Understanding Individual Subject Differences through Large Behavioral Datasets: Analytical and Statistical Considerations

Predicting Behavioral Target Mastery With Age, Intensity and Duration, Open Targets, and Maintenance Failure With Applied Behavior Analysis in Individuals With Autism

Background Researchers have studied the effects of age, treatment intensity, and treatment duration with applied behavior analysis (ABA) outcomes in autistic individuals. This study's primary objective was to evaluate the predictive capabilities of age, intensity, and duration of treatment, open behavioral targets, and behavior maintenance failure on behavioral target mastery. Methods A retrospective cohort of 100 autistic individuals treated with ABA with functional analysis and discrete trial training, mass trials, and naturalistic training were treated and analyzed. Target behavioral mastery data was collected via a retrospective chart review contained within the "Catalyst" tracking software. ABA treatment was administered for three months between March 19, 2023, and June 11, 2023. Multiple linear regression was performed using the percentage of behavioral targets mastered as the dependent variable. The independent variables were age, average trials to behavioral mastery, average teaching days to behavioral mastery, and percentage of behavioral targets that failed in maintenance. Results The multiple linear regression model was statistically significant (R=0.443, R²=0.196, adjusted R2=0.150, F(5, 87)=4.239, p=0.002). The average teaching days to mastery (β=0.416, p=0.019) and percentage of targets failed in maintenance (β=0.201, p=0.047) significantly predicted the percentage of behavioral targets mastered. However, age (β=0.079, p=0.419), average trials to mastery (β=-0.271, p=0.114), and open targets (β=0.184, p=0.081) did not significantly predict the percentage of behavioral targets mastered. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) resulted in non-significant (p>0.05) age group differences between the above variables. Conclusions The predictor variables average teaching days to mastery (intensity and duration) and percentage of targets failed in maintenance had a statistically significant effect on the percentage of behavioral targets mastered. The predictor variables age, average trials to behavioral mastery (intensity and duration), and open behavioral targets had a non-significant influence on the percentage of behavioral targets mastered. A non-significant difference between age groups was found in all study variables.