Prediction of short-term prognosis in elderly patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage

Can baseline serum calcium levels predict outcomes of intracerebral hemorrhage? A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The prognostic role of baseline calcium levels in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is conflicting. We aimed to conduct the first meta-analysis in the literature to examine if baseline calcium levels can predict outcomes after ICH.

METHODS

English-language studies listed on the databases of Embase, PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Web of Science were searched up to 20th November 2023. Meta-analysis was conducted for baseline hematoma volume, hematoma expansion, unfavorable functional outcome, and mortality.

RESULTS

Ten studies were included. Meta-analysis showed that patients with hypocalcemia have significantly higher baseline hematoma volume (MD: 8.6 95 % CI: 3.30, 13.90 I2 = 88 %) but did not have a higher risk of hematoma expansion (OR: 1.82 95 % CI: 0.89, 3.73 I2 = 82 %). Meta-analysis of crude (OR: 1.86 95 % CI: 1.25, 2.78 I2 = 63 %) and adjusted data (OR: 2.05 95 % CI: 1.27, 3.28 I2 = 64 %) showed those with hypocalcemia had a significantly higher risk of unfavorable functional outcomes. Meta-analysis of both crude (OR: 2.09 95 % CI: 1.51, 2.88 I2 = 80 %) and adjusted data (OR: 1.38 95 % CI: 1.14, 1.69 I2 = 70 %) also demonstrated a significantly higher risk of mortality in patients with hypocalcemia.

CONCLUSION

Baseline serum calcium may have a prognostic role in ICH. Hypocalcemia at baseline may lead to large hematoma volume and poor functional and survival outcomes. However, there seems to be no relation between hypocalcemia and the risk of hematoma expansion. Further studies examining the role of calcium on ICH prognosis are needed.

Risk factors for unfavorable outcome after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage in elderly patients

BACKGROUND

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) of the elderly is a devastating form of stroke with a high morbidity and economic burden. There is still a limited understanding of the risk factors for an unfavorable outcome where a surgical therapy may be less meaningful. Thus, the aim of this study is to identify factors associated with unfavorable outcome and time to death in surgically treated elderly patients with SICH.

METHODS

We performed a single-center retrospective study of 70 patients (age > 60 years) with SICH operated between 2008 and 2020. Functional outcome was assessed by modified Rankin Scale. Various clinical and neuroradiological variables including type of neurosurgical treatment, anatomical location of hemorrhage, volumetry and distribution of hemorrhage were assessed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were performed. Length of stay (LOS) and hospital costs are presented.

RESULTS

The overall mortality (mean follow-up time of 22 months) in this study was 32/70 patients (45.71%), 30-days mortality was 8/70 (11.42%), and 12-months mortality was 22/70 (31.43%). Average LOS was 73.5 days with a median of 58, 766 € estimated in hospital costs per patient. Multivariate analysis for 12-months mortality was significant for intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) (p = 0.007, HR = 1.021, 95% CI = 1.006 - 1.037). ROC analysis for 12-months mortality for IVH volume >= 7 cm3 presented an are under the curve of 0.658.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified IVH volume > 7 cm3 as an independent prognostic risk factor for mortality in elderly patients after SICH. This may help clinicians in decision-making for this critical and growing subgroup of patients.

Neutrophil-to-leukocyte ratio and admission glycemia as predictors of short-term death in very old elderlies with lobar intracerebral hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The incidence of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) is highest in very old elderlies (≥75 years). The increasing use of antithrombotic drugs is shifting the epidemiology of SICH towards predominance of lobar subtype, suggesting an incremented propensity of bleeding associated with underlying cerebral amyloid angiopathy. With population aging and antithrombotic use, a parallel raise of proportion of lobar SICH is occurring. Improvement of prognostication in this specific age group and SICH type is needed. Routine blood biomarkers can contribute to prediction of short-term mortality after SICH.

OBJECTIVE

Our aim was to investigate the contribution of routine blood biomarkers for short-term mortality (30-days) in elderly patients with lobar SICH.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of consecutive 130 patients with ≥ 75 years and lobar SICH. The outcome was 30-day mortality. Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate whether admission routine biomarkers can be used as predictors.

RESULTS

The case fatality was 40.8%. Admission glycaemia level, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and mean platelet volume were significantly different between groups (p = 0.001, p = 0.024, p = 0.038, respectively). There was no significant difference in all other routine biomarkers. On multivariate analysis, admission higher mean BG level (odds ratio [OR]: 1.010, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.001-1.019, p = 0.026) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (OR: 1.070, 95% CI: 1.008-1.136, p = 0.027) emerged as predictors.

CONCLUSION

In very old patients with lobar SICH, higher BG level and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio are associated with increased risk of short-term death.

Intracerebral Hemorrhage: The Effects of Aging on Brain Injury

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a devastating subtype of stroke with high rates of mortality and morbidity. ICH patients often suffer devastating and debilitating neurological impairments, from which the majority of victims are unable to fully recover to functional independence. Unfortunately, there is no established medical therapy for ICH, which is partly attributed to the lack of understanding of the complex pathology of the disorder. Despite advanced age being a major risk factor of ICH, most preclinical studies on ICH employed young animal subjects. Due to this discrepancy, the molecular level changes in the aging brain after ICH are largely unknown, limiting the translation of preclinical studies into potential human treatments. The purpose of this review is to highlight the effects of advanced age on ICH- induced brain injury and recovery and to draw attention to current knowledge gaps, which warrant further investigation.

Neurophysiological Examinations as Adjunctive Tool to Imaging Techniques in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage: IRONHEART Study

Introduction: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a devastating disease, which may lead to severe disability or even death. Although many factors may influence the outcome, neurophysiological examinations might also play a role in its course. Our aim was to examine whether the findings of electroencephalography (EEG) and transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) can predict the prognosis of these patients.

Methods: Between June 1 2017 and June 15 2021, 116 consecutive patients with ICH were enrolled prospectively in our observational study. Clinical examinations and non-Contrast computed tomography (NCCT) scan were done on admission for ICH; follow-up NCCT scans were taken at 14 ± 2 days and at 3 months ± 7 days after stroke onset. EEG and TMS examinations were also carried out.

Results: Of the patients in the study, 65.5% were male, and the mean age of the study population was 70 years. Most patients had a history of hypertension, 50.8% of whom had been untreated. In almost 20% of the cases, excessive hypertension was measured on admission, accompanied with >10 mmol/L blood glucose level, whereas their Glasgow Coma Scale was 12 on average. Presence of blood in the ventricles or subarachnoid space and high blood and perihematomal volumes meant poor prognosis. Pathological EEG was prognostic of a worse outcome. With TMS examination at 14 days, it might be possible to estimate outcome in a univariate model and the absence, or reduction of the amplitude of the motor evoked potentials was associated with poor prognosis.

Conclusion: Together with the clinical symptoms, the volume of bleeding, perihematomal edema (or their combined volume), and neurophysiological examinations like EEG and TMS play an important role in the neurological outcome of patients with ICH. This might affect the patients' rehabilitation plans in the future, since with the help of the examinations the subset of patients with potential for recovery could be identified.