The ABCD(2) Score is Highly Predictive of Stroke in Minor Ischemic Stroke Patients

The combination of heart rate variability and ABCD2 score portends adverse outcomes after minor stroke or transient ischemic attack

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The residual recurrent risk of stroke, which cannot be entirely explained by the traditional ABCD2 score, still existed. Heart rate variability (HRV), a method for reflecting the function of automatic nervous system (ANS), was a novel predictor of secondary stroke events. We aimed to investigate the relationships of combined HRV and ABCD² score with adverse outcomes after acute minor stroke (MS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA), and further investigate the independent associations between HRV and adverse outcomes after MS/TIA stratified by ABCD² score.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Third China National Stroke Registry (CNSR-III) study. We assessed the activity of ANS using standard deviation of NN intervals (SDNN), a time domain index of HRV. Trained investigators collected clinical characteristics and estimated ABCD² score for each participant. All enrolled patients were categorized into different risk groups based on SDNN level and ABCD² score. The clinial outcomes included recurrent stroke, recurrent ischemic stroke, and disability within 1-year follow-up. We evaluated whether combined SDNN and ABCD² score were associated with recurrent events using multivariable Cox regression models, and those with disability using multivariable logistic regression models. The independent associations between SDNN and diverse outcomes stratified by ABCD² score were explored using multivariable Cox and logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 5,743 participants [3,316 (70.02) males, 62.0 (54.0-69.0) years] were included. Patients with low SDNN and ABCD² ≥ 4 were associated with higher risk of recurrent stroke within 1 year (10.8% versus 4.9%; [HR] 1.31, 95% [CI] 0.92-1.88, P = 0.14) compared to patients with high SDNN with ABCD² < 4. Lower SDNN was associated with higher recurrent stroke in patients with ABCD² 0-3 score ([HR] 0.73, 95% [CI] 0.57-0.947, P = 0.01) and ABCD² 4-5 score ([HR] 0.85, 95% [CI] 0.74-0.97, P = 0.02), but not in patients with ABCD² 6-7 score.

CONCLUSION

The combination of HRV and ABCD² score might efficiently stratify the risk of 1-year recurrent stroke after MS/TIA. Moreover, lower SDNN was independently related to recurrent stroke in patients with MS/TIA, especially for those with low-to-moderate traditional vascular risk factors.

Minor Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack: Research and Practice

A majority of patients with ischemic stroke present with mild deficits for which aggressive management is not often pursued. Comprehensive work-up and appropriate intervention for minor strokes and transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) point toward better patient outcomes, lower costs, and fewer cases of disability. Imaging is a key modality to guide treatment and predict stroke recurrence. Patients with large vessel occlusions have been found to suffer worse outcomes and could benefit from intervention. Whether intravenous thrombolytic therapy decreases disability in minor stroke patients and whether acute endovascular intervention improves functional outcomes in patients with minor stroke and known large vessel occlusion remain controversial. Studies are ongoing to determine ideal antiplatelet therapy for stroke and TIA, while ongoing statin therapy, surgical management for patients with carotid stenosis, and anticoagulation for patients with atrial fibrillation have all been proven to decrease the rate of stroke recurrence and improve outcomes. This review summarizes the current evidence and discusses the standard of care for patients with minor stroke and TIA.