Pathological Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Therapy in Rectal Adenocarcinoma: a 5-Year Follow-up

Comparing outcomes and cost in surgery versus watch & wait surveillance of patients with rectal cancer post neoadjuvant long course chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Watch and wait (W&W) in complete clinical responders after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy has increasingly robust data supporting its oncological safety. Recently, studies have assessed the real-world costs of this strategy compared to surgical resection. Our aim was to compare our oncological safety and costs associated with operative and surveillance strategies to international literature.

METHODS

Data were retrospectively collected and analysed via electronic health records from March 2014 to March 2021 in Christchurch, New Zealand. Two cohorts were created based on intention to treat. All hospital events were recorded and costed, as well as oncologic outcomes. Our primary endpoints were the cumulative cost of both strategies, 3-year survival rate, and disease-free survival.

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients were identified who had rectal cancers resected (OT) with a yPT0N0 pathology, and 42 who were on the wait-and-watch (W&W) audit after having a clinical complete response. After exclusions, we identified 38 OT and 23 W&W patients; the W&W group were more co-morbid (P = 0.05), had worse functional status (P = 0.008), higher BMI (P = 0.34) and more favourable clinical tumour staging (P = 0.01). The operative treatment (OT) group (n = 38) had more acute admissions (34% versus 13% in W&W, P = 0.08, OR 0.29). There was a 35.7% (n = 8 of 23) local recurrence in W&W and none in the OT group (P ≤ 0.001), with successful salvage in the W&W with local recurrence in 71.5% (n = 5 of 7). Three-year distant metastasis-free rate was 97.3% in the OT group and 90.9% in W&W (p = 0.05). Overall survival was 100% (W&W) and 94.7% (OT); (P = 0.019). Care in the OT group cost more than W&W, accounting for local regrowth management; $NZ70,759.56 versus $NZ47,905.52 (P = 0.014).

CONCLUSION

This study found better oncological outcomes in the OT group, whilst the W&W group had reduced morbidity and acute bed days. The cost of wait and watch was approximately two-thirds that of operative treatment, even accounting for salvage procedures for local regrowth.

The Predictors of Complete Pathologic Response in Rectal Cancer during the Total Neoadjuvant Therapy Era: A Systematic Review

The modern rectal cancer treatment paradigm offers additional opportunities for organ preservation, most notably via total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) and consideration for a watch-and-wait (WW) surveillance-only approach. A major barrier to widespread implementation of a WW approach to rectal cancer is the potential discordance between a clinical complete response (cCR) and a pathologic complete response (pCR). In the pre-TNT era, the identification of predictors of pCR after neoadjuvant therapy had been previously studied. However, the last meta-analysis to assess the summative evidence on this important treatment decision point predates the acceptance and dissemination of TNT strategies. The purpose of this systematic review was to assess preoperative predictors of pCR after TNT to guide the ideal selection criteria for WW in the current era. An exhaustive literature review was performed and the electronic databases Embase, Ovid, MEDLINE, PubMed, and Cochrane were comprehensively searched up to 27 June 2023. Search terms and their combinations included "rectal neoplasms", "total neoadjuvant therapy", and "pathologic complete response". Only studies in English were included. Randomized clinical trials or prospective/retrospective cohort studies of patients with clinical stage 2 or 3 rectal adenocarcinoma who underwent at least 8 weeks of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in addition to chemoradiotherapy with pCR as a measured study outcome were included. In this systematic review, nine studies were reviewed for characteristics positively or negatively associated with pCR or tumor response after TNT. The results were qualitatively grouped into four categories: (1) biochemical factors; (2) clinical factors; (3) patient demographics; and (4) treatment sequence for TNT. The heterogeneity of studies precluded meta-analysis. The level of evidence was low to very low. There is minimal data to support any clinicopathologic factors that either have a negative or positive relationship to pCR and tumor response after TNT. Additional data from long-term trials using TNT is critical to better inform those considering WW approaches following a cCR.

Analysis of Survival in Complete Pathological Response after Long-Course Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Advanced Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy prior to surgery is the standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer. This consists in the patient's complete pathological response being achieved with no residual tumor presence in the resected specimen, which results in survival improvement.

METHODS

This retrospective study aimed to examine the rate of complete pathological response in patients with advanced rectal cancer treated with neoadjuvant long-course chemoradiotherapy and to examine the survival differences between the different tumor regression grade (TRG) scores.

RESULTS

A total of 154 patients were operated prior to long-course chemoradiotherapy with a total of 50 Gy plus FOLFOX protocol. Complete pathologic response was achieved in 29 (18.8%) patients. There was no statistical difference for the different pathologic responses according to gender, type of surgery, and number of harvested lymph nodes. Mean survival for all the groups was 37.2 months. Survival within a different TRG score exhibited statistical significance (p = 0.006). Overall, the survival rate during the follow-up period was of 81.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

The complete pathological response rate in this study was of 18.8%. High tumor regression grade scores (TRG0 and TRG1) had a survival rate of over 90% during follow-up. Multivariate analysis identified perineural invasion and tumor regression grade as independent factors that affect survival.