A new horizon in risk stratification of hepatocellular carcinoma by integrating vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters and microvascular invasion

Editorial for "Preoperative Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced MRI Features for Evaluation of Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters and Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Creating Nomograms for Risk Assessment"

Level of Evidence

5

Technical Efficacy Stage

1

Preoperative Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced MRI Features for Evaluation of Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters and Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Creating Nomograms for Risk Assessment

BACKGROUND

Vessels encapsulating tumor cluster (VETC) and microvascular invasion (MVI) have a synergistic effect on prognosis assessment and treatment selection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Preoperative noninvasive evaluation of VETC and MVI is important.

PURPOSE

To explore the diagnosis value of preoperative gadoxetic acid (GA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features for MVI, VETC, and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in HCC.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

240 post-surgery patients with 274 pathologically confirmed HCC (allocated to training and validation cohorts with a 7:3 ratio) and available tumor marker data from August 2014 to December 2021.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3-T, T1-, T2-, diffusion-weighted imaging, in/out-phase imaging, and dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging.

ASSESSMENT

Three radiologists subjectively reviewed preoperative MRI, evaluated clinical and conventional imaging features associated with MVI+, VETC+, and MVI+/VETC+ HCC. Regression-based nomograms were developed for HCC in the training cohort. Based on the nomograms, the RFS prognostic stratification system was further. Follow-up occurred every 3-6 months.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Chi-squared test or Fisher's exact test, Mann-Whitney U-test or t-test, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-penalized, multivariable logistic regression analyses, receiver operating characteristic analysis, Harrell's concordance index (C-index), Kaplan-Meier plots. Significance level: P < 0.05.

RESULTS

In the training group, 44 patients with MVI+ and 74 patients with VETC+ were histologically confirmed. Three nomograms showed good performance in the training (C-indices: MVI+ vs. VETC+ vs. MVI+/VETC+, 0.892 vs. 0.848 vs. 0.910) and validation (C-indices: MVI+ vs. VETC+ vs. MVI+/VETC+, 0.839 vs. 0.810 vs. 0.855) cohorts. The median follow-up duration for the training cohort was 43.6 (95% CI, 35.0-52.2) months and 25.8 (95% CI, 16.1-35.6) months for the validation cohort. Patients with either pathologically confirmed or nomogram-estimated MVI, VETC, and MVI+/VETC+ suffered higher risk of recurrence.

DATA CONCLUSION

GA-enhanced MRI and clinical variables might assist in preoperative estimation of MVI, VETC, and MVI+/VETC+ in HCC.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

The prognostic value of vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Studies have suggested that vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) is a strong predictor of prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus databases. Overall survival (OS) and tumor efficacy (TE) were two outcome measures used to evaluate the relationship between VETC and HCC prognosis. Hazard ratios (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies with 4429 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The results showed that VETC was significantly associated with both OS (HR 2.00; 95% CI 1.64-2.45) and TE (HR 1.70; 95% CI 1.44-1.99) in HCC patients. Furthermore, recurrence-free survival (RFS) was a stronger indicator of tumor efficacy (HR 1.73; 95% CI 1.44-2.07) than disease-free survival (DFS) (HR 1.69; 95% CI 1.22-2.35). This suggests that VETC-positive HCC has a higher risk of recurrence and a lower survival rate.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the meta-analysis suggests that VETC is a significant predictor of overall survival and tumor efficacy in HCC patients and may be a valid prognostic indicator.

Radiomics Model of Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI for Evaluating Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters and Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a clinical-radiomics model of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) for the preoperative discrimination of Vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC)- microvascular invasion (MVI) and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

219 HCC patients from Institution 1 were split into internal training and validation groups, with 101 patients from Institution 2 assigned to external validation. Histologically confirmed VETC-MVI pattern categorizing HCC into VM-HCC+ (VETC+/MVI+, VETC-/MVI+, VETC+/MVI-) and VM-HCC- (VETC-/MVI-). The regions of intratumor and peritumor were segmented manually in the arterial, portal-venous and delayed phase (AP, PP, and DP, respectively) of DCE-MRI. Six radiomics models (intratumor and peritumor in AP, PP, and DP of DCE-MRI) and one clinical model were developed for assessing VM-HCC. Establishing intra-tumoral and peri-tumoral models through combining intratumor and peritumor features. The best-performing radiomics model and the clinical model were then integrated to create a Combined model.

RESULTS

In institution 1, pathological VM-HCC+ were confirmed in 88 patients (training set: 61, validation set: 27). In internal testing, the Combined model had an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.76-0.93), which reached an AUC of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.66-0.85) in external validation. The model's predictions were associated with early recurrence and progression-free survival in HCC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The clinical-radiomics model offers a non-invasive approach to discern VM-HCC and predict HCC patients' prognosis preoperatively, which could offer clinicians valuable insights during the decision-making phase.

Exosomal mRNA in plasma serves as a predictive marker for microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

There is a pressing need for non-invasive preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study investigates the potential of exosome-derived mRNA in plasma as a biomarker for diagnosing MVI.

METHODS

Patients with suspected HCC undergoing hepatectomy were prospectively recruited for preoperative peripheral blood collection. Exosomal RNA profiling was conducted using RNA sequencing in the discovery cohort, followed by differential expression analysis to identify candidate targets. We employed multiplexed droplet digital PCR technology to efficiently validate them in a larger sample size cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 131 HCC patients were ultimately enrolled, with 37 in the discovery cohort and 94 in the validation cohort. In the validation cohort, the expression levels of RSAD2, PRPSAP1, and HOXA2 were slightly elevated while CHMP4A showed a slight decrease in patients with MVI compared with those without MVI. These trends were consistent with the findings in the discovery cohort, although they did not reach statistical significance (P > 0.05). Notably, the expression level of exosomal PRPSAP1 in plasma was significantly higher in patients with more than 5 MVI than in those without MVI (0.147 vs 0.070, P = 0.035).

CONCLUSION

This study unveils the potential of exosome-derived PRPSAP1 in plasma as a promising indicator for predicting MVI status preoperatively.

Magnetic Resonance Deep Learning Radiomic Model Based on Distinct Metastatic Vascular Patterns for Evaluating Recurrence-Free Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The metastatic vascular patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are mainly microvascular invasion (MVI) and vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC). However, most existing VETC-related radiological studies still focus on the prediction of VETC status.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to build and compare VETC-MVI related models (clinical, radiomics, and deep learning) associated with recurrence-free survival of HCC patients.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

398 HCC patients (349 male, 49 female; median age 51.7 years, and age range: 22-80 years) who underwent resection from five hospitals in China. The patients were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 358) and test cohort (n = 40).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3-T, pre-contrast T1-weighted imaging spoiled gradient recalled echo (T1WI SPGR), T2-weighted imaging fast spin echo (T2WI FSE), and contrast enhanced arterial phase (AP), delay phase (DP).

ASSESSMENT

Two radiologists performed the segmentation of HCC on T1WI, T2WI, AP, and DP images, from which radiomic features were extracted. The RFS related clinical characteristics (VETC, MVI, Barcelona stage, tumor maximum diameter, and alpha fetoprotein) and radiomic features were used to build the clinical model, clinical-radiomic (CR) nomogram, deep learning model. The follow-up process was done 1 month after resection, and every 3 months subsequently. The RFS was defined as the date of resection to the date of recurrence confirmed by radiology or the last follow-up. Patients were followed up until December 31, 2022.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Univariate COX regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, C-index, and area under the curve (AUC). P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

The C-index of deep learning model achieved 0.830 in test cohort compared with CR nomogram (0.731), radiomic signature (0.707), and clinical model (0.702). The average RFS of the overall patients was 26.77 months (range 1-80 months).

DATA CONCLUSION

MR deep learning model based on VETC and MVI provides a potential tool for survival assessment.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 3.

A multi-parametric prognostic model based on clinicopathologic features: vessels encapsulating tumor clusters and hepatic plates predict overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) is a newly described vascular pattern that is distinct from microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Despite its importance, the current pathological diagnosis report does not include information on VETC and hepatic plates (HP). We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of integrating VETC and HP (VETC-HP model) in the assessment of HCC.

METHODS

A total of 1255 HCC patients who underwent radical surgery were classified into training (879 patients) and validation (376 patients) cohorts. Additionally, 37 patients treated with lenvatinib were studied, included 31 patients in high-risk group and 6 patients in low-risk group. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used to establish a prognostic model for the training set. Harrell's concordance index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve (tdROC), and decision curve analysis were utilized to evaluate our model's performance by comparing it to traditional tumor node metastasis (TNM) staging for individualized prognosis.

RESULTS

A prognostic model, VETC-HP model, based on risk scores for overall survival (OS) was established. The VETC-HP model demonstrated robust performance, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.832 and 0.780 for predicting 3- and 5-year OS in the training cohort, and 0.805 and 0.750 in the validation cohort, respectively. The model showed superior prediction accuracy and discrimination power compared to TNM staging, with C-index values of 0.753 and 0.672 for OS and disease-free survival (DFS) in the training cohort, and 0.728 and 0.615 in the validation cohort, respectively, compared to 0.626 and 0.573 for TNM staging in the training cohort, and 0.629 and 0.511 in the validation cohort. Thus, VETC-HP model had higher C-index than TNM stage system(p < 0.01).Furthermore, in the high-risk group, lenvatinib alone appeared to offer less clinical benefit but better disease-free survival time.

CONCLUSIONS

The VETC-HP model enhances DFS and OS prediction in HCC compared to traditional TNM staging systems. This model enables personalized temporal survival estimation, potentially improving clinical decision-making in surveillance management and treatment strategies.

Upregulation of FAM134B inhibits endoplasmic reticulum stress-related degradation protein expression and promotes hepatocellular carcinogenesis

Endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress can stimulate the proliferation and metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells while hindering apoptosis and immune system function, but the molecular mechanism of ER stress in HCC has yet to be fully studied. We aim to investigate the molecular mechanism by which FAM134B inhibits autophagy of HCC cells by reducing the expression of ER stress-related degradation proteins. Clinical samples were collected for this study. Normal liver cell lines HL7702 and Hep3B and Huh7 HCC cell lines were cultured. Construction of FAM134B knockdown cell line. Cell proliferation was measured using the CCK-8 assay, while cell migration and invasion capabilities were detected using the plate colony formation assay. Flow cytometry was used to detect the apoptosis rate. Transmission electron microscopy was used to observe the formation of autophagosomes. qRT-PCR and WB detective expression changes related to autophagy proteins. Finally, the expression of the relevant proteins was observed by immunohistochemistry. The expression of FAM134B was significantly increased in human liver cancer tissue and HCC cell lines Hep3B and Huh7. After the lentiviral vector was transfected into Hep3B cells with sh-FAM134B, results showed that sh-FAM134B could effectively inhibit Hep3B cell proliferation and promote HCC cell apoptosis. Meanwhile, sh-FAM134B could effectively induce the autophagy of Hep3B liver cancer cells. Immunohistochemistry results showed that sh-FAM134B could effectively induce ER stress. FAM134B inhibits HCC cell autophagy and promotes the progression of liver cancer by inhibiting the expression of ER stress-related degradation factors such as DERL2, EDEM1, SEL1L and HRD1.

Deep Learning Radiomics Model of Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced MRI for Evaluating Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters and Prognosis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Vessels encapsulating tumor cluster (VETC) is a critical prognostic factor and therapeutic predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, noninvasive evaluation of VETC remains challenging.

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a deep learning radiomic (DLR) model of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) for the preoperative discrimination of VETC and prognosis of HCC.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

A total of 221 patients with histologically confirmed HCC and stratified this cohort into training set (n = 154) and time-independent validation set (n = 67).

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

A 1.5 T and 3.0 T; DCE imaging with T1-weighted three-dimensional fast spoiled gradient echo.

ASSESSMENT

Histological specimens were used to evaluate VETC status. VETC+ cases had a visible pattern (≥5% tumor area), while cases without any pattern were VETC-. The regions of intratumor and peritumor were segmented manually in the arterial, portal-venous and delayed phase (AP, PP, and DP, respectively) of DCE-MRI and reproducibility of segmentation was evaluated. Deep neural network and machine learning (ML) classifiers (logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, SVM, KNN, and Bayes) were used to develop nine DLR, 54 ML and clinical-radiological (CR) models based on AP, PP, and DP of DCE-MRI for evaluating VETC status and association with recurrence.

STATISTICAL TESTS

The Fleiss kappa, intraclass correlation coefficient, receiver operating characteristic curve, area under the curve (AUC), Delong test and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. P value <0.05 was considered as statistical significance.

RESULTS

Pathological VETC+ were confirmed in 68 patients (training set: 46, validation set: 22). In the validation set, DLR model based on peritumor PP (peri-PP) phase had the best performance (AUC: 0.844) in comparison to CR (AUC: 0.591) and ML (AUC: 0.672) models. Significant differences in recurrence rates between peri-PP DLR model-predicted VETC+ and VETC- status were found.

DATA CONCLUSIONS

The DLR model provides a noninvasive method to discriminate VETC status and prognosis of HCC patients preoperatively.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4.

TECHNICAL EFFICACY

Stage 2.

Preoperative MRI features to predict vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters and microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the potential of preoperative MRI features in the prediction of the integration patterns of vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters (VETC) and microvascular invasion (MVI) (VM) patterns in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after resection and to assess the prognostic value of VM patterns.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent surgical resection for HCC between July 2019 and July 2020 were retrospectively included in the training cohort and validation cohort. In the training cohort, patients were classified into VM-positive HCC (VM-HCC) and VM-negative HCC (non-VM HCC). Predictors associated with VM-HCC were determined by using logistic regression analyses and used to build a prediction model of VM-HCC. The model was tested in the validation cohort by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. Prognostic factors associated with early recurrence of HCC were evaluated by use of Cox logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level higher than 400 ng/mL (odds ratio [OR] = 8.0; 95% CI: 2.6-25.2; P < 0.001), non-smooth tumor margin (OR = 3.1; 95% CI: 1.4-6.0; P < 0.001) and peritumoral arterial enhancement (OR = 2.9; 95% CI: 1.4-6.2; P = 0.004) were independent predictors of VM-HCC. The AUCs of the prediction model for VM-HCC were 0.81 for the training cohort and 0.79 for the validation cohort. The high risk of VM-HCC predicted by the three preoperative predictors derived from the prediction model (hazard ratio [HR] 2.0; 95% CI: 1.3, 3.2; P = 0.003) were independently associated with early recurrence, while pathologically confirmed VM-HCC (HR 2.8; 95% CI: 1.6, 3.8; P < 0.001) and satellite nodules (HR 1.8; 95% CI: 1.1, 3.1; P = 0.025) were independently associated with early recurrence after surgical resection.

CONCLUSION

The predictive model can be used to predict VM patterns. VM-HCC is associated with increased risk of early recurrence after surgical resection in HCC.

Predicting post-resection recurrence by integrating imaging-based surrogates of distinct vascular patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma

Background & Aims

Distinct vascular patterns, including microvascular invasion (MVI) and vessels encapsulating tumour clusters (VETC), are associated with poor outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Imaging surrogates of these vascular patterns potentially help to predict post-resection recurrence. Herein, a prognostic model integrating imaging-based surrogates of these distinct vascular patterns was developed to predict postoperative recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with HCC.

Methods

Clinico-radiological data of 1,285 patients with HCC from China undergoing surgical resection were retrospectively enrolled from seven medical centres between 2014 and 2020. A prognostic model using clinical data and imaging-based surrogates of MVI and VETC patterns was developed (n = 297) and externally validated (n = 373) to predict RFS. The surrogates (i.e. MVI and VETC scores) were individually built from preoperative computed tomography using two independent cohorts (n = 360 and 255). Whether the model's stratification was associated with postoperative recurrence following anatomic resection was also evaluated.

Results

The MVI and VETC scores demonstrated effective performance in their respective training and validation cohorts (AUC: 0.851-0.883 for MVI and 0.834-0.844 for VETC). The prognostic model incorporating serum alpha-foetoprotein, tumour multiplicity, MVI score, and VETC score achieved a C-index of 0.748-0.764 for the developing and external validation cohorts and generated three prognostically distinct strata. For patients at model-predicted medium risk, anatomic resection was associated with improved RFS (p <0.05). By contrast, anatomic resection had no impact on RFS in patients at model-predicted low or high risk (both p >0.05).

Conclusions

The proposed model integrating imaging-based surrogates of distinct vascular patterns enabled accurate prediction for RFS. It can potentially be used to identify HCC surgical candidates who may benefit from anatomic resection.

Impact and implications

MVI and VETC are distinct vascular patterns of HCC associated with aggressive biological behaviour and poor outcomes. Our multicentre study provided a model incorporating imaging-based surrogates of these patterns for preoperatively predicting RFS. The proposed model, which uses imaging detection to estimate the risk of MVI and VETC, offers an opportunity to help shed light on the association between tumour aggressiveness and prognosis and to support the selection of the appropriate type of surgical resection.

Vessels that encapsulate tumour clusters vascular pattern in hepatocellular carcinoma

Vessels that encapsulate tumour clusters (VETC) is a distinct histologic vascular pattern associated with a novel mechanism of metastasis. First described in human cancers in 2004, its prevalence and prognostic significance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has only been appreciated in the past decade with a rapidly increasing body of literature. A robust biomarker of aggressive disease, the VETC pattern is easy to recognise but relies on histologic examination of tumour tissue for its diagnosis. Radiological recognition of the VETC pattern is an area of active research and is becoming increasingly accurate. As a prognostic marker, VETC has consistently proven to be an independent predictor of disease recurrence and overall survival in patients with HCC undergoing resection and liver transplantation. It can also guide treatment by predicting response to other therapies such as transarterial chemoembolisation and sorafenib. Without prospective randomised-controlled trials or routine evaluation of VETC in clinical practice, there are currently no firm treatment recommendations for VETC-positive tumours, although some perspectives are provided in this review based on the latest knowledge of their pathogenesis - a complex interplay between tumour angiogenesis and the immune microenvironment. Nevertheless, VETC has great potential as a future biomarker that could take us one step closer to precision medicine for HCC.

Preoperative MRI features for characterization of vessels encapsulating tumor clusters and microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

This study aimed to analyze imaging features based on preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) for the identification of vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC)-microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), VM-HCC pattern.

METHODS

Patients who underwent hepatectomy and preoperative DCE-MRI between January 2015 and March 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Clinical and imaging features related to VM-HCC (VETC + /MVI-, VETC-/MVI +, VETC + /MVI +) and Non-VM-HCC (VETC-/MVI-) were determined by multivariable logistic regression analyses. Early and overall recurrence were determined using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. Indicators of early and overall recurrence were identified using the Cox proportional hazard regression model.

RESULTS

In total, 221 patients (177 men, 44 women; median age, 60 years; interquartile range, 52-66 years) were evaluated. The multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed fetoprotein > 400 ng/mL (odds ratio [OR] = 2.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07, 4.41, p = 0.033), intratumor vascularity (OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.07, 4.31, p = 0.031), and enhancement pattern (OR 2.71, 95% CI 1.17, 6.03, p = 0.019) as independent predictors of VM-HCC. In Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, intratumor vascularity was associated with early and overall recurrence (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Based on DCE-MRI, intratumor vascularity can be used to characterize VM-HCC and is of prognostic significance for recurrence in patients with HCC.

Application of a Convolutional Neural Network for Multitask Learning to Simultaneously Predict Microvascular Invasion and Vessels that Encapsulate Tumor Clusters in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fourth most common cause of cancer death worldwide, and the prognosis remains dismal. In this study, two pivotal factors, microvascular invasion (MVI) and vessels encapsulating tumor clusters (VETC) were preoperatively predicted simultaneously to assess prognosis.

Methods

A total of 133 HCC patients who underwent surgical resection and preoperative gadolinium ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were included. The statuses of MVI and VETC were obtained from the pathological report and CD34 immunohistochemistry, respectively. A three-dimensional convolutional neural network (3D CNN) for single-task learning aimed at MVI prediction and for multitask learning aimed at simultaneous prediction of MVI and VETC was established by using multiphase Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI.

Results

The 3D CNN for single-task learning achieved an area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of 0.896 (95% CI: 0.797–0.994). Multitask learning with simultaneous extraction of MVI and VETC features improved the performance of MVI prediction, with an AUC value of 0.917 (95% CI: 0.825–1.000), and achieved an AUC value of 0.860 (95% CI: 0.728–0.993) for the VETC prediction. The multitask learning framework could stratify high- and low-risk groups regarding overall survival (p < 0.0001) and recurrence-free survival (p < 0.0001), revealing that patients with MVI+/VETC+ were associated with poor prognosis.

Conclusions

A deep learning framework based on 3D CNN for multitask learning to predict MVI and VETC simultaneously could improve the performance of MVI prediction while assessing the VETC status. This combined prediction can stratify prognosis and enable individualized prognostication in HCC patients before curative resection.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1245/s10434-022-12000-6.

A Promising Preoperative Prediction Model for Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on an Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm

Background

The non-invasive preoperative diagnosis of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is vital for precise surgical decision-making and patient prognosis. Herein, we aimed to develop an MVI prediction model with valid performance and clinical interpretability.

Methods

A total of 2160 patients with HCC without macroscopic invasion who underwent hepatectomy for the first time in West China Hospital from January 2015 to June 2019 were retrospectively included, and randomly divided into training and a validation cohort at a ratio of 8:2. Preoperative demographic features, imaging characteristics, and laboratory indexes of the patients were collected. Five machine learning algorithms were used: logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and multilayer perception. Performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We also determined the Shapley Additive exPlanation value to explain the influence of each feature on the MVI prediction model.

Results

The top six important preoperative factors associated with MVI were the maximum image diameter, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II, α-fetoprotein level, satellite nodules, alanine aminotransferase (AST)/aspartate aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, and AST level, according to the XGBoost model. The XGBoost model for preoperative prediction of MVI exhibited a better AUC (0.8, 95% confidence interval: 0.74–0.83) than the other prediction models. Furthermore, to facilitate use of the model in clinical settings, we developed a user-friendly online calculator for MVI risk prediction based on the XGBoost model.

Conclusions

The XGBoost model achieved outstanding performance for non-invasive preoperative prediction of MVI based on big data. Moreover, the MVI risk calculator would assist clinicians in conveniently determining the optimal therapeutic remedy and ameliorating the prognosis of patients with HCC.

Development and Validation of a Novel Nomogram for Predicting Vessels that Encapsulate Tumor Cluster in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Vessels that encapsulate tumor cluster (VETC) is associated with poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Vessels that encapsulate tumor cluster estimation before initial treatment is helpful for clinical doctors. We aimed to construct a novel predictive model for VETC, using preoperatively accessible clinical parameters and imagine features.

METHODS

Totally, 365 HCC patients who received curative hepatectomy in the Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center from 2013 to 2014 were enrolled in this study. Vessels that encapsulate tumor cluster pattern was confirmed by immunochemistry staining. 243 were randomly assigned to the training cohort while the rest was assigned to the validation cohort. Independent predictive factors for VETC estimation were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic analysis. We further constructed a predictive nomogram for VETC in HCC. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curve. Besides, the decision curve was plotted to evaluate the clinical usefulness. Ultimately, Kaplan-Meier survival curves were utilized to confirm the association between the nomogram and survival.

RESULTS

Immunochemistry staining revealed VETC in 87 patients (23.8%). lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (>7.75, OR = 4.06), neutrophil (>7, OR = 4.48), AST to ALT ratio (AAR > .86, OR = 2.16), ALT to lymphocyte ratio index (BLRI > 21.73, OR = 2.57), alpha-fetoprotein (OR = 1.1), and tumor diameter (OR = 2.65) were independent predictive factors. The nomogram incorporating these predictive factors performed well with an area under the curve (AUC) of .746 and .707 in training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curves indicated the predicted probabilities closely corresponded with the actual VETC status. Moreover, the decision curve proved our nomogram could provide clinical benefits with patients. Finally, low probability of VETC group had significantly longer recurrence free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) than the high probability of the VETC group (all P < .001).

CONCLUSION

A novel predictive nomogram integrating clinical indicators and image characteristics shows strong predictive VETC performance and might provide standardized net clinical benefits.