Recurrence of spontaneous versus medically indicated preterm birth

Effect of access to antenatal care on risk of preterm birth among migrant women in Italy: A population-based cohort study

Objective

To evaluate the association between maternal migration status and preterm birth, and whether a better adherence to antenatal care during pregnancy mitigates the risk of preterm birth.

Design

Population-based cohort.

Setting

Administrative databases of the Lombardy region, Italy.

Population

First singleton births of women aged 15-55 years at 22-42 gestational weeks, between 2016 and 2021.

Methods

Assessed the risk of preterm birth (<37 weeks).

Main outcome measures

A multivariable logistic regression mediation model calculated the mediation effect of adherence to antenatal care in the association between maternal migrant status and preterm birth and the residual effect not mediated by it. Analyses were adjusted for the socio-demographic and pregnant characteristics of the women.

Results

Of 349,753 births in the cohort, Italian nationality accounted for 71 %; 28.4 % were documented migrants and 0.4 % undocumented migrants. Among them, 5.3 %, 6.4 %, and 9.3 % had a preterm birth, respectively. Using deliveries of Italian citizens as referent, migrants had a significantly increased risk of preterm birth (adjusted relative risk: 1.22, 95 % confidence interval: 1.18-1.27). Adherence to antenatal care mediated the 62 % of such risk. We have calculated that adherence to antenatal pathways set to the highest level for the whole population could lead to a 37 % reduction in preterm birth risk.

Conclusion

Part of the excess of preterm birth among documented and undocumented migrants in Italy can be explained by a lack of adherence to the antenatal care path despite equal access to National Health care. The adherence of all pregnant women to antenatal care would reduce the risk of preterm birth by about one-third.

Placental somatic mutation in human stillbirth and live birth: A pilot case-control study of paired placental, fetal, and maternal whole genomes

INTRODUCTION

A high frequency of single nucleotide somatic mutations in the placenta has been recently described, but its relationship to placental dysfunction is unknown.

METHODS

We performed a pilot case-control study using paired fetal, maternal, and placental samples collected from healthy live birth controls (n = 10), live births with fetal growth restriction (FGR) due to placental insufficiency (n = 7), and stillbirths with FGR and placental insufficiency (n = 11). We quantified single nucleotide and structural somatic variants using bulk whole genome sequencing (30-60X coverage) in four biopsies from each placenta. We also assessed their association with clinical and histological evidence of placental dysfunction.

RESULTS

Seventeen pregnancies had sufficiently high-quality placental, fetal, and maternal DNA for analysis. Each placenta had a median of 473 variants (range 111-870), with 95 % arising in just one biopsy within each placenta. In controls, live births with FGR, and stillbirths, the median variant counts per placenta were 514 (IQR 381-779), 582 (450-735), and 338 (245-441), respectively. After adjusting for depth of sequencing coverage and gestational age at birth, the somatic mutation burden was similar between groups (FGR live births vs. controls, adjusted diff. 59, 95 % CI -218 to +336; stillbirths vs controls, adjusted diff. -34, -351 to +419), and with no association with placental dysfunction (p = 0.7).

DISCUSSION

We confirmed the high prevalence of somatic mutation in the human placenta and conclude that the placenta is highly clonal. We were not able to identify any relationship between somatic mutation burden and clinical or histologic placental insufficiency.

Uterocervical angle and cervical length measurements for spontaneous preterm birth prediction in low-risk singleton pregnant women: a prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

Preterm birth is the leading cause of early neonatal morbidity and mortality. Strategies to predict preterm birth risk can help improve pregnancy outcomes. Even pregnant women without known risk factors for preterm birth can also experience it. This study aimed to evaluate the ability of the uterocervical angle and cervical length to predict spontaneous preterm birth in low-risk singleton pregnant women.

METHODS

A prospective study on 1107 singleton pregnant women between 16+0 and 23+6 weeks gestation at low risk for spontaneous preterm birth who were treated at the Haiphong Hospital of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Vietnam, between September 2020 and September 2021 was conducted. A single sonographer assessed the cervical length and the uterocervical angle using transvaginal ultrasonography. The patients were followed up until delivery to determine the main pregnancy outcome (spontaneous preterm birth before 37 weeks gestation). The cut-off points for the uterocervical angle and cervical length were established by analyzing the receiver operating characteristic curve. The sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy of the uterocervical angle and cervical length for predicting spontaneous preterm birth were determined.

RESULTS

A uterocervical angle ≥ 99° predicted spontaneous preterm birth at < 37 weeks, with a sensitivity and specificity of 91% and 76%, respectively. A cervical length ≤ 33.8 mm predicted preterm birth at < 37 weeks with a sensitivity and specificity of 25% and 66%, respectively. A uterocervical angle ≥ 99° combined with a cervical length ≤ 33.8 mm yielded the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, likelihood ratio, and accuracy of spontaneous preterm birth prediction of 66%, 93%, 36%, 9, and 91%, respectively; thus provided a significant increase of specificity with an acceptable reduction of sensitivity as compared to cervical length alone.

CONCLUSION

Besides the cervical length, the uterocervical angle can be considered a valuable ultrasound parameter for predicting spontaneous preterm birth in low-risk singleton pregnant women. Combining the uterocervical angle and cervical length yielded stronger spontaneous preterm birth prediction values.

Neighborhood mobility and racial disparities in preterm birth: A sibling study in California

Recent work finds that upward neighborhood mobility-defined as reductions in neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage due to moving-may improve birth outcomes. Less work, however, explores whether changes in socioeconomic context differentially impact birth outcomes by maternal race and ethnicity. In the US, mothers of minoritized racial and ethnic identity often experience worse neighborhood conditions and pregnancy outcomes than White mothers. Using a sibling-linked dataset, we examined whether neighborhood mobility corresponds with changes in preterm birth risk among Asian (N = 130,079), Black (N = 50,149), Hispanic (N = 429,938), and White (N = 233,428) mothers who delivered multiple live births in California between 2005 and 2015. We linked residential addresses at each birth to census-derived indices of neighborhood disadvantage and defined levels of neighborhood mobility as moving-induced changes in disadvantage between pregnancies. We mapped neighborhood mobility patterns and fit conditional logistic regression models estimating the odds of preterm birth in the sibling delivered after moving, controlling for the risk of preterm birth in the sibling delivered before moving, by maternal race and ethnicity. Dot density maps highlight racialized patterns of neighborhood mobility and segregation between Black and White mothers. Regression results show that Black and, in some cases, Asian and Hispanic mothers who experienced upward mobility (moves away from neighborhood disadvantage) exhibited reduced odds of preterm birth in the second delivery. Upward mobility did not reduce the odds of preterm birth among White mothers. Findings suggest that policies and programs that enable opportunities for neighborhood mobility may reduce persistent racial and ethnic disparities in adverse birth outcomes.

SMFM Consult Series #70: Management of short cervix in individuals without a history of spontaneous preterm birth

Most deliveries before 34 weeks of gestation occur in individuals with no previous history of preterm birth. Midtrimester cervical length assessment using transvaginal ultrasound is one of the best clinical predictors of spontaneous preterm birth. This Consult provides guidance for the diagnosis and management of a short cervix in an individual without a history of preterm birth. The following are Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine recommendations: (1) we recommend that all cervical length measurements used to guide therapeutic recommendations be performed using a transvaginal approach and in accordance with standardized procedures as described by organizations such as the Perinatal Quality Foundation or the Fetal Medicine Foundation (GRADE 1C); (2) we recommend using a midtrimester cervical length of ≤25 mm to diagnose a short cervix in individuals with a singleton gestation and no previous history of spontaneous preterm birth (GRADE 1C); (3) we recommend that asymptomatic individuals with a singleton gestation and a transvaginal cervical length of ≤20 mm diagnosed before 24 weeks of gestation be prescribed vaginal progesterone to reduce the risk of preterm birth (GRADE 1A); (4) we recommend that treatment with vaginal progesterone be considered at a cervical length of 21 to 25 mm based on shared decision-making (GRADE 1B); (5) we recommend that 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate, including compounded formulations, not be prescribed for the treatment of a short cervix (GRADE 1B); (6) in individuals without a history of preterm birth who have a sonographic short cervix (10-25 mm), we recommend against cerclage placement in the absence of cervical dilation (GRADE 1B); (7) we recommend that cervical pessary not be placed for the prevention of preterm birth in individuals with a singleton gestation and a short cervix (GRADE 1B); and (8) we recommend against routine use of progesterone, pessary, or cerclage for the treatment of cervical shortening in twin gestations outside the context of a clinical trial (GRADE 1B).

Placental correlates in categories of preterm births based on gestational age

Placental abnormalities can precipitate preterm birth (PTB), a principal contributor to neonatal morbidity and mortality. This study targets understanding placental variations among different gestational age-based categories of PTB.

METHODS

A three-year retrospective study conducted a detailed clinicopathological analysis of PTB placentas categorized by gestational age: extremely preterm (EPTB,<28 weeks), very preterm (VPTB, 28 to 31 + 6 weeks), moderate preterm (MPTB, 32 to 33 + 6 weeks), and late preterm (LPTB, 34 to 36 + 6 weeks). Macroscopic parameters sourced from pathology records and microscopic examination assessed for maternal and fetal stromal-vascular lesions, inflammatory and hypoxic lesions and others. Stillbirths/intrauterine demise and multifetal gestation were excluded. Clinical data were gathered from medical records.

RESULTS

A total of 645 preterm placentas were received and 538 were included. The majority were LPTB(46.3 %), while EPTB, VPTB and MPTB accounted for 5.8 %, 28.4 % and 19.5 % respectively. Low birth weight and low Apgar were prevalent in EPTB(p < 0.001), while obstetric complications were higher in other PTB categories. Placental infarction was higher in VPTB and MPTB(p = 0.006). On microscopy, maternal (48.4 %), fetal (29 %) inflammatory response and villous edema (48.4 %) was higher in EPTB(p = 0.04 & p < 0.001 respectively), while maternal stromal-vascular lesions were higher in VPTB and MPTB(67.3 % & 64.8 %, p < 0.001). Delayed villous maturation (17.7 %,p = 0.02), chronic chorioamnionitis (11.3 %,p = 0.02), membrane hypoxia (38.6 %,p = 0.007), and massive fibrin deposition (10.8 %,p < 0.001) featured higher in LPTB.

DISCUSSION

Acute inflammatory pathology was common in EPTB, strongly suggesting inflammation in triggering parturition. Frequent obstetric complications and maternal stromal-vascular lesions in VPTB and MPTB may underscore maternal vascular compromise in this group. Villous maturation defects, chronic chorioamnionitis, massive fibrin deposition and membrane hypoxia in LPTB, likely contribute to long-term neonatal morbidity.

Determinants of preterm birth among reproductive age women in sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from the most recent Demographic and Health Survey data-2019-2022

INTRODUCTION

Preterm birth is the leading cause of both infant and neonatal mortality. It also had long-term consequences for the physical and neurological development of a growing child. The majority of these and related problems occur in low- and middle-income countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, due to resource scarcity to sustain the lives of premature babies. Despite this, there is a paucity of recent information on the pooled prevalence and factors associated with preterm birth in sub-Saharan Africa. Therefore, this study aimed to update the pooled prevalence and determinants of preterm birth in sub-Saharan Africa based on the most recent Demographic and Health Survey data.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study design using the most recent demographic and health survey data from eight sub-Saharan African countries was used. We included a total weighted sample of 74,871 reproductive-aged women who gave birth in the five years preceding the survey. We used a multilevel logistic regression model to identify associated factors of preterm birth in sub-Saharan Africa. The adjusted odds ratio at 95% Cl was computed to assess the strength and significance of the association between explanatory and outcome variables. Factors with a p-value of <0.05 are declared statistically significant.

RESULTS

In this study, the pooled prevalence of preterm birth among reproductive-aged women in eight sub-Saharan African countries was 3.11% (95% CI: 2.98-3.25). Working mothers (AOR = 0.61; 95% CI: 0.38-0.97), being married (AOR = 0.63; 95% CI: 0.40-0.99), and having media exposure (AOR = 0.59; 95% CI: 0.36-0.96) decrease the odds of preterm birth. On the other hand, being low birth weight (AOR = 17.7; 95% CI: 10.7-29.3), having multiple pregnancies (AOR = 3.43; 95% CI: 1.82-6.45), having a history of terminated pregnancies (AOR = 1.56; 95% CI: 1.01-2.41), being un-educated (AOR = 3.16; 95% CI: 1.12-8.93), being of a maternal age above 35 (AOR = 1.63; 95% CI: 1.08-2.45), maternal alcohol use (AOR = 19.18; 95% CI: 13.6-38.8), and being in the low socio-economic status (AOR = 1.85; 95% CI: 1.11-3.07) of the community increase the odds of preterm birth.

CONCLUSION

The burden of preterm birth among reproductive-age women in sub-Saharan Africa showed improvements as compared to previous findings. To further lessen the burden, policymakers and other pertinent organizations must prioritize maternal health, expand media access, educate and empower women, and promote a healthy lifestyle for reproductive-age women.

Management, Utilization, and Outcomes of Preterm Labor in an Integrated Health Care System

OBJECTIVE

 Fetal fibronectin (fFN) testing and transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) are diagnostic tools used to predict impending spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) among women presenting with preterm labor (PTL). We evaluated the association between fFN testing or TVUS cervical length (CL) measurement in predicting sPTB, respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admission, and sPTB-related costs.

STUDY DESIGN

 We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the Kaiser Permanente Southern California electronic health system (January 1, 2009-December 31, 2020) using diagnostic and procedure codes, along with a natural language processing algorithm to identify pregnancies with PTL evaluations. PTL evaluation was defined as having fFN and/or TVUS assessment. Outcomes were ascertained using diagnostic, procedural, and diagnosis-related group codes. Multivariable logistic regression assessed the association between fFN and/or TVUS results and perinatal outcomes.

RESULTS

 Compared with those without PTL evaluations, those with positive fFN tests had higher adjusted odds ratio (adj.OR) for sPTB (2.95, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.64, 3.29), RDS (2.34, 95% CI: 2.03, 2.69), and NICU admission (2.24, 95% CI: 2.01, 2.50). In contrast, those who tested negative had lower odds for sPTB (adj.OR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.70, 0.79), RDS (adj.OR: 0.67, 95% CI: 0.61, 0.73), and NICU admission (adj.OR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.70, 0.79). Among those with positive fFN results, the odds of sPTB was inversely associated with CL. Health care costs for mothers and neonates were lowest for those with fFN testing only.

CONCLUSION

 This study demonstrates that positive fFN results were associated with an increased odds of sPTB, RDS, and NICU admission and the association with sPTB was inversely proportional to CL. Additionally, negative fFN results were associated with decreased odds of sPTB, RDS, and NICU admissions. fFN testing may predict these and other sPTB-related adverse outcomes hence its utility should be explored further. Moreover, fFN testing has some cost savings over TVUS.

KEY POINTS

· Patients with positive fFN tests had higher odds of sPTB, RDS, and NICU admission.. · Inverse relationship between sPTB and CL among those with positive fFN tests was observed.. · Health care costs for mothers and neonates were lowest for those with fFN testing only..

The effect of chorionicity on maternal and neonatal outcomes in triplet pregnancies

OBJECTIVE

Triplet gestations are associated with increased maternal, fetal, and neonatal complications particularly early and extreme preterm delivery. Identifying and interrupting the preterm delivery cascade could prevent the fetal, neonatal, and long-term childhood complications. The shared circulation and placental vascular anastomosis are responsible for the occurrence of twin-to-twin transfusion syndrome, selective fetal growth restriction as well as the higher risk of morbidity and mortality observed in mono and dichorionic compared to trichorionic triplet gestations. Thus, the aim of this study was to determine the effect of chorionicity on maternal, fetal, and neonatal outcomes of triplet pregnancies as it has not been fully ascertained.

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective population-based cohort study of 125 parturient with triplets' pregnancy who delivered at a single tertiary hospital.

RESULTS

98 trichorionic and 27 dichorionic gestations were included. Maternal demographic and obstetric characteristics as well as pregnancy and postpartum complications were similar in the two study groups. The median gestational age at delivery was lower among dichorionic than trichorionic triplet gestations (median 31 vs 33 weeks, p < 0.046). Early (<32 weeks) and extreme preterm delivery (<28 weeks) were more prevalent in the dichorionic than the trichorionic group (early - 56 % vs 34 %, p < 0.038; extreme - 33.3 % vs 8 %, p < 0.002). We found no difference in fetal or newborns' complications and characteristics between the groups. However, the rate of neonatal death was significantly higher in the dichorionic compared to trichorionic triplet gestations (22 % vs 7 %, p < 0.038). A multivariate logistic regression model to determine the variables that contribute to early preterm delivery in triplet gestations showed that women who experienced a past preterm delivery had an independently higher risk for early preterm delivery in the triplet gestation (adj. OR 5.91, 95 % CI 1.16-30.03). Neither maternal age nor chorionicity were found to be independent risk factors for early preterm delivery.

CONCLUSIONS

Dichorionic triplet gestations exhibit a higher rate of early (<32 weeks) and extreme (<28 weeks) preterm delivery and are more prone to neonatal death compared to trichorionic gestations. Past preterm delivery is an independent risk factor for early preterm delivery in a triplet gestation.

Heat Exposure, Preterm Birth, and the Role of Greenness in Australia

Importance

Preterm birth (PTB) is associated with adverse health outcomes. The outcomes of heat exposure during pregnancy and the moderating association of greenness with PTB remain understudied.

Objective

To investigate associations between heat exposure, greenness, and PTB, as well as interactions between these factors.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Included in this cohort study were births occurring in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, between 2000 and 2020, retrieved from New South Wales Midwives Data Collection. Participants with incomplete or missing data on their residential address or those who resided outside of New South Wales during their pregnancy were excluded. Data were analyzed from March to October 2023.

Exposures

Greenness measured using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and tree cover derived from satellite images. Daily extreme heat and nighttime extreme heat were defined as above the 95th percentile of community- and trimester-specific daily mean temperatures and nighttime temperatures.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Logistic regression models estimated the independent association of extreme heat with PTB, adjusting for individual- and area-level covariates, season of conception, and long-term trend. An interaction term between extreme heat exposure and greenness was included to explore potential modification. With a significant interaction observed, the number of preventable heat-associated PTBs that were associated with greenness was estimated.

Results

A total of 1 225 722 births (median [IQR] age, 39 [38-40] weeks; 631 005 male [51.5%]) were included in the analysis, including 63 144 PTBs (median [IQR] age, 35 [34-36] weeks; 34 822 male [55.1%]). Compared with those without heat exposure, exposure to daily extreme heat and nighttime extreme heat in the third trimester was associated with increased risks of PTB, with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 1.61 (95% CI, 1.55-1.67) and 1.51 (95% CI, 1.46-1.56]), respectively (PTB rates: exposed, 4615 of 61 338 [7.5%] vs unexposed, 56 440 of 1 162 295 [4.9%] for daily extreme heat and 4332 of 61 337 [7.1%] vs 56 723 of 1 162 296 [4.9%] for nighttime extreme heat). Disparities in associations between extreme heat exposure and PTB were observed, with lower odds of PTB among pregnant individuals residing in greener areas. The associations between extreme heat exposure and PTB could be mitigated significantly by higher greenness. Improving NDVI and tree cover could reduce daily extreme heat-associated PTB by 13.7% (95% CI, 2.3%-15.1%) and 20.9% (95% CI, 5.8%-31.5%), respectively. For nighttime extreme heat-associated PTB, reductions were 13.0% (0.2%-15.4%) and 17.2% (4.1%-27.0%), respectively.

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this large birth cohort study suggest that extreme heat exposure was adversely associated with PTB, with greenness playing a moderating role. Increasing greenness levels in residential communities could prevent heat-associated PTBs. These findings emphasize the importance of integrating heat mitigation strategies and improving green space in urban planning and public health interventions.

What now? A critical evaluation of over 20 years of clinical and research experience with 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate for recurrent preterm birth prevention

Spontaneous preterm birth is multifactorial, and underlying etiologies remain incompletely understood. Supplementation with progestogens, including 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate has been a mainstay of prematurity prevention strategies in the United States in the last 2 decades. Following a recent negative confirmatory trial, 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate was withdrawn from the US market and is currently available only through clinical research studies. This expert review summarized clinical and research data regarding the use of 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate in the United States from 2003 to 2023 for recurrent prematurity prevention. In 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate. The history of the use, mechanisms of action, clinical trial results, and efficacy by clinical and biologic criteria of 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate are presented. We report that disparate findings and conclusions between similarly designed rigorous studies may reflect differences in a priori risk and population incidence and extreme care should be taken in interpreting the studies and making decisions regarding efficacy of 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate for the prevention of preterm birth. The likelihood of improved obstetrical outcomes after receiving 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate may vary by clinical factors (eg, body mass index), plasma drug concentrations, and genetic factors, although the identification of individuals most likely to benefit remains imperfect. It is crucial for the medical community to recognize the importance of preserving the decades-long efforts invested in preventing recurrent preterm birth in the United States. Moreover, it is important that we thoroughly and thoughtfully evaluate 17-alpha hydroxyprogesterone caproate as a promising contender for future well-executed prematurity studies.

Interpretable machine learning to predict adverse perinatal outcomes: examining marginal predictive value of risk factors during pregnancy

BACKGROUND

The timely identification of nulliparas at high risk of adverse fetal and neonatal outcomes during pregnancy is crucial for initiating clinical interventions to prevent perinatal complications. Although machine learning methods have been applied to predict preterm birth and other pregnancy complications, many models do not provide explanations of their predictions, limiting the clinical use of the model.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to develop interpretable prediction models for a composite adverse perinatal outcome (stillbirth, neonatal death, estimated Combined Apgar score of <10, or preterm birth) at different points in time during the pregnancy and to evaluate the marginal predictive value of individual predictors in the context of a machine learning model.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a secondary analysis of the Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-be data, a prospective cohort study in which 10,038 nulliparous pregnant individuals with singleton pregnancies were enrolled. Here, interpretable prediction models were developed using L1-regularized logistic regression for adverse perinatal outcomes using data available at 3 study visits during the pregnancy (visit 1: 6 0/7 to 13 6/7 weeks of gestation; visit 2: 16 0/7 to 21 6/7 weeks of gestation; visit 3: 22 0/7 to 29 6/7 weeks of gestation). We identified the important predictors for each model using SHapley Additive exPlanations, a model-agnostic method of computing explanations of model predictions, and evaluated the marginal predictive value of each predictor using the DeLong test.

RESULTS

Our interpretable machine learning model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.617 (95% confidence interval, 0.595-0.639; all predictor variables at visit 1), 0.652 (95% confidence interval, 0.631-0.673; all predictor variables at visit 2), and 0.673 (95% confidence interval, 0.651-0.694; all predictor variables at visit 3). For all visits, the placental biomarker inhibin A was a valuable predictor, as including inhibin A resulted in better performance in predicting adverse perinatal outcomes (P<.001, all visits). At visit 1, endoglin was also a valuable predictor (P<.001). At visit 2, free beta human chorionic gonadotropin (P=.001) and uterine artery pulsatility index (P=.023) were also valuable predictors. At visit 3, cervical length was also a valuable predictor (P<.001).

CONCLUSION

Despite various advances in predictive modeling in obstetrics, the accurate prediction of adverse perinatal outcomes remains difficult. Interpretable machine learning can help clinicians understand how predictions are made, but barriers exist to the widespread clinical adoption of machine learning models for adverse perinatal outcomes. A better understanding of the evolution of risk factors for adverse perinatal outcomes throughout pregnancy is necessary for the development of effective interventions.

Maternal plasma and salivary anelloviruses in pregnancy and preterm birth

Introduction

Human anelloviruses, including torque teno virus (TTV) and torque teno mini virus (TTMV), are ubiquitous in the general population and have no known pathogenicity. We investigated the prevalence and viral load of TTV and TTMV in plasma and saliva over pregnancy, and assessed their association with spontaneous or medically indicated preterm birth.

Methods

This is a secondary analysis of the Measurement of Maternal Stress (MOMS) study, which recruited 744 individuals with singleton pregnancies from 4 US sites (Chicago, Pittsburgh, San Antonio, and rural Pennsylvania). Baseline outpatient visits took place in the second trimester (between 12'0 and 20'6/7  weeks' gestation), and follow-up visits in the third trimester (between 32'0 and 35'6/7  weeks' gestation). In a case-control study design, participants who delivered preterm (<37 weeks) resulting from spontaneous labor and/or preterm premature rupture of membranes ("sPTB") were compared with participants experiencing medically indicated preterm birth ("iPTB"), or delivery at term ("controls"). Plasma and saliva samples obtained during the second and third trimesters were tested for the presence and quantity of TTV and TTMV using real-time PCR. Demographic data were obtained via self-report, and clinical data via medical record review by trained research personnel.

Results

TTV was detected in plasma from 81% (second trimester) and 77% (third trimester) of participants, and in saliva from 64 and 60%. Corresponding detection rates for TTMV were 59 and 41% in plasma, and 35 and 24% in saliva. TTV and TTMV concentrations were similar between matched plasma and saliva samples. TTV prevalence and concentrations were not significantly different between groups (sPTB, iPTB, and controls). However, plasma TTMV in the third trimester was associated with sPTB and earlier gestational age at delivery. The iPTB group was not different from either the sPTB or the control group. In saliva, concentrations of TTV and TTMV were similar among the three groups. Both TTV and TTMV were more prevalent with increasing parity and were more common in Black and Hispanic participants compared to non-Hispanic White participants.

Conclusion

Anellovirus presence (specifically, TTMV) in the third trimester may be associated with preterm birth. Whether this association is causative remains to be determined.

Sociodemographic disparities in preterm birth and low birthweight in the State of Georgia: Results from the 2017-2018 Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System

PURPOSE

To update the overall prevalence of preterm birth (PTB) (<37 weeks gestation) and low birthweight (LBW) (<2,500 g) in the State of Georgia, including rural and urban counties.

METHODS

A sample was drawn from the 2017-2018 Georgia Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS). In the complete-case data of singleton births (n=1,258), we estimated the weighted percentage prevalence of PTB, LBW, early/late PTB, and moderately/very LBW subcategories in association with maternal sociodemographic characteristics, and the prevalence stratified by rural/urban county of residence. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were fitted to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) of PTB and LBW adjusting for selected covariates. Logistic regression results from multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE) were used for comparison.

FINDINGS

The overall rate for PTB was 9.3% and 6.8% for LBW and among them, 2.3% were early PTB, 7.0% were late PTB, 5.4% were moderately LBW (MLBW), and 1.3% were very LBW (VLBW). Non-Hispanic Black women had the highest prevalence of PTB, LBW, early PTB, MLBW, and VLBW, as well as PTB and LBW in urban counties and LBW in rural counties. The odds of PTB (aOR 1.38; 95% CI: 0.81, 2.35) and LBW (aOR 2.68; 95% CI: 1.32, 5.43) were also higher among non-Hispanic Black relative to non-Hispanic White women and among women who received adequate-plus prenatal care compared to inadequate prenatal care.

CONCLUSIONS

Socioeconomic and health disparities created by disadvantage should be a focus of state policy to improve neonatal outcomes in the State of Georgia.

Preterm Birth: An Overview

Birth order has a significant impact on perinatal and long-term outcomes. Preterm birth rates, ranging from 5% to 18%, are regrettably still high in industrialized and developing countries, making them the main contributor to infant mortality and morbidity. Infection, cervical pathology, uterine overdistension, progesterone deficiency, stress on the mother and fetus, allograft reaction, allergic phenomena, and likely more unknown factors are just a few of the causes of preterm birth syndrome. These several causes may improperly stimulate the usual pathway between the decidua and the fetal membranes, resulting in cervical ripening, membrane rupture, and uterine contractility. Some of the mechanisms underpinning these actions include receptors, chemokines, and inflammatory cytokines. For early identification, treatment, and avoidance of negative consequences, it is essential to understand the cellular and metabolic mechanisms that cause preterm labor. Clinicians and researchers are crucial to improving our knowledge of the biochemistry of preterm delivery, identifying risk factors, and creating treatments for this challenging condition. Intrauterine growth restriction and pre-eclampsia or eclampsia are frequent causes of suspected preterm births. "Spontaneous preterm births" occur after preterm labor that develops without warning with an early membrane rupture. It is thought that the condition that may cause these births may have several causes, such as uterine overdistension, vascular disease, infection, or inflammation. Unplanned preterm births have several reasons, including the black race, periodontal disease, low mother body mass index (BMI), and previous preterm births. A short cervical length and a high cervical-vaginal fetal fibronectin concentration are the two best signs of premature birth.

Subsequent risk of stillbirth, preterm birth, and small for gestational age: A cross-outcome analysis of adverse birth outcomes

BACKGROUND

Stillbirth, preterm birth, and small for gestational age (SGA) birth have an increased recurrence risk. The occurrence of one of these biologically related outcomes could also increase the risk for another one of these outcomes in a subsequent pregnancy.

OBJECTIVES

We assessed cross-outcome risks for subsequent stillbirth, preterm birth, and SGA.

METHODS

We used live birth and fetal death records to identify singleton, sequential birth pairs in California (1997-2017). Stillbirth was defined as delivery at ≥20 weeks of gestation of a foetus that died in utero; preterm birth as live birth at 20-36 weeks; and small for gestational age as sex-specific birthweight <10th percentile for gestational age. Risk ratios (RR) were computed using modified Poisson regression and adjusted for potential confounders. Sensitivity analyses included analysing a cohort restricted to primiparous index births and using inverse-probability censoring weights.

RESULTS

Of 3,108,532 birth pairs, 16,668 (0.5%), 260,596 (8.4%) and 331,109 (10.7%) of index births were stillborn, preterm and SGA, respectively. Among individuals with an index stillbirth, the adjusted RRs were 1.90 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.83, 1.98) for subsequent preterm and 1.35 (95% CI 1.28, 1.41) for subsequent SGA. Among those with index preterm birth, the adjusted RRs were 2.02 (95% CI 1.92, 2.13) for stillbirth and 1.42 (95% CI 1.41, 1.44) for SGA. Among those with index SGA, the adjusted RRs were 1.54 (95% CI 1.46, 1.63) for stillbirth and 1.45 (95% CI 1.44, 1.47) for preterm birth. Similar results were reported for sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals experiencing stillbirth, preterm birth, or SGA in one pregnancy had an increased risk of one of these biologically related outcomes in a subsequent pregnancy. These findings could encourage enhanced surveillance for individuals who experience stillbirth, preterm birth, or SGA and desire a subsequent pregnancy.

Optimal annual body mass index change for preventing spontaneous preterm birth in a subsequent pregnancy

Preterm birth (PTB) is a leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. Although PTB is known to recur, interpregnancy preventive strategies for PTB have not been established to date. Annual BMI change can serve as a specific target value for preventing obstetric complications during interpregnancy care/counseling. This value can also account for age-related weight gain (0.2 kg/m²/year). In a multicenter retrospective study, we investigated the optimal annual BMI change for preventing PTB recurrence using the data of individuals who had two singleton births from 2009 to 2019. The association between annual BMI change and spontaneous PTB (sPTB) was analyzed by separating cases of medically indicated PTB (mPTB) from those of sPTB. Previous history of sPTB was strongly associated with sPTB in the subsequent pregnancy (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 12.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.5-24.8). Increase in annual BMI was negatively associated with sPTB (aOR, 0.6; 95% CI 0.5-0.9). The sPTB recurrence rate was significantly lower in patients with an annual BMI change of ≥ 0.25 kg/m²/year than in those with an annual BMI change of < 0.25 kg/m²/year (7.7% vs. 35.0%, p = 0.011). Our findings suggest that age-related annual BMI gain between pregnancies may help prevent sPTB recurrence.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Low Birthweight and Preterm Birth in Post-Conflict Northern Uganda: A Community-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Annually, an estimated 20 million (13%) low-birthweight (LBW) and 15 million (11.1%) preterm infants are born worldwide. A paucity of data and reliance on hospital-based studies from low-income countries make it difficult to quantify the true burden of LBW and PB, the leading cause of neonatal and under-five mortality. We aimed to determine the incidence and risk factors for LBW and preterm birth in Lira district of Northern Uganda.

METHODS

This was a community-based cohort study, nested within a cluster-randomized trial, designed to study the effect of a combined intervention on facility-based births. In total, 1877 pregnant women were recruited into the trial and followed from 28 weeks of gestation until birth. Infants of 1556 of these women had their birthweight recorded and 1279 infants were assessed for preterm birth using a maturity rating, the New Ballard Scoring system. Low birthweight was defined as birthweight <2.5kg and preterm birth was defined as birth before 37 completed weeks of gestation. The risk factors for low birthweight and preterm birth were analysed using a multivariable generalized estimation equation for the Poisson family.

RESULTS

The incidence of LBW was 121/1556 or 7.3% (95% Confidence interval (CI): 5.4-9.6%). The incidence of preterm births was 53/1279 or 5.0% (95% CI: 3.2-7.7%). Risk factors for LBW were maternal age ≥35 years (adjusted Risk Ratio or aRR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.1-3.4), history of a small newborn (aRR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.2-3.7), and maternal malaria in pregnancy (aRR: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.01-2.9). Intermittent preventive treatment (IPT) for malaria, on the other hand, was associated with a reduced risk of LBW (aRR: 0.6, 95% CI: 0.4-0.8). Risk factors for preterm birth were maternal HIV infection (aRR: 2.8, 95% CI: 1.1-7.3), while maternal education for ≥7 years was associated with a reduced risk of preterm birth (aRR: 0.2, 95% CI: 0.1-0.98) in post-conflict northern Uganda.

CONCLUSIONS

About 7.3% LBW and 5.0% PB infants were born in the community of post-conflict northern Uganda. Maternal malaria in pregnancy, history of small newborn and age ≥35 years increased the likelihood of LBW while IPT reduced it. Maternal HIV infection was associated with an increased risk of PB compared to HIV negative status. Maternal formal education of ≥7 years was associated with a reduced risk of PB compared to those with 0-6 years. Interventions to prevent LBW and PBs should include girl child education, and promote antenatal screening, prevention and treatment of malaria and HIV infections.

Does vaginal progesterone prevent recurrent preterm birth in women with a singleton gestation and a history of spontaneous preterm birth? Evidence from a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the efficacy and safety of vaginal progesterone to prevent recurrent preterm birth and adverse perinatal outcomes in singleton gestations with a history of spontaneous preterm birth.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, LILACS, and CINAHL (from their inception to February 28, 2022), Cochrane databases, Google Scholar, bibliographies, and conference proceedings.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Randomized controlled trials that compared vaginal progesterone to placebo or no treatment in asymptomatic women with a singleton gestation and a history of spontaneous preterm birth.

METHODS

The primary outcomes were preterm birth <37 and <34 weeks of gestation. The secondary outcomes included adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. Pooled relative risks with 95% confidence intervals were calculated. We assessed the risk of bias in the included studies, heterogeneity (I2 test), small-study effects, publication bias, and quality of evidence; performed subgroup and sensitivity analyses; and calculated 95% prediction intervals and adjusted relative risks.

RESULTS

Ten studies (2958 women) met the inclusion criteria: 7 with a sample size <150 (small studies) and 3 with a sample size >600 (large studies). Among the 7 small studies, 4 were at high risk of bias, 2 were at some concerns of bias, and only 1 was at low risk of bias. All the large studies were at low risk of bias. Vaginal progesterone significantly decreased the risk of preterm birth <37 weeks (relative risk, 0.64; 95% confidence interval, 0.50-0.81; I2=75%; 95% prediction interval, 0.31-1.32; very low-quality evidence) and <34 weeks (relative risk, 0.62; 95% confidence interval, 0.42-0.92; I2=66%; 95% prediction interval, 0.23-1.68; very low-quality evidence), and the risk of admission to the neonatal intensive care unit (relative risk, 0.53; 95% confidence interval, 0.33-0.85; I2=67%; 95% prediction interval, 0.16-1.79; low-quality evidence). There were no significant differences between the vaginal progesterone and the placebo or no treatment groups in other adverse perinatal and maternal outcomes. Subgroup analyses revealed that vaginal progesterone decreased the risk of preterm birth <37 weeks (relative risk, 0.43; 95% confidence interval, 0.33-0.55; I2=0%) and <34 weeks (relative risk, 0.27; 95% confidence interval, 0.15-0.49; I2=0%) in the small but not in the large studies (relative risk, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.88-1.09; I2=0% for preterm birth <37 weeks; and relative risk, 0.94; 95% confidence interval, 0.78-1.13; I2=0% for preterm birth <34 weeks). Sensitivity analyses restricted to studies at low risk of bias indicated that vaginal progesterone did not reduce the risk of preterm birth <37 weeks (relative risk, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.09) and <34 weeks (relative risk, 0.90; 95% confidence interval, 0.71-1.15). There was clear evidence of substantial small-study effects in the meta-analyses of preterm birth <37 and <34 weeks of gestation because of funnel plot asymmetry and the marked differences in the pooled relative risks obtained from fixed-effect and random-effects models. The adjustment for small-study effects resulted in a markedly reduced and nonsignificant effect of vaginal progesterone on preterm birth <37 weeks (relative risk, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.68-1.10) and <34 weeks (relative risk, 0.92; 95% confidence interval, 0.60-1.42).

CONCLUSION

There is no convincing evidence supporting the use of vaginal progesterone to prevent recurrent preterm birth or to improve perinatal outcomes in singleton gestations with a history of spontaneous preterm birth.

Critical window for the association between prenatal environmental tobacco smoke exposure and preterm birth

Although environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) exposure is considered to be a severe public health problem and a modifiable risk factor for preterm birth (PTB), we still lack a comprehensive understanding of the PTB risk associated with trimester-specific prenatal ETS exposure. This study aimed to examine the accumulation of risk across trimester ETS exposure and the critical window of the association between maternal ETS exposure during pregnancy and PTB. A total of 63,038 mother-child pairs were involved in the analysis of the 2017 survey of Longhua Child Cohort Study. Information about socio-demographic characteristics, prenatal ETS exposure, and birth outcomes were collected using a self-report questionnaire. A series of logistic regression models were employed to assess the associations between prenatal ETS exposure and PTB. We found that maternal ETS exposure during pregnancy significantly increased the risk of PTB and this association increased with both the average level of daily ETS exposure and the number of trimesters of ETS exposure. Moreover, mothers who were initially exposed to ETS in the 1st trimester of pregnancy had significant higher risk of PTB (OR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.25-1.44). Furthermore, mothers exposed to ETS in the 1st trimester only (OR = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.04-1.50), in both 1st and 2nd trimester (OR = 1.35, 95%CI: 1.08-1.67) and throughout pregnancy (OR = 1.35, 95%CI: 1.24-1.46) experienced a significantly high risk of PTB. Prenatal maternal ETS exposure during only the 2nd trimester also resulted in a high risk of PTB with marginal significance (OR = 1.33, 95% CI:0.78-2.13). To conclude, the 1st and early 2nd trimester might be the critical window for prenatal ETS exposure causing PTB.

"Advances in Preterm Delivery"-How Can We Advance Further?

Preterm delivery (PTD: <37 gestational weeks) complicates 5−13% of deliveries worldwide [...]

Blood pressure trajectories during pregnancy and preterm delivery: A prospective cohort study in China

Women's blood pressure (BP) changes throughout pregnancy. The effect of BP trajectories on preterm delivery is not clear. The authors aim to evaluate the association between maternal BP trajectories during pregnancy and preterm delivery. The authors studied pregnant women included in the Born in Guangzhou Cohort Study in China between February 2012 and June 2016. Maternal BP was measured at antenatal visits between 13 and 40 gestational weeks, and gestational age of delivery data was collected. The authors used linear mixed models to capture the BP trajectories of women with term, and spontaneous and iatrogenic preterm delivery. BP trajectories of women with various gestational lengths (34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40 weeks) were compared. Of the 17 426 women included in the analysis, 618 (3.55%) had spontaneous preterm delivery; 158 (.91%) had iatrogenic preterm delivery; and 16 650 (95.55%) women delivered at term. The BP trajectories were all J‐shaped curves for different delivery types. Women with iatrogenic preterm delivery had the highest mean BP from 13 weeks till delivery, followed by those with spontaneous preterm delivery and term delivery (p < .001). Trajectory analysis stratified by maternal parity showed similar results for nulliparous and multiparous women. Excluding women with pre‐eclampsia and gestational hypertension (GH) significantly attenuated the aforementioned association. Also, women with shorter gestational length tend to have higher BP trajectories during pregnancy. In conclusion, Women with spontaneous preterm delivery have a higher BP from 13 weeks till delivery than women with term delivery, while women with iatrogenic preterm delivery have the highest BP.

Risk of preterm birth in relation to history of preterm birth: a population-based registry study of 213 335 women in Norway

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association between preterm first birth and preterm second birth according to gestational age and to determine the role of placental disorder in recurrent preterm birth.

DESIGN

Population-based registry study.

SETTING

Medical Birth Registry of Norway and Statistics Norway.

POPULATION

Women (n = 213 335) who gave birth to their first and second singleton child during 1999-2014 (total n = 426 670 births).

METHODS

Multivariate logistic regression analyses, adjusted for placental disorders, maternal, obstetric and socio-economic factors.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Extremely preterm (<28+0  weeks), very preterm (28+0 -33+6  weeks) and late preterm (34+0 -36+6  weeks) second birth.

RESULTS

Preterm birth (<37 weeks) rates were 5.6% for first births and 3.7% for second births. Extremely preterm second births (0.2%) occurred most frequently among women with an extremely preterm first birth (aOR 12.90, 95% CI 7.47-22.29). Very preterm second births (0.7%) occurred most frequently after an extremely preterm birth (aOR 12.98, 95% CI 9.59-17.58). Late preterm second births (2.8%) occurred most frequently after a previous very preterm birth (aOR 6.86, 95% CI 6.11-7.70). Placental disorders contributed 30-40% of recurrent extremely and very preterm births and 10-20% of recurrent late preterm birth.

CONCLUSION

A previous preterm first birth was a major risk factor for a preterm second birth. The contribution of placental disorders was more pronounced for recurrent extremely and very preterm birth than for recurrent late preterm birth. Among women with any category of preterm first birth, more than one in six also had a preterm second birth (17.4%).

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Preterm first birth is a major risk factor for subsequent preterm birth, regardless of maternal, obstetric or fetal risk factors.

Recurrent preterm birth: data from the study "Birth in Brazil"

OBJECTIVE

Describe and estimate the rate of recurrent preterm birth in Brazil according to the type of delivery, weighted by associated factors.

METHODS

We obtained data from the national hospital-based study "Birth in Brazil", conducted in 2011 and 2012, from interviews with 23,894 women. Initially, we used the chi-square test to verify the differences between newborns according to previous prematurity and type of recurrent prematurity. Sequentially, we applied the propensity score method to balance the groups according to the following covariates: maternal age, socio-economic status, smoking during pregnancy, parity, previous cesarean section, previous stillbirth or neonatal death, chronic hypertension and chronic diabetes. Finally, we performed multiple logistic regression to estimate the recorrence.

RESULTS

We analyzed 6,701 newborns. The rate of recurrence was 42.0%, considering all women with previous prematurity. Among the recurrent premature births, 62.2% were spontaneous and 37.8% were provider-initiated. After weighting by propensity score, we found that women with prematurity have 3.89 times the chance of having spontaneous recurrent preterm birth (ORaj = 3.89; 95%CI 3.01-5.03) and 3.47 times the chance of having provider-initiated recurrent preterm birth (ORaj = 3.47; 95%CI 2.59-4.66), compared to women who had full-term newborns.

CONCLUSIONS

Previous prematurity showed to be a strong predictor for its recurrence. Thus, expanding and improving the monitoring and management of pregnant women who had occurrence of prematurity strongly influence the reduction of rates and, consequently, the reduction of infant morbidity and mortality risks in the country.

Patterns of recurrent preterm birth in Western Australia: A 36-year state-wide population-based study

BACKGROUND

It is known that a previous preterm birth increases the risk of a subsequent preterm birth, but a limited number of studies have examined this beyond two consecutive pregnancies.

AIMS

This study aimed to assess the risk and patterns of (recurrent) preterm birth up to the fourth pregnancy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used Western Australian routinely linked population health datasets to identify women who had two or more consecutive singleton births (≥20 weeks gestation) from 1980 to 2015. A log-binomial model was used to calculate risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence interval (CIs) for preterm birth risk in the third and fourth deliveries by the combined outcomes of previous pregnancies.

RESULTS

We analysed 255 435 women with 651 726 births. About 7% of women had a preterm birth in the first delivery, and the rate of continuous preterm birth recurrence was 22.9% (second), 44.9% (third) and 58.5% (fourth) deliveries. The risk of preterm birth at the third delivery was highest for women with two prior indicated preterm births (RR 12.5, 95% CI: 11.3, 13.9) and for those whose first pregnancy was 32-36 weeks gestation, and second pregnancy was less than 32 weeks gestation (RR 11.8, 95% CI: 10.3, 13.5). There were similar findings for the second and fourth deliveries.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that women with any prior preterm birth were at greater risk of preterm birth in subsequent pregnancies compared with women with only term births, and the risk increased with shorter gestational length, and the number of previous preterm deliveries, especially sequential ones.

Gestational age as a predictor for subsequent preterm birth in New South Wales, Australia

Background

There is no validated evidence base on predictive ability and absolute risk of preterm birth by gestational age of the previous pregnancy.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of mothers who gave birth to their first two children in New South Wales, 1994–2016 (N = 517,558 mothers). For each week of final gestational age of the first birth, we calculated relative and absolute risks of subsequent preterm birth.

Results

For mothers whose first birth had a gestational age of 22 to 30 weeks the absolute risks of clinically significant preterm second birth (before 28, 32, and 34 weeks) were all less than 14%. For all gestational ages of the first child the median gestational ages of the second child were all at least 38 weeks. Sensitivity and positive predictive values were all below 30%.

Conclusion

Previous gestational age alone is a poor predictor of subsequent risk of preterm birth.

Validation of low-coverage whole-genome sequencing for mitochondrial DNA variants suggests mitochondrial DNA as a genetic cause of preterm birth

Preterm birth (PTB), or birth that occurs earlier than 37 weeks of gestational age, is a major contributor to infant mortality and neonatal hospitalization. Mutations in the mitochondrial genome (mtDNA) have been linked to various rare mitochondrial disorders and may be a contributing factor in PTB given that maternal genetic factors have been strongly linked to PTB. However, to date, no study has found a conclusive connection between a particular mtDNA variant and PTB. Given the high mtDNA copy number per cell, an automated pipeline was developed for detecting mtDNA variants using low‐coverage whole‐genome sequencing (lcWGS) data. The pipeline was first validated against samples of known heteroplasmy, and then applied to 929 samples from a PTB cohort from diverse ethnic backgrounds with an average gestational age of 27.18 weeks (range: 21–30). Our new pipeline successfully identified haplogroups and a large number of mtDNA variants in this large PTB cohort, including 8 samples carrying known pathogenic variants and 47 samples carrying rare mtDNA variants. These results confirm that lcWGS can be utilized to reliably identify mtDNA variants. These mtDNA variants may make a contribution toward preterm birth in a small proportion of live births.

Prediction and Prevention of Spontaneous Preterm Birth: ACOG Practice Bulletin, Number 234

Preterm birth is among the most complex and important challenges in obstetrics. Despite decades of research and clinical advancement, approximately 1 in 10 newborns in the United States is born prematurely. These newborns account for approximately three-quarters of perinatal mortality and more than one half of long-term neonatal morbidity, at significant social and economic cost (1-3). Because preterm birth is the common endpoint for multiple pathophysiologic processes, detailed classification schemes for preterm birth phenotype and etiology have been proposed (4, 5). In general, approximately one half of preterm births follow spontaneous preterm labor, about a quarter follow preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (PPROM), and the remaining quarter of preterm births are intentional, medically indicated by maternal or fetal complications. There are pronounced racial disparities in the preterm birth rate in the United States. The purpose of this document is to describe the risk factors, screening methods, and treatments for preventing spontaneous preterm birth, and to review the evidence supporting their roles in clinical practice. This Practice Bulletin has been updated to include information on increasing rates of preterm birth in the United States, disparities in preterm birth rates, and approaches to screening and prevention strategies for patients at risk for spontaneous preterm birth.

Next generation strategies for preventing preterm birth

Preterm birth (PTB) is defined as delivery before 37 weeks of gestation. Globally, 15 million infants are born prematurely, putting these children at an increased risk of mortality and lifelong health challenges. Currently in the U.S., there is only one FDA approved therapy for the prevention of preterm birth. Makena is an intramuscular progestin injection given to women who have experienced a premature delivery in the past. Recently, however, Makena failed a confirmatory trial, resulting the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research's (CDER) recommendation for the FDA to withdrawal Makena's approval. This recommendation would leave clinicians with no therapeutic options for preventing PTB. Here, we outline recent interdisciplinary efforts involving physicians, pharmacologists, biologists, chemists, and engineers to understand risk factors associated with PTB, to define mechanisms that contribute to PTB, and to develop next generation therapies for preventing PTB. These advances have the potential to better identify women at risk for PTB, prevent the onset of premature labor, and, ultimately, save infant lives.

Racial disparities in recurrent preterm delivery risk: mediation analysis of prenatal care timing

OBJECTIVES

We estimated the degree to which the association between race and spontaneous recurrent preterm delivery is mediated by the timing of the first prenatal care visit.

METHODS

A retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted using the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics Natality Files. We identified 644,576 women with a prior PTB who delivered singleton live neonates between 2011 and 2017. A mediation analysis was conducted using log-binomial regression to evaluate the mediating effect of timing of first prenatal care visit.

RESULTS

During the seven-year period, 349,293 (54.2%) White non-Hispanic women, 131,296 (20.4%) Black non-Hispanic women, 132,367 (20.5%) Hispanic women, and 31,620 (4.9%) Other women had a prior preterm delivery. The risk of late prenatal care initiation was higher in Black non-Hispanic women, Hispanic women, and Other women (women of other racial/ethnic backgrounds) compared to White non-Hispanic women, and the risk of preterm delivery was higher in women with late prenatal care initiation. Between 8 and 15% of the association between race and spontaneous recurrent preterm delivery acted through the delayed timing of the first prenatal care visit.

CONCLUSIONS

Racial disparities in spontaneous recurrent preterm delivery rates can be partly, but not primarily, attributed to timing of first prenatal care visit.

Recurrence of severe maternal morbidity: A population-based cohort analysis of California women

BACKGROUND

Severe maternal morbidity (SMM) has increased in the United States by 45% in the last decade. While the recurrence of several adverse pregnancy outcomes from one pregnancy to the next has been established, the recurrence risk of SMM is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether women who have SMM in a first pregnancy are at increased risk of SMM in their second pregnancy, compared to women who did not have SMM in their first pregnancy.

METHODS

This is a population-based study using linked vital statistics and hospital discharge records from the Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development in California from 1997 to 2012. The study population had their first two singleton births (live births or stillbirths) in California between 1997 and 2012 (n = 1 180 357). The primary exposure was SMM during the hospitalisation at first birth, and the primary outcome was SMM during the hospitalisation at second birth. Prevalence and risk ratios of SMM at second birth were computed for women who did and did not have SMM at first birth, as well as for certain specific indicators of SMM.

RESULTS

Of the 1 180 357 women included in this analysis, 9088 (77 per 10 000 births) experienced SMM at first birth. Among these women, the prevalence of SMM at second birth was 470 per 10 000 births, compared to 68 per 10 000 births among women without SMM at first birth. This corresponded to an unadjusted risk ratio of 6.87 (95% CI 6.23, 7.57), which did not differ substantially when adjusted for factors known to be associated with SMM (6.42, 95% CI 5.86, 7.13).

CONCLUSION

Women experiencing SMM in their first pregnancy were at an approximately sixfold increased risk of experiencing SMM in their second pregnancy.

Re-evaluation of gestational age as a predictor for subsequent preterm birth

BACKGROUND

To evaluate gestational age as a predictor of subsequent preterm birth.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective birth cohort study to evaluate gestational age as a predictor of subsequent preterm birth. Participants were mothers who gave birth to their first two children in Western Australia, 1980-2015 (N = 255,151 mothers). For each week of final gestational age of the first birth, we calculated relative risks (RR) and absolute risks (AR) of subsequent preterm birth defined as final gestational age before 28, 32, 34 and <37 weeks. Risks were unadjusted to preserve risk factor profiles at each week of gestation.

RESULTS

The relative risks of second birth before 28, 32, and 34 weeks' gestation were all approximately twenty times higher for mothers whose first birth had a gestational age of 22 to 30 weeks compared to those whose first birth was at 40 weeks' gestation. The absolute risks of second birth before 28, 32, and 34 weeks' gestation for these mothers had upper confidence limits that were all less than 16.74%. The absolute risk of second birth before 37 weeks was highest at 32.11% (95% CI: 30.27, 34.02) for mothers whose first birth was 22 to 30 weeks' gestation. For all gestational ages of the first child, the lowest quartile and median gestational age of the second birth were at least 36 weeks and at least 38 weeks, respectively. Sensitivity and positive predictive values were all below 35%.

CONCLUSION

Relative risks of early subsequent birth increased markedly with decreasing gestational age of the first birth. However, absolute risks of clinically significant preterm birth (<28 weeks, <32 weeks, <34 weeks), sensitivity and positive predictive values remained low. Early gestational age is a strong risk factor but a poor predictor of subsequent preterm birth.

Current Approaches to Risk Assessment and Prevention of Preterm Birth-A Continuing Public Health Crisis

Background: Preterm birth remains a major cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. Several potential pathways and pathophysiologic processes can lead to preterm birth, complicating efforts to screen for the risk of preterm birth and making implementation of prevention strategies difficult.

Methods: Based on a review of the literature, this article addresses screening strategies for preterm birth risk stratification and interventions for preterm birth prevention.

Results: In women with a history of a prior spontaneous preterm birth, cervical cerclage placement in the setting of short cervix reduces the rate of recurrent spontaneous preterm birth. Weekly injections of 17-hydroxyprogesterone caproate (17-P) have been used as standard treatment for the prevention of recurrent preterm birth since 2011. However, results of a replication study of 17-P published in 2020 have raised questions regarding the effectiveness of this drug, and it is under review by the US Food and Drug Administration. Among women with no history of preterm birth, cervical length appears to be the best predictor of risk for preterm birth in asymptomatic women. In women with a cervical length <25 mm, vaginal progesterone has been demonstrated to reduce the risk of preterm birth.

Conclusion: Strategies including cervical length screening, vaginal progesterone administration, cervical cerclage placement, and, potentially, 17-P administration may help reduce rates of preterm birth when used in the appropriate patient populations. Development of protocols for patient evaluation and risk stratification will help identify patients at highest risk for preterm birth and allow use of the best available therapeutic interventions.

The Risk of Preterm Birth in Women with Three Consecutive Deliveries-The Effect of Number and Type of Prior Preterm Births

Background: We aimed to explore the association of the number, order, gestational age and type of prior PTB and the risk of preterm birth (PTB) in the third delivery in women who had three consecutive singleton deliveries. Methods: A retrospective cohort study of all women who had three consecutive singleton births at a single medical center over a 20-year period (1994-2013). The primary outcome was PTB (<37 weeks) in the third delivery. Results: 4472 women met inclusion criteria. The rate of PTB in the third delivery was 4.9%. In the adjusted analysis, the risk of PTB was 3.5% in women with no prior PTBs; 10.9% in women with prior one PTB only in the first pregnancy; 16.2% in women with prior one PTB only in the second pregnancy; and 56.5% in women with prior two PTBs. A similar trend was observed when the outcome of interest was spontaneous PTB and when the exposure was limited to prior spontaneous or indicated PTB. Conclusions: In women with a history of PTB, the risk of recurrent PTB in subsequent pregnancies is related to the number and order of prior PTBs. These factors should be taken into account when stratifying the risk of PTB.

Controversies in the prevention of spontaneous preterm birth in asymptomatic women: an evidence summary and expert opinion

Preterm birth prevention is multifaceted and produces many nuanced questions. This review addresses six important clinical questions about preterm birth prevention as voted for by members of the UK Preterm Clinical Network. The questions cover the following areas: preterm birth prevention in 'low-risk' populations; screening for asymptomatic genital tract infection in women at high risk of preterm birth; cervical length screening with cerclage or vaginal pessary in situ; cervical shortening whilst using progesterone; use of vaginal progesterone in combination with cervical cerclage; and optimal advice about intercourse for women at high risk of preterm birth.

Maternal persistent marijuana use and cigarette smoking are independently associated with shorter gestational age

BACKGROUND

Research assessing the effects of marijuana use on preterm birth has found mixed results, in part, due to lack of attention to the role of maternal tobacco smoking during pregnancy.

OBJECTIVES

The study objective was to investigate whether maternal marijuana use was independently associated with gestational age, preterm birth, and two preterm birth subtypes (spontaneous vs clinician-initiated).

METHODS

Participants included 8261 mother-newborn pairs from the Boston Birth Cohort. Information on gestational age was collected from electronic medical records. Marijuana use and tobacco smoking during pregnancy were assessed through a standard questionnaire after birth. Linear and log-linear regression models were used to assess associations between marijuana use with and without tobacco smoking during pregnancy and the outcomes of interest.

RESULTS

Of the 8261 mothers, 27.5% had preterm births. About 3.5% of mothers with term deliveries and 5.2% of mothers with preterm births used marijuana during pregnancy. Marijuana use and cigarette smoking were independently associated with a decrease in gestational age by 0.50 weeks (95% confidence interval [CI] -0.87, -0.13) and 0.52 weeks (95% CI -0.76, -0.28), respectively. Marijuana use during early or late pregnancy was associated with a similar decrease in gestational age by 0.50 weeks. When we examined the effects on the preterm birth subtypes, simultaneous marijuana use and tobacco smoking were associated with higher risk of spontaneous preterm birth (RR 1.64, 95% CI 1.23, 2.18). The elevated risk was not observed with clinician-initiated preterm birth.

CONCLUSIONS

In this high-risk US population, maternal marijuana use and cigarette smoking during pregnancy were independently associated with shorter gestational age. When we examined the effects on preterm birth subtypes, the elevated risk was only observed with spontaneous preterm birth.

Recurrence rate of preterm birth and associated factors among women who delivered at Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre in Northern Tanzania: A registry based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Preterm birth is a public health problem particularly in low- and middle-income countries especially in sub-Saharan Africa. It is associated with infant morbidity and mortality. Survivor of preterm suffers long term health consequences such as respiratory, hearing and visual problems as well as delivering preterm infants. Preterm birth also tends to recur in subsequent pregnancies. Little is known about recurrent rate of preterm birth and associated factors in Tanzania. This study aimed to determine the recurrence rate of preterm birth and associated factors among women who delivered at Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Centre (KCMC), in Northern Tanzania.

METHODS

A historic cohort study was designed using maternally-linked data from KCMC medical birth registry. Women who delivered 2 or more singletons were included. A total of 5,946 deliveries were analysed. Recurrence of preterm birth and associated risk factors were estimated using multivariable log-binomial regression model with robust standard error to account for repeated births from the same mother.

RESULTS

Overall recurrent rate of preterm birth was 24.4%. The recurrence of early preterm birth was higher compared to late preterm birth (26.2% vs. 24.2%). Similar pattern of recurrence was observed for spontaneous and medically indicated preterm birth (13.5% vs. 10.9%, respectively). Previous preterm birth (RR;1.85, 95% CI: 1.49, 2.31), preeclampsia (RR;1.46, 95% CI: 1.07, 2.00), long inter-pregnancy interval (RR;1.22, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.49) and clinical subtypes (RR = 1.37, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.86) were important predictors for recurrent preterm birth.

CONCLUSION

Recurrence of preterm birth remains higher in this population. The rate of preterm recurrence was dependent of gestational age and sub-clinical subtype. Other factors which were associated with recurrence of preterm birth were previous preterm birth, preeclampsia and long inter-pregnancy interval. Early identification of high risk women during prenatal period is warranted.

Increased incidence of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth: A longitudinal linked national cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Determine the risk of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HD) in women with a history of spontaneous preterm birth (SPTB).

STUDY DESIGN

Longitudinal linked national cohort study within the Dutch Perinatal Registry (1999-2009) on linked data among 349,291 women with a first and second singleton pregnancy in the Netherlands.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The incidence of HD, small for gestational age (SGA) and placental abruption in the second pregnancy.

RESULTS

Out of 349,291 women with a singleton first pregnancy, 19,991 (5.7%) had a SPTB. The incidence of HD in the second pregnancy was 8.1% in women with a previous SPTB, as compared to 5.6% in women with a previous term birth (aOR 1.49 (CI 1.41-1.57)). Also after excluding HD, SGA and/or placental abruption in the first pregnancy, women with a history of SPTB had a higher risk of HD in their second pregnancy compared to women with a previous term birth (4.6% versus 2.7%, aOR 1.77 (CI 1.64-191)). Similarly, the incidence of SGA and placental abruption was higher in the second pregnancy in women with a history of SPTB compared to term birth in the first pregnancy.

CONCLUSIONS

Women with a history of SPTB are at elevated risk of HD in the subsequent pregnancy. These results support shared pathophysiology between SPTB and HD.

Performance of a proteomic preterm delivery predictor in a large independent prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

Preterm birth remains a common and devastating complication of pregnancy. There remains a need for effective and accurate screening methods for preterm birth. Using a proteomic approach, we previously discovered and validated (Proteomic Assessment of Preterm Risk study, NCT01371019) a preterm birth predictor comprising a ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the performance of the ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin to predict both spontaneous and medically indicated very preterm births, in an independent cohort distinct from the one in which it was developed.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a prospective observational study (Multicenter Assessment of a Spontaneous Preterm Birth Risk Predictor, NCT02787213) at 18 sites in the United States. Women had blood drawn at 17^0/7 to 21^6/7 weeks' gestation. For confirmation, we planned to analyze a randomly selected subgroup of women having blood drawn between 19^1/7 and 20^6/7 weeks' gestation, with the results of the remaining study participants blinded for future validation studies. Serum from participants was analyzed by mass spectrometry. Neonatal morbidity and mortality were analyzed using a composite score by a method from the PREGNANT trial (NCT00615550, Hassan et al). Scores of 0-3 reflect increasing numbers of morbidities or length of neonatal intensive care unit stay, and 4 represents perinatal mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 5011 women were enrolled, with 847 included in this planned substudy analysis. There were 9 preterm birth cases at <32^0/7 weeks' gestation and 838 noncases at ≥32^0/7 weeks' gestation; 21 of 847 infants had neonatal composite morbidity and mortality index scores of ≥3, and 4 of 21 had a score of 4. The ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin ratio was substantially higher in both preterm births at <32^0/7 weeks' gestation and there were more severe neonatal outcomes. The ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin ratio was significantly predictive of birth at <32^0/7 weeks' gestation (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.55-0.87; P=.016). Stratification by body mass index, optimized in the previous validation study (22<body mass index≤37 kg/m²), resulted in an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76 (95% confidence interval, 0.59-0.93; P=.023). The ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin ratio predicted neonatal outcomes with respective area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.57-0.77; P=.005) and 0.78 (95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.93; P=.026) for neonatal composite morbidity and mortality scores of ≥3 or 4. In addition, the ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone binding globulin significantly stratified neonates with increased length of hospital stay (log rank P=.023).

CONCLUSION

We confirmed in an independent cohort the ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin ratio as a predictor of very preterm birth, with additional prediction of increased length of neonatal hospital stay and increased severity of adverse neonatal outcomes. Potential uses of the ratio of insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 4 to sex hormone-binding globulin predictor may be to risk stratify patients for implementation of preterm birth preventive strategies and direct patients to appropriate levels of care.

Subsequent pregnancy outcomes according to the presence of acute histologic chorioamnionitis in women with spontaneous preterm delivery

Objective

To compare subsequent pregnancy outcomes according to the presence of acute histologic chorioamnionitis (HCA) in women with spontaneous preterm delivery (SPTD).

Methods

Among 1,706 women who gave birth twice or more at our institution, 138 women delivered spontaneously at preterm (<37.0 weeks). Subsequent deliveries occurred at our institution and placental biopsy results were available. The study population was categorized into 2 groups based on the presence of acute HCA at the time of SPTD: HCA group (n=52) and non-HCA group (n=86). The primary outcome measures were gestational age at delivery, birthweight, and frequency of preterm delivery in subsequent pregnancies.

Results

The median gestational age at the time of SPTD was 34.0 weeks (interquartile range [IQR], 28.9–35.3 weeks), and the frequency of acute HCA was 52/138 (38%). There were no differences in gestational age at delivery, birthweight, and frequency of preterm delivery between the HCA group and non-HCA group (median gestational age at delivery, 38.0 weeks (IQR, 36.7–38.8 weeks) in the HCA group vs. 37.9 weeks (IQR, 35.7–39.0 weeks) in the non-HCA group; frequency of preterm delivery, 14/52 (27%) in the HCA group vs. 33/86 (38%) in the non-HCA group; and median birthweight, 3.14 kg (IQR, 2.64–3.45 kg) in the HCA group vs. 2.95 kg (IQR, 2.44–3.36 kg) in the non-HCA group; P>0.1 for all.

Conclusion

The presence of acute HCA in women at prior SPTD did not significantly affect their subsequent pregnancy outcomes.

Retrospective study of the recurrence risk of preterm birth in Japan

Background: A history of preterm birth is a risk factor for preterm birth in a future pregnancy, and there are some reports of prevention methods, such as the administration of progesterone. However, the rate of recurrence of preterm birth in Japan has not been clarified, and there is no data for judging whether these preventive methods are effective.Objective: To clarify the risk of recurrence of preterm birth and preterm prelabor rupture of membranes (pPROM) in Japan.Materials and methods: A retrospective study was conducted using the perinatal registration database of the Japan Obstetrics and Gynecology Society for the Perinatal Center from 2014 to 2016. There were 704,418 subjects, of which 190,990 were excluded those with unknown maternal information, those under the age of 20 years, those with perinatal disease related to preterm birth, and first-time mothers.Results: Logistic model unavailable and multivariate analysis were performed. An analysis of the preterm birth history indicated the risk of preterm birth in the current pregnancy, and the odds ratio for preterm birth recurrence once, twice, and three times or more was 3.3, 6.6, and 7.8, respectively. As a secondary analysis, we analyzed whether the history of pPROM is a risk factor of recurrence of pPROM and found a significant association with an odds ratio of 3.4.Conclusion: Having a preterm birth history increases the risk of recurrence of preterm birth, and the risk of recurrent preterm birth increases as the number of preterm births increases. Although this report is intended for high-risk pregnancies wherein the rate of preterm birth is high, as previously reported, our data indicate that in Japan, preterm birth is a risk factor of recurrent preterm birth.

Contribution of de novo and inherited rare CNVs to very preterm birth

BACKGROUND

The genomic contribution to adverse health sequelae in babies born very preterm (<32 weeks' gestation) is unknown. We conducted an investigation of rare CNVs in infants born very preterm as part of a study to determine the feasibility and acceptability of a larger, well-powered genome-wide investigation in the UK, with follow-up using linked National Health Service records and DNA storage for additional research.

METHODS

We studied 488 parent-offspring trios. We performed genotyping using Illumina Infinium OmniExpress Arrays. CNV calling and quality control (QC) were undertaken using published protocols. We examined de novo CNVs in infants and the rate of known pathogenic variants in infants, mothers and fathers and compared these with published comparator data. We defined rare pathogenic CNVs as those consistently reported to be associated with clinical phenotypes.

RESULTS

We identified 14 de novo CNVs, representing a mutation rate of 2.9%, compared with 2.1% reported in control populations. The median size of these CNV was much higher than in comparator data (717 kb vs 255 kb). The rate of pathogenic CNVs was 4.3% in infants, 2.7% in mothers and 2% in fathers, compared with 2.3% in UK Biobank participants.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that the rate of de novo CNVs, especially rare pathogenic CNVs, could be elevated in those born very preterm. However, we will need to conduct a much larger study to corroborate this conclusion.

Reducing the Risk of Preterm Birth by Ambulatory Risk Factor Management

BACKGROUND

The preterm birth rate in Germany has remained unchanged at 8-9% since 2009. Preterm birth is the most common cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality. In the absence of a causal treatment, it is important to lower the risk of preterm birth by preventive measures in prenatal outpatient care.

METHODS

This review is based on pertinent publications from the years 2000-2019 that were retrieved by a selective search in PubMed.

RESULTS

The clinical risk factors for preterm birth-known mainly from retrospective cohort studies-include previous preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 3.6), multiple pregnancy (relative risk [RR]: 7.7), nicotine consumption (aOR: 1.7), and a short uterine cervix, i.e., <25 mm in the second trimester (aOR: 6.9). In women with a short cervix, vaginally administered progesterone significantly lowers the preterm birth rate (22.5% vs. 14.1% for birth before 33 weeks of gestation, RR: 0.62; 95% confidence interval [0.47; 0.81]). Nicotine abstinence is associated with a lower pre- term birth rate as well (aOR: 0.91; [0.88; 0,.94]), while working more than 40 hours per week (aOR: 1.25; [1,.01; 1,.54]) and heavy lifting during pregnancy (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.43; [1.13; 1.80]) are associated with a higher preterm birth rate. Avoidance of physical exertion, or bed rest, in the face of impending preterm birth does not lower the preterm birth rate, but it does increase the risk of complications, such as thromboembolism.

CONCLUSION

The meticulous assessment and elimination of treatable risk factors at the outset of ambulatory prenatal care can help lower the preterm birth rate. Further velopment of causally directed treat- ments (e.g., changes of relevant environmental and epigenetic factors).

Recurrence risk of preterm births: a retrospective Indian study

Preterm birth (PTB) is the leading cause of neonatal deaths and India is the biggest contributor to the global burden of PTBs. This study aimed to determine the risk of recurrence of PTBs and factors associated with recurrence among mothers delivered at a tertiary care perinatal centre in India. This retrospective study comprised women who had delivered singleton preterm babies (24-37 weeks of gestation and weighing ≥500 g) in 2009 and 2010, and had subsequent deliveries beyond 24 weeks of gestation by the end of March 2016. Preterm births were stratified as spontaneous and those with an indication for delivery. Information on demographic data and maternal and neonatal outcomes was accessed from the case records or enquired over telephone. Among 291 eligible women, the recurrence rate of PTB was 31.6%; 29.1% for prior spontaneous and 34.0% for indicated preterm deliveries. This recurrence risk is similar to that in the western populations. In 75.0% of the cases, the type of recurrent PTB corresponded to the index PTB. Preeclampsia (PE) was significantly associated with recurrence (OR 7.10; 95% CI: 3.33, 15.11; p < .001); thus, prevention of PE is a key component in the prevention of PTB.Impact StatementWhat is already known on this subject? Preventing preterm birth (PTB) remains a challenge because the causes of PTBs are numerous, complex and poorly understood. Spontaneous PTB before 34 weeks of gestation is a strong predictor of subsequent spontaneous PTB. Spontaneous PTB is not only associated with increased recurrence of spontaneous but also medically indicated PTB and vice versa. Risk factors may vary by the clinical subtype of the most recent PTB.What the results of this study add? Despite the highest reported number of PTBs, there are no data on recurrence from India. This study reveals that the recurrence rate of PTBs in an Indian population appears to mirror the rates in the developed nations and preeclampsia (PE) is strongly associated with recurrence.What the implications are of these findings for clinical practice and/or future research? The results of this study are useful for counselling women who had previous PTBs regarding their future obstetric outcomes. Focussed research on prediction and prevention of PE is an essential element in the algorithm for prevention of PTBs.

Maternal interpregnancy weight change and premature birth: Findings from an English population-based cohort study

Background

The relationship between maternal weight change between pregnancies and premature birth is unclear. This study aimed to investigate whether interpregnancy weight change between first and second, or second and third pregnancy is associated with premature birth.

Methods

Routinely collected data from 2003 to 2018 from one English maternity centre was used to produce two cohorts. The primary cohort (n = 14,961 women) consisted of first and second live-birth pregnancies. The secondary cohort (n = 5,108 women) consisted of second and third live-birth pregnancies. Logistic regression models were used to examine associations between interpregnancy BMI change and premature births adjusted for confounders. Subgroup analyses were carried out, stratifying by initial pregnancy BMI groups and analysing spontaneous and indicated premature births separately.

Results

In the primary cohort, 3.4% (n = 514) of births were premature compared to 4.2% (n = 212) in the secondary cohort, with fewer indicated than spontaneous premature births in both cohorts.

Primary cohort

Weight loss (>3kg/m²) was associated with increased odds of premature birth (adjusted odds ratio (aOR):3.50, 95% CI: 1.78–6.88), and spontaneous premature birth (aOR: 3.34, 95%CI: 1.60–6.98), in women who were normal weight (BMI 18.5-25kg/m²) at first pregnancy. Weight gain >1kg/m² was not associated with premature birth regardless of starting BMI.

Secondary cohort

Losing >3kg/m² was associated with increased odds of premature birth (aOR: 2.01, 95%CI: 1.05–3.87), when analysing the whole sample, but not when restricting the analysis to women who were overweight or obese at second pregnancy.

Conclusions

Normal-weight women who lose significant weight (>3kg/m²) between their first and second live pregnancies have greater odds of premature birth compared to normal-weight women who remain weight stable in the interpregnancy period. There was no evidence of association between weight change in women who were overweight or obese at the start of their first pregnancy and premature birth.

Deep learning predicts extreme preterm birth from electronic health records

OBJECTIVE

Models for predicting preterm birth generally have focused on very preterm (28-32 weeks) and moderate to late preterm (32-37 weeks) settings. However, extreme preterm birth (EPB), before the 28th week of gestational age, accounts for the majority of newborn deaths. We investigated the extent to which deep learning models that consider temporal relations documented in electronic health records (EHRs) can predict EPB.

STUDY DESIGN

EHR data were subject to word embedding and a temporal deep learning model, in the form of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to predict EPB. Due to the low prevalence of EPB, the models were trained on datasets where controls were undersampled to balance the case-control ratio. We then applied an ensemble approach to group the trained models to predict EPB in an evaluation setting with a nature EPB ratio. We evaluated the RNN ensemble models with 10 years of EHR data from 25,689 deliveries at Vanderbilt University Medical Center. We compared their performance with traditional machine learning models (logistical regression, support vector machine, gradient boosting) trained on the datasets with balanced and natural EPB ratio. Risk factors associated with EPB were identified using an adjusted odds ratio.

RESULTS

The RNN ensemble models trained on artificially balanced data achieved a higher AUC (0.827 vs. 0.744) and sensitivity (0.965 vs. 0.682) than those RNN models trained on the datasets with naturally imbalanced EPB ratio. In addition, the AUC (0.827) and sensitivity (0.965) of the RNN ensemble models were better than the AUC (0.777) and sensitivity (0.819) of the best baseline models trained on balanced data. Also, risk factors, including twin pregnancy, short cervical length, hypertensive disorder, systemic lupus erythematosus, and hydroxychloroquine sulfate, were found to be associated with EPB at a significant level.

CONCLUSION

Temporal deep learning can predict EPB up to 8 weeks earlier than its occurrence. Accurate prediction of EPB may allow healthcare organizations to allocate resources effectively and ensure patients receive appropriate care.

Relationship Between Prepregnancy Overweight, Obesity, and Preterm Birth in Puerto Rico

Objectives We examined the association between prepregnancy body mass index (PP-BMI) and preterm birth (PTB) among women in Puerto Rico (PR) as a potentially modifiable risk factor. Methods We conducted a retrospective study using the birth certificate data files from 2005 to 2012 developed by the PR Department of Health to examine the relationship between PP-BMI and PTB. Logistic regression was used to determine crude and adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the categories of PP-BMI of overweight (25-29.9 kg/m²), obesity (≥ 30 kg/m²), and overweight and obesity together (≥ 25 kg/m²) and PTB. Stratified analysis explored the associations between PP-BMI and PTB by region within PR and year. Results Following exclusions of birth records with missing data, 343,508 births were included in our analysis. The percentage of PTB decreased from 18.6 to 15.2 during our study period. Statistically significant differences were observed between preterm and full term births across all covariates. Overweight (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.06, 1.11), obesity (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.14, 1.20), and overweight and obesity together (OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.09, 1.14) were significantly associated with increased odds of PTB after adjusting for confounders. The associations between PP-BMI and PTB persisted across all regions and years. Conclusions for Practice PP-BMI is associated with increased odds of PTB among women in PR and the associations were consistent in exploratory analyses. Future research should examine the relationship between PP-BMI and PTB among other Hispanic subgroups and among Puerto Ricans in the mainland United States.

Progesterone for the Prevention of Preterm Birth - an Update of Evidence-Based Indications

The prevention and treatment of preterm birth remains one of the biggest challenges in obstetrics. Worldwide, 11% of all children are born prematurely with far-reaching consequences for the children concerned, their families and the health system. Experimental studies suggest that progesterone inhibits uterine contractions, stabilises the cervix and has immunomodulatory effects. Recent years have seen the publication of numerous clinical trials using progestogens for the prevention of preterm birth. As a result of different inclusion criteria and the use of different progestogens and their methods of administration, it is difficult to draw comparisons between these studies. A critical evaluation of the available studies was therefore carried out on the basis of a search of the literature (1956 to 09/2018). Taking into account the most recent randomised, controlled studies, the following evidence-based recommendations emerge: In asymptomatic women with singleton pregnancies and a short cervical length on ultrasound of ≤ 25 mm before 24 weeks of gestation (WG), daily administration of vaginal progesterone (200 mg capsule or 90 mg gel) up until 36 + 6 WG leads to a significant reduction in the preterm birth rate and an improvement in neonatal outcome. The latest data also suggest positive effects of treatment with progesterone in cases of twin pregnancies with a short cervical length on ultrasound of ≤ 25 mm before 24 WG. The study data for the administration of progesterone in women with singleton pregnancies with a previous preterm birth have become much more heterogeneous, however. It is not possible to make a general recommendation for this indication at present, and decisions must therefore be made on a case-by-case basis. Even if progesterone use is considered to be safe in terms of possible long-term consequences, exposure should be avoided where it is not indicated. Careful patient selection is crucial for the success of treatment.