A meta-analysis of prognostic factors in advanced ovarian cancer with median survival and overall survival (measured with the log (relative risk)) as main objectives

Charting the landscape of graphical displays for meta-analysis and systematic reviews: a comprehensive review, taxonomy, and feature analysis

BACKGROUND

Data-visualization methods are essential to explore and communicate meta-analytic data and results. With a large number of novel graphs proposed quite recently, a comprehensive, up-to-date overview of available graphing options for meta-analysis is unavailable.

METHODS

We applied a multi-tiered search strategy to find the meta-analytic graphs proposed and introduced so far. We checked more than 150 retrievable textbooks on research synthesis methodology cover to cover, six different software programs regularly used for meta-analysis, and the entire content of two leading journals on research synthesis. In addition, we conducted Google Scholar and Google image searches and cited-reference searches of prior reviews of the topic. Retrieved graphs were categorized into a taxonomy encompassing 11 main classes, evaluated according to 24 graph-functionality features, and individually presented and described with explanatory vignettes.

RESULTS

We ascertained more than 200 different graphs and graph variants used to visualize meta-analytic data. One half of these have accrued within the past 10 years alone. The most prevalent classes were graphs for network meta-analysis (45 displays), graphs showing combined effect(s) only (26), funnel plot-like displays (24), displays showing more than one outcome per study (19), robustness, outlier and influence diagnostics (15), study selection and p-value based displays (15), and forest plot-like displays (14). The majority of graphs (130, 62.5%) possessed a unique combination of graph features.

CONCLUSIONS

The rich and diverse set of available meta-analytic graphs offers a variety of options to display many different aspects of meta-analyses. This comprehensive overview of available graphs allows researchers to make better-informed decisions on which graphs suit their needs and therefore facilitates using the meta-analytic tool kit of graphs to its full potential. It also constitutes a roadmap for a goal-driven development of further graphical displays for research synthesis.

Bayesian leveraging of historical control data for a clinical trial with time-to-event endpoint

The recent 21st Century Cures Act propagates innovations to accelerate the discovery, development, and delivery of 21st century cures. It includes the broader application of Bayesian statistics and the use of evidence from clinical expertise. An example of the latter is the use of trial-external (or historical) data, which promises more efficient or ethical trial designs. We propose a Bayesian meta-analytic approach to leverage historical data for time-to-event endpoints, which are common in oncology and cardiovascular diseases. The approach is based on a robust hierarchical model for piecewise exponential data. It allows for various degrees of between trial-heterogeneity and for leveraging individual as well as aggregate data. An ovarian carcinoma trial and a non-small cell cancer trial illustrate methodological and practical aspects of leveraging historical data for the analysis and design of time-to-event trials.

External validation of three prognostic models for overall survival in patients with advanced-stage epithelial ovarian cancer

Background:

For various malignancies, prognostic models have shown to be superior to traditional staging systems in predicting overall survival. The purpose of this study was to validate and compare the performance of three prognostic models for overall survival in patients with advanced-stage epithelial ovarian cancer.

Methods:

A multi-institutional epithelial ovarian cancer database was used to identify patients and to evaluate the predictive performance of two nomograms, a prognostic index and FIGO (International Federation of Obstetrics and Gynecology) stage. All patients were treated for advanced-stage epithelial ovarian cancer between January 1996 and January 2009 in 11 hospitals in the eastern part of The Netherlands.

Results:

In total, 542 patients were found to be eligible. Overall performance did not differ between the three prognostic models and FIGO stage. The discriminative performance for Chi's model was moderately good (c indices 0.65 and 0.68) and for the models of Gerestein and Teramukai reasonable (c indices between 0.60 and 0.62). The c indices of FIGO stage ranged between 0.54 and 0.62. After recalibration, the three models showed almost perfect calibration, whereas calibration of FIGO stage was reasonable.

Conclusion:

The three prediction models showed general applicability and a reasonably well-predictive performance, especially in comparison to FIGO stage. To date, there are no studies available that analyse the impact of these prognostic models on decision-making and patient outcome. Therefore, the usefulness of these models in daily clinical practice remains to be investigated.

Meta-analysis of effect sizes reported at multiple time points: A multivariate approach

Background

Many comparative studies report results at multiple time points. Such data are correlated because they pertain to the same patients, but are typically meta-analyzed as separate quantitative syntheses at each time point, ignoring the correlations between time points.

Purpose

To develop a meta-analytic approach that estimates treatment effects at successive time points and takes account of the stochastic dependencies of those effects.

Methods

We present both fixed and random effects methods for multivariate meta-analysis of effect sizes reported at multiple time points. We provide formulas for calculating the covariance (and correlations) of the effect sizes at successive time points for four common metrics (log odds ratio, log risk ratio, risk difference, and arcsine difference) based on data reported in the primary studies. We work through an example of a meta-analysis of 17 randomized trials of radiotherapy and chemotherapy versus radiotherapy alone for the postoperative treatment of patients with malignant gliomas, where in each trial survival is assessed at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months post randomization. We also provide software code for the main analyses described in the article.

Results

We discuss the estimation of fixed and random effects models and explore five options for the structure of the covariance matrix of the random effects. In the example, we compare separate (univariate) meta-analyses at each of the four time points with joint analyses across all four time points using the proposed methods. Although results of univariate and multivariate analyses are generally similar in the example, there are small differences in the magnitude of the effect sizes and the corresponding standard errors. We also discuss conditional multivariate analyses where one compares treatment effects at later time points given observed data at earlier time points.

Limitations

Simulation and empirical studies are needed to clarify the gains of multivariate analyses compared with separate meta-analyses under a variety of conditions.

Conclusions

Data reported at multiple time points are multivariate in nature and are efficiently analyzed using multivariate methods. The latter are an attractive alternative or complement to performing separate meta-analyses.

Enhanced secondary analysis of survival data: reconstructing the data from published Kaplan-Meier survival curves

Background

The results of Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) on time-to-event outcomes that are usually reported are median time to events and Cox Hazard Ratio. These do not constitute the sufficient statistics required for meta-analysis or cost-effectiveness analysis, and their use in secondary analyses requires strong assumptions that may not have been adequately tested. In order to enhance the quality of secondary data analyses, we propose a method which derives from the published Kaplan Meier survival curves a close approximation to the original individual patient time-to-event data from which they were generated.

Methods

We develop an algorithm that maps from digitised curves back to KM data by finding numerical solutions to the inverted KM equations, using where available information on number of events and numbers at risk. The reproducibility and accuracy of survival probabilities, median survival times and hazard ratios based on reconstructed KM data was assessed by comparing published statistics (survival probabilities, medians and hazard ratios) with statistics based on repeated reconstructions by multiple observers.

Results

The validation exercise established there was no material systematic error and that there was a high degree of reproducibility for all statistics. Accuracy was excellent for survival probabilities and medians, for hazard ratios reasonable accuracy can only be obtained if at least numbers at risk or total number of events are reported.

Conclusion

The algorithm is a reliable tool for meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analyses of RCTs reporting time-to-event data. It is recommended that all RCTs should report information on numbers at risk and total number of events alongside KM curves.

Prognosis of ovarian clear cell carcinoma compared to other histological subtypes: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To compare the survival outcome between clear cell carcinoma (CCC) and other histological subtypes in epithelial ovarian carcinoma (EOC).

METHODS

From January 1974 to February 2011, we identified a total of 31,800 (CCC; 2152, non-CCC; 29648) patients from 12 studies meeting the inclusion criteria.

RESULTS

Heterogeneity tests demonstrated significant between-study variation (I(2)=92.1%) with no significant difference in hazard ratio (HR) for death between CCC and non-CCC (HR; 1.16, 95% CI; 0.85-1.57, random-effects model). Comparing the HR based on stage I+II, and stage III+IV, between CCC and non-CCC, showed that CCC patients had a higher hazard rate for death than those with non-CCC of the ovary (stage I+II; HR; 1.17, 95% CI; 1.01-1.36, stage III+IV; HR; 1.65, 95% CI; 1.52-1.79). In a comparison of CCC and serous EOC, advanced stage (III and IV) CCC only showed a poorer hazard rate for death than serous EOC (HR; 1.71, 95% CI; 1.57-1.86).

CONCLUSION

This analysis suggests that ovarian CCC patients had poorer prognosis than those with other histological subtypes of EOC, especially in advanced EOC stages. Different treatment strategies may be needed for patients with ovarian CCC.

Centralized treatment of advanced stages of ovarian cancer improves survival: a nationwide Danish survey

OBJECTIVE

This retrospective, nationwide, observational study was designed to compare treatment in tertiary referral centers vs. regional hospitals on overall survival for patients with stage IIIC and IV ovarian cancer.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study took place in all gynecological departments in Denmark, involving a total of 1,160 patients with stage IIIC or IV ovarian cancer. Data were extracted for 2,024 patients with all stages of ovarian cancer recorded in the Danish Gynecological Cancer Database between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2008. The main outcome measure was overall survival.

RESULTS

No difference was found between tertiary centers and regional hospitals with regard to age, body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists score or comorbidity. Patients in regional hospitals had poorer Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, i.e.1.0 vs. 2.0 (p= 0.005). Patients in referral centers presented more often with stage IIIC and IV disease, i.e. 59.7 vs. 51.7% (p < 0.001). Patients with stage IIIC and IV disease in regional vs. tertiary hospitals had a higher rate of primary cytoreductive surgery, i.e. 89.5 vs. 82.5% (p= 0.004), a poorer rate of complete cytoreductive surgery following primary cytoreductive surgery, i.e. 13.9 vs. 25.2% (p < 0.001), a lower rate of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, i.e. 5.5 vs. 13.4% (p < 0.001), and more often underwent acute surgery, i.e. 17.0 vs. 9.2% (p < 0.001). Patients treated in referral centers had better overall survival (p= 0.021). Treatment in a referral center was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival hazard ratio, 0.83 (confidence interval 0.70-0.98).

CONCLUSION

Patients with stage IIIC and IV ovarian cancer benefit from treatment in a tertiary referral center.

Long-term oncological outcomes of ovarian serous carcinomas with psammoma bodies: a novel insight into the molecular pathogenesis of ovarian epithelial carcinoma

A two-tier system in which ovarian epithelial carcinomas are subdivided into type I and type II tumors has been proposed on the basis of recent molecular pathogenesis findings. Type I tumors, unrelated to tumor protein p53 (TP53) mutations, show favorable prognosis in a slow step-wise process, whereas type II tumors, related to TP53 mutations, contribute to poor prognosis. Ovarian serous carcinomas with excessive psammoma bodies behave like type I tumors. However, their etiology and prognostic significance remain obscure. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the characteristic features and potential relevance of psammoma bodies to the clinical outcome of 44 patients with serous carcinomas with long-term follow-up. The 5- and 10-year survival rates were significantly different between the serous carcinomas with less than 5% area of psammoma bodies and those at least 5% area (P < 0.01). All tumors with at least 5% area were both diploid and immunohistochemically negative for TP53 mutations. All patients with these tumors, including eight with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stages III or IV disease, survived more than 5 years and their 10-year survival rate was 76%. In multivariate analysis using clinical parameters, the apparent existence of psammoma bodies was an indication to view serous carcinomas as type I tumors with long-term survival. Our results suggested that the formation of psammoma bodies is associated with increased apoptotic tumor cell death related to normal TP53 function. The pathological findings of psammoma bodies might contribute to the consideration of pathogenesis and to the development of prognostic prediction rules for serous carcinomas.

Meta-analysis of summary survival curve data

The use of standard univariate fixed- and random-effects models in meta-analysis has become well known in the last 20 years. However, these models are unsuitable for meta-analysis of clinical trials that present multiple survival estimates (usually illustrated by a survival curve) during a follow-up period. Therefore, special methods are needed to combine the survival curve data from different trials in a meta-analysis. For this purpose, only fixed-effects models have been suggested in the literature. In this paper, we propose a multivariate random-effects model for joint analysis of survival proportions reported at multiple time points and in different studies, to be combined in a meta-analysis. The model could be seen as a generalization of the fixed-effects model of Dear (Biometrics 1994; 50:989-1002). We illustrate the method by using a simulated data example as well as using a clinical data example of meta-analysis with aggregated survival curve data. All analyses can be carried out with standard general linear MIXED model software.

Cytoreductive surgery for recurrent ovarian cancer: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the relative effect of multiple prognostic variables on overall post-recurrence survival time among cohorts of patients with recurrent ovarian cancer undergoing cytoreductive surgery.

METHODS

Forty cohorts of patients with recurrent ovarian cancer (2019 patients) meeting study inclusion criteria were identified from the MEDLINE database (1983-2007). Simple and multiple linear regression analyses, with weighted correlation calculations, were used to assess the effect on median post-recurrence survival time of the following variables: year of publication, age, disease-free interval, localized disease, tumor grade and histology, the proportion of patients undergoing complete cytoreductive surgery, requirement for bowel resection, and the sequence of cytoreductive surgery and salvage chemotherapy.

RESULTS

The mean weighted median disease-free interval prior to cytoreductive surgery was 20.2 months, and the mean weighted median overall post-recurrence survival time was 30.3 months. The weighted mean proportion of patients in each cohort undergoing complete cytoreductive surgery was 52.2%. Median survival improved with increasing year of publication (p=0.009); however, the only statistically significant clinical variable independently associated with post-recurrence survival time was the proportion of patients undergoing complete cytoreductive surgery (p=0.019). After controlling for all other factors, each 10% increase in the proportion of patients undergoing complete cytoreductive surgery was associated with a 3.0 month increase in median cohort survival time.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients undergoing operative intervention for recurrent ovarian cancer, the proportion of patients undergoing complete cytoreductive surgery is independently associated with overall post-recurrence survival time. For this select group of patients, the surgical objective should be resection of all macroscopic disease.

The accurate staging of ovarian cancer using 3T magnetic resonance imaging--a realistic option

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the study was to determine whether staging primary ovarian cancer using 3.0 Tesla (3T) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is comparable to surgical staging of the disease.

DESIGN

A retrospective study consisting of a search of the pathology database to identify women with ovarian pathology from May 2004 to January 2007.

SETTING

All women treated for suspected ovarian cancer in our cancer centre region.

SAMPLE

All women suspected of ovarian pathology who underwent 3T MRI prior to primary surgical intervention between May 2004 and January 2007.

METHODS

All women found to have ovarian pathology, both benign and malignant, were then cross checked with the magnetic resonance (MR) database to identify those who had undergone 3T MRI prior to surgery. The resulting group of women underwent comparison of the MR, surgical and histopathological findings for each individual including diagnosis of benign or malignant disease and International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) staging where appropriate.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Comparisons were made between the staging accuracy of 3T MRI and surgical staging compared with histopathological findings and FIGO stage using weighted kappa. Sensitivity, specificity and accuracy were calculated for diagnosing malignant ovarian disease with 3T MRI.

RESULTS

A total of 191 women identified as having ovarian pathology underwent imaging with 3T MR and primary surgical intervention. In 19 of these women, the ovarian disease was an incidental finding. The group for which staging methods were compared consisted of 77 women of primary ovarian malignancy (20 of whom had borderline tumours). 3T MRI was able to detect ovarian malignancy with a sensitivity of 92% and a specificity of 76%. The overall accuracy in detecting malignancy with 3T MRI was 84%, with a positive predictive value of 80% and negative predictive value of 90%. Statistical analysis of the two methods of staging using weighted kappa, gave a K value of 0.926 (SE +/-0.121) for surgical staging and 0.866 (SE +/-0.119) for MR staging. A further analysis of the staging data for ovarian cancers alone, excluding borderline tumours resulted in a K value of 0.931 (SE +/-0.136) for histopathological staging versus MR staging and 0.958 (+/-0.140) for histopathological stage versus surgical staging.

CONCLUSION

Our study has shown that MRI can achieve staging of ovarian cancer comparable with the accuracy seen with surgical staging. No previous studies comparing different modalities have used the higher field strength 3T MRI. In addition, all other studies comparing radiological assessment of ovarian cancer have grouped the stages into I, II, III and IV rather than the more clinically appropriate a, b and c subgroups.

Outcomes of fertility-sparing surgery for invasive epithelial ovarian cancer: oncologic safety and reproductive outcomes

OBJECTIVE

Younger patients with invasive epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) frequently want to preserve their fertility, but the role of fertility-sparing surgery in EOC has not been well defined. We therefore assessed tumor recurrence, patient survival and pregnancy outcomes in patients with invasive EOC who underwent fertility-sparing surgery.

METHODS

Records of 62 patients with invasive EOC who underwent fertility-sparing surgery, defined as the preservation of ovarian tissue in one or both adnexa and the uterus, between May 1990 and October 2006, were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

Of the 62 EOCs, 36 were stage IA, 2 were stage IB, 21 were stage IC, and 1 each was stage IIB, IIIA, and IIIC; 48 were grade I, 5 were grade II, and 9 were grade III. Forty-eight patients received platinum-based adjuvant chemotherapy (mean 4.6 cycles, range 1-9 cycles). At a median follow-up of 56 months (range, 6-205 months), 11 patients had tumor recurrence, 6 died of disease, 2 were alive with disease, and 54 were alive without disease. Patients with stage >IC (p=0.0014) or grade III (p=0.0002) tumors had significantly poorer survival. Nineteen women attempted to conceive, and there were 22 term pregnancies, with no congenital anomalies in any of the offspring.

CONCLUSION

Fertility-sparing surgery can be considered in young patients with stages IA-C and grades I-II EOCs who desire to preserve their fertility.

Endometrioid epithelial ovarian cancer : 20 years of prospectively collected data from a single center

BACKGROUND

Clinicopathological features and outcome of women with endometrioid and serous ovarian adenocarcinoma were compared.

METHODS

Between 1984 and 2004, baseline and follow-up data were prospectively recorded on 1545 patients with ovarian cancer. Of these, 270 had pure endometrioid tumors; 659 had pure serous adenocarcinoma of the ovary. Response to platinum-based chemotherapy (PBC) overall survival, stage-for-stage median progression-free survival (PFS), and cause-specific median survival were compared. Independent predictors of survival were examined by using multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Median age of diagnosis for patients with endometrioid tumors was younger than those with serous adenocarcinoma of the ovary (60 years vs 62 years; P = .013). They presented more often with early disease (stage I and II; 50% vs 17%; P < .001), had less ascites, and had better performance status both overall and for stage II and III disease. More endometrioid tumors were optimally debulked overall (71% vs 45%; P < .001), but there was no difference according to stage. Objective and CA125 PBC response rates were not significantly different, but median PFS was better for patients with endometrioid tumors (24 months vs 13 months; P < .0001) as was overall median survival (48 months vs 22 months; P < .0001). This relation remained for stage II and III disease and for moderately and poorly differentiated tumors. Patients with concurrent endometrioid ovarian and endometrial malignancies had a survival advantage compared with those with ovarian malignancies alone. Independent predictors of survival after PBC were histological type, debulking status, and disease stage.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite similar PBC response rates, endometrioid histology is associated with better survival compared with serous adenocarcinoma of the ovary, even with stage III or poorly differentiated tumors.

Timing of debulking surgery in advanced ovarian cancer

It is clear that primary debulking remains the standard of care within the treatment of advanced ovarian cancer (FIGO stage III and IV). This debulking surgery should be performed by a gynecological oncologist without any residual tumor load, or so-called "optimal debulking." Over the last decades, interest in the use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy together with an interval debulking has increased. Neoadjuvant therapy can be used for patients who are primarily suboptimally debulked due to an extensive tumor load. In this situation, based on the randomized European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer-Gynaecological Cancer Group trial, interval debulking by an experienced surgeon improves survival in some patients who did not undergo optimal primary debulking surgery. Based on the GOG 152 data, interval debulking surgery does not seem to be indicated in patients who underwent primarily a maximal surgical effort by a gynecological oncologist. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy can also be used as an alternative to primary debulking. In retrospective analyses, neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval debulking surgery does not seem to worsen prognosis compared to primary debulking surgery followed by chemotherapy. However, we will have to wait for the results of future randomized trials to know whether neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval debulking surgery is a good alternative to primary debulking surgery in stage IIIc and IV patients. Open laparoscopy is probably the most valuable tool for evaluating the operability primarily or at the time of interval debulking surgery.

Role of diaphragmatic surgery in 69 patients with ovarian carcinoma

Diaphragmatic stripping or coagulation is a technique aiming to optimally cytoreduce ovarian cancer. We investigated the complications, the overall survival, and the relapse rate following this procedure. Records of 69 patients with diaphragmatic involvement who underwent debulking surgery between September 1993 and December 2001 were reviewed. A total of 69 patients underwent diaphragmatic surgery as part of cytoreductive surgery for epithelial ovarian cancer. In 17 cases, the diaphragmatic tumors were stripped from the muscle, in 22 cases coagulated, and in 30 cases stripped and coagulated. Postoperative complications were pleural effusion (41 cases, 3 needed a chest drain, 7 needed a pleural puncture, 1 needed both) and pneumothorax (4 cases, 1 needed a chest drain). In one case of bilateral pleural effusion, the patient developed pneumonia. In one case of pleural effusion on the right side, the patient needed a pleural puncture and developed a partial atelectasis of the middle lobe of the right lung. The median overall survival was 66 months in the stripping group compared with 49 months in the coagulation group. In 56 cases (81%), the patient developed a relapse, and the first site of relapse was the diaphragm in 11 cases (20%). We conclude that diaphragmatic resection is an important part of optimal debulking surgery with an acceptable morbidity.

Duration of second or greater complete clinical remission in ovarian cancer: exploring potential endpoints for clinical trials

OBJECTIVE

To explore benchmarks for future consolidation strategies, we evaluated a strictly defined (normal CA-125 and normal CT) second-complete-remission (CR) ovarian cancer population for 1) the median progression-free survival (PFS), 2) the frequency with which second remission exceeds first, and 3) the proportion of patients in remission at given time points.

METHODS

Retrospective sampling was carried out at Memorial Sloan-Kettering (10/1993-12/2000) and the Royal Marsden Hospital (1/1995-4/2003) for the following: histological confirmation and elevated CA-125 at diagnosis; primary surgery; first-and second-line platinum-based chemotherapy with CR; and no maintenance therapy.

RESULTS

In 35 patients 1) the duration of first PFS was 17.8 months (95% CI, 13.2-24.5 months) and second PFS was 10.8 months (95% CI, 9.6-12.2 months); 2) the number of patients with second response longer than first was 3/35 (9%); 3) the proportion of patients remaining in second complete remission was 100% (3 months), 100% (6 months), 83% (9 months), 34% (12 months), 23% (15 months) and 8.6% (18 months), respectively.

CONCLUSION

1) The median PFS from second complete remission is short. 2) A second response is rarely longer than the first even in this second CR population. 3) The number of patients with a second response longer than the first, or the proportion of patients remaining in complete remission at given time points could be evaluated as an outcome measure in future studies.

Une exentération pelvienne postérieure avec anastomose est-elle faisable et justifiée dans le traitement des cancers de l'ovaire à un stade évolué ?

PURPOSE

The aim of this study is to show that the removal of the rectum is not an obstacle to implement an optimal surgery in advanced epithelial cancer of the ovary.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective study on a population of 44 women with advanced epithelial cancer of the ovary. The surgery was realized between January 95 and July 03, and all surgeries required a posterior exenteration. This treatment was completed by chemotherapy for 36 of them.

RESULTS

The median survival of this population is 36.6 months. 6/44 patients (13.6%) had post-operative complications. The completion of chemotherapy started after an average of 5.2 weeks after surgery. All the assessable patients (43/44) have an anal satisfactory continence.

CONCLUSION

The posterior exenteration, when it's necessary, for advanced epithelial cancer of the ovary must not be an obstacle to obtain an optimal surgery. Anal continence is respected and there are no more complications. This surgical act is safe for the management of this pathology without delaying the others therapeutics and allowing a satisfactory quality of life.

Survival in ovarian cancer in Wales: prior to introduction of all Wales guidelines

The objective of the study was to review referral practice, overall management, and survival in women with suspected ovarian cancer in Wales. This study was done prior to introduction of cancer management guidelines in the region. A confidential study questionnaire was sent to 20 participating hospitals. Data on 287 consecutive women with suspected ovarian cancer were collected, of which 250 women underwent primary laparotomy. Information was obtained on referral pattern, preoperative investigations, place of primary surgery, specialty of the primary surgeon, surgical parameters recorded at the time of operation, a final overall stage, adjuvant treatment, and survival outcome. There was a wide variation in referral practice and management of ovarian cancer in Wales. Stage of the disease, attempt at optimal debulking, residual disease, management by a cancer centre multidisciplinary team, and platinum-based chemotherapy were associated with improved overall survival and progression-free survival. More women were alive if managed in the cancer centre at 1 and 3 year after diagnosis (P = 0.022). This study has highlighted the acute issue of the standards of clinical care in the area of ovarian cancer management and will emphasize the implementation of better care pathways for ovarian cancers.

Intraperitoneal Chemotherapy for Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

A large, recent study has shown significantly improved survival in women with epithelial ovarian cancer treated with intraperitoneal chemotherapy. This review is intended for all clinicians caring for women with ovarian cancer, including family physicians, general gynecologists, and oncologists. The subset of patients most likely to derive a survival benefit from intraperitoneal chemotherapy should be distinguished. Because effective surgical debulking is critical to long-term survival for ovarian cancer, it is important that women known or suspected to have ovarian cancer should be referred to centers with the surgical expertise and resources necessary for aggressive tumor debulking and safe delivery of intraperitoneal chemotherapy.

TARGET AUDIENCE

Obstetricians & Gynecologists, Family Physicians.

LEARNING OBJECTIVES

After completion of this article, the reader should be able to state that there is a subset of women with widespread intraabdominal ovarian cancer who will have improved survival after a debulking procedure and intraperitoneal (IP) chemotherapy and explain that there needs to be the expertise and resources necessary to follow these patients.

Platinum-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy and interval surgical cytoreduction for advanced ovarian cancer: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the overall survival and relative effect of multiple prognostic variables in cohorts of patients with advanced-stage ovarian cancer treated with platinum-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy in lieu of primary cytoreductive surgery.

METHODS

Twenty-two cohorts of patients with Stage III and IV ovarian cancer (835 patients) were identified from articles in MEDLINE (1989-2005). Linear regression models, with weighted correlation calculations, were used to assess the effect on median survival time of the proportion of each cohort undergoing maximum interval cytoreduction, proportion of patients with Stage IV disease, median number of pre-operative chemotherapy cycles, median age, and year of publication.

RESULTS

The mean weighted median overall survival time for all cohorts was 24.5 months. The weighted mean proportion of patients in each cohort undergoing maximal interval cytoreduction was 65.0%. Each 10% increase in maximal cytoreduction was associated with a 1.9 month increase in median survival time (p=0.027). Median overall survival was positively correlated with platinum-taxane chemotherapy (p<0.001) and increasing year of publication (p=0.004) and negatively correlated with the proportion of Stage IV disease (p=0.002). Each incremental increase in pre-operative chemotherapy cycles was associated with a decrease in median survival time of 4.1 months (p=0.046).

CONCLUSIONS

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy in lieu of primary cytoreduction is associated with inferior overall survival compared to initial surgery. Increasing percent maximal cytoreduction is positively associated with median cohort survival; however, the negative survival effect of increasing number of chemotherapy cycles prior to interval surgery suggests that definitive operative intervention should be undertaken as early in the treatment program as possible.

A retrospective analysis of neoadjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy versus up-front surgery in advanced ovarian cancer

The objective of this study is to compare progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of ovarian cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery to primary surgery and postoperative chemotherapy. Retrospective analysis from 1998 to 2003 of 116 patients with ovarian cancer was performed. Fifty women diagnosed by positive cytology received three cycles of carboplatin and paclitaxel. Thirty-six patients subsequently underwent cytoreductive surgery and completed three further cycles postoperatively. The OS and PFS were compared in 66 women treated with primary surgery and postoperative chemotherapy. A statistically significant difference was observed for OS (P= 0.03, HR = 1.85, CI = 1.06-3.23) and PFS (P= 0.04, HR = 1.61, CI = 1.03-2.53) favoring the primary surgery group. Due to the small numbers, age, grade, stage, pleural effusions, and histologic cell type were controlled for separately in the bivariate analyses. Controlling for stage made the results weaker. A matched subgroup survival analysis was performed on patients who had surgery following neoadjuvant chemotherapy. After matching for stage and grade and controlling age and pleural effusions (N= 28 matched pairs), there was no statistical difference for OS (P= 0.95, HR = 1.04, CI = 0.33-3.30) or PFS (P= 0.79, HR = 1.11, CI = 0.98-1.04). It is concluded that primary surgery should be considered in all patients. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy may be an alternative in a subset of women with the intent to also perform interval debulking.

Preliminary results of neoadjuvant chemotherapy with paclitaxel and cisplatin in patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer who are inadequate for optimum primary surgery

AIM

This study was performed to evaluate the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) with paclitaxel and cisplatin in patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer who were inadequate for primary optimal surgery.

METHODS

Patients with histologically confirmed epithelial ovarian cancer at International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stages IIIc/IV that was unresectable according to computed tomography findings were eligible for this study. Three cycles of paclitaxel plus cisplatin NAC were administered and the response was evaluated. Patients were then selected for interval debulking surgery or three cycles of additional chemotherapy with the same regimen according to the resectability and response. Interval debulking surgery followed by second-line chemotherapy was applied to patients with no response to NAC. During the same period, patients who did not agree to the protocol were treated by the conventional method of tumor debulking surgery followed by adjuvant chemotherapy, and served as the control group. A comparison of both groups of patients was carried out.

RESULTS

A total of 40 patients were involved in the study. All patients were evaluable. Eighteen patients underwent NAC and 22 patients were treated by conventional therapy. Optimal debulking was possible in 14 patients (77.8%) in the NAC group and in 10 patients (45.5%) in the conventional therapy group (P = 0.04). The mean estimated blood loss was 620 cc (range: 300-1500 cc) in the NAC group and 1061 cc (range: 300-3500 cc) in the conventional therapy group (P = 0.04). However, no significant differences were found in the disease-free and overall survival rates between the two groups (P = 0.48 and P = 0.61, respectively).

CONCLUSION

NAC provided a higher rate of optimum cytoreduction and equivalent survival with less invasive surgery and reduced morbidity compared with conventional therapy in patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer inadequate for primary optimum surgery. Therefore, NAC may be a valuable alternative treatment for these patients.

Does Aggressive Surgery Only Benefit Patients With Less Advanced Ovarian Cancer? Results From an International Comparison Within the SCOTROC-1 Trial

Purpose

Studies indicate that ovarian cancer patients who have been optimally debulked survive longer. Although chemotherapy has been variable, they have defined standards of care. Additionally, it is suggested that patients from the United Kingdom (UK) have inferior survival compared with some other countries. We explored this within the context of a large, international, prospective, randomized trial of first-line chemotherapy in advanced ovarian cancer (docetaxel-carboplatin v paclitaxel-carboplatin; SCOTROC-1). The Scottish Randomised Trial in Ovarian Cancer surgical study is a prospective observational study examining the impact on progression-free survival (PFS) of cytoreductive surgery and international variations in surgical practice.

Patients and Methods

One thousand seventy-seven patients were recruited (UK, n = 689; Europe, United States, and Australasia, n = 388). Surgical data were available for 889 patients. These data were analyzed within a Cox model.

Results

There were three main observations. First, more extensive surgery was performed in non-UK patients, who were more likely to be optimally debulked (≤ 2 cm residual disease) than UK patients (71.3% v 58.4%, respectively; P < .001). Second, optimal debulking was associated with increased PFS mainly for patients with less extensive disease at the outset (test for interaction, P = .003). Third, UK patients with no visible residual disease had a less favorable PFS compared with patients recruited from non-UK centers who were similarly debulked (hazard ratio = 1.85; 95% CI, 1.16 to 2.97; P = .010). This observation seems to be related to surgical practice, primarily lymphadenectomy.

Conclusion

Increased PFS associated with optimal surgery is limited to patients with less advanced disease, arguing for case selection rather than aggressive debulking in all patients irrespective of disease extent. Lymphadenectomy may have beneficial effects on PFS in optimally debulked patients.

The Role of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in the Treatment of Advanced Ovarian Cancer

Primary cytoreductive surgery followed by chemotherapy represents the current standard treatment for patients with advanced ovarian cancer. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval debulking surgery has been proposed as an alternative approach for the initial management of bulky ovarian cancer, aiming at the improvement of surgical efficiency and patients' quality of life. According to the hitherto published studies, consisting mainly of retrospective observations, neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval cytoreduction appears to improve the prognosis and quality of life in selected groups of patients. The survival outcome in these patients is similar to that of the conventional approach, or even better in some of the cases. Moreover, patients undergoing debulking surgery after having received neoadjuvant chemotherapy had a reduced perioperative morbidity compared to patients undergoing primary cytoreduction. Concurrently, neoadjuvant chemotherapy provides preoperative knowledge of tumor chemosensitivity, hence allowing the surgeon to choose appropriately aggressive treatment. However, until the results of prospective randomized trials become available, neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval surgery should be applied only to individual cases and primarily in the context of clinical trials.

Assessing surrogates as trial endpoints using mixed models

Having a surrogate for a definitive endpoint in a clinical trial can sometimes be useful when it is impractical, invasive or very time consuming to obtain the definitive endpoint. This paper discusses methods for assessing whether the surrogate-endpoint results of a trial can be used in place of definitive-endpoint results. It is important when examining this trial-level surrogacy to include the possibility of trial-level effects and to distinguish whether the treatment arms are naturally ordered, e.g. A vs A+B rather than A vs B. Methods using mixed models of trial-level summaries are discussed and compared to fixed-effects models and to the possibility of using models of individual-level data. We give estimators for definitive-endpoint results of a trial that are predicted from the surrogate-endpoint results of the trial and a set of results from previous trials in which both the definitive and surrogate trial results were available. Graphical displays are also suggested. Two sets of trial results previously analysed for trial-level surrogacy are used as examples.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy in ovarian cancer

Primary radical tumor debulking followed by platinum/taxane-based chemotherapy is considered standard for advanced stage ovarian carcinomas. The extent of postoperative residual disease is the most important prognostic factor. However, complete tumor resection is achieved in only 40-50% of advanced ovarian cancers. For the remaining patients, who have an unfavorable prognosis, the concept of neoadjuvant or primary chemotherapy followed by interval laparotomy has emerged. Two different strategies are pursued. One is to administer several courses of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in order to downstage the tumor prior to primary debulking surgery. The other is to administer chemotherapy after suboptimal debulking surgery to optimize cytoreduction during interval laparotomy. Numerous retrospective studies demonstrated that neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by primary debulking surgery is a feasible and safe approach. It is becoming increasingly evident that the selection of appropriate patients is crucial. Some studies demonstrated that the volume of ascites proved to be an easily measurable biomarker that allowed prediction of tumor resectability. However, further investigations are needed to better define patients who will benefit from neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Despite promising results, neoadjuvant chemotherapy must still be considered experimental. Therefore, the potential advantages of neoadjuvant chemotherapy need to be confirmed in prospective randomized studies.

The potential role of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in advanced ovarian cancer

There is a multitude of evidence from retrospective analyses and meta-analyses showing that the amount of residual tumor after debulking surgery and before chemotherapy is one of the most powerful prognostic determinants in advanced ovarian cancer. This supports the important role of maximum cytoreductive surgery as one of the cornerstones in the treatment of this disease. These same analyses, however, do not suggest that patients whose tumors cannot be debulked optimally derive a significant survival benefit from upfront surgery. For these patients and those who have a poor performance status or other morbidity, making comprehensive upfront surgery contraindicated, different therapeutic approaches have to be explored. One possible way to go is to change the timing of the different therapeutic modalities: upfront chemical cytoreduction, followed by a maximal surgical effort, in turn followed by the remainder of the first-line chemotherapy or neoadjuvant chemotherapy and interval or delayed debulking surgery. The potential role of this approach and the experience with it thus far are discussed.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with primarily unresectable, advanced-stage ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this review is to report our experience and the feasibility of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with advanced-stage ovarian cancer.

METHODS

Forty-five patients with primarily unresectable advanced-stage epithelial ovarian cancer were treated in our center between 1995 and 2002 by platinum-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy. Their files were reviewed retrospectively.

RESULTS

At the end of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, according to RECIST criteria, 1 patient (2.2%) had achieved a clinical complete response (CR), 33 (73.4%) a partial response (PR), and 8 (17.8%) had stable disease (SD). Only 3 (6.6%) patients showed disease progression (PD). Surgery was performed in patients with objective response or SD after a median number of 4 courses (range: 2-6) of induction chemotherapy. A complete macroscopic debulking was achieved in 24 (53.3%) out of 39 patients in whom cytoreductive surgery was performed. For the entire group, median overall survival was 29 months. Survival was significantly improved in patients with optimal debulking compared to patients with persistent tumor after surgery: 41 months versus 23 months (P = 0.0062). Median survival for patients responding to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (CR and PR) was 44 months compared to 27 months for patients with SD or PD after initial chemotherapy (P = 0.01). Neither treatment-related deaths nor significant toxicities were observed.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by optimal debulking may be a safe and valuable treatment alternative in patients with primarily unresectable advanced-stage bulky ovarian cancer. Patients with an objective response to chemotherapy or absence of macroscopic residual tumor after surgery have a better outcome. This approach is currently being tested in large, prospective randomized clinical trials.

Ovarian cancer incidence and survival by histologic type in Osaka, Japan

The incidence of ovarian cancer among Japanese has increased since the 1970s. Histologic diversity is a characteristic of this cancer. However, there has been no population-based study made on the incidence and survival by histologic type. Osaka Cancer Registry's data was used for incidence and survival analyses of ovarian cancer by histologic type in this study. Seven thousand one hundred sixty-seven incident cases were registered during the period 1975 to 1998. According to the IARC's histologic classification, types of ovarian cancer were classified into five categories. Survival analysis was restricted to the reported 2431 cases who lived in Osaka Prefecture (except for Osaka City) and were diagnosed in 1975-1994, since active follow-up data on vital status 5 years after the diagnosis were available. The age-standardized incidence rate of ovarian cancer increased from 4.0 to 5.4 per 100,000 women (standard: world population) in Osaka during the period 1975-1998. Carcinoma, the major histologic category, also increased (from 3.4 to 4.8 per 100,000 women), while sex cord-stromal tumors decreased after 1980 and germ cell tumors remained stable. The 5-year relative survival was 36.4% for ovarian cancer patients diagnosed in 1975-1994. The survival for carcinoma was 38.3%, which was lower than that in sex cord-stromal tumors or germ cell tumors (55.3% and 58.6%, respectively). The increase in the incidence of ovarian cancer was caused by the increase in carcinoma. The relative 5-year survival of ovarian cancer improved over the period, but was different by histologic type.

Can pre-operative computed tomography predict resectability of ovarian carcinoma at primary laparotomy?

OBJECTIVE

To assess the ability of computed tomography in predicting whether suspected ovarian cancer could be fully excised at primary laparotomy.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of patient notes and pre-operative computed tomography scans. Setting A UK NHS cancer centre.

POPULATION

Seventy-seven women who underwent laparotomy for an ovarian tumour and who had had a pre-operative computed tomography scan.

METHODS

Women who had a computed tomography scan before laparotomy for an ovarian tumour were identified. Analysis was undertaken to determine the accuracy of computed tomography in predicting malignancy, stage and residual disease. The computed tomography parameters significantly associated with residual disease were determined by a chi2 analysis. These parameters, in addition to age and CA125, were used to generate a predictive model. This model was further refined by stepwise logistic regression and a clinical scoring index was generated.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

To identify those computed tomography parameters significantly associated with residual disease and to use these with CA125 and age to generate a useful clinical scoring index to predict residual disease in suspected ovarian cancer.

RESULTS

Seventy-seven women underwent a laparotomy for an ovarian tumour and had a pre-operative computed tomography scan. Fifty-one of these women had malignant disease and twenty-five of these women had residual disease remaining. The sensitivity of computed tomography in predicting malignancy was 90% with a specificity of 85% and the overall accuracy of computed tomography for predicting stage of disease was 73% (37/51). The overall sensitivity of computed tomography in predicting residual disease was 88%, the specificity was 92% and the positive predictive value was 85%. The parameters on computed tomography that were significantly (P < 0.05) associated with residual disease were ascites, omental cake, mesenteric disease, paracolic gutter deposits, diaphragmatic deposits and pleural effusion. The predictive model generated was more accurate than computed tomography alone (sensitivity 88%, specificity 98%, positive predictive value 95%). Using stepwise logistic regression enabled the predictive model to be simplified to include mesenteric disease, omental cake, age and CA125 without any change in sensitivity or specificity and this model was used to generate a scoring index.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that prediction of resectability by computed tomography is excellent and is further improved by the generation of a predictive model, which can be used to generate a simple scoring index. This scoring system now needs to be tested prospectively to ensure that its performance remains as good in an independent sample population.

Survival effect of maximal cytoreductive surgery for advanced ovarian carcinoma during the platinum era: a meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the relative effect of percent maximal cytoreductive surgery and other prognostic variables on survival among cohorts of patients with advanced-stage ovarian carcinoma treated with platinum-based chemotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Eighty-one cohorts of patients with stage III or IV ovarian carcinoma (6,885 patients) were identified from articles in MEDLINE (1989 through 1998). Linear regression models, with weighted correlation calculations, were used to assess the effects on log median survival time of the proportion of each cohort undergoing maximal cytoreduction, dose-intensity of the platinum compound administered, proportion of patients with stage IV disease, median age, and year of publication.

RESULTS

There was a statistically significant positive correlation between percent maximal cytoreduction and log median survival time, and this correlation remained significant after controlling for all other variables (P <.001). Each 10% increase in maximal cytoreduction was associated with a 5.5% increase in median survival time. When actuarial survival was estimated, cohorts with < or = 25% maximal cytoreduction had a mean weighted median survival time of 22.7 months, whereas cohorts with more than 75% maximal cytoreduction had a mean weighted median survival time of 33.9 months--an increase of 50%. The relationship between platinum dose-intensity and log median survival time was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

During the platinum era, maximal cytoreduction was one of the most powerful determinants of cohort survival among patients with stage III or IV ovarian carcinoma. Consistent referral of patients with apparent advanced ovarian cancer to expert centers for primary surgery may be the best means currently available for improving overall survival.

Multivariate analysis of the prognostic significance of DNA-ploidy and S-phase fraction in ovarian cancer determined by flow cytometry following detection of cytokeratin-labeled tumor cells

OBJECTIVE

The outcome of patients with advanced ovarian cancer is poor despite aggressive therapy including surgery and multiagent chemotherapy. Valid prognostic factors are necessary to estimate the course of the disease and to define biologically similar subgroups for analysis of therapeutic efficacy.

METHODS

This study is the first published prospective study concerning the prognostic significance of DNA-ploidy and S-phase fraction in ovarian cancer following enrichment of tumor cells by cytokeratin labeling. Epithelial cells were labeled by FITC-conjugated cytokeratin antibody (CK 5, 6, 8, and 17) prior to flow cytometric cell cycle analysis in 129 fresh specimens of primary ovarian cancer.

RESULTS

Recurrence-free survival of patients with DNA-diploid primary ovarian cancer was significantly better compared to that of patients with DNA-aneuploid tumors in univariate analysis (47% vs 18%, P = 0.01). The tumor-dependent overall survival of patients with DNA-diploid tumors was 57% compared to 30% with DNA-aneuploid tumors (P = 0.04). In FIGO stage III ovarian cancer DNA-ploidy, optimized by cytokeratin gating for tumor cells, achieved independent prognostic significance. No significance was found for S-phase fraction. However, despite convincing methodological advantages in the detection of DNA-aneuploid subpopulations the clinical significance of cytokeratin gating of epithelial cells was only marginal.

CONCLUSION

DNA-ploidy has been shown to be as powerful or even more so in comparison to postoperative residual tumor in multivariate analysis for predicting clinical outcome in advanced ovarian cancer. Thus, determination of DNA-ploidy should be introduced to currently recruiting phase III studies for therapy of ovarian cancer for better definition of prognostic subgroups.

Intravenous chemotherapy, early debulking surgery, and consolidation intraperitoneal chemotherapy in advanced ovarian carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The efficacy of a cisplatin-anthracycline combination, early debulking surgery, and intraperitoneal chemotherapy has been demonstrated through separate studies. We evaluated a multimodal treatment strategy integrating these therapeutic options.

METHODS

Women with stage III or IV ovarian carcinoma received six cycles of cisplatin/epirubicin alternating with leucovorin and 5-fluorouracil. Patients with a residual disease (RD) measuring more than 2 cm after the initial laparotomy underwent an early debulking surgery after the first three cycles of chemotherapy. A second-look laparotomy (SLL) was performed after six cycles of intravenous chemotherapy. Intraperitoneal chemotherapy with cisplatin, VP16, and mitoxantrone was then administered in patients with no or RD < 2 cm after SLL.

RESULTS

A total of 87 patients were included. After initial laparotomy, 11 patients (12%) had no macroscopic residual disease, 38 (44%) had a RD < or =2 cm, and 38 (44%) had a RD > 2 cm. After early debulking surgery, an additional 18 patients (21%) had a RD < 2 cm. Seventy-five patients were evaluable for response to intravenous chemotherapy: the overall response rate was 80%, and 30 patients achieved a pathological complete response (40%). Eight percent of the patients had stable disease and 12% had a progression. Sixty-eight patients received intraperitoneal chemotherapy after second-look laparotomy. With a 72-month median follow-up, median overall survival and progression-free survival were, respectively, 37 and 19 months. Five-year survival was 41%.

CONCLUSION

The prognosis of patients with advanced ovarian carcinoma may be improved by a sequential treatment strategy including intravenous chemotherapy, early debulking surgery, and intraperitoneal chemotherapy.

Identification of prognostic factors in advanced epithelial ovarian carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The Gynecologic Oncology Group (GOG) has demonstrated that age, tumor grade, and size and number of residual lesions after primary cytoreductive surgery are significant prognostic factors in advanced ovarian carcinoma. Recent studies have reported numerous other clinical features as having prognostic value. We sought to identify the independent prognostic factors for survival in a cohort of patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective chart review of all patients with stage III and IV ovarian carcinoma who received their primary treatment at our institution between 1987 and 1994.

RESULTS

A total of 295 patients were identified, 282 of whom were evaluable. Of these 282 patients, 214 (76%) have died of disease or other causes. The median follow-up is 32 months (range: 1-139). Eighteen factors were evaluated for prognostic significance. Significant factors in univariate analysis included patient age, gravidity (0 vs > 0), parity (0 vs > 0), preoperative albumin level, preoperative total protein level, ascites (presence vs absence), disease stage (IIIA/IIIB vs IIIC vs IV), number of residual lesions (< or =20 vs >20), and diameter of largest residual tumor nodule (< or = 1 cm vs 1-2 cm vs > 2 cm). However, on multivariate analysis, only patient age (P < 0.001), ascites (P = 0.001), and size of residual disease (P = 0.005) retained prognostic significance. Substage of disease was of borderline significance (P = 0.086).

CONCLUSION

Although numerous clinical variables have recently been reported to have prognostic value in advanced ovarian carcinoma, only patient age, presence or absence of ascites, and diameter of the largest residual tumor nodule proved to be of statistical significance in our analysis.

Current management of epithelial ovarian carcinoma: a review

Epithelial carcinoma of the ovary is the most lethal of gynaecological malignancies and it affects about one in 70 women in developed countries. Over 75% of women with the disease have tumour spread beyond the pelvis at the time of diagnosis, and their treatment requires the appropriate use of surgery and chemotherapy. The strategies used in the treatment of ovarian cancer are constantly evolving. An overview of current treatment regimens and their evolution is provided, with particular emphasis on the interdependence of surgery and chemotherapy in the optimal management of the disease.

Long-term results and prognostic factors in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to evaluate long-term results and to assess prognostic factors which have an impact on overall survival in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 287 patients treated between 1975 and 1995 was performed. All operations were performed by senior surgeons. Histologic sections were reviewed by the same pathologist. Successive adjuvant chemotherapy regimens are described. Survival was evaluated in 1997. Follow-up lasted 25-260 months (median 90). Statistical methods included Kaplan-Meier survival curves, log-rank test, and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

The 5-year survival rates were 76, 42, 21, and 6% for patients with stage I, II, III, and IV disease, respectively. Age, FIGO stage, cytology of ascites, histologic type and grade, extent of surgery, and number of residual tumors were significant prognostic indicators in univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that the risk of mortality according to FIGO stage was 2.8, 95% CI [1.2-6.3], P = 0.01 for FIGO II, 5.6, 95% CI [2.9-10.8], P < 0.001 for FIGO III, and 10.5, 95% CI [4.9-22. 1], P < 0.001 for FIGO IV in comparison with FIGO I. Patients with a serous epithelial carcinoma had a 1.7-fold higher risk of mortality than patients with other histologic types: RR = 1.7, 95% CI [1.1-2. 8], P < 0.001. Patients whose tumors distribution permitted optimal surgery had a 2.3-fold lower risk of mortality than patients treated with sub- or nonoptimal surgery: RR = 0.43, 95% CI [0.29-0.64], P < 0.001. The risk of mortality for patients treated with alkylating agents, platinum-based combination chemotherapy without taxanes, or carboplatin plus paclitaxel regimens compared with patients who did not receive treatment was reduced by 47%, 95% CI [8-69%], P = 0.025, 55%, 95% CI [22-74%], P = 0.005, and 70%, 95% CI [35-86%], P = 0.002, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirms the benefit of cytoreductive surgery and the efficacy of platinum plus paclitaxel first-line chemotherapy which has recently been recognized as the standard treatment for advanced epithelial ovarian cancer.

Interval debulking surgery: an alternative for primary surgical debulking?

Retrospective analyses suggest that a subgroup of patients with Stage III and IV ovarian carcinoma can be treated with neo-adjuvant chemotherapy followed by interval debulking surgery. The absolute indications for neo-adjuvant chemotherapy appear to be Stage IV disease (excluding pleural fluid) or metastases of more than 1 g at sites where resection is impossible. In patients with an estimated total metastatic tumor load of >100 g, the presence of at least two of the following relative indications for neo-adjuvant chemotherapy are considered to be necessary: 1) uncountable (>100) peritoneal metastases, 2) estimated metastatic tumor load of >1000 g, 3) presence of large (>10 g) peritoneal metastatic plaques, 4) large volume ascites, and 5) World Health Organization (WHO) status II or III. Interval debulking surgery in patients with suboptimal primary debulking surgery has been proven effective in increasing overall survival and progression-free survival in a large prospective, randomized trial of the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC). The strategy of neo-adjuvant chemotherapy, followed by interval debulking surgery, should be confirmed in a prospective randomized trial. The EORTC 55971 trial is currently addressing this issue. We will review the studies on primary chemotherapy, interval debulking surgery, and the indications for primary chemotherapy followed by interval debulking surgery, and ongoing trials.

An assessment of methods to combine published survival curves

PURPOSE

To assess the accuracies of different techniques for combining published survival curves, for use in disease modeling applications.

METHODS

Five methods were identified: 1) iterative generalized least-squares (IGLS), 2) meta-analysis of failure-time data with adjustment for covariates (MFD), 3) nonlinear regression (NLR), 4) log relative risk (LRR), and 5) weighted LRR (w-LRR). Each method was used to combine the survival curves from eight single-arm Phase II trials of chemotherapy in 918 patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The resulting summary curves were compared with the curve calculated from the corresponding individual patient data (IPD).

RESULTS

All methods were able to produce accurate summary survival curves statistically similar to the IPD-derived curve. Maximum discrepancies ranged from 1.8% to 4.7%. MFD appeared to be the most accurate when censoring information was complete. Characteristics of the component trials that adversely affected the accuracies of the different techniques were 1) a high proportion of censored observations (MFD); 2) variability in the length of follow-up (IGLS, NLR, LRR, w-LRR); and 3) the heterogeneity of the treatment results (NLR, w-LRR).

CONCLUSIONS

All methods were able to accurately reproduce summary survival curves from the published literature. The best method depends on characteristics of the data and the purpose of the analysis.

Value of quantitative pathological variables as prognostic factors in advanced ovarian carcinoma

AIMS

To evaluate correlations among clinical, pathological, morphometric, stereological, and DNA flow cytometric variables and their prognostic value in advanced ovarian cancer.

METHODS

Tissue was collected from 180 patients with advanced ovarian cancer. All 180 had undergone debulking surgery and were being treated with cisplatin. Long term follow up was available for all patients. The mitotic activity index (MAI), volume % of epithelium (VPE), mean nuclear area (MNA), standard deviation of the nuclear area (SDNA), estimates of volume weighted mean nuclear volume (nu v), and variables obtained from minimum spanning tree (MST) analysis were assessed in the least differentiated tumour section in each case. DNA flow cytometry was also performed.

RESULTS

Quantitative pathological features differed significantly with respect to histological grade. The MAI, MNA, SDNA, and the number of points connected to three neighbours differed significantly among the different DNA ploidy groups. The VPE and number of points connected to two or three neighbours differed significantly between FIGO stages III and IV. Fifty two (29%) patients survived. FIGO stage, residual disease and SDNA had prognostic significance on both univariate and multivariate survival analysis. In patients with FIGO III stage disease and residual tumour nodes < or = 2 cm in diameter (67 patients, 29 (43%) survivors) a prognostic index was established based on SDNA and of the line length of the MST. The median survival time was not reached in a subgroup of patients with favourable prognosis (overall survival 57%). Median survival was 32 months for patients with an unfavourable index score (overall survival 28%).

CONCLUSION

Morphometric variables have important additional value in predicting prognosis in patients with advanced ovarian cancer.

An I.T.M.O. group study on second-line treatment in advanced epithelial ovarian cancer: an attempt to identify clinical and biological factors determining prognosis

The aim of the present study was to determine the activity of a combined regimen of mitoxantrone (DHAD) and ifosfamide (IFO) and identify clinical and biological factors with prognostic importance for the second-line treatment of ovarian cancer. The following factors were investigated for their prognostic importance: age, disease sites, platinum responsiveness, histological grade, the presence of clinically/radiologically detectable versus not detectable disease, residual disease volume after first surgery, p53 protein, c-erbB-2 oncoprotein and laminin receptor. 72 patients entered the trial. DHAD and IFO therapy led to a 15% response rate among the 47 cases with clinically/radiologically detectable disease (1 complete and 6 partial responses), with a median response duration of 4 months. The response rate was significantly different according to platinum responsiveness (4% objective responses in platinum-resistant versus 27% in platinum-sensitive disease). The time to treatment failure (TTF) and overall survival (OS) were affected by the presence of clinically detectable disease at study entry (median TTF 4 months in the presence of clinically/radiologically detectable disease versus 9 months if the disease was not similarly detectable, P = 0.02; median OS 10 months versus 21 months, P = 0.01). Initially overexpressed in only a few tumours, the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein became overexpressed in 36% of platinum-resistant tumours; this modulation did not occur in platinum-sensitive tumours. Furthermore, laminin receptor was expressed in 77% of platinum-sensitive versus 39% of platinum-resistant patients. There were no differences in p53 protein expression according to drug responsiveness.

An evaluation of prognostic factors in advanced ovarian cancer

A summary is presented of currently available prognostic factors in advanced ovarian cancer of the common epithelial types. The emphasis is on the most promising clinical, classical pathological, biochemical, immunohistochemical, molecular biological and quantitative pathological factors.