The prognostic importance of Gleason grade in prostatic adenocarcinoma: a long-term follow-up study of 648 patients treated with radiation therapy

Graph-based multi-modality integration for prediction of cancer subtype and severity

Personalised cancer screening before therapy paves the way toward improving diagnostic accuracy and treatment outcomes. Most approaches are limited to a single data type and do not consider interactions between features, leaving aside the complementary insights that multimodality and systems biology can provide. In this project, we demonstrate the use of graph theory for data integration via individual networks where nodes and edges are individual-specific. We showcase the consequences of early, intermediate, and late graph-based fusion of RNA-Seq data and histopathology whole-slide images for predicting cancer subtypes and severity. The methodology developed is as follows: (1) we create individual networks; (2) we compute the similarity between individuals from these graphs; (3) we train our model on the similarity matrices; (4) we evaluate the performance using the macro F1 score. Pros and cons of elements of the pipeline are evaluated on publicly available real-life datasets. We find that graph-based methods can increase performance over methods that do not study interactions. Additionally, merging multiple data sources often improves classification compared to models based on single data, especially through intermediate fusion. The proposed workflow can easily be adapted to other disease contexts to accelerate and enhance personalized healthcare.

Predicting the Risk of Metastases by PSMA-PET/CT-Evaluation of 335 Men with Treatment-Naïve Prostate Carcinoma

Simple Summary

Prostate carcinoma is the most common visceral cancer for men and the second most common cause of death. The early detection of micrometastasis may improve clinical outcome due to individual treatment approaches like early intensified therapy. Imaging using prostate-specific membrane antigen-positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PSMA-PET/CT) has a high potential of detecting even small metastases. Therefore, the present study aimed to analyze data of 335 men with primary diagnosed prostate cancer and available PSMA-PET/CT with regard to characteristic PET-parameters and the detection of metastases. We observed that an increased accumulation of the PET-tracer measured in the primary tumor significantly correlates with the presence of distant metastases. The current results may be helpful in decision making of individual treatment escalation for a variety of men with aggressive disease which should improve clinical outcome.

Abstract

Men diagnosed with aggressive prostate cancer are at high risk of local relapse or systemic progression after definitive treatment. Treatment intensification is highly needed for that patient cohort; however, no relevant stratification tool has been implemented into the clinical work routine so far. Therefore, the aim of the current study was to analyze the role of initial PSMA-PET/CT as a prediction tool for metastases. In total, 335 men with biopsy-proven prostate carcinoma and PSMA-PET/CT for primary staging were enrolled in the present, retrospective study. The number and site of metastases were analyzed and correlated with the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of the intraprostatic, malignant lesion. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to determine sensitivity and specificity and a model was created using multiple logistic regression. PSMA-PET/CT detected 171 metastases with PSMA-uptake in 82 patients. A statistically significant higher SUVmax was found for men with metastatic disease than for the cohort without distant metastases (median 16.1 vs. 11.2; p < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) in regard to predicting the presence of any metastases was 0.65. Choosing a cut-off value of 11.9 for SUVmax, a sensitivity and specificity (factor 1:1) of 76.0% and 58.4% was obtained. The current study confirms, that initial PSMA-PET/CT is able to detect a relatively high number of treatment-naïve men with metastatic prostate carcinoma. Intraprostatic SUVmax seems to be a promising parameter for the prediction of distant disease and could be used for treatment stratification—aspects which should be verified within prospective trials.

The effect of Rapid Access Prostate Clinics on the outcomes of Gleason 7 prostate cancer: does earlier diagnosis lead to better outcomes?

INTRODUCTION

Rapid Access Prostate Clinics (RAPC) were introduced in Ireland by the National Cancer Control Programme bringing about expedited referral pathways and increased detection rates of prostate cancer. Lower Gleason (G) grade at diagnosis due to RAPC has been previously reported but grade at prostatectomy has not been assessed. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of RAPC on the outcomes of patients with G7 disease on radical prostatectomy (RP).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was carried out of all RPs performed over a 9-year period (2006-2014). Outcomes for G7 prostatectomies were compared before and after the introduction of the RAPC, with a further sub-analysis of G4 + 3 versus G3 + 4. The primary outcome was biochemical recurrence (BCR). Other outcomes were adjuvant/salvage radiotherapy, extra prostatic extension, positive surgical margins, seminal vesicle involvement and tumour stage.

RESULTS

In total, 240 RPs were performed with 167 cases graded G7 (70 graded G4 + 3 and 97 graded G3 + 4). Since the introduction of RAPC the proportion of G4 + 3 compared to G3 + 4 has increased from 37.9 to 42%. There was no statistical difference in outcomes for G4 + 3 treated before and after the introduction of RAPC. G4 + 3 was associated with higher rates of BCR (24.4 vs. 0%, p < 0.0001, radiotherapy (41.1 vs. 4.8%, p < 0.0001) and worse histological features than G3 + 4.

CONCLUSION

Despite the benefits in diagnosis of prostate cancer brought about by RAPC in Ireland, this has not translated to a lower grade for surgically treated patients. There has been no improvement in outcomes especially for higher grade G4 + 3 disease.

One is the new six: The International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) patient-focused approach to Gleason grading

N/A

Gleason grading: past, present and future

In 1966 Donald Gleason developed his grading and scoring system for prostatic adenocarcinoma. This classification was refined in 1974 and gained almost universal acceptance, being classified as a category 1 prognostic parameter by the College of American Pathologists. Modifications to the classification were recommended at a conference convened by the International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) in 2005. This modified classification has resulted in a significant upgrading of tumours, although some studies have shown a greater concordance between needle biopsy and radical prostatectomy scores when compared to classical Gleason (CG) grading. The ISUP consensus conference recommended that for needle biopsies higher tertiary patterns should be incorporated into the final Gleason score, and this has been correlated with biochemical failure, tumour volume and mortality. Recently the validity of including cribriform glands as a component of Gleason pattern 3 has been questioned and it has been recommended that all tumours showing cribriform architecture should be classified as Gleason pattern 4. The recommendations arising from the 2005 Consensus Conference were largely unsupported by validating data, yet this new grading system has achieved widespread usage. It is unfortunate that recent suggestions for further modification are similarly lacking in supporting evidence. In view of this it is recommended that the Modified Gleason Scoring Classification should continue to be utilized in its original (2005) format and that any future alterations should be implemented only when mandated by tumour-related outcome studies.

The role of surgery in high-risk localised prostate cancer

• The optimal management of high-risk localised prostate cancer is a major challenge for urologists and oncologists. It is clear that multimodal therapy including radical local treatment is needed in these men to achieve the best outcomes. • External beam radiotherapy (EBRT) is an essential component of therapy either as a primary or adjuvant treatment. However, the role of radical prostatectomy (RP) is more controversial. Both methods are currently valid therapy options. • There have been many individual studies of EBRT and RP in high-risk disease, but no good quality large prospective randomized trials. • In EBRT, combination with neoadjuvant plus long-term adjuvant androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) has been conclusively shown to improve outcomes and is widely considered the standard of care. • However, the role of RP has achieved recent prominence with several important studies. Published data from prospective randomized trials in patients after RP have shown that in men with adverse pathological features at surgery, the addition of adjuvant RT improves biochemical-free and progression-free survival. • More recently, studies from large-volume centres comparing EBRT and RP have provided intriguing suggestions of better outcomes with RP as the primary treatment. • An important question therefore, is which of the two methods provides the best outcome in men with localised high-risk disease. Crucially, does the combination of RP and selective adjuvant EBRT provide clinically significant better outcomes compared with EBRT alone? • In this review we discuss the current evidence for the role of RP for high-risk localised prostate cancer and define the parameters and urgent need for a prospective trial to test the role of surgery for this group of patients.

Treatment strategies for high-risk locally advanced prostate cancer

High-risk prostate cancer can be defined by the assessment of pretreatment prognostic factors such as clinical stage, Gleason score, and PSA level. High-risk features include PSA >20 ng/ml, Gleason score 8-10, and stage T3 tumors. Patients with adverse prognostic factors have historically fared poorly with monotherapeutic approaches. Multimodal treatment utilizing combined androgen suppression and radiotherapy has improved survival rates for patients with high-risk prostate cancer. In addition, multiple randomized trials in patients treated with primary radical prostatectomy have demonstrated improved outcomes with the addition of adjuvant radiotherapy. Improved radiotherapy techniques that allow for dose escalation, and new systemic therapy approaches such as adjuvant chemotherapy, present promising future therapeutic alternatives for patients with high-risk prostate cancer.

Adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy augments cure and long-term cancer control in men with poor prognosis, nonmetastatic prostate cancer

Historically, adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy has been viewed as a palliative treatment option for patients with poor-prognosis non-metastatic prostate cancer. In addition, guidelines from bodies such as the European Association of Urology and American Society for Clinical Oncology do not specifically categorize adjuvant hormonal therapy as being curative in intent. We propose that adjuvant androgen deprivation therapy should now be classified as a treatment of curative intent in patients with poor-prognosis, non-metastatic prostate cancer. By applying a carefully considered definition of cure (based on long-term (10- to 15-year) disease-free survival curves) to the findings from randomized controlled clinical trials that have studied adjuvant hormonal treatments in non-metastatic prostate cancer, we challenged whether this viewpoint should now be considered redundant. According to our review of relevant studies and our definition of cure, goserelin appears to augment cure in a sizeable proportion of men with poor-prognosis non-metastatic prostate cancer when given adjuvant to radical prostatectomy or radiotherapy. Across several trials, the relevant survival curves for the goserelin-treated population became indefinitely flat after long-term follow-up. This indicates that these patients have a mortality risk comparable to the general population without prostate cancer. On the basis of the evidence presented within this review, we believe that, given it can control disease for a long period of time, adjuvant goserelin should be reclassified as a treatment of curative intent for patients with poor-prognosis non-metastatic prostate cancer.

Low Gleason score prostatic adenocarcinomas are no longer viable entities

Gleason scoring is the most powerful predictor of the behaviour of prostatic adenocarcinoma. It was devised more than 30 years ago and is used by pathologists worldwide. However, advances in immunochemistry and the understanding of the biological potential of some tumours have made the diagnosis of tumours of grades 1 and 2, and hence low score (2-4), a rarity. It is suggested that Gleason score 2(1 + 1) tumours, if they do exist, are so rare and so benign that they are a redundant entity and should not be identified as a malignancy. Similar problems revolve around the diagnosis of Gleason score 4(2 + 2) tumours and the criteria for their diagnosis are difficult to evaluate and revolve around reference to the score 2(1 + 1) lesion. The continued presence of low-grade tumours in the Gleason grading system leads to diagnostic confusion, potential error and, more importantly, confusion for patients diagnosed with score 6(3 + 3) tumours. I suggest that Gleason grade 1 (and therefore scores of 2 and 3) should be removed from the Gleason grading system. Gleason grade 2 (and therefore score 4 and 5) tumours require serious re-evaluation if they are to remain clinically useful diagnoses.

Should the Gleason grading system for prostate cancer be modified to account for high-grade tertiary components? A systematic review and meta-analysis

The Gleason system for grading prostate cancer assigns a score on the basis of the most prevalent and second most prevalent grade. Several studies have investigated the clinical significance of a tertiary grade in radical prostatectomy samples. A systematic search of the published work identified seven studies that reported the prognostic value of a tertiary Gleason grade. Three studies correlated the presence of a tertiary grade with pathological stage, and six with prostate-specific antigen recurrence or clinical progression. In the small number of studies available, the frequency of a tertiary grade was consistently higher in samples characterised with pathological variables of poor outcome, such as extra-prostatic extension and positive surgical margins, but not lymph-node metastases. In five studies the presence of a tertiary grade increased the risk of prostate-specific antigen recurrence after radical prostatectomy by a factor of 2.5. However, modification of the Gleason score to include a tertiary grade in Gleason 4+3 tumours might overestimate the risk of seminal-vesicle or lymph-node invasion. This systematic review has established the association of a tertiary grade with poorer outcome than that associated with no tertiary grade. A tertiary grade should, therefore, be included in the pathological reporting of prostate cancer and be considered in the interpretation and design of clinical trials. However, all studies assessed for this review were retrospective, potentially affected by selection bias, and based on radical prostatectomy samples or transurethral resections rather than biopsy samples. Therefore, more evidence is needed to warrant the adaptation of the Gleason system to account for the presence of a tertiary grade, especially when scoring prostatic biopsies and applying predictive algorithms.

Salvage radical prostatectomy: quality of life outcomes and long-term oncological control of radiorecurrent prostate cancer

PURPOSE

We review our 20-year experience with salvage radical prostatectomy to determine prognostic variables predictive of oncological control of radiorecurrent prostate cancer. Using a standardized questionnaire we also evaluate outcome data regarding the long-term sexual and urinary effects of salvage radical prostatectomy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between 1983 and 2002 salvage radical prostatectomy was performed in 51 patients with locally recurrent prostate cancer following definitive radiotherapy. Clinical information was obtained from a prospective database. Quality of life data were collected using the UCLA Prostate Cancer Index, a validated, patient administered instrument.

RESULTS

At 5 years 47% of patients were progression-free without androgen deprivation therapy. Among patients with pT2 disease 100% were progression-free at 5 years, compared with 35% of patients with pT3N0 disease or higher and 0% of patients with node positive (pTxN+) disease (p < 0.001). Preoperative PSA 5.0 ng/ml or less was predictive of organ confined disease, and strongly associated with prolonged progression-free and overall survival (p < 0.001 and 0.01, respectively). Mean urinary function scores for patients with or without an artificial urinary sphincter compared favorably with scores reported after standard, nonsalvage prostatectomy. Sexual dysfunction was nearly uniform in patients undergoing standard salvage radical prostatectomy but implantation of a penile prosthesis was associated with a clinically significant improvement in sexual function.

CONCLUSIONS

When initiated early in the course of recurrent disease, salvage radical prostatectomy provides excellent oncological control of radiorecurrent prostate cancer without the need for androgen ablation. Implantation of an artificial urinary sphincter and inflatable penile prosthesis devices in patients with postoperative urinary incontinence or erectile dysfunction results in significantly improved quality of life parameters.

Cancer progression after anterograde radical prostatectomy for pathologic Gleason score 8 to 10 and influence of concomitant variables

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the outcome in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer and pathologic Gleason score 8 to 10 disease treated by anterograde radical prostatectomy, either alone for node-negative disease or with early hormonal therapy for node-positive disease, and to characterize the prognostic significance of other pathologic variables.

METHODS

A total of 729 patients underwent radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer between 1989 and 2003. We identified 116 patients (15.9%) with specimen Gleason score 8 or greater. The mean follow-up was 48 months (range 6 to 145).

RESULTS

The 5-year biochemical-free survival rate for those with pT2, pT3a, and pT3b diseases was 100%, 65.1%, and 10.5%, respectively (P < or =0.05). The 5-year biochemical-free survival rate for those with specimen Gleason score 8 and 9 was 72.1% and 38.2%, respectively (P < or =0.05). The incidence of positive surgical margins was 14.6% and led to a high pT3a specimen-confined detection rate. The preoperative prostate-specific antigen level, primary Gleason pattern, and surgical margin status had no statistically significant impact on biochemical recurrence-free survival. The multivariate Cox model showed seminal vesicle invasion to be the only independent prognostic factor. The 3 and 5-year progression-free survival rate of the 45 node-positive patients was 72.6% and 60.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings emphasize the need for early diagnosis, which can make this disease curable by radical prostatectomy alone, and show that poorly differentiated prostate cancer that has invaded the capsule can be cured by surgery. Biochemical recurrence represented a common event in pT3b and Gleason score 9 disease, suggesting a possible role for early adjuvant treatment.

Prostate cancer progression after therapy of primary curative intent

BACKGROUND

Radical prostatectomy and radiotherapy (RT), both radical therapies, are the standard treatments of curative intent for early prostate cancer. However, these therapies are not curative in all patients and, consequently, a substantial proportion of treated patients remain at risk of disease progression and/or cancer-related death.

METHODS

This article presents contemporary data on the incidence of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and clinical disease progression after primary therapy of curative intent in relation to commonly assessed pretreatment or pathologic disease characteristics.

RESULTS

The data highlight the substantial risk of progression for certain patient groups, such as those with Gleason score 8-10, cT3 disease, lymph node metastases, and/or pretreatment PSA levels > 20 ng/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

Improved and/or additional treatment options are needed for these patient groups.

Gleason score and pretreatment prostate-specific antigen in survival among patients with stage D2 prostate cancer

Although multiple studies have addressed the prognostic importance of tumor differentiation in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer, few data are available in patients with metastatic disease. We evaluated and compared survival data in two groups of men with Whitmore stage D2 metastatic prostate cancer initially treated with hormonal therapy. A series of 76 patients with D2 metastatic disease were evaluated and treated at the National Cancer Institute (NCI) in conjunction with an additional cohort of 141 patients from the Louisiana State University School of Medicine (LSU). Pathological specimens were classified according to the Gleason score. Fifty-two (25%) of the combined NCI/LSU specimens had a Gleason score of 6 or less, 71 (34%) had a value of 7, and remaining 87 (41%) had scores between 8 and 10. The median PSA at the time of diagnosis for the NCI patients was 294.2 ng/ml. Time to treatment failure was defined as the time that a greater than 50% increase above nadir PSA was noted. In neither group was Gleason score correlated with overall survival. There was no association between the time to progression following hormone therapy and primary tumor Gleason score. The PSA concentration at the time of diagnosis was not correlated with the Gleason score for the NCI patients; however, there was an inverse correlation between pretreatment PSA level and time to progression following hormonal ablation. Gleason score does not appear to impact survival in metastatic prostate cancer. PSA as a marker of the biological behavior in metastatic disease may also be limited. These findings should be reevaluated in larger, better matched cohorts. Novel techniques such as serum proteomics, microarrays, and metastatic cell isolation methods may better predict outcome in advanced prostate cancer.

Is there a difference in outcome after radical prostatectomy between patients with biopsy Gleason sums 4, 5, and 6? Results from the SEARCH database

PURPOSE

Fewer patients newly diagnosed with prostate cancer today have biopsy Gleason sums <6 compared to several years ago. Several tables and nomograms for predicting disease recurrence after definitive therapy provide little or no discrimination between biopsy Gleason sums 4, 5, and 6. We sought to examine the significance of biopsy Gleason sum for predicting biochemical failure following radical prostatectomy (RP) for men with biopsy Gleason sums of 4, 5, and 6.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We examined data from 988 men treated with RP between 1988 and 2002 who had biopsy Gleason sums of 4-6. Clinical and pathological variables as well as outcome information were compared between men with biopsy Gleason sums of 4-6. The log-rank and Cox proportional hazards analysis were used to determine whether biopsy Gleason sum provided unique prognostic information for men with low biopsy Gleason sums undergoing RP.

RESULTS

There was statistically significant, but overall weak correlation between biopsy Gleason sum and Gleason sum of the RP specimen (Spearman's r=0.277, P<0.001). As biopsy Gleason sum increased from 4 to 5 to 6, there was a steady rise (HR=1.31 for each one point increase in Gleason sum, Cox's model) in the risk of PSA failure (P=0.025, log-rank). On multivariate analysis comparing biopsy Gleason sum, preoperative PSA, clinical stage, year of surgery, percent of biopsy cores positive, and age for their ability to predict time to biochemical recurrence, only PSA (HR 2.09, CI 1.56-2.80, P<0.001) and biopsy Gleason sum (HR 1.33, CI 1.05-1.70, P=0.019) were significant independent predictors of PSA failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite weak correlation between biopsy and pathologic Gleason sum among men with biopsy Gleason sum 4-6 tumors, grade was a significant independent predictor of PSA failure following RP. In the range of 4-6, biopsy Gleason sum acted as a continuous variable for predicting PSA failure. The routine use of Gleason sums 4 and 5 to grade prostate needle biopsy specimens should not be abandoned.

External beam radiotherapy in elderly patients with clinically localized prostate adenocarcinoma: age is not a problem

The files of 183 elderly patients aged >70 years, with localized prostate cancer (T1-3, N0-X, M0), treated with radical external radiation therapy (ERT) from January 1992 to December 2001 at the Radiotherapy Department of the Istituto Nazionale Tumori of Milan, were reviewed. Median age was 75 years. ERT represented the sole treatment for 73 patients (39.9%); in 110 cases (60.1%) hormonal therapy (HT) was associated with neoadjuvant intent. Five-year overall, disease-specific and biochemical NED (bNED) survival rates were 90.2, 93.7 and 63.2%, respectively. A subset of 23 patients aged 80 years and over were analyzed and compared to 160 men aged 70-79 years. Acute toxicity and late complications were analyzed in the two groups of patients according to the RTOG scoring system. Only 10 patients (5.4%) showed grades 2-3 (G2-3) late sequelae. The results obtained in this single-institute series highlight the pivotal role of ERT in the management of clinically localized prostate cancer in the elderly.

Outcome after radical prostatectomy with a pretreatment prostate biopsy Gleason score of ≥8

OBJECTIVE

To determine the outcome and predictors of recurrence in patients with a pretreatment prostate biopsy Gleason score (GS) of >/= 8 and treated with radical prostatectomy (RP).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 1048 consecutive patients who underwent RP by one surgeon (M.S.S.); patients who had a pretreatment biopsy GS of >/= 8 were identified. Information was recorded on patient age, initial prostate specific antigen (PSA) level, clinical stage, biopsy GS, pathology GS, extraprostatic extension (EPE), tumour volume, surgical margin status, seminal vesicle invasion (SVI), and lymph node involvement. The results were assessed statistically using the Kaplan-Meier method, univariate log-rank tests and multivariate analysis using Cox's proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

In all, 123 patients met the initial selection criteria; 44 were excluded from further analyses (five salvage RP, 23 < 1 year follow-up and 16 adjuvant treatment). Thus 79 patients were included in the uni- and multivariate analyses; 25 (31%) patients had a GS of </= 7 in the RP specimen and 54 (69%) remained at GS >/= 8. The mean follow-up was 55 months, the age of the patients 63 years and the mean (sd) initial PSA level 13 (12) ng/mL. The overall biochemical failure rate was 38% (41% if the final GS was >/= 8 and 32% if it was </= 7). For those with a GS of >/= 8 in the RP specimen, 20% (11/54) were organ-confined; two patients (2.5%) in this group developed local recurrence. If the final GS was </= 7, 52% (13/25) were organ-confined. In the univariate analysis, significant risk factors for recurrence were PSA >/= 20 ng/mL, EPE, SVI, a positive surgical margin and tumour volume. Cox's proportional regression indicated that a PSA of >/= 20 ng/mL (hazard ratio 7.9, 95% confidence interval 2.6-24.2, P < 0.001), the presence of EPE (4.2, 1.6-10.9, P = 0.004) and a positive surgical margin (3.8, 1.5-9.7, P = 0.005) were significant independent predictors in a multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

RP is a reasonable treatment option for patients with a prostate biopsy GS of >/=8 and clinical stage T1-2. These patients have a high chance of remaining disease-free if their PSA level is </= 20 ng/mL. Patients with a pretreatment biopsy GS of >/= 8 should be counselled about the potential differences between the biopsy and the RP specimen GS.

Markers and meaning of primary treatment failure

BCR is the most clinically used endpoint for identification of treatment failure. Approximately 15% to 53% of patients undergoing primary curative therapy will develop BCR. BCR often precedes clinically detectable recurrence by years. It does not necessarily translate directly into PCa morbidity and mortality, nor does it always reflect the desired endpoint. Furthermore, it has not been validated as a surrogate endpoint, in that interventions that have been shown to alter the PSA level have not been shown to also alter survival. The utility of PSA level as a surrogate endpoint is brought into question by the knowledge that the overall survival rate of patients at 10 years is similar in patients with and without BCR, and that in a significant proportion of men, the only evidence of disease during their lifetime will be a detectable PSA level. The likelihood of developing BCR post-therapy can be predicted by using multiple clinical and pathologic variables. With the development of nomograms that incorporate several markers, the accuracy of prediction has improved. Until recently, the natural history of BCR post-RRP has not been well understood. Pound et al showed the heterogenous and prolonged natural history of BCR. In this large series of men with BCR following RRP, only 34% of men developed metastatic disease. The median time from development of BCR to identification of metastases was 8 years, and the median time from the development of metastatic disease to death was just under 5 years. These data highlight the extremely variable and potentially indolent nature of BCR. The risk of metastatic disease following BCR has been relatively well defined and relates to PSADT and time to PSA recurrence. It generally is accepted that a PSADT of less than 6 to 10 months and a time to PSA recurrence of less than 1 to 2 years relates to a higher risk of developing metastatic disease. Local recurrence, however, remains poorly understood with respect to its true incidence, clinical significance, and natural history. The significance of BCR post-RT remains unclear due to the lack of data on its natural history. Attempts have been made to identify patients at high risk for metastatic progression by looking at time to PSA recurrence and PSADT. A PSADT of less than 6 to 12 months and a time to PSA recurrence of less than 12 months reflects a higher risk of developing metastatic disease. Accurate risk stratification by means of an algorithm similar to that produced by Pound et al has not been performed on a large cohort, thus making risk assessment for an individual patient difficult. The major dilemma for clinicians in the management of BCR is the identification of the site of disease recurrence, which ultimately guides therapy decisions. Clinicopathologic features allow for risk stratification for recurrence, and multiple investigations have attempted to localize the site of recurrence. Time to biochemical progression, Gleason score, and PSADT are predictive of the probability and time to development of metastatic disease, and allow for stratification of patients into different risk groups (see Table 2). TRUS, CT, PET, and DRE all have limited utility in the identification of local recurrence. ProstaScint and MRI have demonstrated encouraging initial results: however, they require further investigation. Bone scintigraphy is of little value for the initial investigation of BCR. In patients with a PSA level of less than 10 ng/mL, the risk of having a positive bone scan is less than 1% and, until the PSA level rises above 40 ng/mL, the risk of having a positive bone scan is less than 5%. Therefore, bone scintigraphy should be reserved for patients with a PSA level greater than 10 to 20 ng/mL or patients with a rapidly rising PSA level. Using new MRI sequences, there is some evidence that MRI is better for the detection of bony metastatic disease; however, this technique requires further investigation. BCR causes anxiety for the patient and the treating doctor, because the best way to manage patients with PSA-only progression is unknown. Currently, there are no validated treatment recommendations for the management of BCR. The information in this review provides the framework for assignment of patients into clinical trials based on different risk categories. Patients at high risk for metastatic progression could be identified early and thus entered into appropriate clinical trials for systemic therapies. Similarly, patients with a low risk of progression could be placed into observation protocols, potentially sparing them from exhaustive and inappropriate investigations.

[What systematic work-up should be required for the patient with localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate?]

The systematic work-up for patient with clinically localised prostate cancer must allow a reconciliation of all the necessary elements to propose one or several therapeutical options. The evaluation must take into account the life's expectancy, and must precise the cancer progression and prognostic factors. The life expectancy depends out age, performance status and comorbidities. Digital rectal exam, PSA and Gleason score analysis are systematic. These tests allow the specialist to decide whether or not to complete the progression work-up by bone scan and pelvic CT. This first work-up should define if a patient will benefit from some curative local treatment. In case of palliative treatment or deferred treatment, the work-up highlights the specialist to decide the medical supervision. Some exams, systematic or not, are very specific from each therapeutic modality considered; they allow to precise individually the efficacy and toxicity prognostic factors for each therapeutic strategy. The final therapeutic decision is based at first on this objective data even if they are probabilistic, and finally on informed patients preferences.

Prognostic value of the Gleason score in prostate cancer

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prognostic value of the Gleason score in prostate cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A consecutive series of 305 men with prostate cancer diagnosed at transurethral resection (1975-1990) and with no curative treatment was analysed. There was no assessment of prostate-specific antigen level during this period. The mean (range) age at diagnosis was 73.7 (52-95) years and the mean follow-up was 6.4 (0-22) years. The influence of Gleason score and the percentage of the specimen area with tumour (% cancer) on disease-specific survival were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analyses.

RESULTS

Of 305 cancers, 22% had a Gleason score of 4-5, 29% of 6, 18% of 7 and 32% of 8-10. At the follow-up, 89% of the men had died, of whom 42% had died from prostate cancer. The disease-specific 10-year survival was 56%. The disease-specific mean survival (DSMS) for Gleason score 4-5, 6, 7 and 8-10 was 20, 16, 10 and 5 years, respectively (P < 0.001). The DSMS did not differ significantly between Gleason 4 and 5 or between 8-10. There was a trend towards shorter survival for Gleason 4 + 3=7 (DSMS 9 years) than GS 3 + 4=7 (DSMS 13 years; P = 0.16). Gleason score and % cancer were independent predictors of DSMS (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The long-term prognosis of prostate cancer on deferred treatment is predicted well by the Gleason score. Four prognostic categories of prostate cancer are suggested, i.e. Gleason score 4-5, 6, 7 and 8-10.

Three-dimensional microscopic image reconstruction of prostatic adenocarcinoma

CONTEXT

Routine microscopy provides only a 2-dimensional view of the complex 3-dimensional structure that makes up human tissue. Three-dimensional microscopic image reconstruction has not been described previously for prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVES

To develop a simple method of computerized 3-dimensional image reconstruction and to demonstrate its applicability to the study of prostatic adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

Serial sections were cut from archival paraffin-embedded prostate specimens, immunostained using antikeratin CAM5.2, and digitally imaged. Computer image-rendering software was used to produce 3-dimensional image reconstructions of prostate cancer of varying Gleason grades, normal prostate, and prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia.

RESULTS

The rendering system proved easy to use and provided good-quality 3-dimensional images of most specimens. Normal prostate glands formed irregular fusiform structures branching off central tubular ducts. Prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia showed external contours similar to those of normal glands, but with a markedly complex internal arrangement of branching lumens. Gleason grade 3 carcinoma was found to consist of a complex array of interconnecting tubules rather than the apparently separate glands seen in 2 dimensions on routine light microscopy. Gleason grade 4 carcinoma demonstrated a characteristic form of glandular fusion that was readily visualized by optically sectioning and rotating the reconstructed images.

CONCLUSIONS

Computerized 3-dimensional microscopic imaging holds great promise as an investigational tool. By revealing the structural relationships of the various Gleason grades of prostate cancer, this method could be used to refine diagnostic and grading criteria for this common tumor.

Outcome and predictive factors for patients with Gleason score 7 prostate carcinoma treated with three-dimensional conformal external beam radiation therapy

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to determine the biochemical outcome and factors predictive of outcome in prostate carcinoma patients with Gleason score 7 tumors who were treated with three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3DCRT).

METHODS

Between August 1990 and October 1997, 163 T1-T3NXM0 prostate carcinoma patients with Gleason score 7 were treated with definitive 3DCRT alone. The median follow-up, International Commission on Radiological Units dose, and pretreatment prostate specific antigen (PSA) for the entire group were 50 months, 76 grays (Gy), and 11.4 ng/mL, respectively. Independent predictors based on multivariate results were used to stratify the patients into prognostic groups for which biochemical no evidence of disease (bNED) control was reported. Biochemical NED failure was defined according to the American Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology Consensus Panel definition.

RESULTS

The 5-year bNED control for all patients was 66%. Stratified by pretreatment PSA, 5-year bNED control rates were 83%, 65%, and 21% for 0-9.9 ng/mL, 10-19.9 ng/mL, and > or =20 ng/mL, respectively. Dose to the central axis was found to be a significant treatment factor, with patients receiving > or =76 Gy experiencing 76% 5-year bNED control versus 54% when treated with <76 Gy to isocenter. Pretreatment PSA, dose, and palpation stage were significant independent predictors for bNED control upon multivariate analysis. Patients with a PSA <10 ng/mL who received a dose of > or =76 Gy had excellent 5-year bNED control of 100% compared with 50% bNED if patients had PSA >10 ng/mL or received radiation therapy doses of <76 Gy.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with Gleason score 7 adenocarcinoma who had a pretreatment PSA <10 ng/mL and received doses of > or =76 Gy had excellent 5-year bNED control, emphasizing the importance of higher central axis doses in treating Gleason 7 tumors. Patients with intermediate PSA (10-19.9 ng/mL) also required doses > or =76 Gy. Pretreatment PSA > or = 20 ng/mL portends a very poor bNED outcome for Gleason 7 patients treated with radiation therapy alone, and thus efforts should be directed toward multimodal or long term hormonal treatment strategies.

Clinical predictors of upgrading to Gleason grade 4 or 5 disease at radical prostatectomy: potential implications for patient selection for radiation and androgen suppression therapy

PURPOSE

A survival benefit has been suggested by the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) for the addition of androgen suppression to external beam radiation therapy for patients with locally advanced and high-grade disease. This study was performed to identify clinical factors that predicted high-grade disease at prostatectomy (i.e., Gleason grade 4 or 5) in patients with clinically localized and low-grade disease (i.e., Gleason grades 1-3) at biopsy. These pretreatment factors may allow for the identification of patients likely to derive a survival benefit from the addition of androgen suppression to external beam radiation therapy while awaiting the results of the prospective randomized trials.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Concordance testing of both the primary and secondary biopsy and prostatectomy Gleason grades was performed in 693 patients with clinical Stage T1c, 2 prostate cancer managed with a radical prostatectomy (RP). For the subset of 420 patients with low-grade disease (i.e., Gleason grade < or =3) a logistic regression multivariable analysis was performed to evaluate the ability of the preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA), clinical stage, and ultrasound determined prostate gland volume to predict for upgrading to high-grade disease (i.e., Gleason grade 4 or 5).

RESULTS

Forty percent of men with low-grade disease at biopsy were found to have high-grade disease at RP. Men who have at least a 50% chance of being upgraded from biopsy Gleason grade < or =3 to prostatectomy Gleason grade > or =4 disease included those with prostate gland volumes < or =75 cm3 and a PSA > 20 ng/ml or a PSA >10 and < or =20 and clinical Stage T2b,2c. For men with prostate gland volumes >75 cm3, only those with both PSA > 20 ng/ml and clinical Stage T2b,2c were at a significant risk of upgrading.

CONCLUSION

Until the randomized data become available, clinical factors may be useful in identifying patients with clinically localized prostate cancer who are likely to benefit from combined androgen suppression and external beam radiation therapy.

Conventional external-beam radiation therapy alone or with androgen ablation for clinical stage III (T3, NX/N0, M0) adenocarcinoma of the prostate

PURPOSE

To evaluate the outcome of clinical Stage III (T3, N0/NX, M0) prostate cancer treated by conventional radiation alone or with adjuvant androgen ablation.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Three hundred forty-four men with T3, N0/NX, M0 adenocarcinoma of the prostate who received conventional radiation alone (260) or with androgen ablation (84) were analyzed for relapse or rising prostate-specific antigen (PSA), using univariate and multivariate techniques.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 68 months, the 260 men treated with radiation alone had a 10-year actuarial rate of relapse or rising PSA of 76%. Pretreatment PSA level (< or = 10 ng/ml vs. > 10 < or = 20 ng/ml vs. > 20 ng/ml) and radiation dose (< 68 Gy vs. > or = 68 Gy) were the only independently significant determinants of biochemical failure; Gleason score (2-7 vs. 8-10) was an additional determinant of metastatic relapse. Patients treated to doses < 68 Gy experienced 6-year failure rates exceeding 50% regardless of PSA level. Patients with PSA < or = 10 ng/ml and receiving 68-70 Gy had a 6-year failure of 24%, but those with PSA > 10 ng/ml had relapse rates exceeding 50% even at doses of 70 Gy. At a median follow-up of 44 months, the 84 patients treated with radiation and androgen ablation had a 6-year biochemical failure rate of 22%. The only significant determinant of outcome in this group was pretreatment PSA; patients with PSA < or = 80 ng/ml had a 6-year failure rate of only 12% compared to a failure rate of 53% for those with PSA > 80 ng/ml. The outcome for those treated with combined modalities was significantly better than for those treated with radiation alone in all PSA strata.

CONCLUSION

Conventional radiation alone has little curative potential for Stage III disease. Doses < 68 Gy are particularly ineffective. Patients with PSA < or = 10 ng/ml may be candidates for conventional radiation to a dose of 70 Gy. Other patients are probably best served by combined radiation-androgen ablation or high-dose conformal radiation.

Impact of surgical staging in evaluating the radiotherapeutic outcome in RTOG #77-06, a phase III study for T1BN0M0 (A2) and T2N0M0 (B) prostate carcinoma

PURPOSE

To evaluate survival and time to metastatic disease in patients treated for localized prostatic carcinoma in a Phase III radiotherapy (RT) protocol, Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 77-06. Patients with T18N0M0 (A2) or T2N0M0 (B) disease after lymphangiogram (LAG) or staging laparotomy (SL) were randomized between prophylactic radiation to the pelvic lymph nodes and prostatic bed vs. prostatic bed alone. The outcome of both treatment arms, as well as a comparison of the LAG group, to that of the SL group, are updated.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A total of 449 eligible males were entered into RTOG protocol 7706 between 1978 and 1983. Lymph node staging was mandatory but at the physician's discretion; 117 (26%) patients had SL, while 332 (74%) had LAG. Follow-up was a median of 12 years and a maximum of 16 years. For those randomized to receive prophylactic pelvic lymph nodal irradiation, 45 Gy of megavoltage RT was delivered via multiple portals in 4.5-5 weeks, while all patients received 65 Gy in 6.5-8 weeks to the prostatic bed.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference in survival whether treatment was administered to the prostate or prostate and pelvic lymph nodes. The SL group had greater 12-year survival than the LAG group (48% vs. 38%, p = 0.02). Disease-free survival was statistically significant, with 38% for the SL group vs. 26% for the LAG group (p = 0.003). Bone metastasis was less common in the SL group (14%) than the LAG group (27%) (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

At 12-year median follow-up, there still was no survival difference in those patients treated prophylactically to the pelvic nodes and prostatic bed vs. the prostatic bed alone. Those patients not surgically staged with only LAG for lymph node evaluation were less accurately staged, as reflected by a statistically significant reduced survival and earlier metastases.

Interobserver variation in prostate cancer Gleason scoring: are there implications for the design of clinical trials and treatment strategies?

A series of prostate cancer histological slides from 71 patients were used to measure the interobserver variation among three pathologists awarding a Gleason score. The study was prompted on account of the use of histological grade to stratify patients prior to randomization within two clinical trials currently recruiting at our centre, and a proposed study that would allocate treatment depending upon the score awarded. The pathologists were expected to award a score based upon their day to day experience, there being no consensus meeting before-hand to agree on the grey areas of the Gleason grading system. We used the kappa statistic to assess the level of agreement. This was calculated both for comparison of the raw scores awarded by the three observers, as well as the grouped scores corresponding to those groupings used for the purposes of stratification in the two trials. The extent of the interobserver variation (weighted kappa) for the raw scores (Gleason scores 2-10) was 0.16 to 0.29 and for the grouped scores (Gleason scores < or = 7 or > or = 8), kappa was 0.15 to 0.29. For the raw scores, the total agreement rate was 9.9% and the total disagreement 26.8%; for the grouped scores the total agreement rate was 43.7%. It is concluded that, despite this level of agreement there is no concern regarding stratification using the Gleason score, because of the subsequent randomization. However, using a reported Gleason score to determine treatment might be inappropriate. These data indicate the value of a central review process for pathology grading in clinical trials, especially where the treatment is directly affected by this information.

Rate of PSA rise predicts metastatic versus local recurrence after definitive radiotherapy

OBJECTIVE

A rising prostate specific antigen (PSA) following treatment for adenocarcinoma of the prostate indicates eventual clinical failure, but the rate of rise can be quite different from patient to patient, as can the pattern of clinical failure. We sought to determine whether the rate of PSA rise could differentiate future local versus metastatic failure.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Two thousand six hundred sixty-seven PSA values from 400 patients treated with radiotherapy for localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate were analyzed with respect to PSA patterns and clinical outcome. Patients had received no hormonal therapy or prostate surgery and had > 4 PSA values post-treatment. PSA rate of rise, determined by the slope of the natural log, was classified as gradual [< 0.69 log(ng/ml)/year, or doubling time (DT) > 1 year], moderate [0.69-1.4 log(ng/ml)/year, or DT 6 months-1 year], or rapid [> 1.4 log(ng/ml)/year, or DT < 6 months].

RESULTS

Sixty-one percent of patients had non-rising PSA following treatment; 25% of patients with rising PSA developed clinical failure, and 93% of patients with clinical failure had rising PSA. The rate of rise discerned different clinical failure patterns. Local failure occurred in 23% of patients with moderate rate of rise versus 7% with gradual rise (p = 0.0001). Metastatic disease developed in 46% of those with rapid rise versus 8% with moderate rise (p < 0.0001). By multivariate analysis, in addition to rate of rise, PSA nadir and rate of decline predicted local failure; those with post-treatment nadir of 1-4 ng/ml were five times more likely to experience local failure than nadir < 1 ng/ml (p = 0.0002). Rapid rate of rise was the most significant independent predictor of metastatic failure.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of PSA rise following definitive radiotherapy can predict clinical failure patterns, with a rapidly rising PSA indicating metastatic recurrence and moderately rising PSA local recurrence. This information could potentially direct therapy; if the rise predicts metastatic failure hormonal therapy could be considered, while aggressive salvage therapy may benefit subclinical local recurrence identified by a moderate rate of PSA rise.

Detection of circulating prostate carcinoma cells via an enhanced reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction assay in patients with early stage prostate carcinoma. Independence from other pretreatment characteristics

BACKGROUND

Circulating prostate cells can be detected in the venous blood of patients with clinically localized prostate carcinoma by applying reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) techniques using primers specific for the prostate specific antigen (PSA) gene. This study evaluates whether the detection of circulating cells correlates with established prognostic factors, treatment, and pathologic stage.

METHODS

Two hundred and twenty-seven patients with clinically localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate had an RT-PCR assay performed as part of their staging evaluation. No treatment decisions were made on the basis of the RT-PCR results. Of these, 156 patients were treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) and 71 with radical external beam radiotherapy (EBRT). Forty-eight patients were treated with hormonal therapy prior to RP (n = 39) or EBRT (n = 9). The prognostic factors analyzed for their relationship to RT-PCR were clinical stage, pretreatment serum PSA levels, Gleason score of the biopsy specimen, and Gleason score of the surgical specimen. An analysis of the relationship between treatment and RT-PCR results was also performed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis of predictors of RT-PCR positivity was performed as well. In addition, univariate and multivariate analyses of predictors of pathologic stage, including RT-PCR, were performed.

RESULTS

Sixty-one patients (26.9%) had a positive RT-PCR assay. There was no relationship between clinical stage, pretreatment PSA, biopsy Gleason score, or surgical Gleason score and RT-PCR positivity. In univariate analysis, patients treated with RP had a higher rate of RT-PCR positivity than patients treated with EBRT (P = 0.054). However, in multivariate logistic regression analysis no factor, including treatment with RP, was a significant predictor of RT-PCR positivity. RT-PCR and pretreatment PSA predicted pathologic stage in univariate and multivariate analyses (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.002, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The detection of circulating prostate cells using RT-PCR occurs in approximately 25% of early stage prostate carcinoma patients and is independent of other established prognostic factors. In addition, a positive RT-PCR assay is a strong predictor of pathologic upstaging in patients with clinically organ-confined disease.

Detection of circulating prostate carcinoma cells via an enhanced reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction assay in patients with early stage prostate carcinoma. Independence from other pretreatment characteristics

BACKGROUND

Circulating prostate cells can be detected in the venous blood of patients with clinically localized prostate carcinoma by applying reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) techniques using primers specific for the prostate specific antigen (PSA) gene. This study evaluates whether the detection of circulating cells correlates with established prognostic factors, treatment, and pathologic stage.

METHODS

Two hundred and twenty-seven patients with clinically localized adenocarcinoma of the prostate had an RT-PCR assay performed as part of their staging evaluation. No treatment decisions were made on the basis of the RT-PCR results. Of these, 156 patients were treated with radical prostatectomy (RP) and 71 with radical external beam radiotherapy (EBRT). Forty-eight patients were treated with hormonal therapy prior to RP (n = 39) or EBRT (n = 9). The prognostic factors analyzed for their relationship to RT-PCR were clinical stage, pretreatment serum PSA levels, Gleason score of the biopsy specimen, and Gleason score of the surgical specimen. An analysis of the relationship between treatment and RT-PCR results was also performed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis of predictors of RT-PCR positivity was performed as well. In addition, univariate and multivariate analyses of predictors of pathologic stage, including RT-PCR, were performed.

RESULTS

Sixty-one patients (26.9%) had a positive RT-PCR assay. There was no relationship between clinical stage, pretreatment PSA, biopsy Gleason score, or surgical Gleason score and RT-PCR positivity. In univariate analysis, patients treated with RP had a higher rate of RT-PCR positivity than patients treated with EBRT (P = 0.054). However, in multivariate logistic regression analysis no factor, including treatment with RP, was a significant predictor of RT-PCR positivity. RT-PCR and pretreatment PSA predicted pathologic stage in univariate and multivariate analyses (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.002, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The detection of circulating prostate cells using RT-PCR occurs in approximately 25% of early stage prostate carcinoma patients and is independent of other established prognostic factors. In addition, a positive RT-PCR assay is a strong predictor of pathologic upstaging in patients with clinically organ-confined disease.

Serum testosterone--a significant determinant of metastatic relapse for irradiated localized prostate cancer

OBJECTIVES

To determine if the serum total testosterone concentration correlates with the outcome for men irradiated for clinically localized prostate cancer.

METHODS

The outcome-local, nodal, distant metastatic, and biochemical--for 486 men with clinically localized prostate cancer treated by radiation and for whom testosterone levels were available was analyzed. No patient received adjuvant androgen ablation. Patient tumor stages were T1: 129 (27%); T2: 187 (38%); and T3/T4: 170 (35%). Median follow-up was 41 months.

RESULTS

Pretreatment testosterone values ranged from 109 to 1121 ng/dL, with a mean of 417 ng/dL and a median of 398 ng/dL. The distribution of patients according to a four-tier testosterone grouping was testosterone level of 300 ng/dL or less, 108 (22%); testosterone level greater than 300 ng/dL but not more than 400 ng/dL, 141 (29%); testosterone level greater than 400 ng/dL but not more than 500 ng/dL, 123 (25%); and testosterone level greater than 500 ng/dL, 114 (23%). There were statistically significant but trivial correlations between testosterone level and age, T-stage, and acid phosphatase level. There was no correlation between testosterone and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels. There was a highly significant correlation between testosterone level and metastatic relapse. Patients with testosterone level greater than 500 ng/dL had a markedly higher 6-year metastatic rate (16%) than those with a testosterone level of 500 ng/dL or less (4%) (P = 0.001). In multivariate analysis, testosterone level was an independent determinant of metastatic relapse, second only to PSA level and of about the same power as T-stage. Gleason grade, although significant, was less so than testosterone level. The correlation of testosterone level to outcome appeared to be specific for metastatic relapse having no relation to local outcome. Likewise, high testosterone levels were not associated with acceleration of postradiation serum PSA kinetics.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a highly significant correlation between pretreatment testosterone level and metastatic relapse in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with radiation. As serum testosterone increases, so too does metastatic relapse. This relationship appears to take a decided turn for the worse at testosterone levels exceeding 500 ng/dL.

An analysis of the time course of postoperative prostate-specific antigen failure in patients with positive surgical margins: implications on the use of adjuvant therapy

OBJECTIVES

The role of adjuvant therapy in the postprostatectomy setting for positive margin patients is an unresolved issue. The purpose of this study is to provide the rationale for patient selection in Phase III trials that test the impact of adjuvant therapy on survival in positive margin prostate cancer patients.

METHODS

Early (12 months or less) and delayed (more than 12 months) postoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) failure have been correlated with distant and local failure, respectively, as the site of first failure. In this study, a Cox regression multivariate analysis was used to determine the significant independent clinical and pathologic predictors of early and delayed postoperative PSA failure in 143 margin-positive prostate cancer patients.

RESULTS

Margin-positive patients with positive pelvic lymph nodes, seminal vesicle invasion, or prostatectomy Gleason sum 8 or higher were excluded. For the remaining patients, a prostatectomy Gleason sum of 7, preoperative PSA more than 20 ng/mL, and an endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging (erMRI) scan showing extensive disease were significant independent predictors of early postoperative PSA failure. Conversely, a prostatectomy Gleason sum of 6 or less, preoperative PSA 20 ng/mL or less, and an erMRI showing limited disease predicted delayed PSA failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Preliminary data suggest that the pattern of first failure can be predicted by the time course of rise in the postoperative PSA. The preliminary results of this study suggest that patient selection for clinical trials examining the efficacy of postoperative adjuvant therapy in the positive margin patient may be determined on the basis of the clinical and pathologic characteristics that predict early versus delayed postoperative PSA failure.

Prostate cancer and radiation therapy--the message conveyed by serum prostate-specific antigen

PURPOSE

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is a powerful pretreatment prognosticator and a sensitive post-treatment outcome measure for clinically localized prostate cancer treated with radiation therapy. Today, the pretreatment serum PSA level appears to supersede both grade and T-stage as a determinant of outcome. This study was undertaken to attempt a reconciliation between the old (pre-PSA) and the new (PSA) data-in particular to address the question of why stage and grade apparently play so little role in this PSA era.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We analyzed the outcome of two cohorts of men with T1-T4, NO, or NX, MO prostate cancer, one group (648 patients) treated and followed in the pre-PSA era (1966-1988), another group (707 patients) treated and followed in the PSA era (1987-1993)--who received definitive radiation as their only initial treatment. The patterns of relapse and prognostic factors for these groups were compared and contrasted using univariate and multivariate techniques.

RESULTS

At a median follow-up of 6.5 years, the relapse patterns in the pre-PSA series were: local in 109 (17%), nodal in 17 (3%), and distant metastatic in 186 (29%). Actuarial local and metastatic rates at 5 years were 13 and 26%, respectively. Local recurrence was only weakly predictable, Gleason grade being the only significant, albeit weak, covariate. Metastatic failure, however, was highly significantly and meaningfully correlated with Gleason grade and T-stage. Because metastasis was the most common adverse end point in this series, overall freedom from progression also correlated with grade and stage. At a median follow-up of 31 months, the patterns of failure in the PSA series were: local in 77 (11%), nodal in 3 (< 1%), and distant metastatic in 24 (3%). Actuarial local and metastatic rates at 5 years were 30 and 6%, respectively. Local recurrence was highly and meaningfully correlated with pretreatment PSA level, which was the only significant determinant of this end point. Metastatic failure was highly correlated with Gleason grade and T-stage, with PSA playing a much lesser, though significant role. The inversion of failure patterns (local vs. distant) between the two series was striking. The high incidence of local failure in the PSA series was almost entirely related to positive prostatic biopsies pursuant to the investigation of the postradiation rising PSA profile. Of the 77 local recurrences, 69 (90%) were identified in this way. Among 99 men with rising PSA values who underwent investigation (CT scans, bone scans, and biopsies), disease was found in 86, and the patterns of disease in these 86 were: local only in 62 (72%), local and metastatic in 7, and metastatic in 17 (20%). The most common event in the PSA series was the rising PSA profile, and this, too, strongly correlated with the pretreatment PSA level.

CONCLUSION

Based on our earlier finding that the major source of pretreatment serum PSA in patients with clinically localized disease is the primary tumour itself and on the findings in the present report, we conclude that the new major message conveyed by serum PSA relates to the primary tumor and its likely outcome. Gleason grade and T-stage remain major determinants of metastatic relapse. The total and permanent eradication of prostate cancer from the prostate with conventional doses of external beam radiation therapy is harder to achieve than generally appreciated.

Prostate-specific antigen and radiation therapy for clinically localized prostate cancer

PURPOSE

This study was undertaken to: (a) define the prognostic significance of pretreatment serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels in localized prostate cancer treated with radiation; (b) define the prognostic usefulness of postradiation PSA levels; (c) evaluate the outcome of radiation using PSA as an endpoint.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Disease outcome in 707 patients with Stages T1 (205 men), T2 (256 men), T3 (239 men), and T4 (7 men), receiving definitive external radiation as sole therapy, was evaluated using univariate and multivariate techniques.

RESULTS

At a mean follow-up of 31 months, 157 patients (22%) developed relapse or a rising PSA. Multivariate analysis revealed pretreatment PSA level to be the most significant prognostic factor, with lesser though significant contributions due to Gleason grade (2-6 vs. 7-10) and transurethral resection in T3/T4 disease. The following four prognostic groupings were defined: group I, PSA < or = 4 ng/ml, any grade; group II, 4 < PSA < or = 20, grades 2-6; group III, 4 < PSA < or = 20, grades 7-10; group IV, PSA > 20, any grade. Five-year actuarial relapse rates in these groups were: I, 12%; II, 34%; III, 40%; and IV, 81%. Posttreatment nadir PSA was an independent determinant of outcome and only patients with nadir values < 1 ng/ml fared well (5-year relapse rate 20%). Using rising PSA as an endpoint the 461 patients with T1/T2 disease had an actuarial freedom from disease rate of 70% at 5 years, which appeared to plateau, suggesting that many were cured. No plateau was evident for T3/T4 disease.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment serum PSA is the single most important predictor of disease outcome after radiation for local prostate cancer. Tumor grade has a lesser though significant prognostic role. Postirradiation nadir PSA value during the first year is a sensitive indicator of response to treatment. Only nadir values < 1 ng/ml are associated with a favorable outlook. A significant fraction of men with T1/T2 disease may be cured with radiation. There was no evidence for a cured fraction among patients with T3/T4 disease.

Potential benefit of improved local tumor control in patients with prostate carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In the case of prostate carcinoma, radiation therapy is a locally applied treatment modality in a malignancy known for systemic dissemination. Because significant efforts and resources currently are being consumed to improve local tumor control, failure patterns and potential curative gain deserve appropriate assessment.

METHODS

From 1975-1989, 647 patients with clinically localized prostate carcinoma were definitively irradiated for biopsy-proven adenocarcinoma of the prostate. Failure patterns were examined, and survival advantage based on improvement in either local or distant disease control was calculated. Distant metastatic rate and cause-specific survival analyses were used as parameters by which to compare the outcome for patients in whom local tumor control was achieved with patients who experienced local failure, thereby assessing further the importance of the effectiveness of locally applied therapy.

RESULTS

Three hundred ninety-two (61%) patients at the time of this writing were clinically disease free. Sixty-two (10%) patients failed locally only, 133 (20%) distantly only, and 60 (9%) developed local and distant recurrent disease. Both local and distant failure rates were higher in patients with more advanced stage lesions at presentation, and distant failure rates significantly increased in patients with less differentiated tumors. Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen was found to be useful in predicting recurrence patterns. Overall, there appeared to be more potential for improvement in survival secondary to reducing distant metastasis. The distant survival advantage (DSA) of reducing distant metastases, compared with the local survival advantage (LSA) of improving local tumor control, was 26 versus 14%. Although DSA was greater than LSA within each stage category, the potential to improve survival was most significant in the Stage C group, where DSA was 35% and LSA 16%. Although LSA varied little according to tumor grade, DSA was dependent on tumor grade and varied from 13% for well differentiated lesions to 38% for poorly differentiated lesions. Distant failure free survival at 10 years was 63% for patients with local control and 45% for those with local failure (P = 0.01). Similarly, 10-year cause-specific survival was 75% in locally controlled patients compared with 48% for those with local recurrence (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Although better local tumor control should translate into at least modest survival gain for patients with prostate carcinoma, additional advantage may be seen with improved systemic therapy or perhaps earlier diagnosis to reduce further the distant metastasis rate.