Estimation of the Incremental Cumulative Cost of HIV Compared with a Non-HIV Population

Cost-effectiveness of Cabotegravir Long-Acting for HIV Pre-exposure Prophylaxis in the United States

OBJECTIVE

Cabotegravir long-acting (CAB-LA) administered every 2 months was approved in the USA as pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for individuals at risk of acquiring human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 infection based on the HIV Prevention Trials Network (HPTN) 083 and HPTN 084 clinical trials, which demonstrated superior reduction in HIV-1 acquisition compared with daily oral emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (FTC/TDF) in men who have sex with men (MSM), transgender women (TGW), and cisgender women. A decision-analytic model was developed to assess the lifetime cost-effectiveness of initiating CAB-LA versus generic oral FTC/TDF for HIV PrEP in the USA from a healthcare sector perspective.

METHODS

PrEP-eligible adults entered the Markov model receiving CAB-LA or FTC/TDF and could continue initial PrEP, transition to a second PrEP option, or discontinue PrEP over time. Efficacy was taken from the HPTN 083 and HPTN 084 clinical trials. Individuals who acquired HIV-1 infection incurred lifetime HIV-related costs, could transmit HIV onwards, and could develop PrEP-related resistance mutations. Input parameter values were obtained from public and published sources. Model outcomes were discounted at 3%.

RESULTS

The model estimated that the CAB-LA pathway prevented 4.5 more primary and secondary HIV-1 infections per 100 PrEP users than the oral PrEP pathway, which yielded 0.2 fewer quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) lost per person. Additional per-person lifetime costs were $9476 (2022 US dollars), resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $46,843 per QALY gained. Results remained consistent in sensitivity and scenario analyses, including in underserved populations with low oral PrEP usage.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis suggests that initiating CAB-LA for PrEP is cost-effective versus generic daily oral FTC/TDF for individuals at risk of acquiring HIV-1 infection.

Burden of influenza hospitalization among high-risk groups in the United States

Background

Seasonal influenza poses a substantial clinical and economic burden in the United States and vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with comorbidities, are at elevated risk for influenza-related medical complications.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the IQVIA PharMetrics® Plus claims database in two stages. In Stage 1, we identified patients with evidence of medically-attended influenza during influenza seasons from October 1, 2014 to May 31, 2018 (latest available data for Stage 1) and used a multivariable logistic regression model to identify patient characteristics that predicted 30-day influenza-related hospitalization. The findings from Stage 1 informed high-risk subgroups of interest for Stage 2, where we selected cohorts of influenza patients during influenza seasons from October 1, 2014 to March 1, 2019 and used 1:1 propensity score matching to patients without influenza with similar high-risk characteristics to compare influenza-attributable rates of all-cause hospital and emergency department (ED) visits during follow-up (30-day and in the index influenza season).

Results

In Stage 1, more than 1.6 million influenza cases were identified, of which 18,509 (1.2%) had a hospitalization. Elderly age was associated with 9 times the odds of hospitalization (≥65 years vs. 5–17 years; OR = 9.4, 95% CI 8.8–10.1) and select comorbidities were associated with 2–3 times the odds of hospitalization. In Stage 2, elderly influenza patients with comorbidities had 3 to 7 times higher 30-day hospitalization rates compared to matched patients without influenza, including patients with congestive heart failure (41.0% vs.7.9%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (34.6% vs. 6.1%), coronary artery disease (22.8% vs. 3.8%), and late-stage chronic kidney disease (44.1% vs. 13.1%; all p < 0.05).

Conclusions

The risk of influenza-related complications is elevated in the elderly, especially those with certain underlying comorbidities, leading to excess healthcare resource utilization. Continued efforts, beyond currently available vaccines, are needed to reduce influenza burden in high-risk populations.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-08586-y.

Costs and mortality associated with HIV: a machine learning analysis of the French national health insurance database

BACKGROUND

The objective is to characterise the economic burden to the healthcare system of people living with HIV (PLWHIV) in France and to help decision makers in identifying risk factors associated with high-cost and high mortality profiles.

DESIGN AND METHODS

The study is a retrospective analysis of PLWHIV identified in the French National Health Insurance database (SNDS). All PLWHIV present in the database in 2013 were identified.  All healthcare resource consumption from 2008 to 2015 inclusive was documented and costed (for 2013 to 2015) from the perspective of public health insurance. High-cost and high mortality patient profiles were identified by a machine learning algorithm.

RESULTS

In 2013, 96,423 PLWHIV were identified in the SNDS database, including 3,373 incident cases. Overall, 3,224 PLWHIV died during the three-year follow-up period (mean annual mortality rate: 1.1%). The mean annual per capita cost incurred by PLWHIV was € 14,223, corresponding to a total management cost of HIV of € 1,370 million in 2013. The largest contribution came from the cost of antiretroviral medication (M€ 870; 63%) followed by hospitalisation (M€ 154; 11%). The costs incurred in the year preceding death were considerably higher. Four specific patient profiles were identified for under/over-expressing these costs, suggesting ways to reduce them.

CONCLUSIONS

Even though current therapeutic regimens provide excellent virological control in most patients, PLWHIV have excess mortality. Other factors such as comorbidities, lifestyle factors and screening for cancer and cardiovascular disease, need to be targeted in order to lower the mortality and cost associated with HIV infection.

What are the drivers of high-cost HIV patients?

We aimed to identify "high-cost" patients with HIV (PWH) and determine drivers behind higher costs. All PWH at the Southern Alberta HIV Clinic, Canada, and active in 2017 were included. Sociodemographic, clinical, and healthcare utilization data were collected. The direct care costs from the payers' perspective including antiretroviral drugs (ARV), outpatient visits, and hospital admissions were determined for 2017. Patients' annual total costs were grouped into top 5% (i.e., high-cost), top 20%, middle 60%, and bottom 20%. High-cost patients were older, Caucasian or indigenous Canadian, and more likely acquired HIV from intravenous drug use (all p < 0.05). High-cost patients had lower nadir CD4, more comorbidities, missed more clinic appointments, had more ARV interruptions, and developed more ARV resistance (p < 0.01). The overall median cost of HIV care was US$14,064 [IQR US$13,121-US$17,883] (2017 Cdn$). High-cost patients had a median cost of US$29,902 [IQR US$27,229-US$37,891] and accounted for 14% of total costs and 84% of all inpatient costs. Hospitalizations constituted 58% of costs for high-cost patients. Although heterogeneous, high-cost patients have distinct sociodemographic and clinical characteristics driving their healthcare utilization. Addressing these social determinants of health and using novel ARV administration approaches may preserve health and save costs.