Elevated serum alpha-fetoprotein levels are associated with poor prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma after surgical resection: A systematic review and meta-analysis

TAC score better predicts survival than the BCLC following resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Heterogeneity in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) still exists within the Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) subcategories. We developed a simple model to better discriminate and predict prognosis following resection.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent resection for HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Predictive factors of survival were identified to develop TAC (tumor burden score [TBS], alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], Child-Pugh CP]) score.

RESULTS

Among 1435 patients, median TBS was 5.1 (interquartile range [IQR]: 3.2-8.1), median AFP was 18.3 ng/ml (IQR 4.0-362.5), and 1391 (96.9%) patients were classified as CP-A. Factors associated with overall survival (OS) included TBS (low: referent; medium: HR 2.26, 95% CI: 1.73-2.96; high: HR = 3.35, 95% CI: 2.22-5.07), AFP (<400 ng/ml: referent; >400 ng/ml: HR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.27-1.92), and CP (A: referent; B: HR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.12-2.92) (all p < 0.05). A simplified risk score demonstrated superior concordance index, Akaike information criteria, homogeneity, and area under the curve versus BCLC (0.620 vs. 0.541; 5484.655 vs. 5536.454; 60.099 vs. 16.194; 0.62 vs. 0.55, respectively), and further stratified patients within BCLC groups relative to OS (BCLC 0, very low: 86.8%, low: 47.8%) (BCLC A, very low: 79.7%, low: 68.1%, medium: 52.5%, high: 35.6%) (BCLC B, low: 59.8%, medium: 43.7%, high: N/A).

CONCLUSION

TAC is a simple, holistic score that consistently outperformed BCLC relative to discrimination power and prognostication following resection of HCC.

TBS-Based Preoperative Score to Predict Non-transplantable Recurrence and Identify Candidates for Upfront Resection Versus Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Recurrence following liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can be as high as 50-70%. While salvage liver transplantation may be feasible, patients may develop a non-transplantable recurrence (NTR) (recurrence beyond Milan criteria). We sought to identify preoperative risk factors to predict NTR after resection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent LR for HCC were identified from a multi-institutional database. Preoperative factors associated with NTR were identified and a risk score model (NTR score) was developed and validated.

RESULTS

Among 1620 patients, 842 (52.0%) developed recurrence; among patients with recurrence, NTR occurred in 341 (40.5%) with a median recurrence-free survival (RFS) of 30 months (24.7-35.3 months). On multivariable analysis, factors associated with NTR included alpha fetoprotein (AFP) > 400 ng/mL [hazard ratio (HR) 1.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-2.19], albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI) (referent low, medium ALBI: HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.10-1.81, high ALBI: HR 2.47, 95% CI 0.91-6.68), and tumor burden score (TBS) (referent low, high TBS: HR 2.55, 95% CI, 1.99-3.28). A simplified TBS-based NTR score was developed using the β-coefficients of each factor (C-index 0.68, 95% CI 0.65-0.71). Higher NTR score was associated with incrementally worse 5-year RFS (low 44.8%, medium 37.5%, high 24.5%) [area under the curve (AUC) 0.59] and increased incidence of NTR (low 13.7%, medium 25.4%, high 38.2%) (AUC 0.65) (both p < 0.001). Moreover, higher NTR score was associated with higher risk of extrahepatic recurrence (low 11.3%, medium 28.8%, high 37.5%) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

NTR following curative-intent resection of HCC occurred in one in five patients. A simple TBS-based NTR score accurately predicted the risk of NTR and may help identify candidates for upfront resection versus transplantation.

Effects of Curative-Intent Treatments on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Survival in Alcohol-Related Cirrhosis: A Nationwide Study

Purpose

The aim of curative-intent treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is to restore the patients' survival to what it would have been, had they not developed HCC. We examined the chances of such 'statistical cure' from HCC in patients with cirrhosis due to alcohol-related liver disease (ALD cirrhosis).

Patients and Methods

Using nationwide Danish healthcare registries, all patients with ALD cirrhosis who were treated for HCC in 2004-2018 were identified and included in cohorts based on initial HCC treatment. We used cure fraction analyses to estimate the chance of being statistically cured by each HCC treatment.

Results

We included 1087 patients with HCC due to ALD cirrhosis, of whom 51 (4.7%) were treated with resection and 215 (19.8%) were treated with ablation. The cure fraction, ie the fraction of patients who experienced no excess mortality from HCC, was 31.8% (95% CI: 0.0-67.5) following resection and 22.9% (95% CI: 2.6-43.2) following ablation. In patients who were still alive five years after the initial HCC treatment, the likelihood of having been statistically cured at that time was 69.0% after resection and 60.2% after ablation. For both treatments, a 90% chance of having been statistically cured was reached after seven years.

Conclusion

Based on cure fraction analyses, resection for HCC statistically cures 31.8% of patients with HCC and underlying ALD cirrhosis, while ablation statistically cures 22.9% of patients. Seven years after curative-intent treatments for HCC, surviving patients are 90% likely to be statistically cured of HCC. This information is valuable to patients and the clinicians caring for them.

Tumor Burden Score and Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Subclassify Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Resection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. While not recommended by the BCLC algorithm, some patients may indeed benefit from hepatectomy. We sought to identify that subset of patients who might derive long-term survival benefit from resection.

METHODS

Intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent curative-intent resection were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with long-term prognosis were identified using multivariate analysis and a risk score was developed and assessed.

RESULTS

Among 194 patients, most individuals had two tumors (n = 123, 63.4%) with a median size of 6.0 cm (IQR, 4.0-8.4) for a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 6.5 (IQR, 5.0-9.1); median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 23.9 ng/mL (IQR, 5.0-503.2), and median overall survival (OS) was 69 months (IAR, 60.7-77.3). Factors associated with OS included AFP (referent ≤ 20 ng/mL, > 20 ng/mL: HR 1.78 95%CI, 1.09-2.89) and TBS (referent TBS ≤ 8.0, TBS > 8.0: HR 1.72 95%CI, 1.07-2.75). While 71 (36.6%) patients had neither risk factor, 79 (40.7%) and 44 (22.7%) had 1 or 2, respectively. A simplified score stratified patients relative to recurrence-free survival (RFS) (0: 33.6% vs. 1: 18.0% vs. 2: 14.7%) (AUC 0.60) and recurrence time (i.e., < 6 months after surgery) (0: 21.3% vs. 1: 43.1% vs. 2: 68.6%) (AUC 0.69) (both p < 0.001). Of note, a higher score was also associated with incrementally worse 5-year OS (0: 68.1% vs. 1: 61.0% vs. 2: 29.9%) (AUC 0.62) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Long-term OS and RFS outcomes varied considerably. Using a simple risk score, patients with low AFP and low TBS were identified as the subset of individuals most likely to benefit from resection.

Prognostic significance of long noncoding RNA HOTAIR in hepatocellular carcinoma: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Homeobox transcript antisense intergenic RNA (HOTAIR), a long noncoding RNA, has been reported to associate with the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in several studies, however, the definite conclusion has not been obtained for conflicting results across different studies. The aim of this study is to determine the association of HOTAIR expression with overall survival, progression-free survival, and clinical features in HCC.

METHODS

PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase will be comprehensively searched to seek the relevant studies. The studies meeting the inclusion criteria will be included into this systematic review and meta-analysis. A combination of hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval is used to estimate the impact of HOTAIR expression on the overall survival and progression-free survival in HCC. The relationship between HOTAIR expression and clinical features of HCC is evaluated using the odds ratio and 95% confidence interval. The study quality is evaluated with the "risk of bias assessment" tool in Cochrane System Assessment Manual or Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The subgroup analysis, publication bias, and sensitivity analysis are performed.

RESULTS

This study provides a strict and classic protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the prognostic significance of HOTAIR expression in HCC. The findings of this systematic review and meta-analysis may provide a novel diagnostic indicator and potential therapeutic target of HCC.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study is only a protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis, and all data used in this study is acquired through published studies. Therefore, the ethical review is not needed for this study.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

INPLASY202230050.

Clinical Implication of Circulating Tumor Cells Expressing Epithelial Mesenchymal Transition (EMT) and Cancer Stem Cell (CSC) Markers and Their Perspective in HCC: A Systematic Review

Simple Summary

One of the major problems regarding hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the development of metastasis and recurrence, even in patients with an early stage. Recently, circulating tumor cells (CTCs) enumeration has been intensively studied as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in HCC. Nevertheless, increasing evidence suggests the role of metastasis-associated CTC phenotypes, including epithelial–mesenchymal transition (EMT)-CTCs and circulating cancer stem cells (CCSCs). We performed a systematic review to investigate the correlation of different CTC subtypes with HCC characteristics and their prognostic relevance to clinical outcomes. A preliminary meta-analysis found that CTC subtypes had prognostic power for predicting the probability of early recurrence. This study highlights the potential of CTC subtyping analysis as a biomarker for HCC management and provides information on metastasis-associated CTCs for a deeper molecular characterization of specific CTC subtypes.

Abstract

Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) play a key role in hematogenous metastasis and post-surgery recurrence. In hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), CTCs have emerged as a valuable source of therapeutically relevant information. Certain subsets or phenotypes of CTCs can survive in the bloodstream and induce metastasis. Here, we performed a systematic review on the importance of epithelial–mesenchymal transition (EMT)-CTCs and circulating cancer stem cells (CCSCs) in metastatic processes and their prognostic power in HCC management. PubMed, Scopus, and Embase databases were searched for relevant publications. PRISMA criteria were used to review all studies. Twenty publications were eligible, of which 14, 5, and 1 study reported EMT-CTCs, CCSCs, and both phenotypes, respectively. Most studies evaluated that mesenchymal CTCs and CCSCs positivity were statistically associated with extensive clinicopathological features, including larger size and multiple numbers of tumors, advanced stages, micro/macrovascular invasion, and metastatic/recurrent disease. A preliminary meta-analysis showed that the presence of mesenchymal CTCs in pre- and postoperative blood significantly increased the risk of early recurrence. Mesenchymal-CTCs positivity was the most reported association with inferior outcomes based on the prognosis of HCC recurrence. Our finding could be a step forward, conveying additional prognostic values of CTC subtypes as promising biomarkers in HCC management.