Pre-treatment prognostic factors in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer treated with hyperfractionated radiation therapy with or without concurrent chemotherapy

Management of Stage III Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer: ASCO Guideline

PURPOSE

To provide evidence-based recommendations to practicing clinicians on management of patients with stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

An Expert Panel of medical oncology, thoracic surgery, radiation oncology, pulmonary oncology, community oncology, research methodology, and advocacy experts was convened to conduct a literature search, which included systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and randomized controlled trials published from 1990 through 2021. Outcomes of interest included survival, disease-free or recurrence-free survival, and quality of life. Expert Panel members used available evidence and informal consensus to develop evidence-based guideline recommendations.

RESULTS

The literature search identified 127 relevant studies to inform the evidence base for this guideline.

RECOMMENDATIONS

Evidence-based recommendations were developed to address evaluation and staging workup of patients with suspected stage III NSCLC, surgical management, neoadjuvant and adjuvant approaches, and management of patients with unresectable stage III NSCLC.Additional information is available at www.asco.org/thoracic-cancer-guidelines.

Risk Stratification of Locally Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Patients Treated with Chemo-Radiotherapy: An Institutional Analysis

Background

The purpose of this study was to determine which factors predicted survival and to derive a risk prediction model for patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) receiving concurrent chemo-radiotherapy (cCRT).

Methods

This investigation included 149 patients with locally advanced NSCLC who were treated with cCRT at Stony Brook University Hospital between 2007 and 2015. A finite set of demographic, clinical, and treatment variables were evaluated as independent prognostic factors. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were generated, and log rank tests were used to evaluate difference in survival between groups. To derive a risk score for mortality, a machine learning approach was utilized. To maximize statistical power while examining replicability, the sample was split into discovery (n=99) and replication (n=50) subsamples. Elastic-net regression was used to identify a linear prediction model. Youden’s index was used to identify appropriate cutoffs. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine mortality risk; model concordance and hazards ratios were reported.

Results

One-quarter of the patients survived for three years after initiation of cCRT. Prognostic factors for survival in the discovery group included age, sex, smoking status, albumin, histology, largest tumor size, number of nodal stations, stage, induction therapy, and radiation dose. The derived model had good risk predictive accuracy (C=0.70). Median survival time was shorter in the high-risk group (0.93 years) vs the low-risk group (2.40 years). Similar findings were noted in the replication sample with strong model accuracy (C=0.69) and median survival time of 0.93 years and 2.03 years for the high- and low-risk groups, respectively.

Conclusion

This novel risk prediction model for overall survival in patients with stage III NSCLC highlights the importance of integrating patient, clinical, and treatment variables for accurately predicting outcomes. Clinicians can use this tool to make personalized treatment decisions for patients with locally advanced NSCLC treated with concurrent chemo-radiation.

Preoperative weight loss is associated with poorer prognosis in operable esophageal cancer patients: A single-center retrospective analysis of a large cohort of Chinese patients

Background: Preoperative weight loss has been shown to be a prognostic factor for many cancers. However, whether preoperative weight loss has clinical significance in patients with esophageal cancer is still controversial.

Methods: A total of 2,174 Chinese patients underwent radical resection of esophageal cancer from 2000 to 2008 were included in our study. Patients were divided into two group: no weight loss (-) and weight loss (+), according to whether they had weight loss compared with their usual weight at diagnosis. The influence of preoperative weight loss on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard models.

Results: weight loss (+) was significantly associated with age (P=0.001), alcoholism (P<0.001), tumor location (P=0.003), pT category (P=0.003), pN category (P=0.001). Patients of group weight loss (+) had significantly poorer DFS (Mean: 63.3 months (m) vs 76.8 m, P<0.001) and OS (67.4 m vs 83.3 m, P<0.001) than the no weight loss (-) group. In the final multivariate survival analysis with adjustment for covariates, we found that the weight loss (+) group had a 19% higher risk of death (HR=1.19, 95%CI: 1.07-1.33, P=0.002) and had a 13% higher risk of disease progression (HR=1.13, 95%CI: 1.01-1.25, P=0.027), respectively, than the no weight loss (-) group. Subgroup analysis indicated that the association with preoperative weight loss and better DFS or OS was observed in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and early pathological stage (I-II).

Conclusion: Preoperative weight loss is associated with shorter OS and DFS, which means poor postoperative prognosis in esophageal cancer patients.

Variation by stage in the effects of prediagnosis weight loss on mortality in a prospective cohort of esophageal cancer patients

Cancer cachexia is increasingly recognized as a poor prognostic marker for various tumor types. Weight loss in esophageal cancer is multifactorial, as patients with bulky tumors also have reduced ability to eat. We aimed to investigate the relationship between prediagnosis weight loss and mortality in esophageal cancer and to determine whether these associations vary with tumor stage. We conducted a prospective cohort study of esophageal cancer patients at two tertiary centers. We recorded baseline patient characteristics including medications, smoking, body mass index, and weight loss in the year prior to diagnosis, and collected data on treatment and outcomes. We used Cox regression modeling to determine the associations between percent weight loss and outcomes. The main outcome of interest was all-cause mortality; secondary endpoints were esophageal cancer-specific mortality and development of metastases. We enrolled 134 subjects, the majority of whom had adenocarcinoma (82.1%); median percent weight loss was 4.7% (IQR: 0%-10.9%). Increasing percent weight loss was not associated with all-cause mortality (ptrend = 0.36). However, there was evidence of significant interaction by tumor stage (p = 0.02). There was a strong and significant association between prediagnosis weight loss and mortality in patients with T stages 1 or 2 (adjusted HR 8.26 for highest versus lowest tertile, 95%CI 1.11-61.5, ptrend = 0.03) but not for T stages 3 or 4 (ptrend = 0.32). Body mass index one year prior to diagnosis was not associated with mortality. Prediagnosis weight loss was associated with increased all-cause mortality only in patients with early stage esophageal cancer. This suggests that tumor-related cachexia can occur early in esophageal cancer and represents a poor prognostic marker.

Prognostic factors in stage III non-small cell lung cancer: a review of conventional, metabolic and new biological variables

Lung cancer is one of the most frequently occurring neoplasms and usually has a poor prognosis because most of the patients present with advanced or metastatic disease at the time of diagnosis. Numerous prognostic factors (PFs) have been studied, but the two most prominent, having both prognostic and operational values, are disease stage and performance status. Even if the literature on PFs in lung cancer is impressive, the number of publications specifically dealing with PFs in stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is limited. We reviewed the literature on this topic and separated the available information into three groups: conventional PFs, metabolic criteria (standardized uptake value [SUV] measured on(18)F-FDG-PET) and new biomarkers. Performance status and the distinction between stage IIIA and IIIB confirmed their prognostic value in stage III NSCLC. Other conventional PFs have been suggested such as age, weight loss, response to treatment and some characteristics describing the locoregional extension of the tumour. There is a place for the SUV as a PF for survival in early NSCLC, but its role in stage III NSCLC has to be further assessed. Some new biomarkers involved in cell cycle regulation or in apoptosis have been shown to have potential value. Their role needs to be confirmed in large prospective studies including conventional PFs to determine their independent value as a PF in stage III NSCLC. In conclusion, few PFs have been well evaluated in stage III NSCLC. New studies, taking into account the modifications derived from the 7th international staging system of the UICC, have to be performed.

Myelosuppression induced by concurrent chemoradiotherapy as a prognostic factor for patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer

The aim of the present study was to assess whether myelosuppression during concurrent chemoradiotherapy is a prognostic factor for patients with locally advanced non‑small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We retrospectively analyzed 86 patients with NSCLC who received concurrent platinum-based chemoradiotherapy. Patients were classified into two groups (grades 0-2 and 3-4) according to the most severe neutropenia, anemia or thrombocytopenia observed during concurrent chemoradiotherapy, and survival time and progression-free survival (PFS) time were analyzed. Univariate analysis revealed that overall survival time was significantly longer in patients with grade 0-2 anemia than in those with grade 3-4 anemia (p=0.02). Survival time did not differ significantly on the basis of the severity of neutropenia or thrombocytopenia. Although pre-treatment white blood cell count was a further prognostic factor in univariate analysis, multivariate analysis revealed that the only independent prognostic factor for overall survival time was anemia. Disease stage was an independent prognostic factor for PFS (p=0.04), whereas neutropenia, anemia and thrombocytopenia were not. In conclusion, the severity of anemia during concurrent chemoradiotherapy may be a useful prognostic factor in patients with locally advanced NSCLC.

Clinical prognostic factors in patients with locally advanced (stage III) nonsmall cell lung cancer treated with hyperfractionated radiation therapy with and without concurrent chemotherapy: single-Institution Experience in 600 Patients

BACKGROUND

Influence of potential clinical prognostic factors on overall survival (OS), local progression-free survival (PFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (MFS) in patients with locally advanced nonsmall cell lung cancer treated with hyperfractionated radiation therapy (HFX RT) with or without concurrent chemotherapy was investigated.

METHODS

Three phase 3 and 2 phase 2 studies have been designed and executed with a total of 600 patients. HFX RT alone was given in 127 and HFX RT-chemotherapy was given in 473 patients. HFX RT doses were either 64.8 grays (Gy) or 69.6 Gy using 1.2 Gy twice daily, or 67.6 Gy using 1.3 Gy twice daily. Chemotherapy consisted of concurrent carboplatin and etoposide in 409 patients and concurrent carboplatin and paclitaxel in 64 patients. Sex, age, Karnofsky performance score (KPS), weight loss (>5%), stage, histology, interfraction interval, and treatment (the addition of concurrent chemotherapy) were investigated as potential prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The median OS, median local PFS, and median distant MFS times were 19, 21, and 23 months, respectively. Five-year OS, local PFS, and distant MFS rates were 19%, 29%, and 35%, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that only age did not influence OS and local PFS, whereas female sex, lower KPS, less pronounced weight loss, lower stage, squamous histology, shorter interfraction interval, and treatment independently predicted better OS and local PFS. Only age and treatment did not influence distant MFS, whereas histology was of borderline significance.

CONCLUSIONS

This study identified independent prognosticators of treatment outcome. These results may have implications for future studies in this disease.

Locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer, pretreatment prognostic factors: Disease stage, tumor histopathological characteristics, the patient-related factors

Background: The existing tumor-node-metastasis staging system ignores numerous clinical, therapeutic, and biological characteristics of lung cancer and psychomotor condition of a patient because it is based on the anatomic extent of disease. Therefore, there is a possibility of inadequate choice of therapy for any individual patient. Based on the disease stage, histopathological characteristics of the tumor and the patient-related factors (sex, age, Karnofsky status, accompanying diseases) the outcome of the disease can be predicted in patients with inoperable and unresectable non-small lung cancer. Methods: This report is a prospective clinical study that included patients with histopathological verified non-small cell lung cancer, followed up for a six-month period, from the beginning of the treatment. The following data were recorded: sex, age, histological cancer type, stage, Karnofsky status, and comorbid diseases. Results: The study showed planocellular carcinoma was more dominant among men than among women and that and at the diagnosis, most patients were in IIIb or IV stage. There was a decrease in psychomotor status of patients. The length of survival depended on Karnofsky index (p= 0.000), comorbidities - chronic myocardiopathy (p= 0.001), diabetes mellitus type 2 (p =0.007), myocardial infraction (p= 0.005), and the stage of the disease (p= 0.001) Conclusion: Psychomotor status of a patient, comborid diseases, and the stage of disease are the factors that determine patient?s tolerance to oncology treatment.

Post-chemotherapy gross tumor volume is predictive of survival in patients with stage III non-small cell lung cancer treated with combined modality therapy

PURPOSE

To evaluate the influence of clinical covariates, particularly pre-chemotherapy gross tumor volume (GTV), post-chemotherapy GTV, on overall survival in the treatment of stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We retrospectively analyzed 102 patients who were enrolled on three consecutive clinical trials, which employed the treatment paradigm of two cycles of induction chemotherapy followed by thoracic radiation therapy. The pre-chemotherapy GTV, post-chemotherapy GTV, change in GTV, histology, disease stage, performance status, age, race, treatment with concurrent chemoradiotherapy versus radiotherapy alone were evaluated to determine their impact on overall survival. The log10 of the GTV was used to normalize the data and thereby reduce the impact of exceptionally large values.

RESULTS

Both the log10 of the post-chemotherapy GTV and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status covariates were highly prognostic for overall survival (p = 0.006 and p = 0.008, respectively). Disease stage (at diagnosis) was also significant (p = 0.048). The log10 pre-chemotherapy GTV covariate was borderline significant (p = 0.067). The strongest prognostic model was the two-covariate model, which contained the log10 post-chemotherapy GTV and ECOG performance status covariates, (model chi2 of 18.67, with p = 0.001 for each covariate).

CONCLUSIONS

The log10 post-chemotherapy GTV has significant prognostic survival value when the strategy of induction chemotherapy is employed in the treatment on stage III NSCLC. ECOG performance status and stage were also significant prognostic factors for survival.

Multivariate analysis of survival, local control, and time to distant metastases in patients with unresectable non-small-cell lung carcinoma treated with 3-dimensional conformal radiation therapy with or without concurrent chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Three-dimensional (3D) conformal radiation therapy (CRT) and chemotherapy have recently improved lung cancer management.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed outcomes in 68 patients with unresectable stage I-III non-small-cell lung cancer. Treatment consisted of 3D CRT alone or with concurrent chemotherapy (CCR).

RESULTS

Concurrent chemotherapy improved survival, to a median of 17 months +/- 4.9 months, compared with 8 months+/- 4.1 months for the radiation therapy (RT) alone group (P=0.0347). The 2- and 5-year survival rates were 40.3%+/-7.7% and 14.1%+/-6.4%, respectively, with CCR, compared with 19.6%+/- 9.6% and 0, respectively, for RT alone. In a subgroup analysis for age > 65, patients who received CCR (n=20) had significantly improved survival and local control (P=0.005 and P=0.0286, respectively). Acute esophageal toxicity Radiation Therapy Oncology Group grade >or= 3 was significantly higher in the CCR group and correlated with the RT dose (19% in CCR vs. 0 in RT, P=0.0234; P=0.050). The overall incidences of esophageal and pulmonary toxicity grade >or= 3 were 20.6% and 5.9%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirms that CCR is associated with improved survival over RT alone, with a tolerable increase in acute toxicity.

Combined modality trials of the Cancer and Leukemia Group B in stage III non-small-cell lung cancer: analysis of factors influencing survival and toxicity

BACKGROUND

Combined modality therapy (CMT) is the standard of care for patients with unresectable stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC); however, insufficient data are available regarding prognostic factors in this disease setting.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Six hundred and ninety-four patients included in five trials conducted by the Cancer and Leukemia Group B evaluating CMT in stage III NSCLC were included in this analysis. The primary objective was to identify factors that were predictors of survival and selected radiation-related toxicities using Cox regression models and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The Cox model shows that performance status (PS) 1 [hazard ratio (HR) 1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-1.45; P=0.009] and thoracic radiation therapy (TRT) only (HR 1.58; 95% CI 1.22-2.05; P=0.001) predicted for poorer survival, while baseline hemoglobin >/=12 g/dl predicted for improved survival (HR 0.67; 95% CI 0.55-0.81; P </=0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression showed an increase of grade 3 + esophagitis among patients with PS 0 [odds ratio (OR) 1.7; 95% CI 1.1-2.7; P=0.029), >5% weight loss (OR 2.9; 95% CI 1.3-6.6; P=0.008) and patients receiving concurrent chemoradiation (OR 7.3; 95% CI 3.4-15.6; P=0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline hemoglobin and PS, as well as the use of CMT, have the greatest effect on survival in unresectable stage III NSCLC. The use of concurrent chemoradiation increases the risk of esophagitis, which remains the primary radiation-related toxicity.

Prognostic factors in non-small cell lung cancer

Identification of prognostic factors is critical in optimizing treatment for patients with cancer. The purpose of this work is to review the modern literature with regard to prognostic factors for patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) taking into account ongoing advances in clinical evaluation, staging, surgery, radiation therapy, chemotherapy, and molecular biology in this widely heterogeneous patient population.

Influence of tumor volume on survival in patients irradiated for non-small-cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

To investigate the importance of CT-defined total tumor volume (TTV) on overall survival (OS) in patients with unresectable or medically inoperable non-small-cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Between 1991 and 1998, 150 evaluable patients with Stage I-IIIB NSCLC were treated with three-dimensionally planned conformal radiotherapy and curative intent at Duke University Medical Center. On the treatment-planning CT, the primary tumor and nodal volumes were identified and subsequently combined to form the TTV. The TTV was compared with the stage and outcome with respect to OS, local progression-free survival, and distant failure-free survival using the Kruskall-Wallis analysis of variance and Kaplan-Meier actuarial method. To account for the potentially confounding effects of therapeutic and patient-specific covariates on survival, the Cox proportional hazard regression model was used.

RESULTS

The TTVs in patients with Stage I disease (median 19 cm3) were smaller than in patients with Stage II (median 80 cm3) or Stage III (median 97 cm3; p <0.001) disease. The Stage II TTVs were not significantly different from those of Stage III (post-hoc test according to Bonferroni). Prolonged OS was independently associated with a small TTV (<80 vs. >80 cm3 [median]; p = 0.01), young age (<60 vs. > or =60 years; p = 0.03), high Karnofsky performance status (< o r =70 vs. >70; p = 0.04), and female gender (p = 0.04). Both stage (p = 0.7) and T stage (p = 0.06) were of less importance for OS than was the TTV, according to multivariate modeling. Increased local progression-free survival (p = 0.001) and distant failure-free survival (p = 0.03) were independently associated with a small TTV (i.e., <80 cm3). The results were unchanged if the TTV was analyzed as a continuous variable.

CONCLUSION

A strong independent association between a small CT-defined TTV and prolonged survival in patients with NSCLC selected for curative/definitive RT was found. Future therapeutic studies in NSCLC should consider stratifying/adjusting for differences in TTV to avoid confounding effects on survival from variations in the TTV at baseline.

Do all patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer benefit from cisplatin-based combination therapy?

BACKGROUND

Platinum-based chemotherapy has been shown to be effective in improving survival and quality of life in advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. The objective of this study was to identify patients more likely to benefit from chemotherapy in order to avoid the indiscriminate treatment of all patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A multivariate analysis of survival was performed using the database of the European randomized phase III trial that compared vinorelbine (navelbine) (NVB), vinorelbine-cisplatin (NVB-P) and vindesine-cisplatin (VDS-P) in 612 patients with inoperable NSCLC (stage III or IV). Interactions between treatment and the prognostic factors singled out by the Cox procedure were specifically tested.

RESULTS

The performance status (PS) was the only significant interaction among the selected prognostic factors and treatment. Subgroup analysis showed that the advantage obtained with NVB-P predominantly concerned PS 0-1 patients, whose median survival lasted 43 weeks (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 39-50 weeks) with a one-year survival rate of 38% (95% CI: 31%-46%) versus 36 weeks (95%, CI: 30-40 weeks) and 34% (95% CI: 27%-42%) for NVB alone, and 33 weeks (95% CI: 30-39 weeks) and 29% (95% CI: 22%-36%) for VDS-P. In sharp contrast, survival in PS 2 patients was similar (median 18 weeks) (NVB-P 95% CI: 11-34 weeks; NVB 95% CI: 11-35 weeks; VDS-P 95% CI: 14-32 weeks) whatever the treatment.

CONCLUSION

PS 2 patients with advanced NSCLC might not benefit from cisplatin combination therapy.

Recursive partitioning analysis of 1999 Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) patients with locally-advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC): identification of five groups with different survival

PURPOSE

Survival of patients with locally-advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC) is predicted by the stage of the disease and other characteristics. This analysis was undertaken to identify these characteristics in a large cooperative group patient population, as well as to define subgroups of the population with differing outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Analysis included 1,999 patients treated in 9 RTOG trials between 1983 and 1994 with thoracic irradiation (RT) with (n = 355) or without chemotherapy (CT).

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, the following characteristics were significantly associated with an improved survival: use of CT, CT delivered without major deviation, abnormal pulmonary function tests, normal hemoglobin, protein, LDH and BUN, presence of dyspnea, hemoptysis, cough or hoarseness, uninvolved lymph nodes, T1 or T2 stage, no malignant pleural effusion (PE), weight loss of < 8%, Karnofsky performance status (KPS) of at least 90, adenocarcinoma histology, female gender, and age less than 70 years. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was subsequently applied to identify 5 patient subgroups with significantly different median survival times (MST): Group I, KPS of > or = 90, who received chemotherapy (MST 16.2 months); Group II, KPS of > or = 90, who received no CT, but had no PE (MST 11.9 months); Group III, KPS < 90, younger than 70 years, with non-large cell histology (MST 9.6 months); Group IV, KPS > or = 90, but with PE, or KPS < 90, younger than 70 years, and with large cell histology, or older than 70 years, but without PE (MST 5.6-6.4 months); Group V, older than 70, with PE (MST 2.9 months).

CONCLUSION

Cisplatinum-based CT improves survival, for excellent prognosis of LA-NSCLC patients, over RT alone. The presence of a malignant pleural effusion is a major negative prognostic factor for survival. The identification of RPA prognostic groups among patients with LA-NSCLC provides prognostic information and may serve as a basis of stratification in future trials.