Machine learning based identification of structural brain alterations underlying suicide risk in adolescents

Neural activity during inhibitory control predicts suicidal ideation with machine learning

Suicide is a leading cause of death in the US and worldwide. Current strategies for preventing suicide are often focused on the identification and treatment of risk factors, especially suicidal ideation (SI). Hence, developing data-driven biomarkers of SI may be key for suicide prevention and intervention. Prior attempts at biomarker-based prediction models for SI have primarily used expensive neuroimaging technologies, yet clinically scalable and affordable biomarkers remain elusive. Here, we investigated the classification of SI using machine learning (ML) on a dataset of 76 subjects with and without SI(+/-) (n = 38 each), who completed a neuro-cognitive assessment session synchronized with electroencephalography (EEG). SI+/- groups were matched for age, sex, and mental health symptoms of depression and anxiety. EEG was recorded at rest and while subjects engaged in four cognitive tasks of inhibitory control, interference processing, working memory, and emotion bias. We parsed EEG signals in physiologically relevant theta (4-8 Hz), alpha (8-13 Hz), and beta (13-30 Hz) frequencies and performed cortical source imaging on the neural signals. These data served as SI predictors in ML models. The best ML model was obtained for beta band power during the inhibitory control (IC) task, demonstrating high sensitivity (89%), specificity (98%). Shapley explainer plots further showed top neural predictors as feedback-related power in the visual and posterior default mode networks and response-related power in the ventral attention, fronto-parietal, and sensory-motor networks. We further tested the external validity of the model in an independent clinically depressed sample (n = 35, 12 SI+) that engaged in an adaptive test version of the IC task, demonstrating 50% sensitivity and 61% specificity in this sample. Overall, the study suggests a promising, scalable EEG-based biomarker approach to predict SI that may serve as a target for risk identification and intervention.

Neuroimaging and natural language processing-based classification of suicidal thoughts in major depressive disorder

Suicide is a growing public health problem around the world. The most important risk factor for suicide is underlying psychiatric illness, especially depression. Detailed classification of suicide in patients with depression can greatly enhance personalized suicide control efforts. This study used unstructured psychiatric charts and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) records from a psychiatric outpatient clinic to develop a machine learning-based suicidal thought classification model. The study included 152 patients with new depressive episodes for development and 58 patients from a geographically different hospital for validation. We developed an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)-based classification models according to the combined types of data: independent components-map weightings from brain T1-weighted MRI and topic probabilities from clinical notes. Specifically, we used 5 psychiatric symptom topics and 5 brain networks for models. Anxiety and somatic symptoms topics were significantly more common in the suicidal group, and there were group differences in the default mode and cortical midline networks. The clinical symptoms plus structural brain patterns model had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.794) versus the clinical notes only and brain MRI only models (0.748 and 0.738, respectively). The results were consistent across performance metrics and external validation. Our findings suggest that focusing on personalized neuroimaging and natural language processing variables improves evaluation of suicidal thoughts.

Classification of suicidality by training supervised machine learning models with brain MRI findings: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Suicide is a global public health issue causing around 700,000 deaths worldwide each year. Therefore, identifying suicidal thoughts and behaviors in patients can help lower the suicide-related mortality rate. This review aimed to investigate the feasibility of suicidality identification by applying supervised Machine Learning (ML) methods to Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) data.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search on PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science to identify studies examining suicidality by applying ML methods to MRI features. Also, the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was employed for the quality assessment.

RESULTS

23 studies met the inclusion criteria. Of these, 20 developed prediction models without external validation and 3 developed prediction models with external validation. The performance of ML models varied among the reviewed studies, with the highest reported values of accuracies and Area Under the Curve (AUC) ranging from 51.7 % to 100 % and 0.52 to 1, respectively. Over half of the studies that reported accuracy (12/21) or AUC (13/16) achieved values of ≥0.8. Our comparative analysis indicated that deep learning exhibited the highest predictive performance compared to other ML models. The most commonly identified discriminative imaging features were resting-state functional connectivity and grey matter volume within prefrontal-limbic structures.

LIMITATIONS

Small sample sizes, lack of external validation, heterogeneous study designs, and ML model development.

CONCLUSIONS

Most of the studies developed ML models capable of ML-based suicide identification, although ML models' predictive performance varied across the reviewed studies. Thus, further well-designed is necessary to uncover the true potential of different ML models in this field.