Effect of thrombolytic therapy on the predictive value of signal-averaged electrocardiography after acute myocardial infarction

The electrocardiogram as a prognostic tool for predicting major cardiac events

Among patients with cardiac disease, the identification of those who are at low risk and those who are at high risk for major cardiac events is crucial for a rational clinical management of individual patients. A correct noninvasive risk stratification of cardiac patients, in particular, has relevant clinical implications because it would avoid unnecessary exposure to potentially risky invasive diagnostic or interventional procedures in low-risk patients, whereas it would allow an appropriate aggressive diagnostic and therapeutic approach in high-risk patients. Furthermore, the appropriate identification of low- and high-risk patients would also have social and economic implications by favoring optimization of resource distribution and costs. A large number of studies in previous decades provided evidence that several methods and variables derived from the analysis of the electrocardiogram (ECG) are powerful predictors of major cardiac events in several clinical conditions. Despite that, there has been limited attention about how several of these findings can be used in clinical practice. Furthermore, in recent years, most studies about risk stratification of cardiac patients have mainly been focused on the use of a number of serum/plasma biomarkers with reduced attention to ECG variables. Surprisingly, however, there have been few attempts to establish whether the various proposed risk markers add any significant information to that obtainable from ECG methods. In this article, the evidence for the prognostic value of variables derived from the assessment of the ECG signal by several methods and techniques will be briefly reviewed. Because of the largeness of the topic, this review will be necessarily incomplete. Because most of the clinical research in this field concerned risk stratification of patients with coronary artery disease, the article will be largely focused on this population of patients. The role of ECG methods in specific cardiac diseases and, in particular, in the general population of asymptomatic subjects will be briefly discussed when believed appropriate and helpful. Furthermore, only major clinical events (ie, cardiac death, arrhythmic events, acute myocardial infarction) will be taken into account as end points in this article. Minor clinical events (eg, coronary revascularization procedures, coronary artery restenosis, recurrences of symptoms) are indeed less robust as end points because they are widely biased by subjective judgments.

Late ventricular potentials in risk assessment of the occurrence of complex ventricular arrhythmia in patients with myocardial infarction and heart failure

AIM

To determine the prognostic significance of late ventricular potentials on signal-averaged electrocardiogram and left ventricular ejection fraction for the occurrence of complex ventricular arrhythmia in patients treated with accelerated tissue-type plasminogen activator, using the rapid protocol, within six months of acute myocardial infarction.

METHODS

In this analytic observational prospective study patients were divided into four groups: patients with left ventricular ejection fraction bellow 40% and late ventricular potentials, patients with left ventricular ejection fraction bellow 40% and without late ventricular potentials, patients with left ventricular ejection fraction over 40% and late ventricular potentials, and patients with left ventricular ejection fraction over 40% and without late ventricular potentials. Complex ventricular arrhythmias (Lown grade IVa, IVb, and V) were recorded using standard electrocardiography and 24-hour Holter monitoring 21, 60, and 90 days after acute myocardial infarction, respectively. Serial recordings of signal-averaged electrocardiogram were obtained 30, 90, and 180 days after acute myocardial infarction. Left ventricular ejection fraction was determined by echocardiography between 15 and 21 days after acute myocardial infarction. Multivariant logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the relation between late ventricular potentials and left ventricular ejection fraction with the occurrence of complex ventricular arrhythmias. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of late ventricular potentials and left ventricular ejection fraction for the occurrence of complex ventricular arrhythmias were determined.

RESULTS

The prospective study included 80 patients (73% men), mean age 64 +/- 3.5 years. Complex ventricular arrhythmias were recorded in 34 (42.5%) of patients, all 17 (50%) of which were from the first group (p < 0.01). Complex ventricular arrhythmias were recorded in 25 (73.5%) patients with late ventricular potentials, and in 23 (67.6%) patients with left ventricular ejection fraction bellow 40%. Left ventricular ejection fraction bellow 40% and late ventricular potentials represented independent predictors for the occurrence of complex ventricular arrhythmias (RR = 14.33, p < 0.01). When combined with left ventricular ejection fraction bellow 40%, late ventricular potentials had sensitivity (0.50), specificity (0.93), and positive predictive accuracy (0.85) higher than late ventricular potentials alone (0.44, 0.67, and 0.37, respectively) for the occurrence of complex ventricular arrhythmias following acute myocardial infarction.

CONCLUSION

In this study, late ventricular potentials in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction bellow 40% represented the independent predictor for the occurrence of complex ventricular arrhythmias in the first six months after the first myocardial infarction treated with accelerated tissue-type plasminogen activator, using the rapid protocol.

Role of noninvasive studies in risk stratification for sudden cardiac death

Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is one of the leading causes of mortality in developing countries. To prevent SCD, it is crucial to have effective tools for identifying patients at risk, given that there are now effective devices and medications that can prevent SCD. Two noninvasive electrocardiographic tools have been approved by the Food and Drug Administration and are being used clinically for identifying patients at risk for SCD: the signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG) and T-wave alternans (TWA). This article reviews each of these approaches and includes a discussion of the mechanisms and a summary of the clinical studies published to date.

[Predictors of sudden death in coronary artery disease]

Although advances in the management of acute myocardial infarction have resulted in a decline in long-term risk of sudden death, it continues to be high in certain subsets of patients. Thus, it is important to identify and treat these patients. Left ventricular ejection fraction less than 0.40, frequent premature ventricular ectopy on Holter monitoring, late potentials on signal-averaged electrocardiogram, impaired heart rate variability, abnormal baroreflex sensitivity and inducible sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia during electrophysiological study are predictors of sudden death and arrhythmic events. Although the negative predictive value of each factor is high, the positive predictive accuracy is low. Several tests can be combined to obtain higher positive predictive values. In fact, in some studies combined noninvasive tests have been used to select patients for ventricular stimulation study. Some preventive treatment can be applied in these patients. Available data do not justify prophylactic therapy with amiodarone in high-risk survivors of acute myocardial infarction. Sudden death and total mortality have been significantly reduced in postinfarction patients by long-term beta blockade. Hence, beta blockers should be given to all patients with acute myocardial infarction who do not have contraindications to their use. The MADIT study has shown the beneficial effect of implantable cardioverter defibrillator in reducing mortality in patients with prior myocardial infarction, an ejection fraction less than 0.36, asymptomatic nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, and inducible sustained ventricular tachycardia, unsuppressable by procainamide. Besides, several studies are under way to evaluate the prophylactic use of implantable defibrillator for improving survival in high-risk patients.

Risk stratification after myocardial infarction using signal-averaged electrocardiographic criteria adjusted for sex, age, and myocardial infarction location

BACKGROUND

The objectives were to investigate the factors influencing signal-averaged ECGs (SAECGs) recorded in patients after myocardial infarction (MI) and to develop criteria for predicting arrhythmic events (AEs) that account for these factors.

METHODS AND RESULTS

SAECGs were recorded 5 to 15 days after MI in 2461 patients without bundle-branch block. The duration (QRSd), terminal potential (VRMS), and terminal duration (LAS) of the filtered QRS were measured. During follow-up (17 +/- 8 months), AEs (arrhythmic death; ventricular tachycardia, VT; ventricular fibrillation, VF) occurred in 80 patients (3.3%). Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that QRSd discriminated patients with all types of AEs, but VRMS and LAS discriminated only VT patients; QRSd minus LAS also discriminated AE patients. Sex, age, and MI location significantly affected the SAECG; survivors without VT or VF were divided into subgroups (2 sex x 4 age x 2 MI), and QRSd values exceeding the 70th percentile in each subgroup predicted AEs with a sensitivity of 65.4%. An unadjusted QRSd criterion showed the same overall sensitivity and specificity but with less uniform values for each subgroup. A Cox model was constructed by use of multiple prognostic indicators, and in rank order, QRSd, previous MI, and Killip class were predictive of AEs.

CONCLUSIONS

SAECG adjustments for sex, age, and MI location did not improve sensitivity and specificity but produced a more uniform predictive performance. The proposed criteria are based only on QRSd, because late potentials (VRMS and LAS) did not discriminate patients with sudden death. Duration of high-level activity during QRS (QRSd-LAS) can predict AEs, suggesting that the arrhythmogenic substate involves a large mass of myocardium.

Effect of infarct-related artery patency and late potentials on late mortality after acute myocardial infarction

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of patency of the infarct-related artery and the presence of late potentials on late cardiac mortality after myocardial infarction.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We studied the influence of the infarct-related artery patency and the presence of late potentials during signal-averaged electrocardiography on late mortality in 124 survivors of acute myocardial infarction. In addition, we assessed predictive factors of cardiac mortality by univariate and multivariate statistical analysis.

RESULTS

A study group of 98 men and 26 women (mean age, 59 years) who were survivors of acute myocardial infarction underwent follow-up for a mean of 3.6 +/- 1.0 years. Immediate reperfusion therapy (thrombolysis or direct angioplasty) was accomplished in 71 patients (57%). During follow-up, 13 cardiac-associated deaths occurred. Infarct-related artery patency was strongly associated with improved survival, but the presence of late potentials did not correlate with increased mortality, even among patients with impaired left ventricular function. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified occluded infarct-related arteries, prior myocardial infarction, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, and advanced age, but not late potentials, as predictors of increased late cardiac mortality.

CONCLUSION

These data suggest that coronary angiography may, but signal-averaged electrocardiography may not, identify patients with increased late risk of cardiac-related death after myocardial infarction. The low mortality among patients who have undergone successful reperfusion therapy may reduce the ability of noninvasive tests to distinguish between high- and low-risk patients.

The signal-averaged electrocardiogram: update on clinical applications

The signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG) facilitates noninvasive recording of low-amplitude cardiac signals such as ventricular late potentials. The SAECG has been used to accurately predict life-threatening ventricular tachyarrhythmias in patients after acute myocardial infarction and with nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy, and to screen for inducible ventricular tachycardia in patients with unexplained syncope and with nonsustained ventricular tachycardia. This review focuses on currently accepted methodology and clinical and research applications of the SAECG.

Use of ventricular premature complexes for risk stratification after acute myocardial infarction in the thrombolytic era

The independent predictive role of ventricular premature complex (VPC) frequency in the stratification of mortality risk after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was established in the prethrombolytic era by extensive multicenter trials. Thrombolysis has lead to important changes in the natural history of patients after AMI, so that reassessment of established risk factors is now required. The prognostic significance of VPCs was assessed in 680 patients, of whom 379 received early thrombolytic therapy. All patients underwent 24-hour Holter monitoring in a drug-free state between 6 and 10 days after AMI. Patients were followed up for 1 to 8 years. During the first year of follow-up, cardiac death occurred in 33 patients, sudden death in 24, and sustained ventricular tachycardia in 20. Mean VPC frequency was significantly higher in patients who died of cardiac causes, in those who died suddenly, and in those with arrhythmic events during the first year of follow-up. This was also true when patients who did and did not undergo thrombolysis were considered separately. The positive predictive accuracy of VPC frequency in predicting adverse cardiac events was greater in patients who did than did not undergo thrombolysis. At a sensitivity level of 40%, the positive predictive accuracy for cardiac mortality and arrhythmic events for the group with thrombolysis was 19.4% and 25.8%, respectively, compared with 16% and 16% for those without thrombolysis. Moreover, the highest VPC frequency for the dichotomy of patients into high-and low-risk groups was 25 VPCs/hour for patients without thrombolysis. VPC frequency appears to be more highly predictive of prognosis after AMI in patients who have undergone thrombolysis than in those who have not, but the optimal frequency for dichotomy is higher in the former.

Open infarct artery, late potentials, and other prognostic factors in patients after acute myocardial infarction in the thrombolytic era. A prospective trial

BACKGROUND

Successful reperfusion of the infarct-related artery in patients with acute myocardial infarction has been shown to reduce in-hospital as well as 1-year mortality. Besides the thrombolysis-induced myocardial salvage, there is increasing evidence that an open infarct-related artery results in increased electrical stability of the heart and that this effect is at least in part responsible for the favorable long-term outcome of these patients. The exact incidence of arrhythmic events during the first year after myocardial infarction and the predictive value of different risk factors for these complications, however, have not been determined in patients in the thrombolytic era.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 173 patients with acute myocardial infarction, 51% treated with thrombolysis, were prospectively entered into the study. At the time of hospital discharge, signal-averaged ECG, Holter monitoring, radionuclide angiography, coronary angiography, and levocardiography were performed in all patients. An open infarct-related artery was documented in 136 patients. The overall incidence of late potentials was 24% (41 patients). By multivariate analysis, an occluded infarct-related artery (P = .04) and the presence of regional wall motion abnormalities (P = .02) were the strongest independent predictors for the development of a late potential. Residual ischemia was treated by either percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty or surgery in 86 of 173 patients (50%). Seventy percent of the patients received beta-blocker therapy. During a mean follow-up of 12 +/- 5 months, 7 patients died suddenly or had ventricular fibrillation documented, while only 2 developed sustained monomorphic ventricular tachycardia. Overall 1-year mortality was 4.1%. Multivariate analysis revealed only an occluded infarct-related artery as an independent predictor of arrhythmic complications (P = .017).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with acute myocardial infarction treated according to contemporary therapeutic guidelines, with a large proportion of individuals undergoing coronary artery revascularization, a low incidence of arrhythmic events, particularly of ventricular tachycardia, was observed in the first year after the index infarction. The presence or absence of an open infarct-related artery was the strongest independent predictor of these events, whereas other traditional risk factors, such as late potentials, were less helpful in identifying patients prone to sudden death. These findings emphasize the importance of the open artery hypothesis in patients recovering from acute myocardial infarction.

Prognostic significance of signal-averaged electrocardiogram after thrombolytic therapy and/or angioplasty during acute myocardial infarction (CAST substudy). Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial (CAST) SAECG Substudy Investigators

Thrombolytic therapy and angioplasty during the early phase of an acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have been shown to improve prognosis. Time-domain analysis of the signal-averaged electrocardiogram (SAECG) provides strong, independent prediction of arrhythmic events (arrhythmic death/resuscitated cardiac arrest) after AMI. To determine whether the prognostic significance of an abnormal SAECG (QRS duration > or = 120 ms) measured after AMI is influenced by thrombolytic therapy/angioplasty given in the AMI period, the predictive value of SAECG was compared in patients with and without prior thrombolysis/angioplasty in a substudy of the Cardiac Arrhythmia Suppression Trial. Information was available in 787 patients. The average follow-up was 10 +/- 3 months and arrhythmic events occurred in 33 patients (4.2%). The prevalence of abnormal SAECG in patients with and without thrombolytic therapy/angioplasty was 9.4% (34 of 363 patients) and 14.9% (63 of 424 patients), respectively (p < 0.02). The arrhythmic event rate for patients with abnormal SAECG with and without thrombolytic therapy/angioplasty was 20.6% (7 of 34 patients) and 20.6% (13 of 63 patients), respectively. The arrhythmic event rate for patients with normal SAECG with and without thrombolytic therapy/angioplasty was 0.9% (3 of 329 patients) and 2.8% (10 of 361 patients), respectively. It is concluded that in patients with an AMI (1) the use of thrombolytic therapy/angioplasty is associated with a significantly decreased prevalence of abnormal SAECG, (2) thrombolytic therapy/angioplasty associated with a normal SAECG portends an excellent prognosis, and (3) an abnormal SAECG is predictive of an increased incidence of arrhythmic events in all patients regardless of prior thrombolytic therapy/angioplasty.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Effects of streptokinase during acute myocardial infarction on the signal-averaged electrocardiogram and on the frequency of late arrhythmias

Although a number of studies have shown that the incidence of late potentials is lower after thrombolytic therapy, it is not known whether this is paralleled by fewer arrhythmic events during long-term follow-up. In patients with first acute myocardial infarction, filtered QRS duration was significantly shorter when treated with streptokinase (95 +/- 11 ms, n = 53) than when treated with conventional therapy (99 +/- 12 ms, n = 77, p < 0.05). The low-amplitude signal (D40) was shorter after thrombolysis (28 +/- 11 vs 33 +/- 12 ms, p < 0.02). Terminal root-mean-square voltage did not differ significantly (41 +/- 24 vs 35 +/- 23 microV). Irrespective of treatment, late potentials were predictive in the complete group (n = 171) for arrhythmic events during follow-up (13 +/- 6 months, range 6 to 24) (hazard ratio 7.7, p < 0.02, Cox proportional-hazards survival analysis), but treatment (streptokinase vs conventional) did not significantly affect outcome when added to the model. It is concluded that thrombolysis prevents the development of late potentials. However, this study does not confirm the hypothesis that prevention of late potentials leads to a decrease in arrhythmic events.