Winter survival of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) eggs at its southern limit distribution

Temporal dynamics of the egg bank of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) in the winter-spring transition in a temperate region

In temperate regions, the populations of Aedes aegypti (L.) (Diptera: Culicidae) remain in the egg stage during the winter. In Buenos Aires, Argentina, a temperate region in the southern limit of Ae. aegypti distribution, the start of the next reproductive season and the rate of increase of the adult population depend on the egg bank that remains after the winter. This study aimed to analyze the mortality, field-hatching, and survival of eggs exposed to field conditions representative of those that occur in nature. In addition, the post-exposure hatching response of the eggs was assessed. Four egg batches were exposed to natural conditions starting in mid-winter and were recovered progressively after 3, 6, 9, and 12 weeks. One egg batch (initial control) was not exposed in the field and remained under laboratory conditions. After the exposure period, the recovered intact, collapsed, and hatched eggs were counted. Intact eggs were immersed three times in the laboratory to study their hatching response. Progressive increases in the proportion of lost (presumably by predation), dead, and hatched eggs in successive egg batches were recorded. Field-hatching was recorded from late winter onwards. The first hatchings occurred in conditions probably not favorable to complete development into reproductive adults. A progressive decrease in live eggs was observed, with 51% of the recovered eggs alive after 12 weeks of exposure. In the laboratory, the hatching response in the first immersion was low for the initial control and for the eggs exposed for 3 weeks, and increased for successive cohorts. The results confirm that the survival of Ae. aegypti eggs in the winter-spring transition ensures persistence throughout the next favorable season in Buenos Aires City. The observed inhibition to hatch of the first batches might relate to a photoperiod-induced diapause, as observed in previous studies.

Modeling and updating the occurrence of Aedes aegypti in its southern limit of distribution in South America

Aedes aegypti is the main vector of arboviruses in the world. This mosquito species is distributed from tropical to temperate regions. In Argentina, it has been reported in 20 out of 23 provinces and reaches its southernmost distribution in the world. Its distribution and persistence are affected by meteorological, demographic and environmental factors, such as temperature, precipitation, and population. The aim of this study was to update and model the occurrence of Aedes aegypti in its southern limit of distribution in Argentina. To this end, a total of 37 sites were inspected in La Pampa and Río Negro provinces. Generalized Linear Models were used to explain the occurrence of Aedes aegypti based on meteorological, environmental and demographic variables. Aedes aegypti was found in 11 cities of La Pampa province where it had not been previously reported, but was not found in any of the cities evaluated in Río Negro province. The averaged model explaining the occurrence of Aedes aegypti included the minimum temperature, precipitation and interactions between maximum temperature and precipitation as explanatory variables. Although precipitation was statistically significant, other factors such as minimum temperature are also important in modeling the occurrence of Aedes aegypti in its southernmost distribution limit.

Relationship between Climate Variables and Dengue Incidence in Argentina

BACKGROUND

Climate change is an important driver of the increased spread of dengue from tropical and subtropical regions to temperate areas around the world. Climate variables such as temperature and precipitation influence the dengue vector's biology, physiology, abundance, and life cycle. Thus, an analysis is needed of changes in climate change and their possible relationships with dengue incidence and the growing occurrence of epidemics recorded in recent decades.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the increasing incidence of dengue driven by climate change at the southern limits of dengue virus transmission in South America.

METHODS

We analyzed the evolution of climatological, epidemiological, and biological variables by comparing a period of time without the presence of dengue cases (1976-1997) to a more recent period of time in which dengue cases and important outbreaks occurred (1998-2020). In our analysis, we consider climate variables associated with temperature and precipitation, epidemiological variables such as the number of reported dengue cases and incidence of dengue, and biological variables such as the optimal temperature ranges for transmission of dengue vector.

RESULTS

The presence of dengue cases and epidemic outbreaks are observed to be consistent with positive trends in temperature and anomalies from long-term means. Dengue cases do not seem to be associated with precipitation trends and anomalies. The number of days with optimal temperatures for dengue transmission increased from the period without dengue cases to the period with occurrences of dengue cases. The number of months with optimal transmission temperatures also increased between periods but to a lesser extent.

CONCLUSIONS

The higher incidence of dengue virus and its expansion to different regions of Argentina seem to be associated with temperature increases in the country during the past two decades. The active surveillance of both the vector and associated arboviruses, together with continued meteorological data collection, will facilitate the assessment and prediction of future epidemics that use trends in the accelerated changes in climate. Such surveillance should go hand in hand with efforts to improve the understanding of the mechanisms driving the geographic expansion of dengue and other arboviruses beyond the current limits. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11616.