Localizing safety performance functions for two-way STOP-controlled (TWST) three-leg intersections on rural two-lane two-way (TLTW) roadways in Alabama: A geospatial modeling approach with clustering analysis

Exploring spatial heterogeneity in factors associated with injury severity in speeding-related crashes: An integrated machine learning and spatial modeling approach

Speeding, a risky act of driving a vehicle at a speed exceeding the posted limit, has consistently emerged as a leading contributor to traffic fatalities. Identifying the risk factors associated with injury severity in speeding-related crashes is essential for implementing countermeasures aimed at preventing severe injury incidents and achieving Vision Zero goals. With the wealth of traffic crash data collected by various agencies, researchers have a valuable opportunity to conduct data-driven studies and employ various modeling methods to gain insights into the correlated factors affecting injury severity in traffic crashes. Machine learning models, owing to their superior predictive power compared to statistical models, are increasingly being adopted by researchers. These models, in conjunction with interpretation techniques, can reveal potential relationships between crash injury severity and contributing factors. Traffic crashes are inherently tied to geographic locations, distributed across road networks influenced by diverse socioeconomic and geographical factors. Recognizing spatial heterogeneity in traffic safety is crucial for tailored safety measures to address speeding-related crashes, as a one-size-fits-all approach may not work effectively everywhere. However, most existing machine learning models are unable to incorporate the spatial dependency among observations, such as traffic crashes, which hinders their ability to uncover spatial heterogeneity in traffic safety. To address this gap, this study introduces the Geographically Weighted Neural Network (GWNN) model, a spatial machine-learning model that integrates neural network (NN) and geographically weighted modeling approaches to investigate spatial heterogeneity in speeding-related crashes. Unlike the traditional NN model, which trains a single set of model parameters for all observations, the GWNN trains a local NN model for each crash location using a spatially weighted subsample of nearby crashes, allowing for the quantification of corresponding local effects of features through calculating local marginal effects. To understand the spatial heterogeneity in speeding-related crashes, this study extracted two years (2020 and 2021) of speeding-related crash data from Alabama for the development of the GWNN local models. The modeling results show significant spatial variability among several factors contributing to injury severity in speeding-related crashes. These factors include driver condition, vehicle type, crash type, speed limit, weather, crash time and location, roadway alignment, and traffic volume. Based on the GWNN modeling results, this study identified three types of spatial variations in relationships between contributing factors and crash injury severity: consistent positive associations, consistent negative associations, and inverse associations (i.e., marginal effects can vary between positive and negative depending on the location). This study contributes by integrating advanced machine learning and spatial modeling approaches to uncover intricate spatial patterns and factors influencing injury severity in speeding-related crashes, thereby facilitating the development of targeted policy implementations and safety interventions.

Comparison of corridor-level fatal and injury crash models with site-level models for network screening purposes on Florida urban and suburban divided arterials

Objective: Develop corridor-level network screening models to identify high-risk corridors where safety improvements could be implemented to reduce fatal and injury (FI) crashes. Methods: A novel corridor definition focused on context classification and lane count was developed and applied to urban and suburban four-lane divided arterial roadways in Florida. Negative binomial regression models were developed for multi- and single-vehicle crashes using 80% of the corridors (training set). Crash frequency predictions were obtained from the developed corridor models and similar site-level models from the Highway Safety Manual (HSM) models for the remaining 20% of the corridors (testing set). Results from all models were adjusted using the empirical Bayes (EB) method. Results: A total of 130 corridors were identified across seven counties. These corridors contained approximately 349 km (217 miles) of roadway and experienced 11,437 multi-vehicle and 746 single-vehicle crashes that resulted in fatalities or injuries from 2017 to 2021. After applying the HSM site-level models and the developed corridor-level models to the testing set (both with and without EB adjustments), the corridor-level models with EB adjustments were the most accurate for corridor crash prediction. Applying the corridor-level models with EB adjustments to the testing set gave a predicted value of 386.44 crashes/year, which was the closest to the observed crash frequency of 383.20 crashes/year. From the corridor-level models, a 3.48-km (2.16-mile) high-risk corridor in Miami-Dade County was identified and analyzed site-by-site using the HSM methodology to identify specific sites within the corridor where safety improvements could provide the most FI crash reductions. Conclusions: The corridor-level models were more accurate and statistically reliable than similar HSM models while being less data intensive. They also only required corridor-level data rather than data for each intersection and segment. By using readily available data, the methods in this paper can be easily replicated by agencies to develop their own network screening corridor-level models and expedite the identification of corridors in need of safety improvements to reduce FI crashes. Existing site-level network screening methods can be used to supplement the developed corridor-level methodology by identifying high-risk sites within identified high-risk corridors.

Analysis of first responder-involved traffic incidents by mining news reports

Roadside service and incident response personnel face the risk of being killed or severely injured by passing vehicles when performing their duties on or along a road. This study investigated 5,113 responder-involved event news reports to understand the characteristics of first responder-involved incidents. Through text mining, this study examined and compared the characteristics of three types of responder-involved incidents: near-miss incidents, struck-by incidents, and line-of-duty-deaths (LODD). A higher proportion of struck-by and LODD incidents are associated with law enforcement agencies. In terms of the time of day, morning and night incidents are frequently reported in the news. Driving under the influence (DUI) or driving while intoxicated (DWI) is a major cause of LODD incidents. Compared to struck-by incidents, LODD incidents have a larger portion related to out-of-control vehicles. Further, this study built a logistic regression model to relate the incident characteristics to the odds of an incident being a LODD incident. The modeling result shows that tow truck drivers are associated with a greater likelihood of being involved in a news-reported LODD incident than other responders. LODD incidents are more likely to occur on early morning. Compare to entering/leaving/staying at the scene, responders are more likely to be involved in LODD event when assisting. The results offer insights into understanding the characteristics and possible reasons for first responder-involved incidents so that potential countermeasures could be developed to improve responder safety.