Economic Evaluation of Azacitidine in Elderly Patients with Acute Myeloid Leukemia with High Blast Counts

Cost-effectiveness of azacitidine and ivosidenib in newly diagnosed older, intensive chemotherapy-ineligible patients with IDH1-mutant acute myeloid leukemia

Ivosidenib + azacitidine (IVO/AZA) is approved in the United States for newly diagnosed, older or intensive chemotherapy-ineligible patients with IDH1-mutated acute myeloid leukemia. We created a partitioned survival analysis model to evaluate the health economic implications of this approval. Model outputs were used to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of IVO/AZA versus AZA. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. In the base case scenario, IVO/AZA and AZA resulted in life-time costs of $403,062 and $161,887, respectively. With an incremental gain of 0.95 QALYs, the ICER of IVO/AZA was $252,782/QALY. In sensitivity analyses, only a reduction in the price of IVO by 59.3% lowered the ICER to below $150,000/QALY and 99.95% of model calculations yielded ICERs of >$150,000/QALY. In a model in which all patients received IVO monotherapy after progression on AZA monotherapy, the ICER was $155,453/QALY and various model inputs that would make IVO/AZA cost-effective were identified.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of azacitidine maintenance therapy in patients with acute myeloid leukemia

BACKGROUND

The QUAZAR AML-001 trial (NCT01757535) showed survival benefits with the maintenance treatment of oral azacitidine(CC-486) for acute myeloid leukemia(AML) in first complete remission. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis to explore the costs and benefits of oral azacitidine in AML from the perspective of payers in the United States.

METHODS

We constructed a Markov model to evaluate the economic value of oral azacitidine. The model was conducted with a 10-year time horizon. The health utility scores and until prices of medical costs were acquired from previous studies and GoodRX. The transition probabilities were derived from the survival curves of the QUAZAR AML-001 study. Outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

RESULTS

Compared with placebo, oral azacitidine improved 0.39 QALY, with an increasing cost of $458928.66. The ICER of oral azacitidine is $1176740.15, higher than the willingness to pay (P < 0.05). Deterministic sensitivity analysis showed that the price of oral azacitidine has a significant impact on ICERs (P < 0.05). Probability sensitivity analysis showed that the probability of cost-effectiveness for oral azacitidine is 0.

CONCLUSION

In the United States, oral azacitidine is unlikely to be cost-effective for AML patients at current prices.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

The trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (CT.gov identifier: NCT01757535).

Pharmacoeconomic considerations for acute myeloid leukemia pharmacotherapy

INTRODUCTION

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is a rare blood cancer with a poor prognosis. Recently, targeted drugs have improved survival both in the elderly and in fit patients. However, as monthly costs of targeted agents are high, regulatory bodies often impose restrictions on their use.

AREAS COVERED

The authors review the value-for-cost of targeted drugs such as gemtuzumab ozogamycin, CPX-351, midostaurin, gilteritinib, glasdegib, venetoclax, oral azacytidine and enasidenib used to treat adult AML. EMBASE and TRIP databases, together with authority websites were searched for technology assessments. Add-on drugs, namely midostaurin and gemtuzumab ozogamycin, have been reported to have the best pharmacoeconomic profile for newly diagnosed fit patients with FLT3 mutation or favorable/intermediate cytogenetics, since allogeneic transplant rates were stable or reduced. Most of the other drugs, on the other hand, did not achieve highly favorable cost-for-benefit, due to a poor absolute survival gain and/or increased transplant rates.

EXPERT OPINION

The cost of most targeted therapies for AML in unfit patients seems unfair in comparison to the absolute survival advantage provided in fit patients. Point of cure and transplant outcomes should be standardized to allow comparability among the models.

Cost-effectiveness of azacitidine and venetoclax in unfit patients with previously untreated acute myeloid leukemia

The phase 3 VIALE-A trial reported that venetoclax in combination with azacitidine significantly improved response rates and overall survival compared with azacitidine alone in older, unfit patients with previously untreated acute myeloid leukemia (AML). However, the cost-effectiveness of azacitidine-venetoclax in this clinical setting is unknown. In this study, we constructed a partitioned survival model to compare the cost and effectiveness of azacitidine-venetoclax with azacitidine alone in previously untreated AML. Event-free and overall survival curves for each treatment strategy were derived from the VIALE-A trial using parametric survival modeling. We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of azacitidine-venetoclax from a US-payer perspective. Azacitidine-venetoclax was associated with an improvement of 0.61 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) compared with azacitidine alone. However, the combination led to significantly higher lifetime health care costs (incremental cost, $159 595), resulting in an ICER of $260 343 per QALY gained. The price of venetoclax would need to decrease by 60% for azacitidine-venetoclax to be cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150 000 per QALY. These data suggest that use of azacitidine-venetoclax for previously untreated AML patients who are ineligible for intensive chemotherapy is unlikely to be cost-effective under current pricing. Significant price reduction of venetoclax would be required to reduce the ICER to a more widely acceptable value.

JAK2 V617F as a Marker for Long-Term Disease Progression and Mortality in Polycythemia Vera and its Role in Economic Modeling

BACKGROUND

In order to facilitate sound economic evaluations of novel treatments, health-economic models of polycythemia vera (PV) must combine effects on surrogate endpoints in trials with disease progression (DP) and mortality in long-term cohort data.

OBJECTIVE

We validate an economic model for PV that uses Janus Kinase 2 (JAK2) burden as a surrogate endpoint to predict DP (thrombosis, myelofibrosis, and acute leukemia) and overall survival (OS) based on progression-specific mortality.

METHODS

Long-term observational studies that include information about baseline JAK2 burden were identified via PubMed searches and used to validate the model. Kaplan-Meier (KM) OS curves were extracted using a digitizing software. External validity of the model was analyzed by visually comparing OS curves of the model with the KM curves of the included studies, as well as calculating differences in mean OS estimated as area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The model's predictions of cumulative DP were somewhat lower than the published studies. Over 20 years' time, our base case model predicted a mean OS for a PV patient (15.0-16.5 years), which was in line with the published studies (15.8-17.5 years). Modeled mean OS was almost two years longer (1.6-1.9 years) for patients with JAK2 <50% than patients with JAK2 ≥50%. Only three long-term observational studies that satisfied the predefined criteria were found and could be used in the validation, but these studies did not capture JAK2 evolution over time. Improved model predictions of DP and mortality based on the longitudinal evolution of JAK2 could be derived from real-world data sources. Such data are currently scarce and future observational studies should be designed to capture the long-term impact of JAK2 on DP and mortality in PV.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model, based on JAK2 burden as a marker for DP, generated OS estimations that are in line with results of published data.