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Kim Y, Kim YG, Park JW, Kim BW, Shin Y, Kong SH, Kim JH, Lee YK, Kim SW, Shin CS. A CT-based Deep Learning Model for Predicting Subsequent Fracture Risk in Patients with Hip Fracture. Radiology 2024; 310:e230614. [PMID: 38289213 DOI: 10.1148/radiol.230614] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/01/2024]
Abstract
Background Patients have the highest risk of subsequent fractures in the first few years after an initial fracture, yet models to predict short-term subsequent risk have not been developed. Purpose To develop and validate a deep learning prediction model for subsequent fracture risk using digitally reconstructed radiographs from hip CT in patients with recent hip fractures. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included adult patients who underwent three-dimensional hip CT due to a fracture from January 2004 to December 2020. Two-dimensional frontal, lateral, and axial digitally reconstructed radiographs were generated and assembled to construct an ensemble model. DenseNet modules were used to calculate risk probability based on extracted image features and fracture-free probability plots were output. Model performance was assessed using the C index and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and compared with other models using the paired t test. Results The training and validation set included 1012 patients (mean age, 74.5 years ± 13.3 [SD]; 706 female, 113 subsequent fracture) and the test set included 468 patients (mean age, 75.9 years ± 14.0; 335 female, 22 subsequent fractures). In the test set, the ensemble model had a higher C index (0.73) for predicting subsequent fractures than that of other image-based models (C index range, 0.59-0.70 for five of six models; P value range, < .001 to < .05). The ensemble model achieved AUCs of 0.74, 0.74, and 0.73 at the 2-, 3-, and 5-year follow-ups, respectively; higher than that of most other image-based models at 2 years (AUC range, 0.57-0.71 for five of six models; P value range, < .001 to < .05) and 3 years (AUC range, 0.55-0.72 for four of six models; P value range, < .001 to < .05). Moreover, the AUCs achieved by the ensemble model were higher than that of a clinical model that included known risk factors (2-, 3-, and 5-year AUCs of 0.58, 0.64, and 0.70, respectively; P < .001 for all). Conclusion In patients with recent hip fractures, the ensemble deep learning model using digital reconstructed radiographs from hip CT showed good performance for predicting subsequent fractures in the short term. © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Li and Jaremko in this issue.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yisak Kim
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Young-Gon Kim
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Jung-Wee Park
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Byung Woo Kim
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Youmin Shin
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Sung Hye Kong
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Jung Hee Kim
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Young-Kyun Lee
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Sang Wan Kim
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
| | - Chan Soo Shin
- From the Interdisciplinary Program in Bioengineering (Y.K., Y.S.) and Integrated Major in Innovative Medical Science (Y.K.), Seoul National University Graduate School, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Radiology (Y.K.), Transdisciplinary Department of Medicine & Advanced Technology (Y.G.K., B.W.K., Y.S.), and Department of Internal Medicine (J.H.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.W.P., Y.K.L.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, 82 Gumi-ro 173 Beon-gil, Bundang gu, Seongnam, Republic of Korea; Departments of Medicine (Y.G.K.) and Internal Medicine (S.H.K., J.H.K., S.W.K., C.S.S.), Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; and Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea (S.W.K.)
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Zhang YW, Cao MM, Li YJ, Sheng RW, Zhang RL, Wu MT, Chi JY, Zhou RX, Rui YF. The Preventive Effects of Probiotic Prevotella histicola on the Bone Loss of Mice with Ovariectomy-Mediated Osteoporosis. Microorganisms 2023; 11:microorganisms11040950. [PMID: 37110373 PMCID: PMC10146713 DOI: 10.3390/microorganisms11040950] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2023] [Revised: 03/27/2023] [Accepted: 03/30/2023] [Indexed: 04/29/2023] Open
Abstract
It has been demonstrated that the disturbance of gut microbiota (GM) is closely related to the reduction of bone mass and incidence of osteoporosis (OP). The aim of this study is to investigate whether the supplementation of Prevotella histicola (Ph) can prevent the bone loss in mice with ovariectomy (OVX)-mediated OP, and further explore relevant mechanisms. Regular (once a day for 8 consecutive weeks) and quantitative (200 µL/d) perfusion of Ph (the bacteria that orally gavaged) was conducted starting from 1 week after the construction of mice models. Bone mass and bone microstructure were detected by Micro-computed tomography (Micro-CT). Expressions of intestinal permeability, pro-inflammatory cytokines, and osteogenic and osteoclastic activities of mice were analyzed by histological staining and immunohistochemistry (IHC). 16S rRNA high throughput sequencing technique was applied to analyze the alterations of composition, abundance, and diversity of collected feces. Regular and quantitative perfusion of Ph mitigated the bone loss in mice with OVX-mediated OP. Compared with OVX + PBS group, perfusion of Ph repressed osteoclastogenesis and promoted osteogenesis, reduced release of pro-inflammatory cytokine cytokines (interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α)), and reversed expressions of tight junction proteins (zonula occludens protein 1 (ZO-1) and Occludin). Besides, the perfusion of Ph improved the composition, abundance, and diversity of GM. Collectively, this study revealed that regular and quantitative perfusion of Ph can improve the bone loss in mice with OVX-mediated OP by repairing intestinal mucosal barrier damage, optimizing intestinal permeability, inhibiting release of pro-osteoclastogenic cytokines, and improving disturbance of GM.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuan-Wei Zhang
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Multidisciplinary Team (MDT) for Geriatric Hip Fracture Management, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Trauma Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Mu-Min Cao
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Multidisciplinary Team (MDT) for Geriatric Hip Fracture Management, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Trauma Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Ying-Juan Li
- Multidisciplinary Team (MDT) for Geriatric Hip Fracture Management, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Department of Geriatrics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Ren-Wang Sheng
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Multidisciplinary Team (MDT) for Geriatric Hip Fracture Management, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Trauma Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Ruo-Lan Zhang
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Meng-Ting Wu
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Jia-Yu Chi
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Rui-Xin Zhou
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
| | - Yun-Feng Rui
- Department of Orthopaedics, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Multidisciplinary Team (MDT) for Geriatric Hip Fracture Management, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Orthopaedic Trauma Institute (OTI), Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
- Trauma Center, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China
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