Reliability of ultrasonographic formulary in the prediction of fetal weight and survival of very-low-birth-weight infants

Performance of fetal ultrasound and magnetic resonance imaging in predicting birthweight according to the test-to-delivery interval: A cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the influence of the test-to-delivery interval (TDI) on the performance of ultrasound (US) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for predicting birthweight (BW).

STUDY DESIGN

This is a secondary analysis of a prospective, single center, blinded cohort study that compared MRI and US for the prediction of BW ≥ 95th percentile in singleton pregnancies. Patients that were included in the initial study underwent US and MRI for estimation of fetal weight between 36 + 0/7 and 36 + 6/7 weeks of gestation (WG). The primary outcome of the current study was to report the changes of US and MRI sensitivity and specificity in the prediction of BW > 95th percentile, BW > 90th percentile, BW < 10th percentile, and BW < 5th percentile, according to the TDI. The secondary outcome was to represent the performance of both tools in the prediction of BW > 90th percentile when TDI is<2 weeks, between 2 and 4 weeks, and>4 weeks. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed accordingly.

RESULTS

2378 patients were eligible for final analysis. For the prediction of BW > 95th or 90th percentile, the sensitivity of MRI remains high until 2 weeks, and it decreases slowly between 2 and 4 weeks, in contrast to the sensitivity of US which decreases rapidly 2 weeks after examination (p < 0.001). For the prediction of BW < 10th or 5th percentile, the sensitivity of both tools decreases in parallel between 1 and 2 weeks. The specificities of both tools remain high from examination till delivery. These findings are reproducible with the use of the antenatal customized and the postnatal national growth charts.

CONCLUSION

The performance of MRI in the prediction of BW, especially in large-for-gestational age, is maximal when delivery occurs within two weeks of the examination, decreasing slightly thereafter, in contrast with the performance of US which decreases drastically over time.

Factors influencing the accuracy of fetal weight estimation with a focus on preterm birth at the limit of viability: a systematic literature review

BACKGROUND

Fetal weight estimation (FWE) is an important factor for clinical management decisions, especially in imminent preterm birth at the limit of viability between 23(0/7) and 26(0/7) weeks of gestation. It is crucial to detect and eliminate factors that have a negative impact on the accuracy of FWE.

DATA SOURCES

In this systematic literature review, we investigated 14 factors that may influence the accuracy of FWE, in particular in preterm neonates born at the limit of viability.

RESULTS

We found that gestational age, maternal body mass index, amniotic fluid index and ruptured membranes, presentation of the fetus, location of the placenta and the presence of multiple fetuses do not seem to have an impact on FWE accuracy. The influence of the examiner's grade of experience and that of fetal gender were discussed controversially. Fetal weight, time interval between estimation and delivery and the use of different formulas seem to have an evident effect on FWE accuracy. No results were obtained on the impact of active labor.

DISCUSSION

This review reveals that only few studies investigated factors possibly influencing the accuracy of FWE in preterm neonates at the limit of viability. Further research in this specific age group on potential confounding factors is needed.

Analysis of factors influencing the ultrasonic fetal weight estimation

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was the evaluation of sonographic fetal weight estimation taking into consideration 9 of the most important factors of influence on the precision of the estimation.

METHODS

We analyzed 820 singleton pregnancies from 22 to 42 weeks of gestational age. We evaluated 9 different factors that potentially influence the precision of sonographic weight estimation (time interval between estimation and delivery, experts vs. less experienced investigator, fetal gender, gestational age, fetal weight, maternal BMI, amniotic fluid index, presentation of the fetus, location of the placenta). Finally, we compared the results of the fetal weight estimation of the fetuses with poor scanning conditions to those presenting good scanning conditions.

RESULTS

Of the 9 evaluated factors that may influence accuracy of fetal weight estimation, only a short interval between sonographic weight estimation and delivery (0-7 vs. 8-14 days) had a statistically significant impact.

CONCLUSION

Of all known factors of influence, only a time interval of more than 7 days between estimation and delivery had a negative impact on the estimation.

Estimation of fetal weight in twins: a new mathematical model

OBJECTIVES

Evaluation of new mathematical formula (Femur 4) derived from a twin population to estimate fetal weight in twins using ultrasound. Comparison of Femur 4 is with conventional mathematical models.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of ultrasonic measurements of 297 twin babies from 24 to 40 weeks of gestation who were born within 10 days of ultrasound examination.

SETTING

Aberdeen Maternity Hospital.

METHODS

With ultrasonic measurements obtained from twin babies, estimated fetal weight was calculated using the mathematical models of Campbell, Shepard and Hadlock. The calculations were repeated for the model of Femur 4. All models were compared against Femur 4.

RESULTS

The coefficient of determination of the linear regression between the actual and predicted weight was highest for Femur 4 (0.852). Femur 4 had the highest proportion of babies with estimated weights within 10% of actual birthweight (71.4%). In babies who weighed between 2000 and 3000 g, Femur 4 had the least systematic and random error of -1.69 and 8.96, respectively. For babies below the 10th centile for weight, Femur 4 had comparable positive and negative predictive values of 76.0% and 92.3%, respectively. Femur 4 was equally poor at predicting growth discordancy with positive and negative predictive values of 70.0% and 86.5% only.

CONCLUSION

Femur 4 requires measurements of femur length and abdominal circumference only, hence avoiding the need to obtain difficult head measurements which is a common problem in twins. It is a good model for estimation of fetal weight in twins. However, prediction of growth discordancy remains problematic.

Prenatal prediction of neonatal outcome in the extremely low-birth-weight infant

OBJECTIVE

Our goal was to identify prenatally available parameters that correlate with neonatal outcome and could be used for predicting such outcome in the extremely low-birth-weight pregnancy.

STUDY DESIGN

From 1990 through 1995, obstetric and neonatal data of live-born nonanomalous singleton infants with birth weights between 400 and 1000 gm were reviewed. Only cases in which ultrasonographic biometry, including biparietal diameter, abdominal circumference, and femur length, was performed < or =3 days before delivery were included. Overall survival (defined as alive at discharge) and survival without specific severe neonatal morbidities (namely, retinopathy of prematurity [stage 3 or 4], intraventricular hemorrhage [grade 3 or 4], periventricular leukomalacia, chronic lung disease, and deafness) were ascertained. The best combination of prenatal parameters for the prediction of overall survival and survival without severe morbidity was determined by backward stepwise logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

The most significant prenatal predictors of overall survival were the obstetric estimate of gestational age and the abdominal circumference (chi2 = 11.8036, p = 0.0006 and chi2 = 8.1862, p < 0.005, respectively). Survival without severe morbidity was also predicted by the same combination of parameters (chi2 = 21.9079, p = 0.0001 and chi2 = 6.538, p = 0.01, respectively). The estimated fetal weight was not a significant independent predictor of either category of outcome (chi2 = 0.1249, p = 0.72 and chi2 = 0.0361, p = 0.85, respectively). On the basis of the regression formulas, curves displaying the probabilities of overall survival and survival without severe morbidity with any combination of gestational age and abdominal circumference were developed.

CONCLUSION

The combination of gestational age and the abdominal circumference measurements appears to be superior to any combination that included estimated fetal weight data for predicting neonatal outcome in the neonates weighing < or =1000 gm. We developed a mechanism for predicting neonatal outcome in this weight category on the basis of prenatally available parameters. This information could prove useful for both parental counseling and obstetric decision making.

Sonographic diagnosis of intrauterine growth restriction

Estimation of fetal weight in utero using multiple ultrasonic parameters remains the mainstay in screening for IUGR. The use of various fetal morphometric ratios and/or measurements of other fetal parameters may provide additional useful information. Serial evaluation to assess interval growth may be necessary to clarify the diagnosis. The use of Doppler ultrasound, especially the evaluation of the umbilical artery and middle cerebral artery velocity flow, is an important adjunct for both the diagnosis of IUGR caused by uteroplacental insufficiency and its continued management.

Prediction of birth weight using the Rossavik growth model: a study in a Dutch population

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the Rossavik growth model for predicting birth weight in a Dutch population and to evaluate growth cessation near term.

STUDY DESIGN

Birth weight was predicted at various ages between 38 and 42 weeks, menstrual age (MA), and at birth age in 50 normal infants using two sets of ultrasound measurements obtained before 28 weeks, MA. Predicted birth weights were compared to actual weights. The mean percentage difference was used as a measure of systematic error and the standard deviation as a measure of random error. Linear regression analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between percentage differences and birth age. To evaluate the individual growth potential, the Growth Potential Realization Index for weight (GPRIWT) was determined for each fetus.

RESULTS

The predictions at 39 and 39.15 weeks, MA, were accurate without systematic error and with a random error of +/-9.3%. Prediction at 38 weeks showed a statistical underestimation (mean +/- SD = -5.8% +/- 8.8), and statistical overestimations were found for predictions after 39.15 weeks and at birth age. A relationship between percentage differences and birth age was not found for predictions between 39.15 and 40 weeks, MA. These findings indicate that growth cessation occurred at 39.15 weeks, MA. Using birth weights predicted at 39.15 weeks, MA, GPRIWT were calculated. The mean GPRIWT value was not significantly different from 100% (p > 0.05), and individual GPRIWT values ranged from 84% to 114%.

CONCLUSIONS

The Rossavik growth model can be used to predict birth weight in a Dutch population. However, growth cessation near term appears to occur later than previously reported in other populations.