Predictors and prognostic impact of left ventricular ejection fraction trajectories in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Long-Term Risk of Cardiovascular Death in Patients With Mildly Reduced Ejection Fraction After Acute Myocardial Infarction: A Multicenter, Prospective Registry Study

BACKGROUND

The prognostic implication of mildly reduced ejection fraction (mrEF) after acute myocardial infarction has not been clearly demonstrated. We investigated the long-term risk of cardiovascular death and its predictors in patients with mrEF following acute myocardial infarction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 18 668 patients who presented with acute myocardial infarction were included in 2 prospective, multicenter registries. The incidence of adverse cardiovascular events according to the left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) strata at index admission were evaluated. A score system consisting of clinical variables were developed to predict long-term cardiovascular death in the mrEF group. There were 2548 patients with reduced EF (EF ≤40%), 4266 patients with mrEF (EF 41%-49%), and 11 854 patients with preserved EF (EF ≥50%). During a median follow-up period of 37.9 months, the cardiovascular death rate was 22.3% in the reduced EF group, 10.3% in the mrEF group, and 7.3% in the preserved EF group (P<0.001). In the mrEF group, age>65 years, hypertension, stroke, severe renal insufficiency, and Killip class ≥3 were independent predictors for cardiovascular death. Presence of >2 predictors best discriminated the high-risk patients for cardiovascular death with an area under the curve of 0.746. Incidence of cardiovascular death in the high-risk mrEF group was comparable with the rEF group, while it was lower in the low-risk mrEF group than in the pEF group.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with mrEF after acute myocardial infarction had a modest risk of cardiovascular death. Clinical predictors could help discriminate a high-risk subpopulation with cardiovascular death risks comparable with those in the reduced EF group.

Prognostic Value of Follow-up Measures of Left Ventricular Global Longitudinal Strain in Patients With ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

INTRODUCTION

After ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), follow-up imaging is currently recommended only in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <40%. Left ventricular global longitudinal strain (LVGLS) was shown to improve risk stratification over LVEF in these patients but has not been thoroughly studied during follow-up. The aim of this study was to explore the changes in LVGLS after STEMI and their potential prognostic value.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data were analyzed from an ongoing STEMI registry. Echocardiography was performed during the index hospitalization and 1 year after STEMI; LVGLS was expressed as an absolute value and the relative LVGLS change (ΔGLS) was calculated. The study end point was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 1,409 STEMI patients (age 60 ± 11 years; 75% men) who survived at least 1 year after STEMI and underwent echocardiography at follow-up were included. At 1-year follow-up, LVEF improved from 50% ± 8% to 53% ± 8% (P < .001) and LVGLS from 14% ± 4% to 16% ± 3% (P < .001). Median ΔGLS was 14% (interquartile range, 0.5%-32%) relative improvement. Starting 1 year after STEMI, a total of 87 patients died after a median follow-up of 69 (interquartile range, 38-103) months. The optimal ΔGLS threshold associated with the end point (derived by spline curve analysis) was a relative decrease >7%. Cumulative 10-year survival was 91% in patients with ΔGLS improvement or a nonsignificant decrease, versus 85% in patients with ΔGLS decrease of >7% (P = .001). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, ΔGLS decrease >7% remained independently associated with the end point (hazard ratio, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.5-4.1]; P < .001) after adjustment for clinical and echocardiographic parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant decrease in LVGLS 1 year after STEMI was independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality and might help further risk stratification and management of these patients during follow-up.

Establishment and validation of a prediction model for nonrecovery of left ventricular ejection fraction in acute myocardial infarction patients combined with decreased left ventricular ejection fraction

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for nonrecovery of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) during follow-up in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) combined with reduced LVEF, and establish and verify a risk prediction model based on these factors.

METHODS

In this study, patients with AMI who underwent PCI in a high-volume PCI center between December 2018 and December 2021 were consecutively enrolled, screened, and randomly assigned to the model establishment and validation cohorts. A predictive model method based on least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used for establishment and validation.

RESULTS

Cardiac troponin I, myoglobin, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, multivessel disease, and no-reflow were identified as potential predictors of LVEF recovery failure. The areas under the curve were 0.703 and 0.665 in the model establishment and validation cohorts, respectively, proving that the prediction model had some predictive ability. The calibration curves of the two cohorts showed good agreement with those of the nomogram model. In addition, the decision curve analysis showed that the model had a net clinical benefit.

CONCLUSION

This prediction model can assess the risk of nonrecovery of LVEF in patients with AMI undergoing PCI combined with LVEF reduction during follow-up, and conveniently screen high-risk patients with nonrecoverable LVEF early.

A Real-World Analysis of New-Onset Heart Failure After Anterior Wall ST-Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction in the United States

The 1-year incidence of heart failure (HF) after anterior wall ST-elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI) remains difficult to determine because of inconsistencies in reporting, definitions, and adjudication. The objective of this study was to evaluate the 1-year incidence of HF after anterior wall STEMI in a real-world data set using a variety of potential criteria and composite definitions. In a retrospective cohort study, anonymized patient data was accessed through a federated health research network (TriNetX Limited Liability Company (LLC)) of 56 US healthcare organizations (US Collaborative Network). Patients were identified based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision criteria for anterior wall STEMI during the 10-year period from 2013 to 2022 and the absence of prespecified signs or symptoms of HF. Values for 1-year incidence were calculated as 1 minus Kaplan-Meier survival at 12 months after anterior wall STEMI. Univariate Cox proportional hazard ratio was calculated to compare risk associated with potential risk factors. The analysis utilized 5 different types of definition criteria for HF: Diagnosis codes, Signs and symptoms, Laboratory/imaging, Medications, and Composites. A total of 34,395 patients from the US Collaborative Network met eligibility criteria and were included in the analysis. The 1-year incidence of HF varied from 2% to 30% depending upon the definition criteria. Although no single criteria exceeded a 1-year incidence of 20%, a simple composite of HF diagnosis (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision-I50) or use of loop diuretic produced a 1-year incidence 26.1% that was used as the benchmark outcome for evaluation of risk factors. Age ≥65 years, Black race, low-density lipoprotein ≥100 mg/100 ml, elevated hemoglobin A1c (7% to 9% and >9%), and body mass index≥35 kg/m2 were also associated with increased risk of HF. In conclusion, patients with anterior wall STEMI continue to be at high risk for new-onset HF. In the absence of structured, prospective, systematically adjudicated diagnostic criteria, composite definitions are more likely to yield accurate estimates of HF incidence.

Plasma hsa-miR-22-3p Might Serve as an Early Predictor of Ventricular Function Recovery after ST-Elevation Acute Myocardial Infarction

Left ventricle remodeling (LVR) after acute myocardial infarction (aMI) leads to impairment of both systolic and diastolic function, a major contributor to heart failure (HF). Despite extensive research, predicting post-aMI LVR and HF is still a challenge. Several circulant microRNAs have been proposed as LVR predictors; however, their clinical value is controversial. Here, we used real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) to quantify hsa-miR-22-3p (miR-22) plasma levels on the first day of hospital admission of ST-elevation aMI (STEMI) patients. We analyzed miR-22 correlation to the patients' clinical and paraclinical variables and evaluated its ability to discriminate between post-aMI LVR and non-LVR. We show that miR-22 is an excellent aMI discriminator and can distinguish between LVR and non-LVR patients. The discriminative performance of miR-22 significantly improves the predictive power of a multiple logistic regression model based on four continuous variables (baseline ejection fraction and end-diastolic volume, CK-MB, and troponin). Furthermore, we found that diabetes mellitus, hematocrit level, and the number of erythrocytes significantly influence its levels. These data suggest that miR-22 might be used as a predictor of ventricular function recovery in STEMI patients.

Incidence and predictors of left ventricular function change following ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction

Aim

The purpose of the study was to assess the incidence and predictors of left ventricular function change in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary PCI.

Methods

312 patients with STEMI who received primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between January 2015 and December 2016 were consecutively enrolled in this study. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate independent predictors of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) improvement after long-term follow-up.

Results

We finally analyzed the LVEF change in 186 patients from baseline to follow-up. The mean age was 61.3 ± 12.5 years, with 78.5% being male. The median duration of follow-up after STEMI was 1,021 (389–1,947) days. 54.3% had a decrease in LVEF and 45.7% experienced an improvement in LV function after primary PCI through long-term follow-up. Logistic regression analysis showed lower peak troponin I, non-anterior STEMI, lower baseline LVEF, and no previous myocardial infarction history were independently associated with LVEF improvement.

Conclusion

54.3% of patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI had a decrease in LVEF during long-term follow-up. LVEF recovery can be predicted by baseline characteristics.

Empagliflozin in acute myocardial infarction: the EMMY trial

AIMS

Sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibition reduces the risk of hospitalization for heart failure and for death in patients with symptomatic heart failure. However, trials investigating the effects of this drug class in patients following acute myocardial infarction are lacking.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this academic, multicentre, double-blind trial, patients (n = 476) with acute myocardial infarction accompanied by a large creatine kinase elevation (>800 IU/L) were randomly assigned to empagliflozin 10 mg or matching placebo once daily within 72 h of percutaneous coronary intervention. The primary outcome was the N-terminal pro-hormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) change over 26 weeks. Secondary outcomes included changes in echocardiographic parameters. Baseline median (interquartile range) NT-proBNP was 1294 (757-2246) pg/mL. NT-proBNP reduction was significantly greater in the empagliflozin group, compared with placebo, being 15% lower [95% confidence interval (CI) -4.4% to -23.6%] after adjusting for baseline NT-proBNP, sex, and diabetes status (P = 0.026). Absolute left-ventricular ejection fraction improvement was significantly greater (1.5%, 95% CI 0.2-2.9%, P = 0.029), mean E/e' reduction was 6.8% (95% CI 1.3-11.3%, P = 0.015) greater, and left-ventricular end-systolic and end-diastolic volumes were lower by 7.5 mL (95% CI 3.4-11.5 mL, P = 0.0003) and 9.7 mL (95% CI 3.7-15.7 mL, P = 0.0015), respectively, in the empagliflozin group, compared with placebo. Seven patients were hospitalized for heart failure (three in the empagliflozin group). Other predefined serious adverse events were rare and did not differ significantly between groups.

CONCLUSION

In patients with a recent myocardial infarction, empagliflozin was associated with a significantly greater NT-proBNP reduction over 26 weeks, accompanied by a significant improvement in echocardiographic functional and structural parameters.

CLINICALTRIALS.GOV REGISTRATION

NCT03087773.