Program Specific Reports: Friend or Foe? —The Intended and Unintended Consequences of Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipient Program Specific Reports

Association of low center performance evaluations and pediatric heart transplant center behavior in the United States

BACKGROUND

To date, no study has evaluated the effects of low center performance evaluations (CPE) on pediatric heart transplant center behavior. We sought to assess the impact of low CPE flags on pediatric heart transplant center listing and transplant volumes and center recipient and donor characteristics.

METHODS

We included centers performing at least 10 pediatric (age <18 years) transplants during the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients reporting period January 2009-June 2011 and evaluated consecutive biannual program specific reports until the last reporting period January 2016-June 2018. We evaluated changes in center behavior at following time points: a year before flagging, a year and two years after the flag; and at last reporting period.

RESULTS

During our study period, 24 pediatric centers were non-flagged and 6 were flagged. Compared to non-flagged centers, there was a decline in candidate listings in flagged centers at the last reporting period (mean increase of 5.5 ± 12.4 listings vs"?> mean decrease of 14.0 ± 14.9 listings; p = .003). Similarly, the number of transplants declined in flagged centers (mean increase of 2.6 ± 9.6 transplants vs"?> mean decrease of 10.0 ± 12.8 transplants; p = .012). Flagged centers had declines in listings for patients with restrictive cardiomyopathy, re-transplant, renal dysfunction, those on mechanical ventilation and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. There was no significant change in donor characteristics between flagged and non-flagged centers.

CONCLUSIONS

Low CPE may have unintended negative consequences on center behavior leading to declines in listing and transplant volumes and potentially leading to decreased listing for higher risk recipients.

Patient Functional Status at Transplant and Its Impact on Posttransplant Survival of Adult Deceased-donor Kidney Recipients

BACKGROUND

Recorded at the time of transplant and reported to the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network, patient's functional status is measured using the Karnofsky performance score (KPS), ranging 0 to 100. Functional status analysis may provide insights on candidate listing and posttransplant survival outcomes for deceased-donor kidney transplants.

METHODS

The cohort consisted of adult deceased-donor kidney transplant recipients transplanted beginning January 2007. One-year and 3-year Cox models for posttransplant survival were fitted with current Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) variables and KPS. Comparative analyses were performed between the SRTR model without KPS and augmented model with it. Using the augmented model, we examined the impact of Kidney Donor Profile Index on posttransplant survivals for 5 different KPS strata: 10 to 30, 40 to 50, 60 to 70, 80 to 90, and 100.

RESULTS

Comparative analyses showed that KPS was a statistically significant predictor for posttransplant survival: it improved model calibration, discrimination, and predictive accuracy. From the augmented model, the survival curves illustrated that recipients with KPS 40 to 50 and kidneys with Kidney Donor Profile Index as high as 99 have expected survival probabilities of above 90% in 1 year and above 80% in 3 years. The expected survival probabilities improve as KPS increases. Recipients with KPS 10 to 30 have the worst survival probability, even if they received high-quality kidneys.

CONCLUSIONS

Insights from the survival analyses recommend possible inclusion of functional status into SRTR's risk-adjusted models. Moreover, they invite further examination of its use to improve current listing and transplantation strategies at transplant centers and potentially reduce deceased-donor kidney discard rate.