Go N, Arsène S, Faddeenkov I, Galland T, Martis B S, Lefaudeux D, Wang Y, Etheve L, Jacob E, Monteiro C, Bosley J, Sansone C, Pasquali C, Lehr L, Kulesza A. A quantitative systems pharmacology workflow toward optimal design and biomarker stratification of atopic dermatitis clinical trials.
J Allergy Clin Immunol 2024;
153:1330-1343. [PMID:
38369029 DOI:
10.1016/j.jaci.2023.12.031]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/23/2023] [Revised: 11/03/2023] [Accepted: 12/22/2023] [Indexed: 02/20/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
The development of atopic dermatitis (AD) drugs is challenged by many disease phenotypes and trial design options, which are hard to explore experimentally.
OBJECTIVE
We aimed to optimize AD trial design using simulations.
METHODS
We constructed a quantitative systems pharmacology model of AD and standard of care (SoC) treatments and generated a phenotypically diverse virtual population whose parameter distribution was derived from known relationships between AD biomarkers and disease severity and calibrated using disease severity evolution under SoC regimens.
RESULTS
We applied this workflow to the immunomodulator OM-85, currently being investigated for its potential use in AD, and calibrated the investigational treatment model with the efficacy profile of an existing trial (thereby enriching it with plausible marker levels and dynamics). We assessed the sensitivity of trial outcomes to trial protocol and found that for this particular example the choice of end point is more important than the choice of dosing regimen and patient selection by model-based responder enrichment could increase the expected effect size. A global sensitivity analysis revealed that only a limited subset of baseline biomarkers is needed to predict the drug response of the full virtual population.
CONCLUSIONS
This AD quantitative systems pharmacology workflow built around knowledge of marker-severity relationships as well as SoC efficacy can be tailored to specific development cases to optimize several trial protocol parameters and biomarker stratification and therefore has promise to become a powerful model-informed AD drug development and personalized medicine tool.
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