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Stueber TN, Wischnewsky M, Leinert E, Diessner J, Bartmann C, Stein RG, Woeckel A. B 2 Prognostic Score: External Validation of a Clinical Decision-making Tool for Metastatic Breast Cancer. Clin Breast Cancer 2019; 19:333-339. [PMID: 31281053 DOI: 10.1016/j.clbc.2019.04.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2019] [Revised: 03/27/2019] [Accepted: 04/07/2019] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The B2 Prognostic Score (B2PS) is a clinical decision-making tool in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) that provides risk classification based on routine parameters. This study validates the B2PS in an independent series of MBC for the whole study group and for each intrinsic subtype. PATIENTS AND METHODS We analyzed 641 metastasized patients, treated in 17 German certified breast cancer centers between 2001 and 2009. They were classified into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups according to B2PS. Overall survival (OS) curves for the various B2PS groups were compared with Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS According to the B2PS formula, 42.3% of patients were classified as low risk, 25.4% as intermediate risk and 32.3% as high risk. Intermediate- and high-risk patients had a statistically significant decreased OS compared with B2PS low-risk patients: (intermediate-risk: hazard ratio, 1.36; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.77; P = .023; high-risk: hazard ratio, 2.62; 95% confidence interval, 2.06-3.32; P < .001). The 5-year survival rates of low-, intermediate-, and high-risk patients were 41.3%, 26.9%, and 10.2%, respectively. The distribution of B2PS risk groups varied significantly within the intrinsic subtypes. For each intrinsic subtype, B2PS gives an additional risk classification. CONCLUSIONS This study demonstrates the reproducibility of the B2PS based on routinely assessable parameters and confirms its prognostic value in an independent entire cohort of MBC as well as in the separate intrinsic subtypes. It therefore can help in counseling and individualizing the therapeutic regimens of those patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tanja Nadine Stueber
- Department for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Würzburg Medical School, Würzburg, Germany.
| | - Manfred Wischnewsky
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
| | - Elena Leinert
- Department for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Ulm Medical School, Ulm, Germany
| | - Joachim Diessner
- Department for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Würzburg Medical School, Würzburg, Germany
| | - Catharina Bartmann
- Department for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Würzburg Medical School, Würzburg, Germany
| | - Roland Gregor Stein
- Department for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Würzburg Medical School, Würzburg, Germany
| | - Achim Woeckel
- Department for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Würzburg Medical School, Würzburg, Germany
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Regierer AC, Wolters R, Ufen MP, Weigel A, Novopashenny I, Köhne CH, Samonigg H, Eucker J, Possinger K, Wischnewsky MB. An internally and externally validated prognostic score for metastatic breast cancer: analysis of 2269 patients. Ann Oncol 2014; 25:633-638. [PMID: 24368402 PMCID: PMC4433507 DOI: 10.1093/annonc/mdt539] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2013] [Revised: 10/28/2013] [Accepted: 11/04/2013] [Indexed: 01/15/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The prognosis of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) is extremely heterogeneous. Although patients with MBC will uniformly die to their disease, survival may range from a few months to several years. This underscores the importance of defining prognostic factors to develop risk-adopted treatment strategies. Our aim has been to use simple measures to judge a patient's prognosis when metastatic disease is diagnosed. PATIENTS AND METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 2269 patients from four clinical cancer registries. The prognostic score was calculated from the regression coefficients found in the Cox regression analysis. Based on the score, patients were classified into high-, intermediate-, and low-risk groups. Bootstrapping and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were used for internal validation. Two independent datasets were used for external validation. RESULTS Metastatic-free interval, localization of metastases, and hormone receptor status were identified as significant prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. The three prognostic groups showed highly significant differences regarding overall survival from the time of metastasis [intermediate compared with low risk: hazard ratio (HR) 1.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.36-2.27, P < 0.001; high compared with low risk: HR 3.54, 95% CI 2.81-4.45, P < 0.001). The median overall survival in these three groups were 61, 38, and 22 months, respectively. The external validation showed congruent results. CONCLUSIONS We developed a prognostic score, based on routine parameters easily accessible in daily clinical care. Although major progress has been made, the optimal therapeutic management of the individual patient is still unknown. Besides elaborative molecular classification of tumors, simple clinical measures such as our model may be helpful to further individualize optimal breast cancer care.
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Affiliation(s)
- A C Regierer
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin.
| | - R Wolters
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University Bremen, Bremen
| | - M-P Ufen
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Klinikum Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany
| | - A Weigel
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin
| | - I Novopashenny
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University Bremen, Bremen
| | - C H Köhne
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Klinikum Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany
| | - H Samonigg
- Division of Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - J Eucker
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin
| | - K Possinger
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin
| | - M B Wischnewsky
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University Bremen, Bremen
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Regierer AC, Wolters R, Ufen MP, Weigel A, Novopashenny I, Köhne CH, Samonigg H, Eucker J, Possinger K, Wischnewsky MB. An internally and externally validated prognostic score for metastatic breast cancer: analysis of 2269 patients. ANNALS OF ONCOLOGY : OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN SOCIETY FOR MEDICAL ONCOLOGY 2013. [PMID: 24368402 DOI: 10.1093/annonc.mdt539] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The prognosis of metastatic breast cancer (MBC) is extremely heterogeneous. Although patients with MBC will uniformly die to their disease, survival may range from a few months to several years. This underscores the importance of defining prognostic factors to develop risk-adopted treatment strategies. Our aim has been to use simple measures to judge a patient's prognosis when metastatic disease is diagnosed. PATIENTS AND METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 2269 patients from four clinical cancer registries. The prognostic score was calculated from the regression coefficients found in the Cox regression analysis. Based on the score, patients were classified into high-, intermediate-, and low-risk groups. Bootstrapping and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves were used for internal validation. Two independent datasets were used for external validation. RESULTS Metastatic-free interval, localization of metastases, and hormone receptor status were identified as significant prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. The three prognostic groups showed highly significant differences regarding overall survival from the time of metastasis [intermediate compared with low risk: hazard ratio (HR) 1.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.36-2.27, P < 0.001; high compared with low risk: HR 3.54, 95% CI 2.81-4.45, P < 0.001). The median overall survival in these three groups were 61, 38, and 22 months, respectively. The external validation showed congruent results. CONCLUSIONS We developed a prognostic score, based on routine parameters easily accessible in daily clinical care. Although major progress has been made, the optimal therapeutic management of the individual patient is still unknown. Besides elaborative molecular classification of tumors, simple clinical measures such as our model may be helpful to further individualize optimal breast cancer care.
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Affiliation(s)
- A C Regierer
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin.
| | - R Wolters
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University Bremen, Bremen
| | - M-P Ufen
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Klinikum Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany
| | - A Weigel
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin
| | - I Novopashenny
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University Bremen, Bremen
| | - C H Köhne
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Klinikum Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany
| | - H Samonigg
- Division of Oncology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - J Eucker
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin
| | - K Possinger
- Department of Oncology and Hematology, Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin
| | - M B Wischnewsky
- Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, University Bremen, Bremen
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Münstedt K, Grant P, Woenckhaus J, Roth G, Tinneberg HR. Cancer of the endometrium: current aspects of diagnostics and treatment. World J Surg Oncol 2004; 2:24. [PMID: 15268760 PMCID: PMC506786 DOI: 10.1186/1477-7819-2-24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/04/2004] [Accepted: 07/21/2004] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Endometrial cancer represents a tumor entity with a great variation in its incidence throughout the world (range 1 to 25). This suggests enormous possibilities of cancer prevention due to the fact that the incidence is very much endocrine-related, chiefly with obesity, and thus most frequent in the developed world. As far as treatment is concerned, it is generally accepted that surgery represents the first choice of treatment. However, several recommendations seem reasonable especially with lymphadenectomy, even though they are not based on evidence. All high-risk cases are generally recommended for radiotherapy. Methods A literature search of the Medline was carried out for all articles on endometrial carcinoma related to diagnosis and treatment. The articles were systematically reviewed and were categorized into incidence, etiology, precancerosis, early diagnosis, classification, staging, prevention, and treatment. The article is organized into several similar subheadings. Conclusions In spite of the overall good prognosis during the early stages of the disease, the survival is poor in advanced stages or recurrences. Diagnostic measures are very well able to detect asymptomatic recurrences. These only seem justified if patients' chances are likely to improve, otherwise such measures increases costs as well as decrease the patients' quality of life. To date neither current nor improved concepts of endocrine treatment or chemotherapy have been able to substantially increase patients' chances of survival. Therefore, newer concepts into the use of antibodies e.g. trastuzumab in HER2-overexpressing tumors and the newer endocrine compounds will need to be investigated. Furthermore, it would seem highly desirable if future studies were to identify valid criteria for an individualized management, thereby maximizing the benefits and minimizing the risks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karsten Münstedt
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Justus-Liebig-University Giessen, Klinikstrasse 32, D 35385 Giessen, Germany
| | - Phillip Grant
- Department of Psychology, Justus-Liebig-University Giessen, Otto-Behagel-Str. 10F, D 35394 Giessen, Germany
| | - Joachim Woenckhaus
- Institute of Pathology, Justus-Liebig-University Giessen, Langhansstrasse 10, D 35385 Giessen, Germany
| | - Gabriele Roth
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Justus-Liebig-University Giessen, Klinikstrasse 32, D 35385 Giessen, Germany
| | - Hans-Rudolf Tinneberg
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Justus-Liebig-University Giessen, Klinikstrasse 32, D 35385 Giessen, Germany
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Wild PJ, Reichle A, Andreesen R, Röckelein G, Dietmaier W, Rüschoff J, Blaszyk H, Hofstädter F, Hartmann A. Microsatellite Instability Predicts Poor Short-Term Survival in Patients with Advanced Breast Cancer after High-Dose Chemotherapy and Autologous Stem-Cell Transplantation. Clin Cancer Res 2004; 10:556-64. [PMID: 14760077 DOI: 10.1158/1078-0432.ccr-0601-03] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE The purpose is to define molecular prognostic factors in patients with advanced breast cancer treated with high-dose chemotherapy (HDCT) and autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT). EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN Thirty-nine patients with breast cancer and extensive lymph node (level III) and/or systemic metastases from a prospective single-center study of sequential HDCT/ASCT were studied. Microsatellite analysis was performed after laser microdissection using 15 markers selected for sensitive detection of microsatellite instability (MSI) in breast cancer. Exons 5-9 of the P53 gene were directly sequenced. Expression of P53, HER-2/neu, and the mismatch repair proteins hMSH2 and hMLH1 was evaluated by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS MSI of at least three markers was detected in 13 of 39 patients (33%) and was predominantly found at tetranucleotide markers. All MSI-positive tumors showed normal expression of hMSH2 and hMLH1. Complete sequence analysis of exons 5-9 of the P53 gene was successful in 34 cases; 18% (n = 6) revealed a mutation. Overexpression of HER-2/neu and P53 was observed in 7 (22%) and 12 (46%) of 26 evaluated cases, respectively. The presence of MSI strongly correlated with shorter overall survival (OS; P = 0.0004) and progression-free survival (PFS; P = 0.02). None of the other investigated clinical or molecular factors correlated with OS in univariate analyses, with the exception of menopausal status and previous adjuvant chemotherapy. Testing various multivariate Cox regression models, MSI remained a highly significant, independent, and adverse risk factor for OS. CONCLUSIONS MSI is frequent in advanced breast cancer and could be an indicator of chemotherapy resistance and poor prognosis in breast cancer patients treated with HDCT/ASCT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter J Wild
- Departments of Pathology and Hematology and Oncology, University of Regensburg, Regensburg, Germany
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