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McLean S, King BJ, Thompson J, Carden T, Stanton NA, Baber C, Read GJM, Salmon PM. Forecasting emergent risks in advanced AI systems: an analysis of a future road transport management system. ERGONOMICS 2023; 66:1750-1767. [PMID: 38009364 DOI: 10.1080/00140139.2023.2286907] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2023] [Accepted: 11/19/2023] [Indexed: 11/28/2023]
Abstract
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is being increasingly implemented within road transport systems worldwide. Next generation of AI, Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is imminent, and is anticipated to be more powerful than current AI. AGI systems will have a broad range of abilities and be able to perform multiple cognitive tasks akin to humans that will likely produce many expected benefits, but also potential risks. This study applied the EAST Broken Links approach to forecast the functioning of an AGI system tasked with managing a road transport system and identify potential risks. In total, 363 risks were identified that could have adverse impacts on the stated goals of safety, efficiency, environmental sustainability, and economic performance of the road system. Further, risks beyond the stated goals were identified; removal from human control, mismanaging public relations, and self-preservation. A diverse set of systemic controls will be required when designing, implementing, and operating future advanced technologies.Practitioner summary: This study demonstrated the utility of HFE methods for formally considering risks associated with the design, implementation, and operation of future technologies. This study has implications for AGI research, design, and development to ensure safe and ethical AGI implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- S McLean
- Centre for Human Factors and Sociotechnical Systems, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Australia
| | - B J King
- Centre for Human Factors and Sociotechnical Systems, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Australia
| | - J Thompson
- Transport, Health and Urban Design (THUD) Research Lab, Melbourne School of Design, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - T Carden
- Centre for Human Factors and Sociotechnical Systems, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Australia
| | - N A Stanton
- Transportation Research Group, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - C Baber
- School of Computer Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - G J M Read
- Centre for Human Factors and Sociotechnical Systems, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Australia
- School of Health, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Australia
| | - P M Salmon
- Centre for Human Factors and Sociotechnical Systems, University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, Australia
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Chu Y, Liu P. Automation complacency on the road. ERGONOMICS 2023; 66:1730-1749. [PMID: 37139680 DOI: 10.1080/00140139.2023.2210793] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2023] [Accepted: 05/02/2023] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
Given that automation complacency, a hitherto controversial concept, is already used to blame and punish human drivers in current accident investigations and courts, it is essential to map complacency research in driving automation and determine whether current research can support its legitimate usage in these practical fields. Here, we reviewed its status quo in the domain and conducted a thematic analysis. We then discussed five fundamental challenges that might undermine its scientific legitimation: conceptual confusion exists in whether it is an individual versus systems problem; uncertainties exist in current evidence of complacency; valid measures specific to complacency are lacking; short-term laboratory experiments cannot address the long-term nature of complacency and thus their findings may lack external validity; and no effective interventions directly target complacency prevention. The Human Factors/Ergonomics community has a responsibility to minimise its usage and defend human drivers who rely on automation that is far from perfect.Practitioner summary: Human drivers are accused of complacency and overreliance on driving automation in accident investigations and courts. Our review work shows that current academic research in the driving automation domain cannot support its legitimate usage in these practical fields. Its misuse will create a new form of consumer harms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yueying Chu
- Center for Psychological Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, PR China
| | - Peng Liu
- Center for Psychological Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, PR China
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Bunn TL, Liford M, Turner M, Bush A. Driver injuries in heavy vs. light and medium truck local crashes, 2010-2019. JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH 2022; 83:26-34. [PMID: 36481016 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2022.08.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/11/2021] [Revised: 01/13/2022] [Accepted: 08/01/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Multiple heavy truck driver injury studies exist, but there is a paucity of research on light and medium truck driver injuries. The objective of this study was to use first report of injury (FROI) data to: (a) compare demographic and injury characteristics; (b) assess workers' compensation (WC) claim disposition and lost work time status; and (c) describe injury scenarios by vehicle type for heavy truck and light/medium truck driver local crashes. METHOD Kentucky Department of Workers' Claims FROI quantitative and free text data were analyzed for years 2010-2019. Of 800 total FROIs, 451 involved heavy trucks and 349 involved light or medium trucks. RESULTS There was a higher light/medium truck driver crash FROI rate compared to the heavy truck driver crash FROI rate. There was a higher proportion of younger light/medium truck driver crash FROIs compared to younger heavy truck driver crash FROIs. The retail trade industry made up the largest percentage of light/medium truck local crash FROIs (47%); the transportation and warehousing industry was most frequently cited in heavy truck FROIs (46%). The heavy truck types most frequently identified in FROIs were semi-trucks (13%) and dump trucks (11%). The most common light/medium truck type identified was delivery trucks (30%). Most commonly, heavy truck crash FROIs involved rollovers, driving off/overcorrecting on narrow roadways, and driving downhill/unable to downshift. Light/medium truck crash FROIs most frequently involved being rear-ended, running red lights, and turning in front of other vehicles. CONCLUSIONS The utilization of WC FROI data highlighted top injury scenarios and specific vehicle types for targeting driver safety training among truck drivers, particularly light/medium truck drivers. Road safety policies regarding driver training, crash reviews, and in-vehicle monitoring systems are needed for truck drivers with previous crash injuries, especially for light and medium truck drivers. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS Enhanced safety training on speeding on narrow roadways, on nearing intersections, and on downshifting on hills is needed for semi-truck, dump truck, and coal truck drivers with previous crash injuries. Rear-end crash prevention training (e.g., gradual stopping and checking mirrors) is needed for drivers of furniture, automotive parts and accessories, and groceries and soft drink delivery trucks with previous crash injuries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Terry Lee Bunn
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Environmental Health, College of Public Health, University of Kentucky, 111 Washington Ave, Lexington, KY, USA; Kentucky Injury Prevention and Research Center, 333 Waller Ave., Suite 242, Lexington, KY, USA.
| | - Madison Liford
- Kentucky Injury Prevention and Research Center, 333 Waller Ave., Suite 242, Lexington, KY, USA
| | - Michael Turner
- Kentucky Injury Prevention and Research Center, 333 Waller Ave., Suite 242, Lexington, KY, USA
| | - Ashley Bush
- Kentucky Injury Prevention and Research Center, 333 Waller Ave., Suite 242, Lexington, KY, USA
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Schouten A, Blumenberg E, Wachs M. Driving, Residential Location, and Employment Outcomes Among Older Adults. J Appl Gerontol 2022; 41:2447-2458. [DOI: 10.1177/07334648221120081] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
The ability to drive is positively associated with workforce participation among older adults. However, residence in neighborhoods where destinations are easy to reach by public transit could potentially narrow the employment gap between older drivers and non-drivers. This study examines the relationship between driving, residential location characteristics, and employment outcomes among older adults. Findings show that both drivers and non-drivers are more likely to be employed if they live in neighborhoods with high levels of access to jobs via public transit. However, the positive relationship between transit access to jobs and employment outcomes is particularly strong among non-drivers. These findings indicate that although older adult drivers are more likely to work than their non-driving counterparts, the gap in employment outcomes is mitigated by living in dense, transit-rich neighborhoods. Results suggest that policies supporting both automobile access and transit-rich residential environments can facilitate labor force participation among older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew Schouten
- Faculty of Urban Innovation, Asia University, Musashino-shi, Japan
| | - Evelyn Blumenberg
- Institute of Transportation Studies, UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Martin Wachs
- Institute of Transportation Studies, UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs, Los Angeles, CA, USA
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Parseh M, Asplund F. New needs to consider during accident analysis: Implications of autonomous vehicles with collision reconfiguration systems. ACCIDENT; ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION 2022; 173:106704. [PMID: 35609379 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2022.106704] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2021] [Revised: 04/14/2022] [Accepted: 05/04/2022] [Indexed: 05/16/2023]
Abstract
Autonomous vehicles are equipped with advanced vehicle technology (AVT) that will improve road traffic safety and reduce accidents. However, due to the uncertain behavior of other road users, collisions can never be completely eliminated. Collision reconfiguration systems offer a solution by, for instance, changing where vehicles are hit and how the impact force is directed towards them. Unfortunately, the logic behind the decision-making of collision reconfiguration systems is fundamentally different from that of other AVTs. Fundamentally different feedback might thus be required from accident analyses to ensure the successful design of collision reconfiguration systems. Through simulations, this study explores decision-making strategies of collision reconfiguration systems to ascertain the implications of which feedback is required from accident analyses. Results show that different strategies can be statistically significantly different from each other in the way they affect severity; and that a new source of unobserved heterogeneity could easily be small variations in the algorithms used by collision reconfiguration systems. Based on this, three new needs to consider during accident analysis are put forth: firstly, new safety surrogate measures (SSMs) that consider severity are required; one such SSM is proposed; secondly, to identify new unobserved heterogeneity as a result of collision reconfiguration systems, the trajectories of traffic near-collisions should be recorded, and statistical tools to identify comparable scenarios developed. Thirdly, new collision patterns will make it difficult to analyze the implications of reconfigured collisions, which suggests that collision configurations must be carefully recorded to provide early feedback.
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Affiliation(s)
- Masoumeh Parseh
- Department of Machine Design, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Brinellvägen 83, Stockholm 10044, Sweden.
| | - Fredrik Asplund
- Department of Machine Design, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Brinellvägen 83, Stockholm 10044, Sweden.
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Eskandari Torbaghan M, Sasidharan M, Reardon L, Muchanga-Hvelplund LCW. Understanding the potential of emerging digital technologies for improving road safety. ACCIDENT; ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION 2022; 166:106543. [PMID: 34971922 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2021.106543] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2021] [Revised: 06/25/2021] [Accepted: 12/13/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Each year, 1.35 million people are killed on the world's roads and another 20-50 million are seriously injured. Morbidity or serious injury from road traffic collisions is estimated to increase to 265 million people between 2015 and 2030. Current road safety management systems rely heavily on manual data collection, visual inspection and subjective expert judgment for their effectiveness, which is costly, time-consuming, and sometimes ineffective due to under-reporting and the poor quality of the data. A range of innovations offers the potential to provide more comprehensive and effective data collection and analysis to improve road safety. However, there has been no systematic analysis of this evidence base. To this end, this paper provides a systematic review of the state of the art. It identifies that digital technologies - Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine-Learning, Image-Processing, Internet-of-Things (IoT), Smartphone applications, Geographic Information System (GIS), Global Positioning System (GPS), Drones, Social Media, Virtual-reality, Simulator, Radar, Sensor, Big Data - provide useful means for identifying and providing information on road safety factors including road user behaviour, road characteristics and operational environment. Moreover, the results show that digital technologies such as AI, Image processing and IoT have been widely applied to enhance road safety, due to their ability to automatically capture and analyse data while preventing the possibility of human error. However, a key gap in the literature remains their effectiveness in real-world environments. This limits their potential to be utilised by policymakers and practitioners.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Manu Sasidharan
- School of Engineering, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston B15 2TT, UK; Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0FS, UK.
| | - Louise Reardon
- Institute of Local Government Studies, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, B15 2TT, UK
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Goldberg DM. Characterizing accident narratives with word embeddings: Improving accuracy, richness, and generalizability. JOURNAL OF SAFETY RESEARCH 2022; 80:441-455. [PMID: 35249625 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2021.12.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/16/2021] [Revised: 07/12/2021] [Accepted: 12/20/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Ensuring occupational health and safety is an enormous concern for organizations, as accidents not only harm workers but also result in financial losses. Analysis of accident data has the potential to reveal insights that may improve capabilities to mitigate future accidents. However, because accident data are often transcribed textually, analyzing these narratives proves difficult. This study contributes to a recent stream of literature utilizing machine learning to automatically label accident narratives, converting them into more easily analyzable fields. METHOD First, a large dataset of accident narratives in which workers were injured is collected from the U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA). Word embeddings-based text mining is implemented; compared to past works, this methodology offers excellent performance. Second, to improve the richness of analyses, each record is assessed across five dimensions. The machine learning models provide classifications of body part(s) injured, the source of the injury, the type of event causing the injury, whether a hospitalization occurred, and whether an amputation occurred. Finally, demonstrating generalizability, the trained models are deployed to analyze two additional datasets of accident narratives in the construction industry and the mining and metals industry (transfer learning). Practical Applications: These contributions improve organizations' capacities to rapidly analyze textual accident narratives.
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Affiliation(s)
- David M Goldberg
- San Diego State University, 5500 Campanile Drive, San Diego, CA 92182, United States.
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