Factors affecting the recurrence and survival of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: a retrospective study of 601 Chinese patients

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram to predict the recurrence of AFP-negative and DCP-positive hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

Purpose

Approximately one-third of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases are characterized by alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) negativity (AFP-NHCC. Among these patients, around 60% exhibit des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) positivity, and DCP-positive patients have a poorer prognosis. As a curative treatment, recurrence after liver resection poses significant challenges to the prognosis of HCC patients. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the relevant risk factors of these patients and provide timely treatment options.

Methods

This study included 540 patients who underwent resection at Beijing You'an Hospital. 292 patients from 2014 to 2018 constituted the training cohort, while 248 patients from 2018 to 2020 constituted the validation cohort. All patients underwent routine follow-ups until December 2023. Variables were identified through Cox regression, and a nomogram was developed. The nomogram was evaluated using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), calibration curves, Decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan-Meier (KM) curve analysis.

Results

We found that age, tumor number, tumor size, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GT), and prothrombin time (PT) are independent risk factors for HCC recurrence, and a nomogram was developed and validated based on this result to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) at 1, 2, and 3 years. The performance of the nomogram was further confirmed by the ROC curve, calibration curve, and DCA, all of which showed favorable results. The KM curve analysis clearly distinguishes between two groups of people with different risks in terms of prognosis in both the training and validation sets.

Conclusion

In summary, we established and validated a novel nomogram by multivariate Cox regression analysis to predict recurrence in DCP-positive patients with AFP-NHCC after resection. The nomogram, including age, tumor number, tumor size, γ-GT, and PT, demonstrates better predictive ability for AFP-NHCC patients with DCP positive.

Which factors predict tumor recurrence and survival after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma? Results from a European institution

BACKGROUND

High tumor recurrence and dismal survival rates after curative intended resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are still concerning. The primary goal was to assess predictive factors associated with disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in a subset of patients with HCC undergoing hepatic resection (HR).

METHODS

Between 08/2004-7/2021, HR for HCC was performed in 188 patients at our institution. Data allocation was conducted from a prospectively maintained database. The prognostic impact of clinico-pathological factors on DFS and OS was assessed by using uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Survival curves were generated with the Kaplan Meier method.

RESULTS

The postoperative 1-, 3- and 5- year overall DFS and OS rates were 77.9%, 49.7%, 41% and 72.7%, 54.7%, 38.8%, respectively. Tumor diameter ≥ 45 mm [HR 1.725; (95% CI 1.091-2.727); p = 0.020], intra-abdominal abscess [HR 3.812; (95% CI 1.859-7.815); p < 0.0001], and preoperative chronic alcohol abuse [HR 1.831; (95% CI 1.102-3.042); p = 0.020] were independently predictive for DFS while diabetes mellitus [HR 1.714; (95% CI 1.147-2.561); p = 0.009), M-Stage [HR 2.656; (95% CI 1.034-6.826); p = 0.042], V-Stage [HR 1.946; (95% CI 1.299-2.915); p = 0.001, Sepsis [HR 10.999; (95% CI 5.167-23.412); p < 0.0001], and ISGLS B/C [HR 2.008; (95% CI 1.273-3.168); p = 0.003] were significant determinants of OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite high postoperative recurrence rates, an acceptable long-term survival in patients after curative HR could be achieved. The Identification of parameters related to OS and DFS improves patient-centered treatment and surveillance strategies.

Primary non-response to antiviral therapy affects the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Although antiviral treatments have been shown to affect the recurrence and long-term survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who have high viral loads, the effect of different responses to antiviral therapy on the clinical outcomes remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the effect of primary non-response (no-PR) to antiviral therapy on the survival or prognosis of patients with HCC with a high load of hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA.

METHODS

A total of 493 HBV-HCC patients hospitalized at Beijing Ditan Hospital of Capital Medical University were admitted to this retrospective study. Patients were divided into two groups based on viral response (no-PR and primary response). Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were used to compare the overall survival of the two cohorts. Serum viral load comparison and subgroup analysis were performed. Additionally, risk factors were screened and the risk score chart was created.

RESULTS

This study consisted of 101 patients with no-PR and 392 patients with primary response. In the different categories based on hepatitis B e antigen and HBV DNA, no-PR group had a poor 1-year overall survival (OS). In addition, in the alanine aminotransferase < 50 IU/L and cirrhosis groups, primary nonresponse was related to poor overall survival and progression-free survival. Based on multivariate risk analysis, primary non-response (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.883, 95% CI 1.289-2.751, P = 0.001), tumor multiplicity (HR = 1.488, 95% CI 1.036-2.136, P = 0.031), portal vein tumor thrombus (HR = 2.732, 95% CI 1.859-4.015, P < 0.001), hemoglobin < 120 g/L (HR = 2.211, 95% CI 1.548-3.158, P < 0.001) and tumor size ≥ 5 cm (HR = 2.202, 95% CI 1.533-3.163, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 1-year OS. According to the scoring chart, patients were divided into three risk groups (high-, medium-, and low-risk groups) with mortality rates of 61.7%, 30.5%, and 14.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The level of viral decline at 3 months post-antiviral treatment may predict the OS of patients with HBV-related HCC, and primary non-response may shorten the median survival time of patients with high HBV-DNA levels.

Effects of Clonorchis sinensis combined with Hepatitis B virus infection on the prognosis of patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma following Hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine the impact of co-infection of Clonorchis sinensis (CS) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) on the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatectomy.

METHODS

The clinicopathological information of 946 patients with HCC following hepatectomy was retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into four groups depending on whether they had CS infection and/or HBV infection: double-negative group (infected with neither CS nor HBV), simple CS group (infected with only CS), simple HBV group (infected with only HBV), and double-positive group (co-infected with CS and HBV). Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate the overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), while log-rank tests were used to compare survival rates. Further, Cox regression was used to perform both univariate and multivariate survival analyses to identify variables linked to the prognosis of HCC.

RESULTS

The median overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in the double-positive, simple CS, simple HBV, and double-negative groups were 27 months and 9 months, 20 months and 7 months, 44 months and 12 months, and 42 months and 17 months, respectively. The double-positive group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 79.2% and 46.9%, 62.6% and 28.4%, 47.8%, and 12.2%, respectively. The simple CS group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 86.3% and 41.5%, 56.5% and 27.7%, 50.2%, and 18.5%, respectively. The simple HBV group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 89.8% and 56.0%, 72.5% and 30.5%, 63.8%, and 19.9%, respectively. The double-negative group's 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS and RFS rates were 91.5% and 62.3%, 76.1% and 32.9%, 64.0%, and 22.4%, respectively. Further, according to a Cox multivariate analysis, tumor size (> 5cm), Edmonson grade (III-IV), BCLC-C stage, and tumor satellite focus were independent risk factors for RFS and OS in patients with HCC.

CONCLUSION

Patients with HCC and Clonorchis sinensis infection experience a poor prognosis after hepatectomy, regardless of whether they are co-infected with HBV.

GNAO1 as a Novel Predictive Biomarker for Late Relapse in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

GNAO1, the alpha O1 subunit of G protein, was reported to be significantly downregulated in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), as well as being implicated in a variety of intracellular biological events; findings suggest that it may act as a tumor suppressor. Our goal was to further explore the expression of GNAO1 in HCC patients and its potential clinical significance. Oncomine and Kaplan–Meier plotter databases were used to assess the mRNA expression of GNAO1 in HCC tissues and patient survival time. Subsequently, immunohistochemistry (IHC) was used to measure GNAO1 protein level in tissue from 79 cases of HCC and paired adjacent tissues. The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis, Cox regression model, and prognostic nomogram were used to evaluate the prognostic role of GNAO1 in HCC. Results demonstrated that mRNA and protein expressions of GNAO1 were both lower in HCC tissues than in adjacent tissues (all p < 0.01). HCC patients with high expression of GNAO1 had better relapse-free survival (RFS) than those with low GNAO1 expression (all p < 0.05). A high expression of GNAO1, meanwhile, functioned as a good predictor of late relapse for HCC (p < 0.05). The nomogram consisting of GNAO1 expression and the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) model presented good ability in predicting the 3-year relapse for HCC (C-index = 0.614). In conclusion, GNAO1 was a reliable biomarker of relapse prediction for HCC.

Development of a novel prognostic nomogram for the early recurrence of liver cancer after curative hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant cancers worldwide. Curative resection is an effective treatment but HCC recurrence rates remain high. This study aimed to establish a novel prognostic nomogram to assess the risk of recurrence in patients following curative resection.

METHODS

A total of 410 patients undergoing HCC curative resection were recruited from the Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital (GDPH). The cohort was divided into a training group (n=291) and a validation group (n=97). The risk factors for HCC early recurrence within 1 year of curative hepatectomy were identified. Finally, a multivariate prognostic nomogram was developed and validated.

RESULTS

Age, tumor number, tumor capsule, portal vein tumor thrombi, pathological grade, vascular tumor emboli, activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), and tumor size were identified as independent prognostic risk factors for HCC early recurrence within 1 year of curative hepatectomy. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was 0.806 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.755 to 0.857; P<0.001], and no AUC/ROC statistical difference was detected between the training and validation sets.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram effectively predicted postoperative HCC recurrence within 1 year after curative hepatectomy, which may be a useful tool for the postoperative treatment or follow up for HCC patients.

Epigenetic silencing of GCH1promotes hepatocellular carcinoma growth by activating superoxide anion-mediated ASK1/p38 signaling via inhibiting tetrahydrobiopterin de novo biosynthesis

Metabolic reprogramming is a hallmark of cancer, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, its role in HCC remains to be elucidated. Herein, we identified GTP cyclohydrolase 1 (GCH1), the first rate-limiting enzyme in tetrahydrobiopterin (BH4) de novo biosynthesis, as a novel metabolic regulator of HCC. GCH1 was frequently down-regulated in HCC tissues and cell lines by promoter methylation. Low GCH1 expression was associated with larger tumor size, increased tumor number, and worse prognosis in two independent cohorts of HCC patients. Functionally, GCH1 silencing promoted HCC growth in vitro and in vivo, while GCH1 overexpression exerted an opposite effect. The metabolite BH4 inhibited HCC growth in vitro and in vivo. GCH1 silencing exerted its growth-promoting effect through directly inhibiting BH4 de novo biosynthesis. Mechanistically, GCH1 silencing activated ASK1/p38 signaling; pharmacological or genetic inhibition of ASK1 or p38 abolished GCH1 silencing-induced growth-promoting effect. Further mechanistic studies found that GCH1 silencing-induced BH4 reduction resulted in an increase of intracellular superoxide anion levels in a dose-dependent manner, which mediated the activation of ASK1/p38 signaling. Collectively, our study reveals that epigenetic silencing of GCH1 promotes HCC growth by activating superoxide anion-mediated ASK1/p38 signaling via inhibiting BH4 de novo biosynthesis, suggesting that targeting GCH1/BH4 pathway may be a promising therapeutic strategy to combat HCC.

Development and Validation of a Machine Learning Prognostic Model for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Surgical Resection

Surgical resection remains primary curative treatment for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) while over 50% of patients experience recurrence, which calls for individualized recurrence prediction and early surveillance. This study aimed to develop a machine learning prognostic model to identify high-risk patients after surgical resection and to review importance of variables in different time intervals. The patients in this study were from two centers including Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital (EHSH) and Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital (MHH). The best-performed model was determined, validated, and applied to each time interval (0-1 year, 1-2 years, 2-3 years, and 3-5 years). Importance scores were used to illustrate feature importance in different time intervals. In addition, a risk heat map was constructed which visually depicted the risk of recurrence in different years. A total of 7,919 patients from two centers were included, of which 3,359 and 230 patients experienced recurrence, metastasis or died during the follow-up time in the EHSH and MHH datasets, respectively. The XGBoost model achieved the best discrimination with a c-index of 0.713 in internal validation cohort. Kaplan-Meier curves succeed to stratify external validation cohort into different risk groups (p < 0.05 in all comparisons). Tumor characteristics contribute more to HCC relapse in 0 to 1 year while HBV infection and smoking affect patients' outcome largely in 3 to 5 years. Based on machine learning prediction model, the peak of recurrence can be predicted for individual HCC patients. Therefore, clinicians can apply it to personalize the management of postoperative survival.

Identification of Hub Genes Associated With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Robust Rank Aggregation Combined With Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis

Background

Bioinformatics provides a valuable tool to explore the molecular mechanisms underlying pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). To improve prognosis of patients, identification of robust biomarkers associated with the pathogenic pathways of HCC remains an urgent research priority.

Methods

We employed the Robust Rank Aggregation method to integrate nine qualified HCC datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus. A robust set of differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between tumor and normal tissue samples were screened. Weighted gene co-expression network analysis was applied to cluster DEGs and the key modules related to clinical traits identified. Based on network topology analysis, novel risk genes derived from key modules were mined and biological verification performed. The potential functions of these risk genes were further explored with the aid of miRNA–mRNA regulatory networks. Finally, the prognostic ability of these genes was assessed by constructing a clinical prediction model.

Results

Two key modules showed significant association with clinical traits. In combination with protein–protein interaction analysis, 29 hub genes were identified. Among these genes, 19 from one module showed a pattern of upregulation in HCC and were associated with the tumor node metastasis stage, and 10 from the other module displayed the opposite trend. Survival analyses indicated that all these genes were significantly related to patient prognosis. Based on the miRNA-mRNA regulatory network, 29 genes strongly linked to tumor activity were identified. Notably, five of the novel risk genes, ABAT, DAO, PCK2, SLC27A2, and HAO1, have rarely been reported in previous studies. Gene set enrichment analysis for each gene revealed regulatory roles in proliferation and prognosis of HCC. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis further validated DAO, PCK2, and HAO1 as prognostic factors in an external HCC dataset.

Conclusion

Analysis of multiple datasets combined with global network information presents a successful approach to uncover the complex biological mechanisms of HCC. More importantly, this novel integrated strategy facilitates identification of risk hub genes as candidate biomarkers for HCC, which could effectively guide clinical treatments.

Preoperative plus postoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio for predicting overall survival following partial hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma

The preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the postoperative NLR have been reported to be prognostic factors for malignant tumors. However, the prognostic value of combining the preoperative NLR and postoperative NLR for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear. In the present study, a cohort of 70 patients with primary HCC were retrospectively reviewed. The optimal cut-offs for continuous variables were determined by the maximally selected rank statistics. The prognostic factors included preoperative NLR, postoperative NLR, preoperative NLR plus postoperative NLR, change in postoperative NLR, and postoperative NLR minus preoperative NLR. The predictive powers of the aforementioned prognostic factors were analyzed by the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (td-AUC) curve. Prognostic values were assessed by univariate and multivariate analyses. An increased preoperative NLR was found to be associated with higher preoperative neutrophil levels, lower preoperative lymphocyte levels and larger tumor sizes (all P<0.05). An increased postoperative NLR was associated with higher postoperative neutrophil levels and lower postoperative lymphocyte levels (all P<0.05). Multivariate analysis identified the preoperative NLR plus postoperative NLR as an independent prognostic risk factor (HR, 2.985; 95% CI, 1.648-5.407; P<0.001). The preoperative NLR plus postoperative NLR had higher td-AUC values than the preoperative NLR, postoperative NLR, postoperative NLR change, and postoperative NLR minus the preoperative NLR in the first to fourth years after surgery. The preoperative NLR plus postoperative NLR, considering both the preoperative and postoperative treatment phases, is a novel and promising prognostic factor for patients with HCC and requires further investigation in the future.

Risk factors for long-term prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after anatomic hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The risk factors for patients with major postoperative complications immediately after liver resection have been identified; however, the intermediate and long-term prognoses for these patients have yet to be determined.

AIM

To evaluate the factors responsible for the long-term recurrence-free survival rate in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following anatomic hepatectomy.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 74 patients with HCC who underwent precise anatomic hepatectomy at our institution from January 2013 to December 2015. The observational endpoints for this study were the tumor recurrence or death of the HCC patients. The overall follow-up duration was three years. The recurrence-free survival curves were plotted by the Kaplan-Meier method and were analyzed by the log-rank test. The value of each variable for predicting prognosis was assessed via multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

The 1-year and 3-year recurrence-free survival rates of HCC patients were 68.92% and 55.41%, respectively, following anatomic liver resection. The results showed that the 3-year recurrence-free survival rate in HCC patients was closely related to preoperative cirrhosis, jaundice level, tumor stage, maximal tumor diameter, complications of diabetes mellitus, frequency of intraoperative hypotensive episodes, estimated blood loss (EBL), blood transfusion, fluid infusion, and postoperative infection (P < 0.1). Based on multivariate analysis, preoperative cirrhosis, tumor stage, intraoperative hypotension, and EBL were identified to be predictors of 3-year recurrence-free survival in HCC patients undergoing anatomic hepatectomy (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Tumor stage and preoperative cirrhosis adversely affect the recurrence-free survival rate in HCC patients following anatomic hepatectomy. The long-term recurrence-free survival rate of patients with HCC is closely related to intraoperative hypotension and EBL.

Long non-coding RNAs (CASC2 and TUG1) in hepatocellular carcinoma: Clinical significance

BACKGROUND

The biology of hepatocellular carcinoma remains poorly understood. Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been confirmed to be key regulators of most cell processes and cancer. The lncRNA cancer susceptibility candidate 2 (CASC2) was originally identified as a downregulated gene in endometrial cancer and acted as a tumor suppressor. The lncRNA taurine up-regulated gene 1 (TUG1) has been shown to play an oncogenic role in various cancers. However, the relative expression of CASC2 and TUG1 in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) on top of hepatitis C virus (HCV) and the relationship between both remains unclear. The present study aimed to evaluate both lncRNA CASC2 and TUG1 relative gene expression in whole blood of HCC/HCV patients in relation to HCV and healthy subjects and to relate them to each other and to different clinicopathological factors.

METHODS

The relative expression of CASC2 and TUG1 was estimated by a quantitative reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction in 30 HCC/HCV patients and compared with 20 cases of HCV patients and 20 controls.

RESULTS

CASC2 was downregulated in HCC/HCV patients, whereas TUG1 was overexpressed in relation to HCV and the control group, indicating their antagonistic effect. This suggests their role in the pathogenesis of HCC on top of HCV. Their expression was correlated to Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage and serum alpha-fetoprotein level.

CONCLUSIONS

CASC2 and TUG1 could be new potential biomarkers with a valid non-invasive technique.

Prognostic and clinicopathological significance of Gamma-Glutamyltransferase in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A PRISMA-compliant meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Many studies explored the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum Gamma-Glutamyltransferase (GGT) level in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there are inconsistent results in the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum GGT level in HCC. Thus, we conducted this meta-analysis to comprehensively assess the prognostic and clinicopathological significance of pretreatment serum GGT level in HCC patients.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science for relevant studies (up to June 14, 2018). The estimated hazard ratios (HRs) were used to assess the association between pretreatment serum GGT level and survival in HCC patients. The estimated odds ratios (ORs) were applied to evaluate the correlation between pretreatment serum GGT and clinicopathological features in HCC.

RESULTS

Our results showed that high pretreatment serum GGT level was significantly correlated with poor overall survival (OS) (HR = 1.70, 95% CI: 1.54-1.87; P < .01) and disease-free survival/relapse-free survival (DFS/RFS) (HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.42-1.71; P < .01). Additionally, our results also revealed that there was a close correlation between GGT level and several clinicopathological features in HCC patients, including vascular invasion, tumor size, tumor number and Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level.

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis shows that high pretreatment serum GGT level is significantly correlated with poor survival and unfavorable clinicopathological features in HCC patients, suggesting that pretreatment serum GGT may be an economical and effective prognostic biomarker for HCC patients. However, more high-quality studies are still warranted to further validate our findings, considering there are several limitations in this meta-analysis.

The prognostic significance of pretreatment serum γ-glutamyltranspeptidase in primary liver cancer: a meta-analysis and systematic review

Aim: To assess the prognostic value of the pretreatment serum γ-glutamyltranspeptidase (GGT) level in patients with primary liver cancer (PLC). Methods: Relevant studies were systematically searched online on Web of Science, PubMed, and Embase databases published until 9 October 2018. The end points were overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and disease-free survival (DFS). Meta-analysis was conducted using hazard ratio (HR), and its 95% confidence interval (CI) as effect measure. Results: A total of 33 eligible studies with 9238 patients with PLC were included in this meta-analysis. The synthesized analysis showed that that higher serum GGT level was significantly related to poorer OS (HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.66–1.93, P<0.01), RFS (HR: 1.60, 95% CI: 1.46–1.77, P<0.01), and DFS (HR: 1.52, 95% CI: 1.33–1.73, P<0.01) of patients with PLC. Subgroup analyses demonstrated that the negative prognostic impact of higher serum GGT level on OS and RFS was still of significance regardless of ethnicity, pathological type, sample size, cut-off value, first-line treatment, and analysis type. Conclusion: The pretreatment serum GGT might be a predictive factor of poor prognosis for PLC patients.

Association and interaction between model for end-stage liver disease score and minimally invasive treatment with regard to mortality of patients with hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma and portal vein tumor thrombi

The development of minimally invasive treatment over the last two decades has had a great impact on hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated primary liver cancer. The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is the optimal evaluated parameter for mortality in patients with end-stage liver disease. However, the association between MELD score and minimally invasive treatment with regard to the mortality of patients with HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) remains unclear. In the present study, a total of 173 patients who had been diagnosed with HBV-associated HCC and PVTT in the Beijing Ditan Hospital (Beijing, China), between January 2012 and January 2015, were screened. Follow-up was performed to observe the survival time and collect information on the demographic characteristics and associated clinical indicators present in the cohort. The patient's age, sex, laboratory parameters and the use of minimally invasive treatment were analyzed with SPSS 20.0 software. Independent risk factors for mortality were screened by Cox regression analysis. Logistic regression indicated that there was an interaction between the MELD score and minimally invasive treatment. In addition, a MELD score ≤17.85 was associated with a lower mortality rate subsequent to minimally invasive treatment.

The Impact of Tumor Differentiation on the Prognosis of HBV-Associated Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Hepatectomy: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

AIM

The role of tumor differentiation in the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy remains controversial. The present study aimed to classify the impact of tumor differentiation on solitary hepatitis B viral (HBV)-associated HCC using propensity score matching analysis.

METHODS

Between January 2009 and March 2015, the data of 721 HCC patients in West China Hospital were prospectively collected and analyzed. Propensity matching analysis was applied to overcome the imbalance in baseline characteristics. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Risk factors were identified by the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

All HCC patients were classified into the moderately well-differentiated HCCs group (group A, n = 442, 61.3%) or poorly differentiated HCCs group (group B, n = 279, 38.7%). Patients with poorly differentiated HCCs commonly had a larger tumor size, more advanced tumors, and a higher alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level. Patients with poorly differentiated HCCs had a poorer recurrence-free survival and overall survival before and after propensity score matching analysis. Poorly differentiated tumors, positive serum hepatitis B viral e antigen, positive hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid load, tumor size, microvascular invasion, and AFP > 400 ng/ml were risk factors of a poor outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Our propensity model provided strong evidence that a poorly differentiated tumor had a negative impact on the recurrence and long-term survival of solitary HBV-associated HCCs after curative hepatectomy. Antiviral therapy might improve their prognosis.

Correlation between Resection Margin and Disease Recurrence with a Restricted Cubic Spline Model in Patients with Resected Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The relationship between resection margin (RM) and recurrence of resected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unclear.

METHODS

We reviewed clinical data for 419 patients with HCC. The oncologic outcomes were compared between 2 groups of patients classified according to the inflexion point of the restricted cubic spline plot.

RESULTS

The patients were divided according to an RM of <1 cm (n = 233; narrow RM group) or ≥1 cm (n = 186; wide RM group). The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate was lower (34.8 vs. 43.8%, p = 0.042) and recurrence near the resection site was more frequent (4.7 vs. 0%, p = 0.010) in the narrow RM group. Patients with multiple lesions, or prior transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) were excluded from subgroup analyses. In patients with a 2-5 cm HCC, the 5-year RFS was greater in the wide RM group (54.4 vs. 32.5%, p = 0.036). Narrow RM (hazard ratio 1.750, 95% CI 1.029-2.976, p = 0.039) was independently associated with disease recurrence.

CONCLUSION

In patients with a single 2-5 cm HCC without prior TACE/RFA, an RM of ≥1 cm was associated with lower risk of recurrence after liver resection.

Risk factors of early recurrence after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma

Early recurrence is common after curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma and is associated with poor prognosis. This study aimed to identify risk factors of early recurrence after curative hepatectomy in hepatocellular carcinoma. Overall, 63 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma were enrolled. Patients were divided into the early recurrence group, who developed recurrence within 12 months after hepatectomy (n = 10), and the non-early recurrence group (n = 53). Clinicopathological factors of early recurrence were retrospectively analyzed. Among the 63 patients, 10 (15.9%) patients experienced early recurrence. Univariate analysis showed tumor necrosis (p = 0.012), level of PIVKA-II (prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II; p = 0.002), and microvascular invasion (p = 0.029) to be associated with early recurrence. By multivariate analysis, there were significant differences in high PIVKA-II (p < 0.001) and tumor necrosis (p = 0.012) in patients with early recurrence. The optimal cutoff values of PIVKA-II and tumor necrosis were 46 mAU/mL and 3% of total tumor volume, respectively. Patients with a high preoperative PIVKA-II level and extent of tumor necrosis, which are independent risk factors for early recurrence, should be actively treated and monitored closely after hepatectomy.

Preoperative Albumin-Bilirubin Score for Postoperative Solitary Hepatocellular Carcinoma within the Milan Criteria and Child-Pugh A Cirrhosis

Surgical resection remains the initial treatment of choice for the majority of early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Although the factors that influence the prognosis of postoperative HCC patients have been well elucidated, there are a limited number of simple, objective, and distinct methods for estimating survival for postoperative patients with solitary HCC within the Milan criteria and Child-Pugh (C-P) A cirrhosis. The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) score is a new evidence-based approach to assess liver function. The ALBI score eliminates subjective variables, such as ascites and encephalopathy which are the requirements for the conventional C-P grading system. This study enrolled 654 patients to determine whether the ALBI score can predict the outcomes of postoperative solitary HCC patients within the Milan criteria and C-P A cirrhosis. Our results showed the ALBI score significantly influenced the overall survival and cumulative recurrence rates. Furthermore, the ALBI score was significantly related to the degree of liver cirrhosis and serum γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) concentration in solitary HCC cases within the Milan criteria and C-P A cirrhosis. Additionally, the combination of the ALBI score and serum GGT concentration contributed to the prognosis prediction in this cohort. In conclusion, we externally validated the ALBI grade as a novel biomarker to predict prognosis for solitary HCC within the Milan Criteria and C-P A cirrhosis.

The prognostic correlation of AFP level at diagnosis with pathological grade, progression, and survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

The purpose of this study was to conduct a comprehensive study of the clinical correlation between the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level at diagnosis and pathological grades, progression, and survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A total of 78,743 patients in Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER)-registered HCC was analyzed. The AFP test results for patients with HCC were mainly recorded as AFP-negative and AFP-positive. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the AFP level at diagnosis was an independent risk factor of pathological grade (odds ratio [OR], 2.559; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.075-3.157; P < 0.001), TNM-7 stage (OR, 2.794; CI, 2.407-3.242; P < 0.001), and tumor size (OR, 1.748; 95% CI, 1.574-1.941; P < 0.001). Multivariable Cox regression analyses identified AFP level as an independent predictor of survival risk of patients with HCC who did not undergo surgery (hazard ratio [HR], 1.660; 95% CI, 1.534-1.797; P < 0.001), and those who underwent surgery (HR, 1.534; 95% CI, 1.348-1.745; P < 0.001). The AFP level at diagnosis was an independent risk predictor associated with pathological grade, progression, and survival. Further, surgery may not significantly reverse the adverse effects of AFP-positive compared with AFP-negative.

Prognostic value of preoperative peripheral monocyte count in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

Prognostic value of peripheral monocyte, as a member of inflammatory cells, was widely being investigated. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative peripheral blood monocyte count for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who underwent liver transplantation (LT) and the relationship between monocyte count and tumor-related characteristics. We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 101 HCC patients after LT. Preoperative monocyte count and demographic, clinical, and pathologic data were analyzed. The optimal cutoff value of monocyte count was 456/mm(3), with the sensitivity and specificity of 69.4 and 61.5 %, respectively. Elevated preoperative peripheral blood monocyte count was significantly associated with large tumor size. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) (80.9, 70.1, and 53.3 % vs 55.1, 38.7, and 38.7 %, P = 0.007) and overall survival (OS) rates (95.7, 76.6, and 64.8 % vs 72.2, 44.1, and 36.1 %, P = 0.002) of HCC patients in the peripheral blood monocyte count ≤456/mm(3) group were higher than those in the peripheral blood monocyte count >456/mm(3) group. In conclusion, elevated preoperative peripheral blood monocyte count was significantly associated with advanced tumor stage and it can be considered as a prognostic factor for HCC patients after LT.