Investigating the SPECT Dose-Function Metrics Associated With Radiation-Induced Lung Toxicity Risk in Patients With Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Undergoing Radiation Therapy

Shrinkage priors for isotonic probability vectors and binary data modeling, with applications to dose-response modeling

Motivated by the need to model dose-response or dose-toxicity curves in clinical trials, we develop a new horseshoe-based prior for Bayesian isotonic regression modeling a binary outcome against an ordered categorical predictor, where the probability of the outcome is assumed to be monotonically non-decreasing with the predictor. The set of differences between outcome probabilities in consecutive categories of the predictor is equipped with a multivariate prior having support over simplex. The Dirichlet distribution, which can be derived from a normalized sum of independent gamma-distributed random variables, is a natural choice of prior, but using mathematical and simulation-based arguments, we show that the resulting posterior is prone to underflow and other numerical instabilities, even under simple data configurations. We propose an alternative prior based on horseshoe-type shrinkage that is numerically more stable. We show that this horseshoe-based prior is not subject to the numerical instability seen in the Dirichlet/gamma-based prior and that the horseshoe-based posterior can estimate the underlying true curve more efficiently than the Dirichlet-based one. We demonstrate the use of this prior in a model predicting the occurrence of radiation-induced lung toxicity in lung cancer patients as a function of dose delivered to normal lung tissue. Our methodology is implemented in the R package isotonicBayes and therefore suitable for use in the design of dose-finding studies or other dose-response modeling contexts.

Lung Subregion Partitioning by Incremental Dose Intervals Improves Omics-Based Prediction for Acute Radiation Pneumonitis in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Patients

Purpose: To evaluate the effectiveness of features obtained from our proposed incremental-dose-interval-based lung subregion segmentation (IDLSS) for predicting grade ≥ 2 acute radiation pneumonitis (ARP) in lung cancer patients upon intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). (1) Materials and Methods: A total of 126 non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated with IMRT were retrospectively analyzed. Five lung subregions (SRs) were generated by the intersection of the whole lung (WL) and five sub-regions receiving incremental dose intervals. A total of 4610 radiomics features (RF) from pre-treatment planning computed tomographic (CT) and 213 dosiomics features (DF) were extracted. Six feature groups, including WL-RF, WL-DF, SR-RF, SR-DF, and the combined feature sets of WL-RDF and SR-RDF, were generated. Features were selected by using a variance threshold, followed by a Student t-test. Pearson’s correlation test was applied to remove redundant features. Subsequently, Ridge regression was adopted to develop six models for ARP using the six feature groups. Thirty iterations of resampling were implemented to assess overall model performance by using the area under the Receiver-Operating-Characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. (2) Results: The SR-RDF model achieved the best classification performance and provided significantly better predictability than the WL-RDF model in training cohort (Average AUC: 0.98 ± 0.01 vs. 0.90 ± 0.02, p < 0.001) and testing cohort (Average AUC: 0.88 ± 0.05 vs. 0.80 ± 0.04, p < 0.001). Similarly, predictability of the SR-DF model was significantly stronger than that of the WL-DF model in training cohort (Average AUC: 0.88 ± 0.03 vs. 0.70 ± 0.030, p < 0.001) and in testing cohort (Average AUC: 0.74 ± 0.08 vs. 0.65 ± 0.06, p < 0.001). By contrast, the SR-RF model significantly outperformed the WL-RF model only in the training set (Average AUC: 0.93 ± 0.02 vs. 0.85 ± 0.03, p < 0.001), but not in the testing set (Average AUC: 0.79 ± 0.05 vs. 0.77 ± 0.07, p = 0.13). (3) Conclusions: Our results demonstrated that the IDLSS method improved model performance for classifying ARP with grade ≥ 2 when using dosiomics or combined radiomics-dosiomics features.

Function-Wise Dual-Omics analysis for radiation pneumonitis prediction in lung cancer patients

Purpose: This study investigates the impact of lung function on radiation pneumonitis prediction using a dual-omics analysis method.

Methods: We retrospectively collected data of 126 stage III lung cancer patients treated with chemo-radiotherapy using intensity-modulated radiotherapy, including pre-treatment planning CT images, radiotherapy dose distribution, and contours of organs and structures. Lung perfusion functional images were generated using a previously developed deep learning method. The whole lung (WL) volume was divided into function-wise lung (FWL) regions based on the lung perfusion functional images. A total of 5,474 radiomics features and 213 dose features (including dosiomics features and dose-volume histogram factors) were extracted from the FWL and WL regions, respectively. The radiomics features (R), dose features (D), and combined dual-omics features (RD) were used for the analysis in each lung region of WL and FWL, labeled as WL-R, WL-D, WL-RD, FWL-R, FWL-D, and FWL-RD. The feature selection was carried out using ANOVA, followed by a statistical F-test and Pearson correlation test. Thirty times train-test splits were used to evaluate the predictability of each group. The overall average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, precision, recall, and f1-score were calculated to assess the performance of each group.

Results: The FWL-RD achieved a significantly higher average AUC than the WL-RD group in the training (FWL-RD: 0.927 ± 0.031, WL-RD: 0.849 ± 0.064) and testing cohorts (FWL-RD: 0.885 ± 0.028, WL-RD: 0.762 ± 0.053, p < 0.001). When using radiomics features only, the FWL-R group yielded a better classification result than the model trained with WL-R features in the training (FWL-R: 0.919 ± 0.036, WL-R: 0.820 ± 0.052) and testing cohorts (FWL-R: 0.862 ± 0.028, WL-R: 0.750 ± 0.057, p < 0.001). The FWL-D group obtained an average AUC of 0.782 ± 0.032, obtaining a better classification performance than the WL-D feature-based model of 0.740 ± 0.028 in the training cohort, while no significant difference was observed in the testing cohort (FWL-D: 0.725 ± 0.064, WL-D: 0.710 ± 0.068, p = 0.54).

Conclusion: The dual-omics features from different lung functional regions can improve the prediction of radiation pneumonitis for lung cancer patients under IMRT treatment. This function-wise dual-omics analysis method holds great promise to improve the prediction of radiation pneumonitis for lung cancer patients.