Coronary computed tomography angiography and [15O]H2O positron emission tomography perfusion imaging for the assessment of coronary artery disease

Machine learning based model to diagnose obstructive coronary artery disease using calcium scoring, PET imaging, and clinical data

INTRODUCTION

Accurate risk stratification in patients with suspected stable coronary artery disease is essential for choosing an appropriate treatment strategy. Our aim was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) based model to diagnose obstructive CAD (oCAD).

METHOD

We retrospectively have included 1007 patients without a prior history of CAD who underwent CT-based calcium scoring (CACS) and a Rubidium-82 PET scan. The entire dataset was split 4:1 into a training and test dataset. An ML model was developed on the training set using fivefold stratified cross-validation. The test dataset was used to compare the performance of expert readers to the model. The primary endpoint was oCAD on invasive coronary angiography (ICA).

RESULTS

ROC curve analysis showed an AUC of 0.92 (95% CI 0.90-0.94) for the training dataset and 0.89 (95% CI 0.84-0.93) for the test dataset. The ML model showed no significant differences as compared to the expert readers (p ≥ 0.03) in accuracy (89% vs. 88%), sensitivity (68% vs. 69%), and specificity (92% vs. 90%).

CONCLUSION

The ML model resulted in a similar diagnostic performance as compared to expert readers, and may be deployed as a risk stratification tool for obstructive CAD. This study showed that utilization of ML is promising in the diagnosis of obstructive CAD.

Value of semiquantitative assessment of high-risk plaque features on coronary CT angiography over stenosis in selection of studies for FFRct

INTRODUCTION

The degree of stenosis on coronary CT angiography (CCTA) guides referral for CT-derived flow reserve (FFRct). We sought to assess whether semiquantitative assessment of high-risk plaque (HRP) features on CCTA improves selection of studies for FFRct over stenosis assessment alone.

METHODS

Per-vessel FFRct was computed in 1,395 vessels of 836 patients undergoing CCTA with 25-99% maximal stenosis. By consensus analysis, stenosis severity was graded as 25-49%, 50-69%, 70-89%, and 90-99%. HRPs including low attenuation plaque (LAP), positive remodeling (PR), and spotty calcification (SC) were assessed in lesions with maximal stenosis. Lesion FFRct was measured distal to the lesion with maximal stenosis, and FFRct<0.80 was defined as abnormal. Association of HRP and abnormal lesion FFRct was evaluated by univariable and multivariable logistic regression models.

RESULTS

The frequency of abnormal lesion FFRct increased with increase of stenosis severity across each stenosis category (25-49%:6%; 50-69%:30%; 70-89%:54%; 90-99%:91%, p ​< ​0.001). Univariable analysis demonstrated that stenosis severity, LAP, and PR were predictive of abnormal lesion FFRct, while SC was not. In multivariable analyses considering stenosis severity, presence of PR, LAP, and PR and/or LAP were independently associated with abnormal FFRct: Odds ratio 1.58, 1.68, and 1.53, respectively (p ​< ​0.02 for all). The presence of PR and/or LAP increased the frequency of abnormal FFRct with mild stenosis (p ​< ​0.05) with a similar trend with 70-89% stenosis. The combination of 2 HRP (LAP and PR) identified more lesions with FFR < 0.80 than only 1 HRP.

CONCLUSIONS

Semiquantitative visual assessment of high-risk plaque features may improve the selection of studies for FFRct.