Is the CRAFITY score a superior predictor of prognosis and adverse events in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with locoregional-immunotherapy?

Nomograms confirm serum IL-6 and CRP as predictors of immune checkpoint inhibitor efficacy in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Immunotherapy based on immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) has become the first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). However, only a small portion of patients are responsive to ICIs. It is important to identify the patients who are likely to benefit from ICIs in clinical practice. We aimed to examine the significance of serum IL-6 and CRP levels in predicting the effectiveness of ICIs for uHCC.

Methods

We retrospectively recruited 222 uHCC patients who received ICIs treatment (training cohort: 124 patients, validation cohort: 98 patients). In the training cohort, patients are categorized into the response group (R) and no-response group (NR). The levels of serum IL-6 and CRP were compared between the two groups. Internal validation was performed in the validation cohort. Survival analysis was carried out using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression model. The nomograms were developed and assessed using the consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve.

Results

Serum levels of IL-6 and CRP were significantly lower in the R group than in the NR group (9.94 vs. 36.85 pg/ml, p< 0.001; 9.90 vs. 24.50 mg/L, p< 0.001, respectively). An ROC curve was employed to identify the optimal cut-off values for IL-6 and CRP in both groups, resulting in values of 19.82 pg/ml and 15.50 mg/L, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that MVI (HR 1.751, 95%CI 1.059-2.894, p=0.029; HR 1.530, 95%CI 0.955-2.451, p=0.077), elevated IL-6 (HR 1.624, 95%CI 1.016-2.596, p=0.043; HR 2.146, 95%CI 1.361-3.383, p =0.001) and high CRP (HR 1.709, 95%CI 1.041-2.807, p=0.034; HR 1.846, 95%CI 1.128-3.022, p = 0.015) were independent risk factors for PFS and OS, even after various confounders adjustments. Nomograms are well-structured and validated prognostic maps constructed from three variables, as MVI, IL6 and CRP.

Conclusion

Low levels of IL-6 and CRP have a positive correlation with efficacy for uHCC patients receiving ICIs.

The MAPS-CRAFITY score: a novel efficacy predictive tool for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with targeted therapy plus immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Body composition parameters (BCPs) are associated with mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our purpose was to develop a practical scoring model by BCP and the CRAFITY score to predict the overall survival (OS) and tumor response of patients with HCC who received targeted therapy plus immunotherapy.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 265 patients with HCC who received targeted therapy plus immunotherapy at 2 centers in China from August 2018 to February 2022. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were applied to analyze clinical factors and BCP. A scoring model based on independent risk factors was developed to predict OS and tumor response. Moreover, the model's prediction was further validated by an external cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 150 patients (55.5 ± 10.8 years) and 115 patients (55.0 ± 8.9 years) treated with lenvatinib or bevacizumab biosimilar plus anti-programmed death-1 (PD-1) antibody were included in training and validation cohorts, respectively. In the training cohort, independent predictive factors for OS included macrovascular invasion (p = 0.016), Child‒Pugh class (A vs. B, p = 0.001; A vs. C, p < 0.001), sarcopenia (p = 0.034), and the CRAFITY score (p = 0.011). Based on independent risk factors (MAcrovascular invasion, Child‒Pugh class, Sarcopenia, and the CRAFITY score) identified by multivariate analysis, a novel efficacy predictive tool named the MAPS-CRAFITY score was developed to predict OS. In all the training and validation cohorts, the OS differed significantly across the three groups based on the MAPS-CRAFITY score (< 2.1, 2.1-2.3, ≥ 2.4; p < 0.001). Moreover, the C-index of the MAPS-CRAFITY score was 0.720 and 0.761 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. In both the validation and training cohorts, the MAPS-CRAFITY score was predictive of tumor response and disease control (p < 0.001). The AUCs of the MAPS-CRAFITY score for predicting disease control were 0.752 in the training cohort and 0.836 in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The MAPS-CRAFITY score based on sarcopenia and the CRAFITY score is a reliable and practical tool for predicting the efficacy of targeted therapy plus immunotherapy in patients with unresectable HCC, and may help hepatologists and oncologists in clinical decision-making.

Hepatocellular carcinoma immune prognosis score predicts the clinical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors

OBJECTIVE

The predictive biomarkers of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still need to be further explored. This study aims to establish a new immune prognosis biomarker to predict the clinical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors.

METHODS

The subjects of this study were 151 HCC patients receiving ICIs at Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital from January 2018 to December 2021. This study collected a wide range of blood parameters from patients before treatment and used Cox's regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors in blood parameters, as well as their β coefficient. The hepatocellular carcinoma immune prognosis score (HCIPS) was established through Lasso regression analysis and COX multivariate analysis. The cut-off value of HCIPS was calculated from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Finally, the prognostic value of HCIPS was validated through survival analysis, stratified analyses, and nomograms.

RESULTS

HCIPS was composed of albumin (ALB) and thrombin time (TT), with a cut-off value of 0.64. There were 56 patients with HCIPS < 0.64 and 95 patients with HCIPS ≥ 0.64, patients with low HCIPS were significantly related to shorter progression-free survival (PFS) (13.10 months vs. 1.63 months, P < 0.001) and overall survival (OS) (14.83 months vs. 25.43 months, P < 0.001). HCIPS has also been found to be an independent prognostic factor in this study. In addition, the stratified analysis found a significant correlation between low HCIPS and shorter OS in patients with tumor size ≥ 5 cm (P of interaction = 0.032). The C-index and 95% CI of the nomograms for PFS and OS were 0.730 (0.680-0.779) and 0.758 (0.711-0.804), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

As a new score established based on HCC patients receiving ICIs, HCIPS was significantly correlated with clinical outcomes in patients with ICIs and might serve as a new biomarker to predict HCC patients who cloud benefit from ICIs.

Current state and challenges of emerging biomarkers for immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma (Review)

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most prevalent form of primary liver cancer. According to the American Cancer Society, among patients diagnosed with advanced liver cancer, HCC has the sixth-highest incident rate, resulting in a poor prognosis. Surgery, radiofrequency ablation, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, radiation, chemotherapy, targeted therapy and immunotherapy are the current treatment options available. Immunotherapy, which has emerged as an innovative treatment strategy over the past decade, is serving a vital role in the treatment of advanced liver cancer. Since only a small number of individuals can benefit from immunotherapy, biomarkers are required to help clinicians identify the target populations for this precision medicine. These biomarkers, such as PD-1/PD-L1, tumor mutational burden and circulating tumor DNA, can be used to investigate interactions between immune checkpoint inhibitors and tumors. The present review summarizes information on the currently available biomarkers used for immunotherapy and the challenges that are present.

Prognosis Prediction of CRAFITY Score in HCC Undergoing TACE Combined with PD-(L)1 Inhibitors and Molecular Targeted Therapy

Background

The CRAFITY (C-reactive protein and alpha-fetoprotein in immunotherapy) score has demonstrated prognostic significance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing immunotherapy. The study aimed to validate accuracy of CRAFITY score on predicting prognosis for patients with HCC treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with PD-(L)1 inhibitors and molecular targeted therapy.

Methods

Eighty-five HCC patients who underwent TACE in combination with molecular targeted therapy (MTT) and PD-(L)1 Inhibitors were consecutively enrolled from November 2019 to November 2022. Patients were divided into CRAFITY 0 score (n=32), CRAFITY 1 score (n=31), and CRAFITY 2 score (n=22), respectively. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), and the secondary outcomes included tumor response rate and treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs). Factors affecting survival were identified via Cox regression analysis.

Results

The median overall survival (OS) for HCC patients with CRAFITY scores of 0, 1, and 2 was 33.4 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 27.1-39.7), 34.5 months (95% CI: 23.1-45.9), and 24.2 months (95% CI: 13.9-39.3), respectively, there were statistical differences among the three groups (p<0.05). The progression-free survival (PFS) was 14.1 months (95% CI: 10.0-18.2), 14.1 months (95% CI: 9.0-19.2), and 9.3 months (95% CI: 7.2-11.4) for patients with CRAFITY scores of 1, 2, and 3, respectively, with a significant difference between the three groups (p<0.05). In patients with CRAFITY scores of 1, 2, and 3, the disease control rates (DCR) were 94%, 84%, and 73%, respectively (p < 0.05), while the overall response rates (ORR) were 78.1%, 67.7%, and 59.1%, respectively (p = 0.318). A higher CRAFITY score showed a correlation with an increased frequency of fatigue and grade 3 fever (p<0.05). Moreover, CRAFITY 2 score was an independent risk factor for both OS (HR = 2.610(1.281-4.564), p = 0.014) and PFS (HR = 2.419(1.281-4.564), p = 0.006).

Conclusion

The CRAFITY score may provide an efficient predictive capacity for prognosis in HCC patients undergoing TACE combined with PD-(L)1 inhibitors and molecular targeted therapy.