Post-relapse survival in patients with the early and late distant recurrence in estrogen receptor-positive HER2-negative breast cancer

Mortality After Late Breast Cancer Recurrence in Denmark

PURPOSE

Late breast cancer (BC) recurrence (ie, ≥ 10 years after primary diagnosis) may have a more favorable prognosis than earlier recurrence. We investigated the risk of BC death after late recurrence, identified prognostic factors, and compared survival after early and late recurrence.

METHODS

Using the Danish Breast Cancer Group and other nationwide databases, we identified women with early or late BC recurrence during 2004-2018, who were alive 6 months after recurrence. We followed them until BC death, death from other causes, emigration, 10 years, or December 31, 2018, whichever came first. We calculated mortality rates (MRs) per 1,000 person-years (PY) and cumulative BC mortality, for early versus late recurrence, and by characteristics of the primary tumor and the late recurrence. Using Cox regression, we calculated adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for BC death, accounting for death from other causes as competing risks.

RESULTS

Among 2,004 patients with late recurrence, 721 died of BC with a median survival time of 10 years (MR = 84.8 per 1,000 PY; 10-year cumulative mortality = 50%). Among 1,528 patients with early recurrence, 1,092 BC deaths occurred with a median survival time of 4 years (MR = 173.9 per 1,000 PY; 10-year cumulative mortality = 72%). We observed a lower hazard of BC-specific death among patients who developed late compared with early recurrence (hazard ratio = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.85). Advanced stage at primary diagnosis, distant metastases, adjuvant treatment for locoregional recurrence, and systemic treatment for distant recurrence were associated with increased mortality after late recurrence. Breast-conserving surgery at primary diagnosis, locoregional recurrence, and surgery for recurrence were associated with lower mortality after late recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Patients with late recurrence had more favorable prognosis than patients with early recurrence. The localization of recurrent disease was the main prognostic factor for BC death.

Factors associated with overall survival after recurrence in patients with ER-positive/HER2-negative postmenopausal breast cancer: an ad hoc analysis of the JBCRG-C06 Safari study

BACKGROUND

The Safari study (UMIN000015168) was a retrospective, multicenter study in which 1072 consecutive cases of estrogen receptor-positive advanced breast cancer treated using 500 mg fulvestrant were registered. We previously reported the relationship between the patient factors and overall survival after the diagnosis using the same cases and the same factors for the analysis of time to treatment failure in patients with estrogen receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. The current study is an ad hoc analysis that focused on the relationship between the patient factors and overall survival after recurrence by adding factors generally associated with overall survival after recurrence.

METHODS

The overall survival after recurrence in patients with estrogen receptor-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative recurrent breast cancer was analyzed via univariate and multivariate analyses with a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

A total of 598 cases were used for the analysis of overall survival after recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed that favorable overall survival (median, 6.4 years) was significantly correlated with long time from recurrence to fulvestrant use (≥3 years), low nuclear or histological grade (G3 vs. G1), long time to treatment failure of initial palliative endocrine therapy (≥12 months) and long time to initial palliative chemotherapy (≥2 years).

CONCLUSION

The results of this study indicate that sequential endocrine monotherapy may be a useful treatment option for patients with estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative recurrent breast cancer who have been successfully treated with initial long-term palliative endocrine therapy.

Late Recurrence Following Early Breast Cancer

The Oncology Grand Rounds series is designed to place original reports published in the Journal into clinical context. A case presentation is followed by a description of diagnostic and management challenges, a review of the relevant literature, and a summary of the authors' suggested management approaches. The goal of this series is to help readers better understand how to apply the results of key studies, including those published in the Journal of Clinical Oncology, to patients seen in their own clinical practice.

Breast cancer recurrence 27 years after full recovery; A case report with literature review

Introduction

Case report

Discussion

Conclusion

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Breast cancer might recur after a decade of healthy life.

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About 5% to 35% of breast cancers recur loco-regionally.

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Ipsilateral lymphadenopathy has been classified as a regional recurrence.

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In this report, recurrence occurred after nearly 3 decades.

Identifying and Validating of an Autophagy-Related Gene Signature for the Prediction of Early Relapse in Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Compelling evidence has demonstrated the pivotal role of autophagy in the prognosis of breast cancer. Breast cancer (BC) patients with early relapse consistently exhibited worse survival.

METHODS

The autophagy-related genes were derived from the Human Autophagy Database (HADb) and high-sequencing data were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Discrepantly expressed autophagy genes (DEAGs) between early relapse and long-term survival groups were performed using the Linear Models for Microarray data (LIMMA) method. Lasso Cox regression analysis was conducted for the selection of the 4-gene autophagy-related gene signature. GSE42568 and GSE21653 databases were enrolled in this study for the external validation of the signature. Then patients were divided into high and low-risk groups based on the specific score formula. GSEA was used to discover the related signaling pathway. The Kaplan-Meier curves and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the discrimination and accuracy of the 4-gene signature.

RESULTS

A signature composed of four autophagy-related mRNA including APOL1, HSPA8, SIRT1, and TP73, was identified as significantly associated with the early relapse in BC patients. Time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic at 1 year suggested remarkable accuracy of the signature [area under the curve (AUC = 0.748)]. The risk score model based on the autophagy-related signature showed favorable predicting value in 1-, 2-, and 3-year relapse-free survival (RFS) in training and two validating cohorts. The GSEA displayed gene sets were remarkably enriched in carcinogenic activation pathways and autophagy-related pathways. The nomogram involving three variables (progesterone receptor status, T stage, and 4-gene signature) exhibited relatively good discrimination with a C-index of 0.766.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study establishes an autophagy-related 4-gene signature that can effectively stratify the high-risk and low-risk BC patients for early relapse. Combined with the clinicopathological variables, the signature could significantly help oncologists tailor more efficient treatment strategies for BC patients.

A systematic literature review of prognostic factors in patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer in Japan

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer is the most prevalent cancer in women in Japan and the fifth in mortality. This systematic review summarized the evidence for prognostic factors for patients with HR+/HER2- advanced and metastatic breast cancer in Japan.

METHODS

MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched with keywords 'breast neoplasms' AND 'Japan' AND 'advanced' or equivalent, and Japan Medical Abstract Society database with 'breast cancer' AND 'advanced/metastatic' for publications from January 2010 to October 2019. ASCO, ESMO, ABC4 abstracts and WHO website were hand searched. The endpoints of interest were overall survival, progression-free survival, tumour response and post-progression survival. Factors were evaluated based on the consistency in direction and the strength (hazard ratios) of association.

RESULTS

Searches identified 4530 publications, of which 27 were eligible. All were observational studies. Among the endpoints, overall survival was the most commonly assessed (n = 22) and evaluated further. Ki-67 expression, progesterone receptor expression status, tumour grade and lymph node metastases were consistently associated with poor overall survival in univariate analysis but not in multivariate analysis. Short disease-free interval, the number of metastatic organs and liver metastasis were consistently associated with poor overall survival in both of univariate and multivariate analysis. The association was strong for liver metastasis (hazard ratio ≥2.8 in the majority of studies) and moderate for disease-free interval and the number of metastatic organs (hazard ratio 1.3-2.8 in the majority of studies).

CONCLUSIONS

Disease-free interval, the number of metastatic organs and liver metastasis were identified as independent prognostic factors for overall survival. These findings may help clinical decision-making to improve outcomes in patients with HR+/HER2- advanced and metastatic breast cancer.

Prognostic Factors in Hormone Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative (HR+/HER2-) Advanced Breast Cancer: A Systematic Literature Review

PURPOSE

Advanced breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease with several well-defined subtypes, among which, hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) is most prevalent. Determination of HR and HER2 status influences prognosis and, thus, disease management. Although literature on these prognostic factors exist, especially in the early breast cancer setting, it remains unclear to what extent these factors can guide clinical decision-making in the advanced disease setting. Therefore, we sought to identify the strength and consistency of evidence for prognostic factors in patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer.

METHODS

A systematic literature review (SLR) of the major electronic databases was conducted in November 2018 for primary research studies published since 2010. Endpoints of interest were tumor response, progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS).

RESULTS

Seventy-nine studies were included wherein all patients were diagnosed with advanced breast cancer and ≥50% of the population were HR+/HER2-. OS was the most commonly assessed endpoint (n=67) followed by PFS (n=33), BCSS (n=5) and tumor response (n=3). The prognostic factors with strongest evidence of association with worse OS were negative progesterone receptor status, higher tumor grade, higher circulating tumor cell (CTC) count and higher Ki67 level, number of metastatic sites (eg multiple vs single) and sites of metastases (eg presence of liver metastases vs absence), shorter time to recurrence or progression to advanced breast cancer, poor performance status, prior therapy attributes in the early or metastatic setting (type of therapy, treatment line, response of prior therapy), and race (black vs white). The prognostic factors that had strongest evidence of association with PFS included CTC count, number and sites of metastases, and absence of prior therapy or higher lines of therapy in the early or metastatic setting. The directionality of association was consistent for all prognostic factors except between lymph node and OS, and de novo metastatic breast cancer and PFS.

CONCLUSION

Multiple disease, treatment, and patient-related prognostic factors impact survival, particularly OS, in patients with HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer. Treatment outcomes can vary considerably due to these factors. Understanding poorer prognostic factors for patients can result in improved clinical decision-making.

Impact of clinical targeted sequencing on endocrine responsiveness in estrogen receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer

Clinical targeted sequencing allows for the selection of patients expected to have a better treatment response, and reveals mechanisms of resistance to molecular targeted therapies based on actionable gene mutations. We underwent comprehensive genomic testing with either our original in-house CLHURC system or with OncoPrime. Samples from 24 patients with estrogen receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative metastatic breast cancer underwent targeted sequencing between 2016 and 2018. Germline and somatic gene alterations and patients' prognosis were retrospectively analyzed according to the response to endocrine therapy. All of the patients had one or more germline and/or somatic gene alterations. Four patients with primary or secondary endocrine-resistant breast cancer harbored germline pathogenic variants of BRCA1, BRCA2, or PTEN. Among somatic gene alterations, TP53, PIK3CA, AKT1, ESR1, and MYC were the most frequently mutated genes. TP53 gene mutation was more frequently observed in patients with primary endocrine resistance compared to those with secondary endocrine resistance or endocrine-responsive breast cancer. Recurrent breast cancer patients carrying TP53-mutant tumors had significantly worse overall survival compared to those with TP53-wild type tumors. Our 160-gene cancer panel will be useful to identify clinically actionable gene alterations in breast cancer in clinical practice.

Factors associated with prolonged overall survival in patients with postmenopausal estrogen receptor-positive advanced breast cancer using real-world data: a follow-up analysis of the JBCRG-C06 Safari study

Background

Assessing survival risk is important for discussing treatment options with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) advanced breast cancer (ABC) patients. However, there are few reports from large-scale databases on the survival risk factors in ER+ ABC. The Safari study (UMIN000015168) was a retrospective, multicenter cohort study involving 1072 Japanese patients receiving fulvestrant 500 mg mostly as a second- or later-line endocrine therapy for ER+ ABC. The follow-up data after the Safari study were examined, focusing on any relationship between clinicopathological factors and overall survival (OS) in ER+ ABC patients.

Methods

OS in patients with ER+ ABC was analyzed by univariate and multivariate analyses with a Cox proportional hazards model in this study.

Results

A total of 1031 cases were evaluable for OS analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that younger age (< 60 years), longer time from ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use (≥ 3 years), no prior palliative chemotherapy before fulvestrant use, and progesterone receptor (PgR) negativity (PgR−) were significantly correlated with prolonged OS (median 7.0 years). For cases with histological or nuclear grade data, lower histological or nuclear grades were also correlated with longer OS. In recurrent metastatic cases, long disease-free interval (DFI) was not correlated with longer OS.

Conclusions

In ER+ ABC patients whose treatment history included fulvestrant, younger age, longer time from ABC diagnosis to fulvestrant use, no prior palliative chemotherapy use, PgR−, and lower histological or nuclear grade correlated positively with prolonged OS.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s12282-019-01029-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Response to First-line Recurrence Treatment Influences Survival in Hormone Receptor-positive, HER2-negative Breast Cancer: A Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND/AIM

Little evidence is currently available on significant determinants of post-recurrence survival for patients with hormone receptor-positive (HR+), HER2-negative (HER2-) breast cancer. The objective of this study was to evaluate factors influencing post-recurrence survival in HR+/HER2-breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A cohort of 236 patients with recurrent HR+/HER2- breast cancer was retrospectively analyzed to identify significant factors correlating with prognosis after recurrence.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis revealed independent prognostic factors of poor survival as follows: short intervals between recurrence and the end of adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET; p=0.046); short disease-free intervals (p=0.019); liver metastasis (p=0.007) or multiple metastases (p<0.001) at recurrence; and a poor response to first-line treatment (p<0.001). A poor first-line treatment response was significantly associated with a shorter response to a subsequent treatment line (p=0.007). Logistic regression analysis indicated that liver metastasis significantly increased the risk of a poor first-line-ET response (p=0.009).

CONCLUSION

The first-line treatment response was the key to post-recurrence survival in patients with HR+/HER2- breast cancer. Particularly poor responses led to subsequent unfavorable prognostic outcomes.

Associations in tumor infiltrating lymphocytes between clinicopathological factors and clinical outcomes in estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2 negative breast cancer

The value of assessing tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in estrogen receptor (ER) positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2 (HER2) negative breast cancer has yet to be determined. In the present study, a total of 184 cases with early distant recurrence detected within 5 years following the primary operation, 134 with late distant recurrence diagnosed following 5 years or longer and 321 controls without recurrence for >10 years following starting the initial treatment for ER-positive/HER2 negative breast cancer, registered in 9 institutions, were analyzed. The distributions of TILs and their clinical relevance were investigated. TIL distributions did not differ significantly among the early, late and no recurrence groups, employing a 30% cut-off point as a dichotomous variable. In those who had received adjuvant chemotherapy as well as endocrine therapy, a trend toward higher TIL proportions was detected when the early recurrence group was compared with the no recurrence group employing the 30% cut-off point (P=0.064). The TIL distributions were significantly associated with nodal metastasis (P=0.004), ER status (P=0.045), progesterone receptor (PgR) status (P=0.002), tumor grade (P=0.021), and the Ki67 labeling index (LI) (P=0.002) in the no recurrence group and with the Ki67 LI in the recurrence groups (P=0.002 in early recurrence group, P=0.023 in late recurrence group). High TIL distributions also predicted shorter survival time following the detection of recurrence (P=0.026). However, these prognostic interactions were not significant in multivariate analysis (P=0.200). The present retrospective study demonstrated no significant interaction between TIL proportions and the timing of recurrence. However, higher TIL proportions were observed in breast cancer patients with aggressive biological phenotypes, which tended to be more responsive to chemotherapy. The clinical relevance of stromal TILs for identifying patients who would likely benefit from additional therapies merits further investigation in a larger patient population.

Significance of intrinsic breast cancer subtypes on the long-term prognosis after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of breast cancer and the treatment response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) differ depending on the intrinsic molecular subtypes. We evaluated the prognostic significance of immunohistological subtypes in patients with recurrent breast cancer after treatment with NAC and surgery.

METHODS

A total of 237 patients with breast cancer treated with NAC and subsequent curative surgery between 2007 and 2015 were analyzed. The correlation between intrinsic molecular subtypes and clinicopathological features, prognosis, and pathological complete response (pCR) rate of NAC were investigated retrospectively.

RESULTS

There were 55 (23.2%) patients with recurrence after surgery. No significant difference in post-recurrence survival (PRS) was noted among the subtypes (p = 0.397). In patients with estrogen receptor-positive human epidermal growth factor receptor (HER) 2-negative (luminal) malignancy, PRS was significantly better in the pCR group than in the non-pCR group (p = 0.031). Conversely, pCR was not a significant predictor of improved PRS in patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC; p = 0.329). Multivariate analysis revealed that the efficacy of NAC [hazard ratio (HR) 300.204, p < 0.001] and the initial metastasis site (HR 15.037, p = 0.005) were independent predictors for PRS in patients with luminal breast cancer, while Ki-67 (HR 51.171, p = 0.020) and the initial metastasis site (HR 13.318, p = 0.048) were independent predictors for PRS in patients with TNBC.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic factors for each intrinsic subtype should be evaluated separately in patients with recurrent breast cancer following NAC and surgery.

Tamoxifen withdrawal in women with progressive metastatic breast cancer: a case series of six patients

Estrogen receptor (ER)-positive metastatic breast cancers after a period of response to tamoxifen develop resistance, and the disease progresses clinically. Domination of partial agonistic activity of tamoxifen over its antagonist activity has been implicated as one of the mechanisms for acquired tamoxifen resistance. Six patients with ER-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative metastatic breast cancer who were treated with tamoxifen withdrawal were retrospectively reviewed. Three patients were premenopausal and three were postmenopausal at the beginning of this treatment. Three patients had stage IV disease and three had recurrent breast cancers with median disease-free intervals of 153 months. The treatment lines of tamoxifen therapy were first-line in two, second-line in two, and third-line in one patient. One patient had relapsed during adjuvant tamoxifen therapy. The median duration of tamoxifen therapy was 16 months. The metastatic disease sites at the time of tamoxifen withdrawal were lymph nodes in six, bone in three, chest wall in one, lung in two, pleura in one, and liver in one patient. The median duration of tamoxifen withdrawal was 6.5 months (range 5-> 23 months). Five of six patients had clinical benefits with tamoxifen withdrawal: partial response in one, long stable disease (SD) in four, and SD in one patient. Five patients were treated with aromatase inhibitors after tamoxifen withdrawal. Two patients had metastatic lymph nodes examined by multi-gene panel testing, and both of their tumors had the AKT1 E17K somatic mutation. One patient also had a BRCA1 germline mutation. Tamoxifen withdrawal at the time of tumor progression while on treatment might be an important treatment option, especially for women with highly endocrine-responsive disease.

Construction of a novel multi-gene assay (42-gene classifier) for prediction of late recurrence in ER-positive breast cancer patients

PURPOSE

Prediction models for late (> 5 years) recurrence in ER-positive breast cancer need to be developed for the accurate selection of patients for extended hormonal therapy. We attempted to develop such a prediction model focusing on the differences in gene expression between breast cancers with early and late recurrence.

METHODS

For the training set, 779 ER-positive breast cancers treated with tamoxifen alone for 5 years were selected from the databases (GSE6532, GSE12093, GSE17705, and GSE26971). For the validation set, 221 ER-positive breast cancers treated with adjuvant hormonal therapy for 5 years with or without chemotherapy at our hospital were included. Gene expression was assayed by DNA microarray analysis (Affymetrix U133 plus 2.0).

RESULTS

With the 42 genes differentially expressed in early and late recurrence breast cancers in the training set, a prediction model (42GC) for late recurrence was constructed. The patients classified by 42GC into the late recurrence-like group showed a significantly (P = 0.006) higher late recurrence rate as expected but a significantly (P = 1.62 × E-13) lower rate for early recurrence than non-late recurrence-like group. These observations were confirmed for the validation set, i.e., P = 0.020 for late recurrence and P = 5.70 × E-5 for early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

We developed a unique prediction model (42GC) for late recurrence by focusing on the biological differences between breast cancers with early and late recurrence. Interestingly, patients in the late recurrence-like group by 42GC were at low risk for early recurrence.

Acute acalculous cholecystitis due to breast cancer metastasis to the cystic duct

BACKGROUND

Acute acalculous cholecystitis (AAC) is a relatively rare disorder of the gallbladder. Breast cancer recurrence more than 10 years after curative surgery is also infrequent.

CASE PRESENTATION

Here, we report a case of a 59-year-old woman who presented with right flank pain. Her medical history included a lumpectomy for cancer of the left breast 12 years prior. Laboratory tests showed a severe inflammatory reaction and mild liver function abnormalities. Ultrasonography and computed tomography revealed an enlarged gallbladder and inflammation of the surrounding tissues; however, no gallstone was present. She was diagnosed with AAC. We performed an emergency laparoscopic cholecystectomy, and histopathological examination revealed a poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma in the cystic duct. Both metastatic and primary tumor cells were positive for estrogen and progesterone receptors on immunohistochemistry. The final pathological diagnosis was acute cholecystitis due to breast cancer metastasis to the cystic duct.

CONCLUSION

Although AAC secondary to metastatic breast cancer is rare, it should be included in the differential diagnosis for abdominal pain in patients with a previous history of breast cancer.