Radiomics from Primary Tumor on Dual-Energy CT Derived Iodine Maps can Predict Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Cancer

Development and Validation of a Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics Nomogram for the Preoperative Prediction of Central Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aims to develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics nomogram for pre-operatively predicting central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and explore the underlying biological basis by using RNA sequencing data.

METHODS

This study trained 452 PTMC patients across two hospitals from January 2012 to December 2020. The sets were randomly divided into the training (n = 339), internal test (n = 86), external test (n = 27) sets. Radiomics features were extracted from primary lesion's pre-operative CT images for each patient. After screening for features, five algorithms such as K-nearest neighbor, logistics regression, linear-support vector machine (SVM), Gaussian SVM, and polynomial SVM were used to establish the radiomics models. The performance of these five algorithms was evaluated and compared directly to radiologist's interpretation (CT-reported lymph node status). The radiomics signature score (Rad-score) was generated using a linear combination of the selected features. By combining the clinical risk factors and Rad score, a radiomics nomogram was established and compared with Rad-score and clinical model. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and the decision curve analysis (DCA). The potential biological basis of nomogram was revealed by performing genetic analysis based on the RNA sequencing data.

RESULTS

A total of 25 radiomic features were ultimately selected to train the machine learning models, and the five machine learning models outperformed the radiologists' interpretation by achieving area under the ROC curves (AUCs) ranging from 0.606 to 0.730 in the internal test set. By incorporating the Rad score and clinical risk factors (sex, age, tumor-diameter, and CT-reported lymph node status), this nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.800 and 0.803 in the internal and external test set, which were higher than that of the Rad-score and clinical model, respectively. Calibration curves and DCA also showed that the nomogram had good performance. As for the biological basis exploration, in patients predicted by nomogram to be PTC patients with CLMN, 109 genes were dysregulated, and some of them were associated with pathways and biological processes such as tumor angiogenesis.

CONCLUSION

This radiomics nomogram successfully identified CLNM on pretreatment imaging across multiple institutions, exceeding the diagnostic ability of radiologists and had the potential to be integrated into clinical decision making as a non-invasive pre-operative tool.

Multiparameter spectral CT-based radiomics in predicting the expression of programmed death ligand 1 in non-small-cell lung cancer

AIM

To explore the value of radiomics for predicting the expression of programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) based on multiparameter spectral computed tomography (CT) images.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 220 patients with NSCLC were enrolled retrospectively and divided into the training (n=176) and testing (n=44) cohorts. The radiomics features were extracted from the conventional CT images, mono-energy 40 keV images, iodine density (ID) maps, Z-effective maps, and electron density maps. The logistic regression (LR) and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms were employed to build models based on radiomics signatures. The prediction abilities were qualified by the area under the curve (AUC) obtained from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Internal validation was performed on the independent testing dataset.

RESULTS

The combined model for PD-L1 ≥1%, which consisted of the radiomics score (rad-score; p<0.0001), white blood cell (WBC; p=0.027) counts, and air bronchogram (p=0.003), reached the highest performance with the AUCs of 0.873 and 0.917 in the training and testing dataset, respectively, which was better than the radiomics model with the AUCs of 0.842 and 0.886. The combined model for PD-L1 ≥50%, which consisted of rad-score (p<0.0001) and WBC counts (p=0.027), achieved the highest performance in the training and testing dataset with AUCs of 0.932 and 0.903, respectively, which was better than the radiomics model with AUCs of 0.920 and 0.892, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The radiomics model based on the multiparameter images of spectral CT can predict the expression level of PD-L1 in NSCLC. The combined model can obtain higher prediction efficiency and serves as a promising method for immunotherapy selection.

Prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis in differentiated thyroid cancer based on radiomics models

OBJECTIVE

The accurate clinical diagnosis of cervical lymph node metastasis plays an important role in the treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). This study aimed to explore and summarize a more objective approach to detect cervical malignant lymph node metastasis of DTC via radiomics models.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were searched for all eligible studies. Articles using radiomics models based on ultrasound, computed tomography, or magnetic resonance imaging to assess cervical lymph node metastasis preoperatively were included. Characteristics and diagnostic accuracy measures were extracted. Bias and applicability judgments were evaluated by the revised QUADAS-2 tool. The estimates were pooled using a random-effects model. Additionally, the leave-one-out method was conducted to assess the heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine radiomics studies with 6160 validation set patients were included in the qualitative analysis, and 11 studies with 3863 validation set patients were included in the meta-analysis. Four of them had an external independent validation set. The studies were heterogeneous, and a significant risk of bias was found in 29 studies. Meta-analysis showed that the pooled sensitivity and specificity for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis via US-based radiomics were 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.86) and 0.87 (95% CI, 0.83-0.91), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although radiomics-based models for cervical lymphatic metastasis in DTC have been demonstrated to have moderate diagnostic capabilities, broader data, standardized radiomics features, robust feature selection, and model exploitation are still needed in the future.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The radiomics models showed great potential in detecting malignant lymph nodes in thyroid cancer.

Dual-Energy Computed Tomography in Detecting and Predicting Lymph Node Metastasis in Malignant Tumor Patients: A Comprehensive Review

The accurate and timely assessment of lymph node involvement is paramount in the management of patients with malignant tumors, owing to its direct correlation with cancer staging, therapeutic strategy formulation, and prognostication. Dual-energy computed tomography (DECT), as a burgeoning imaging modality, has shown promising results in the diagnosis and prediction of preoperative metastatic lymph nodes in recent years. This article aims to explore the application of DECT in identifying metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) across various cancer types, including but not limited to thyroid carcinoma (focusing on papillary thyroid carcinoma), lung cancer, and colorectal cancer. Through this narrative review, we aim to elucidate the clinical relevance and utility of DECT in the detection and predictive assessment of lymph node metastasis in malignant tumors, thereby contributing to the broader academic discourse in oncologic radiology and diagnostic precision.

Radiomics from dual-energy CT-derived iodine maps predict lymph node metastasis in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate an iodine maps-based radiomics nomogram for preoperatively predicting cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 278 patients who pathologically confirmed as HNSCC were retrospectively recruited from two medical centers between June 2012 and July 2022. The training set (n = 152) and internal set (n = 67) were randomly selected from medical center A, and the patients from medical center B were enrolled as the external set (n = 69). The minority group in the training set was balanced by the adaptive synthetic sampling (ADASYN) approach. Radiomics features were extracted from dual-energy CT-derived iodine maps at arterial phase (AP) and venous phase (VP), respectively. Three radiomics signatures were constructed to predict the LNM by using a random forest algorithm. The independent clinical predictors for LNM were identified by multivariate analysis and combined with radiomics signatures to establish a radiomic-clinical nomogram. The performance of radiomic-clinical nomogram was evaluated with respect to its discrimination and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

The AP-VP-incorporated radiomics model exhibited a great predictive performance for LNM prediction with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.885 (95% CI, 0.836-0.933) in ADASYN-training set and confirmed in all validation sets. The nomogram that incorporated AP-VP radiomics signatures, CT-reported LN status, and histological grades yielded AUCs of 0.920 (95% CI, 0.881-0.959) in ADASYN-training set, 0.858 (95% CI, 0.771-0.944) in internal validation, and 0.849 (95% CI, 0.752-0.946) in external validation, with good calibration in all cohorts (p > 0.05). Decision curve analyses indicated the nomogram was clinically useful. In addition, the predictive performance of clinical-radiomics nomogram was also validation in combing cohorts. Stratified analysis confirmed the stability of nomogram, particularly in group negative for CT-reported LNM.

CONCLUSION

Clinical-radiomics nomogram based on iodine maps exhibited promising performance in predicting LNM and providing valuable information for making individualized therapy decisions.

Clinical value of dual-energy CT for predicting occult metastasis in central neck lymph nodes of papillary thyroid carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To predict the probability of occult lymph node metastasis (OLNM) in the central cervical by analyzing the dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) parameters derived from papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

METHODS

Data were retrospectively collected from patients with pathologically confirmed PTC who underwent arterial and venous phases of enhanced DECT with concurrent central neck lymph node dissection (CLND). Three clinical features, three shape-related features, and twenty-six DECT-derived parameters were measured. The univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to select the relevant parameters and develop the nomogram.

RESULTS

A total 140 cases with negative diagnosis of cervical central lymph node metastases by preoperative evaluation were included, among which 88 patients with metastasis (OLNM +) and 52 patients without metastasis (OLNM -) were finally confirmed by pathology. (1) Anteroposterior/transverse diameter ratio (A/T) derived from the PTC focus had significant difference between the OLNM + and OLNM - groups (p < 0.05). (2) In the arterial phase, iodine concentration (ICarterial), normalized iodine concentration (NICarterial), effective atomic number (Zeff-arterial), electron density (EDarterial), and slope of energy curve (karterial) from PTC focus showed significant difference (all p < 0.05) between the two groups. In the venous phase, only the CT value under the 40 keV (HU40keVvenous) had differences (p < 0.05). (3) The nomogram was produced to predict the probability of OLNM, and the AUC, sensitivity, and specificity in the training and test cohort were 0.830, 75.0%, 76.9%, and 0.829, 65.9%, 84.6%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

DECT parameters combined with shape-related feature derived from PTC might be used as predictors of OLNM in the central neck.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Preoperative imaging evaluation combining shape-related features and dual-energy CT parameters could serve as a reference to discern occult lymph node metastasis in central neck during the surgically planning of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

KEY POINTS

• Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients may have occult lymph node metastasis (OLNM) in the central neck, which is extremely difficult to find by preoperative imaging examination. • Dual-energy CT quantitative evaluation has higher accuracy than conventional CT and can predicting OLNM in the central neck of PTC. • Dual-energy CT quantitative parameters and morphology of PTC can serve as a useful tool in predicting OLNM in the central neck, and as a guide for personalized treatment.

Development and Validation of a Dual-Energy CT-Based Model for Predicting the Number of Central Lymph Node Metastases in Clinically Node-Negative Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to develop and validate a dual-energy CT (DECT)-based model for preoperative prediction of the number of central lymph node metastases (CLNMs) in clinically node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Between January 2016 and January 2021, 490 patients who underwent lobectomy or thyroidectomy, CLN dissection, and preoperative DECT examinations were enrolled and randomly allocated into the training (N = 345) and validation cohorts (N = 145). The patients' clinical characteristics and quantitative DECT parameters obtained on primary tumors were collected. Independent predictors of> 5 CLNMs were identified and integrated to construct a DECT-based prediction model, for which the area under the curve (AUC), calibration, and clinical usefulness were assessed. Risk group stratification was performed to distinguish patients with different recurrence risks.

RESULTS

More than 5 CLNMs were found in 75 (15.3%) cN0 PTC patients. Age, tumor size, normalized iodine concentration (NIC), normalized effective atomic number (nZeff) and the slope of the spectral Hounsfield unit curve (λHu) in the arterial phase were independently associated with> 5 CLNMs. The DECT-based nomogram that incorporated predictors demonstrated favorable performance in both cohorts (AUC: 0.842 and 0.848) and significantly outperformed the clinical model (AUC: 0.688 and 0.694). The nomogram showed good calibration and added clinical benefit for predicting> 5 CLNMs. The KaplanMeier curves for recurrence-free survival showed that the high- and low-risk groups stratified by the nomogram were significantly different.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram based on DECT parameters and clinical factors could facilitate preoperative prediction of the number of CLNMs in cN0 PTC patients.

Radiomics diagnostic performance in predicting lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the diagnostic performance of radiomics in lymph node metastasis (LNM) prediction in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) through a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHOD

A literature search of PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science was conducted to find relevant studies published until February 18th, 2023. Studies that reported the accuracy of radiomics in different imaging modalities for LNM prediction in PTC patients were selected. The methodological quality of included studies was evaluated by radiomics quality score (RQS) and quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies (QUADAS-2) tools. General characteristics and radiomics accuracy were extracted. Overall sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated for diagnostic accuracy evaluation. Spearman correlation coefficient and subgroup analysis were performed for heterogeneity exploration.

RESULTS

In total, 25 studies were included, of which 22 studies provided adequate data for meta-analysis. We conducted two types of meta-analysis: one focused solely on radiomics features models and the other combined radiomics and non-radiomics features models in the analysis. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of radiomics and combined models were 0.75 [0.68, 0.80] vs. 0.77 [0.74, 0.80], 0.77 [0.74, 0.81] vs. 0.83 [0.78, 0.87] and 0.80 [0.73, 0.85] vs 0.82 [0.75, 0.88], respectively. The analysis showed a high heterogeneity level among the included studies. There was no threshold effect. The subgroup analysis demonstrated that utilizing ultrasonography, 2D segmentation, central and lateral LNM detection, automatic segmentation, and PyRadiomics software could slightly improve diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

Our meta-analysis shows that the radiomics has the potential for pre-operative LNM prediction in PTC patients. Although methodological quality is sufficient but we still need more prospective studies with larger sample sizes from different centers.

Artificial intelligence-based prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer with CT

OBJECTIVES

To develop an artificial intelligence (AI) system for predicting cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) preoperatively in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) based on CT images.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study included the preoperative CT of PTC patients who were divided into the development, internal, and external test sets. The region of interest of the primary tumor was outlined manually on the CT images by a radiologist who has eight years of experience. With the use of the CT images and lesions masks, the deep learning (DL) signature was developed by the DenseNet combined with convolutional block attention module. One-way analysis of variance and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used to select features, and a support vector machine was used to construct the radiomics signature. Random forest was used to combine the DL, radiomics, and clinical signature to perform the final prediction. The receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were used by two radiologists (R1 and R2) to evaluate and compare the AI system.

RESULTS

For the internal and external test set, the AI system achieved excellent performance with AUCs of 0.84 and 0.81, higher than the DL (p = .03, .82), radiomics (p < .001, .04), and clinical model (p < .001, .006). With the aid of the AI system, the specificities of radiologists were improved by 9% and 15% for R1 and 13% and 9% for R2, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The AI system can help predict CLNM in patients with PTC, and the radiologists' performance improved with AI assistance.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This study developed an AI system for preoperative prediction of CLNM in PTC patients based on CT images, and the radiologists' performance improved with AI assistance, which could improve the effectiveness of individual clinical decision-making.

KEY POINTS

• This multicenter retrospective study showed that the preoperative CT image-based AI system has the potential for predicting the CLNM of PTC. • The AI system was superior to the radiomics and clinical model in predicting the CLNM of PTC. • The radiologists' diagnostic performance improved when they received the AI system assistance.

Prediction model of cervical lymph node metastasis based on clinicopathological characteristics of papillary thyroid carcinoma: a dual-center retrospective study

Background

The overall prevalence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients is expanding along with an ongoing increase in thyroid cancer incidence. Patients with PTC who have lymph node metastases have a poor prognosis and a high death rate. There is an urgent need for indicators that can predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) before surgery as current imaging techniques, such as ultrasonography, do not have sufficient sensitivity to detect LNM. To predict independent risk factors for Central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) or Lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM), we therefore developed two nomograms based on CLNM and LLNM, separately.

Methods

In two centers, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University and Yichun People's Hospital, we retrospectively analyzed clinicopathological characteristics of PTC patients. We utilized multivariate analysis to screen for variables that might be suspiciously related to CLNM or LLNM. Furthermore, we developed nomograms to graphically depict the independent risk valuables connected to lymph node metastasis in PTC patients.

Result

Ultimately, 6068 PTC patients in all were included in the research. Six factors, including age<45, male, mETE, TSH>1.418, tumor size>4cm, and location (multicentric and lobe), were observed to be related to CLNM. Age<45, male, mETE (minimal extrathyroidal extension), multifocality, TSH≥2.910, CLNM positive, and tumor size>4cm were regarded as related risk factors for LLNM. The two nomograms developed subsequently proved to have good predictive power with 0.706 and 0.818 and demonstrated good clinical guidance functionality with clinical decision curves and impact curves.

Conclusion

Based on the successful establishment of this dual-institution-based visual nomogram model, we found that some clinical features are highly correlated with cervical lymph node metastasis, including CLNM and LLNM, which will better help clinicians make individualized clinical decisions for more effectively rationalizing managing PTC patients.

Predicting central lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma based on ultrasound radiomic and morphological features analysis

OBJECTIVES

To build a combined model based on the ultrasound radiomic and morphological features, and evaluate its diagnostic performance for preoperative prediction of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

METHOD

A total of 295 eligible patients, who underwent preoperative ultrasound scan and were pathologically diagnosed with unifocal PTC were included at our hospital from October 2019 to July 2022. According to ultrasound scanners, patients were divided into the training set (115 with CLNM; 97 without CLNM) and validation set (45 with CLNM; 38 without CLNM). Ultrasound radiomic, morphological, and combined models were constructed using multivariate logistic regression. The diagnostic performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity.

RESULTS

A combined model was built based on the morphology, boundary, length diameter, and radiomic score. The AUC was 0.960 (95% CI, 0.924-0.982) and 0.966 (95% CI, 0.901-0.993) in the training and validation set, respectively. Calibration curves showed good consistency between prediction and observation, and DCA demonstrated the clinical benefit of the combined model.

CONCLUSION

Based on ultrasound radiomic and morphological features, the combined model showed a good performance in predicting CLNM of patients with PTC preoperatively.

Dual-modal radiomics for predicting cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Preoperative prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is significant for surgical decision-making.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to develop a dual-modal radiomics (DMR) model based on grayscale ultrasound (GSUS) and dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) for non-invasive CLNM in PTC.

METHODS

In this study, 348 patients with pathologically confirmed PTC at Jiangsu University Affiliated People's Hospital who completed preoperative ultrasound (US) and DECT examinations were enrolled and randomly assigned to training (n = 261) and test (n = 87) cohorts. The enrolled patients were divided into two groups based on pathology findings namely, CLNM (n = 179) and CLNM-Free (n = 169). Radiomics features were extracted from GSUS images (464 features) and DECT images (960 features), respectively. Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression with 10-fold cross-validation were then used to select CLNM-related features. Based on the selected features, GSUS, DECT, and GSUS combined DECT radiomics models were constructed by using a Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier.

RESULTS

Three predictive models based on GSUS, DECT, and a combination of GSUS and DECT, yielded performance of areas under the curve (AUC) = 0.700 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.662-0.706], 0.721 [95% CI, 0.683-0.727], and 0.760 [95% CI, 0.728-0.762] in the training dataset, and AUC = 0.643 [95% CI, 0.582-0.734], 0.680 [95% CI, 0.623-0.772], and 0.744 [95% CI, 0.686-0.784] in the test dataset, respectively. It shows that the predictive model combined GSUS and DECT outperforms both models using GSUS and DECT only.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed combined radiomics model could more accurately predict CLNM in PTC patients and aid in better surgical planning.

Development and validation of a radiomic nomogram based on pretherapy dual-energy CT for distinguishing adenocarcinoma from squamous cell carcinoma of the lung

Objective

Based on pretherapy dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) images, we developed and validated a nomogram combined with clinical parameters and radiomic features to predict the pathologic subtypes of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) - adenocarcinoma (ADC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC).

Methods

A total of 129 pathologically confirmed NSCLC patients treated at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from October 2017 to October 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were randomly divided in a ratio of 7:3 (n=90) into training and validation cohorts (n=39). Patients' pretherapy clinical parameters were recorded. Radiomics features of the primary lesion were extracted from two sets of monoenergetic images (40 keV and 100 keV) in arterial phases (AP) and venous phases (VP). Features were selected successively through the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was then performed to establish predictive models. The prediction performance between models was evaluated and compared using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, DeLong test, and Akaike information criterion (AIC). A nomogram was developed based on the model with the best predictive performance to evaluate its calibration and clinical utility.

Results

A total of 87 ADC and 42 SCC patients were enrolled in this study. Among the five constructed models, the integrative model (AUC: Model 4 = 0.92, Model 5 = 0.93) combining clinical parameters and radiomic features had a higher AUC than the individual clinical models or radiomic models (AUC: Model 1 = 0.84, Model 2 = 0.79, Model 3 = 0.84). The combined clinical-venous phase radiomics model had the best predictive performance, goodness of fit, and parsimony; the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the training and validation cohorts was 0.93 and 0.90, respectively, and the AIC value was 60.16. Then, this model was visualized as a nomogram. The calibration curves demonstrated it's good calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA) proved its clinical utility.

Conclusion

The combined clinical-radiomics model based on pretherapy DECT showed good performance in distinguishing ADC and SCC of the lung. The nomogram constructed based on the best-performing combined clinical-venous phase radiomics model provides a relatively accurate, convenient and noninvasive method for predicting the pathological subtypes of ADC and SCC in NSCLC.

Prediction of Central Lymph Node Metastasis in cN0 Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma by CT Radiomics

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

To explore the feasibility of the preoperative prediction of pathological central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) status in patients with negative clinical lymph node (cN0) papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) using a computed tomography (CT) radiomics signature.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 97 PTC cN0 nodules with CLNM pathology data (pN0, with CLNM, n = 59; pN1, without CLNM, n = 38) in 85 patients were divided into a training set (n = 69) and a validation set (n = 28). For each lesion, 321 radiomic features were extracted from nonenhanced, arterial and venous phase CT images. Minimum redundancy and maximum relevance and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used to find the most important features with which to develop a radiomics signature in the training set. The performance of the radiomics signature was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis .

RESULTS

Three nonzero the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator coefficient features were selected for radiomics signature construction. The radiomics signature for distinguishing the pN0 and pN1 groups achieved areas under the curve of 0.79 (95% CI 0.67, 0.91) in the training set and 0.77 (95% CI 0.55, 0.99) in the validation set. The calibration curves demonstrated good agreement between the radiomics score-predicted probability and the pathological results in the two sets (p= 0.399, p = 0.191). The decision curve analysis curves showed that the model was clinically useful.

CONCLUSION

This radiomic signature could be helpful to predict CLNM status in cN0 PTC patients.

Iodine Maps from Dual-Energy CT to Predict Extrathyroidal Extension and Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Cancer Based on a Radiomics Approach

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Accurate prediction of extrathyroidal extension and subsequent recurrence is crucial in papillary thyroid cancer clinical management. Our aim was to conduct iodine map-based radiomics to predict extrathyroidal extension and to explore its prognostic value for recurrence-free survival in papillary thyroid cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 452 patients with papillary thyroid cancer were retrospectively recruited between June 2017 and June 2020. Radiomics features were extracted from noncontrast images, dual-phase mixed images, and iodine maps, respectively. Random forest and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were applied to build 6 radiomics scores (noncontrast radiomics score_random forest; noncontrast rad-score_LASSO; mixed rad-score_random forest; mixed rad-score_LASSO; iodine radiomics score_random forest; iodine radiomics score_LASSO) respectively. Logistic regression was used to construct 6 radiomics models incorporating 6 radiomics scores with clinical risk factors and to compare them with the clinical model. A radiomics model that achieved the highest performance was presented as a nomogram and assessed by discrimination, calibration, clinical usefulness, and prognosis evaluation.

RESULTS

Iodine radiomics scores performed significantly better than mixed radiomics scores. Both of them outperformed noncontrast radiomics scores. Iodine map-based radiomics models significantly surpassed the clinical model. A radiomics nomogram incorporating size, capsule contact, and iodine radiomics score_random forest was built with the highest performance (training set, area under the curve = 0.78; validation set, area under the curve  = 0.84). Stratified analysis confirmed the nomogram stability, especially in group negative for CT-reported extrathyroidal extension (area under the curve  = 0.69). Nomogram-predicted extrathyroidal extension risk was an independent predictor of recurrence-free survival. A high risk for extrathyroidal extension portended significantly lower recurrence-free survival than low risk (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Iodine map-based radiomics might be a supporting tool for predicting extrathyroidal extension and subsequent recurrence risk in patients with papillary thyroid cancer, thus facilitating clinical decision-making.