Implications of newly recognized relationships between mutagenicity, genotoxicity and carcinogenicity of molecules

Computational predictive programs (expert systems) in toxicology

The increasing number of pollutants in the environment raises the problem of the toxicological risk evaluation of these chemicals. Several so called expert systems (ES) have been claimed to be able to predict toxicity of certain chemical structures. Different approaches are currently used for these ES, based on explicit rules derived from the knowledge of human experts that compiled lists of toxic moieties for instance in the case of programs called HazardExpert and DEREK or relying on statistical approaches, as in the CASE and TOPKAT programs. Here we describe and compare these and other intelligent computer programs because of their utility in obtaining at least a first rough indication of the potential toxic activity of chemicals.

1,4-Dioxane: prediction of in vivo clastogenicity

1,4-Dioxane was analyzed with the CASE program to determine the structural basis of its potential genotoxicity and carcinogenicity. These investigations led to the prediction that while 1,4-dioxane was not genotoxic in vitro, it was an inducer of micronuclei in the bone marrow of rats and a carcinogen for both rats and mice. If it is assumed that the induction of micronuclei is the result of DNA damage, then this potential and the previous report of the in vivo induction of DNA strand breaks in rat liver raise the possibility of a genotoxic action for 1,4-dioxane. However it is also conceivable that we have identified a structural feature which contributes to the induction of micronuclei by a non-genotoxic mechanism.

Quantification of the predictivity of some short-term assays for carcinogenicity in rodents

A statistical procedure is described for assessing the predictive performance of short-term tests for carcinogenicity in which the actual number of chemicals tested is taken into consideration. The method is then applied to several widely used short-term assays.