 2.798, p<0.0001), performance status ≧1 (HR: 2.463, p<0.0001) and vascular invasion (HR: 1.608, p = 0.0257) were independent predictors of poor prognosis. Conclusions Patients with cryptogenic HCC are usually diagnosed with poor general condition at late stages. However, cryptogenic HCC patients have similar prognostic predictors and long-term survival compared with viral/alcoholic HCC patients. Diagnosis at an early stage may improve their clinical outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Biostatistics, UCLA, Los Angeles, California, United States of America
| | - Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Po-Hong Liu
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Cheng-Yuan Hsia
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Surgery, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Hsiang Huang
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-You Chiou
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Fa-Yauh Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- * E-mail:
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17
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Lee YH, Hsu CY, Huang YH, Su CW, Lin HC, Hsia CY, Huo TI. α-fetoprotein-to-total tumor volume ratio predicts post-operative tumor recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma. J Gastrointest Surg 2013. [PMID: 23188220 DOI: 10.1007/s11605-012-2081-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/31/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIMS Serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) and total tumor volume (TTV) are important factors linked with post-operative tumor recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. We investigated the role of a new prognostic marker, AFP-to-TTV ratio, in predicting HCC recurrence. METHODS A total of 655 HCC patients undergoing resection were analyzed. RESULTS In the multivariate logistic model, serum AFP level [odds ratio (OR) 32.459, p = 0.012] and TTV (OR 0.006, p = 0.01) were independently associated with a higher AFT/TTV ratio. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year tumor recurrence rates were 29 %, 55 %, and 68 %, respectively. In the Cox proportional hazards model, alcoholism (hazard ratio [HR], 1.354, p = 0.028), international normalized ratio of prothrombin time ≥1.01 (HR, 1.349, p < 0.001), multiple nodules (HR, 1.381, p = 0.004), main tumor diameter ≥4 cm (HR, 1.535, p = 0.001), macrovascular invasion (HR, 1.362, p = 0.016), and AFP/TTV ratio ≥1.5 (HR, 1.49, p < 0.001) were independently associated with tumor recurrence. In subgroup analysis, a higher AFP/TTV ratio was significantly associated with tumor recurrence in patients characterized by macrovascular invasion, TTV ≥ 40 cm(3), or main tumor diameter ≥4cm (all p = 0.001). CONCLUSION The AFP/TTV ratio, a newly proposed marker for predicting post-operative tumor recurrence in HCC, is a feasible surrogate and may be useful in selecting super-high-risk patients for tumor recurrence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yun-Hsuan Lee
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
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18
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Hsu CY, Lee YH, Hsia CY, Huang YH, Su CW, Lin HC, Chiou YY, Lee FY, Huo TI. Performance status enhances the selection of treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma within the milan criteria. Ann Surg Oncol 2013; 20:2035-42. [PMID: 23306955 DOI: 10.1245/s10434-012-2847-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2012] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Performance status (PS) is closely linked with survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We investigated its impact on treatment strategy for small HCC(s). METHODS A total of 360 and 362 HCC patients within the Milan criteria undergoing surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA), respectively, were prospectively enrolled. Patients were classified into PS 0 (n = 558) and PS ≥1 (n = 164) groups. Propensity score analysis was performed, and 168 and 35 matched pairs were selected from patients with PS 0 and ≥1, respectively. RESULTS The SR group was younger and had a higher male-to-female ratio, higher prevalence of hepatitis B, lower prevalence of hepatitis C, better PS, better liver functional reserve, and larger tumor burden than the RFA group (all p < 0.05). Among patients with PS 0, the SR group was consistently younger, less cirrhotic, and had larger tumor burden (all p < 0.05). The long-term survival was comparable between SR and RFA group in patients with PS 0. After propensity score matching, SR provided significantly better long-term survival than RFA for patients within the Milan criteria classified as PS 0 (p = 0.016); the Cox proportional hazards model showed consistent results. There was no significant difference of overall survival between the SR and RFA group in patients with PS ≥1 before or after propensity score matching (both p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS For HCC patients within the Milan criteria and classified as PS 0, SR provides a better long-term survival compared with RFA. Performance status may enhance treatment selection and stratify the risk of survival in these patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Yang Hsu
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
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