The systematic error in the estimation of fetal weight and the underestimation of fetal growth restriction

Respiratory morbidity among offspring misclassified as growth restricted

OBJECTIVE

An ultrasound-based diagnosis implies that some fetuses suspected to be growth-restricted (FGR) are discovered at birth to be appropriately grown (appropriate for gestational age [AGA] birth weight, between the 10th and 90th percentile). These fetuses may thus be exposed to unnecessary medical interventions, including early labor induction. In this study, we have evaluated the long-term respiratory health of offspring misclassified as FGR.

STUDY DESIGN

A population-based cohort analysis was conducted, including deliveries of AGA singletons between 1991 and 2021 at a tertiary referral hospital. Incidence of morbidity due to various respiratory conditions was compared between AGA offspring with prenatal diagnosis of FGR, and those without a false diagnosis of FGR. The Kaplan-Meier approach was used to estimate cumulative morbidity incidence. The stratified Cox proportional-hazards model was used to control for confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 324,620 deliveries of AGA newborns were included in the analyses; 3249 of them (1.0%) were misclassified prenatally as FGR. The FGR subgroup delivered at an earlier gestational age (36.7 vs. 39.1 weeks, p < .001) and had more than 25% higher incidence of respiratory-related morbidity during childhood (33.2% vs. 26.5%), specifically related to asthma and obstructive sleep apnea (p < .001 for all). A higher cumulative morbidity rate due to respiratory conditions was observed in the Kaplan-Meier survival curve (log-rank p value < .001). This association between FGR and respiratory morbidity was independent of preterm delivery, maternal age, cesarean delivery, and child's birth year (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.21, p < .001), using a Cox proportional hazards model.

CONCLUSION

AGA newborns misclassified as FGR, are at an increased risk for long-term respiratory morbidity during childhood and adolescence.

Variation in Fetal Weight Percentile Estimates

OBJECTIVES

Weight percentiles are generally reported without any indication of error. This variation can lead a fetus being mistakenly classified erroneously as having intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) or macrosomia. The goal of this study was to compare estimated weight percentiles with the actual observed weight percentile for each gestational age in a large cohort of fetuses being scanned in our institution.

METHODS

After IRB approval the radiology information system data base was retrospectively searched for all obstetrical US reports obtained during the late second and third trimesters from July 1, 2014, until July 1, 2020. Demographic information, fetal weight, and weight percentile information were obtained from these reports. Quantile-quantile plots were created for all gestational ages and all ethnicities.

RESULTS

Our study included 6259 ultrasounds in 4060 patients. Mean maternal age of the total group was 31.68 years (ranging 15-53 years). When all subjects were considered, the median values in our QQ plots approximated the line of identity. However, there was considerable variation for a given estimate, implying that estimated fetal weight percentiles are only very rough predictors of the actual percentile.

CONCLUSION

Estimated fetal weight percentiles are only very rough predictors of the actual percentile. We therefore suggest that estimates of the weight percentile should be reported along with an estimate of the expected variation. Recognition of variations in weight percentile should be considered in the greater clinical context, and could potentially prevent misdiagnosis of growth restriction and macrosomia as well as the subsequent overutilization of resources, unnecessary interventions, and maternal stress.

Prediction of Late-Onset Small for Gestational Age and Fetal Growth Restriction by Fetal Biometry at 35 Weeks and Impact of Ultrasound-Delivery Interval: Comparison of Six Fetal Growth Standards

Small-for-gestational-age (SGA) infants have been associated with increased risk of adverse perinatal outcomes (APOs). In this work, we assess the predictive ability of the ultrasound-estimated percentile weight (EPW) at 35 weeks of gestational age to predict late-onset SGA and APOs, according to six growth standards, and whether the ultrasound–delivery interval influences the detection rate. To this purpose, we analyze a retrospective cohort study of 9585 singleton pregnancies. EPWs at 35 weeks were calculated to the customized Miguel Servet University Hospital (MSUH) and Figueras standards and the non-customized MSUH, Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF), INTERGROWTH-21st, and WHO standards. As results of our analysis, for a 10% false positive rate, the detection rates for SGA ranged between 48.9% with the customized Figueras standard (AUC 0.82) and 60.8% with the non-customized FMF standard (AUC 0.87). Detection rates to predict SGA by ultrasound–delivery interval (1–6 weeks) show higher detection rates as intervals decrease. APOs detection rates ranged from 27.0% with FMF to 7.9% with the Figueras standard. In conclusion, the ability of EPW to predict SGA at 35 weeks is good for all standards, and slightly better for non-customized standards. The APO detection rate is significantly greater for non-customized standards.

Side-Population Trophoblasts Exhibit the Differentiation Potential of a Trophoblast Stem Cell Population, Persist to Term, and are Reduced in Fetal Growth Restriction

BACKGROUND

Fetal growth restriction often results from poor placental function and is a major cause of stillbirth. Clinically, fetal growth restriction is difficult to diagnose and currently has no effective treatment. Trophoblasts are unique placental cells that form the feto-maternal interface and facilitate nutrient and gas exchange. Fetal growth restriction is linked to inadequate trophoblast function. However, our understanding of the mechanisms underlying this dysfunction are poor, in part because of our inability to isolate and study the trophoblast stem cells from which mature trophoblasts arise in pathologic pregnancies.

METHODS

Cells isolated from first-trimester placentae using the Hoechst side-population technique were propagated or differentiated into mature trophoblasts. Side-population trophoblasts were isolated from normal third-trimester and growth restricted placentae using the same technique. First and third-trimester side-population trophoblasts were compared by microarray analysis.

RESULTS

First-trimester side-population trophoblasts could be propagated in an undifferentiated state or differentiated, via intermediate cytotrophoblasts, into syncytiotrophoblast or extravillous trophoblasts. Using the same technique, side-population trophoblasts could be isolated from term placentae for the first time, demonstrating that while they were present at consistent levels throughout gestation (~3·5%), side-population trophoblasts were significantly depleted in growth restricted pregnancies (0·32%).

CONCLUSIONS

Our novel method of isolating a population of human trophoblast stem cell-like cells directly from human placental tissue throughout gestation provides the first insights into trophoblast dysfunction in pregnancy pathologies. The depletion of side-population trophoblasts in growth restricted placentae may contribute to poor placental function.

Effectiveness of routine third trimester ultrasonography to reduce adverse perinatal outcomes in low risk pregnancy (the IRIS study): nationwide, pragmatic, multicentre, stepped wedge cluster randomised trial

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the effectiveness of routine ultrasonography in the third trimester in reducing adverse perinatal outcomes in low risk pregnancies compared with usual care and the effect of this policy on maternal outcomes and obstetric interventions.

DESIGN

Pragmatic, multicentre, stepped wedge cluster randomised trial.

SETTING

60 midwifery practices in the Netherlands.

PARTICIPANTS

13 046 women aged 16 years or older with a low risk singleton pregnancy.

INTERVENTIONS

60 midwifery practices offered usual care (serial fundal height measurements with clinically indicated ultrasonography). After 3, 7, and 10 months, a third of the practices were randomised to the intervention strategy. As well as receiving usual care, women in the intervention strategy were offered two routine biometry scans at 28-30 and 34-36 weeks' gestation. The same multidisciplinary protocol for detecting and managing fetal growth restriction was used in both strategies.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome measure was a composite of severe adverse perinatal outcomes: perinatal death, Apgar score <4, impaired consciousness, asphyxia, seizures, assisted ventilation, septicaemia, meningitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, intraventricular haemorrhage, periventricular leucomalacia, or necrotising enterocolitis. Secondary outcomes were two composite measures of severe maternal morbidity, and spontaneous labour and birth.

RESULTS

Between 1 February 2015 and 29 February 2016, 60 midwifery practices enrolled 13 520 women in mid-pregnancy (mean 22.8 (SD 2.4) weeks' gestation). 13 046 women (intervention n=7067, usual care n=5979) with data based on the national Dutch perinatal registry or hospital records were included in the analyses. Small for gestational age at birth was significantly more often detected in the intervention group than in the usual care group (179 of 556 (32%) v 78 of 407 (19%), P<0.001). The incidence of severe adverse perinatal outcomes was 1.7% (n=118) for the intervention strategy and 1.8% (n=106) for usual care. After adjustment for confounders, the difference between the groups was not significant (odds ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.70 to 1.20). The intervention strategy showed a higher incidence of induction of labour (1.16, 1.04 to 1.30) and a lower incidence of augmentation of labour (0.78, 0.71 to 0.85). Maternal outcomes and other obstetric interventions did not differ between the strategies.

CONCLUSION

In low risk pregnancies, routine ultrasonography in the third trimester along with clinically indicated ultrasonography was associated with higher antenatal detection of small for gestational age fetuses but not with a reduced incidence of severe adverse perinatal outcomes compared with usual care alone. The findings do not support routine ultrasonography in the third trimester for low risk pregnancies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Netherlands Trial Register NTR4367.

Fetal Growth Restriction Prediction: How to Move beyond

The actual burden and future burden of the small-for-gestational-age (SGA) babies turn their screening in pregnancy a question of major concern for clinicians and policymakers. Half of stillbirths are due to growth restriction in utero, and possibly, a quarter of livebirths of low- and middle-income countries are SGA. Growing body of evidence shows their higher risk of adverse outcomes at any period of life, including increased rates of neurologic delay, noncommunicable chronic diseases (central obesity and metabolic syndrome), and mortality. Although there is no consensus regarding its definition, birthweight centile threshold, or follow-up, we believe birthweight <10th centile is the most suitable cutoff for clinical and epidemiological purposes. Maternal clinical factors have modest predictive accuracy; being born SGA appears to be of transgenerational heredity. Addition of ultrasound parameters improves prediction models, especially using estimated fetal weight and abdominal circumference in the 3rd trimester of pregnancy. Placental growth factor levels are decreased in SGA pregnancies, and it is the most promising biomarker in differentiating angiogenesis-related SGA from other causes. Unfortunately, however, only few societies recommend universal screening. SGA evaluation is the first step of a multidimensional approach, which includes adequate management and long-term follow-up of these newborns. Apart from only meliorating perinatal outcomes, we hypothesize SGA screening is a key for socioeconomic progress.

Examining the predictive accuracy of metabolomics for small-for-gestational-age babies: a systematic review

INTRODUCTION

To date, there is no robust enough test to predict small-for-gestational-age (SGA) infants, who are at increased lifelong risk of morbidity and mortality.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the accuracy of metabolomics in predicting SGA babies and elucidate which metabolites are predictive of this condition.

DATA SOURCES

Two independent researchers explored 11 electronic databases and grey literature in February 2018 and November 2018, covering publications from 1998 to 2018. Both researchers performed data extraction and quality assessment independently. A third researcher resolved discrepancies.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Cohort or nested case-control studies were included which investigated pregnant women and performed metabolomics analysis to evaluate SGA infants. The primary outcome was birth weight <10th centile-as a surrogate for fetal growth restriction-by population-based or customised charts.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS METHODS

Two independent researchers extracted data on study design, obstetric variables and sampling, metabolomics technique, chemical class of metabolites, and prediction accuracy measures. Authors were contacted to provide additional data when necessary.

RESULTS

A total of 9181 references were retrieved. Of these, 273 were duplicate, 8760 were removed by title or abstract, and 133 were excluded by full-text content. Thus, 15 studies were included. Only two studies used the fifth centile as a cut-off, and most reports sampled second-trimester pregnant women. Liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry was the most common metabolomics approach. Untargeted studies in the second trimester provided the largest number of predictive metabolites, using maternal blood or hair. Fatty acids, phosphosphingolipids and amino acids were the most prevalent predictive chemical subclasses.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Significant heterogeneity of participant characteristics and methods employed among studies precluded a meta-analysis. Compounds related to lipid metabolism should be validated up to the second trimester in different settings.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42018089985.

Type of Delivery, Neuropsychological Development and Intelligence in Twin Births

Based on a retrospective cohort design with 6-year-old children born in twin births, the relationship between verbal, non-verbal, global neuropsychological development, general intelligence and type of delivery has been studied. To this end, the possible effect of third gestational, obstetric and neonatal variables, such as maternal age at delivery, fetal presentation, gestational age, newborn weight and Apgar at minute one, was controlled. The exposed cohort includes children born by cesarean section, and the unexposed cohort is composed of children born vaginally with or without induction. A total of 124 children were evaluated in their 1st year of primary school using the Child Neuropsychological Maturity Questionnaire, Kaufman's Intelligence Test and the medical histories of the children collected after birth. By means of binary logistic regression analysis, it has been found that the type of delivery is presented as an independent risk factor for disorders in verbal, non-verbal and global development and for the general intellectual difficulties of children born of multiple births. These results suggest the need to analyze in future prospective studies with broader samples the relationship between different types of obstetric and perinatal variables of birth type and infant neuropsychological development and general intelligence, in order to prevent possible psychological alterations from birth.

Neonatal Morbidities of Fetal Growth Restriction: Pathophysiology and Impact

Being born small lays the foundation for short-term and long-term implications for life. Intrauterine or fetal growth restriction describes the pregnancy complication of pathological reduced fetal growth, leading to significant perinatal mortality and morbidity, and subsequent long-term deficits. Placental insufficiency is the principal cause of FGR, which in turn underlies a chronic undersupply of oxygen and nutrients to the fetus. The neonatal morbidities associated with FGR depend on the timing of onset of placental dysfunction and growth restriction, its severity, and the gestation at birth of the infant. In this review, we explore the pathophysiological mechanisms involved in the development of major neonatal morbidities in FGR, and their impact on the health of the infant. Fetal cardiovascular adaptation and altered organ development during gestation are principal contributors to postnatal consequences of FGR. Clinical presentation, diagnostic tools and management strategies of neonatal morbidities are presented. We also present information on the current status of targeted therapies. A better understanding of neonatal morbidities associated with FGR will enable early neonatal detection, monitoring and management of potential adverse outcomes in the newborn period and beyond.

Accuracy of sonographic estimated fetal weight in suspected macrosomia: the likelihood of overestimating and underestimating the true birthweight

Objective: Macrosomia has increased risk of serious adverse outcomes for both infants and their mothers. As such, many providers recommend induction of labor or cesarean delivery (CD) based on sonographic estimated fetal weight (sonoEFW) cutoffs. It is known that sonoEFW is a poor predictor of birthweight (BW), especially at the extremes of weight. It is not clear, however, whether sonoEFWs tend to underestimate or overestimate the true BW among fetuses with suspected macrosomia. The objective of this study was to compare rates of overestimation of BW among women with suspected macrosomia by sonoEFW.Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study of women who presented to a single maternal-fetal medicine ultrasound unit within 2 weeks prior to delivery from January 2011 to November 2017. We identified women who received a sonoEFW ≥4000 g. The study sample was divided into four sonoEFW categories: 4000-4249, 4250-4499, 4500-4749, and ≥4750 g. Accuracy of sonoEFW was compared across groups, with the primary outcome being overestimation of BW.Results: A total of 502 patients were included, of whom 301 (60.1%) had a sonoEFW 4000-4249 g, 135 (26.9%) had a sonoEFW 4250-4499 g, 45 (9.0%) had a sonoEFW 4500-4749 g, and 21 (4.2%) had a sonoEFW ≥4750 g. In each sonoEFW group, the risk of overestimating BW was greater than 50%, and the likelihood of overestimation of BW increased significantly across sonoEFW groups (69.4, 76.3, 80.0, 95.2%, p < .001). This held true after adjusting for differences in baseline characteristics, including diabetes and amniotic fluid index. BW ≥4500 g was not accurately predicted. Among women with sonoEFW 4500-4749 g, only 28.9% delivered a neonate with a BW >4500 g; for women with a sonoEFW ≥4750 g, only 47.6% had a BW >4500 g. One hundred sixty-one (32.1%) women underwent CD for suspected macrosomia. Of these CDs, 48 (29.8%) of neonates had a BW <4000 g and 134 (83.2%) had a BW <4500 g.Conclusion: In patients undergoing sonoEFW within 2 weeks of delivery, sonoEFWs ≥4000 g are significantly more likely to overestimate than underestimate the true BW. Obstetricians should be cautious about intervening based on sonoEFW alone, given the high risk that this value is an overestimation of the true weight.

Fetal Biometry and Doppler Study for the Assessment of Perinatal Outcome in Stage I Late-Onset Fetal Growth Restriction

OBJECTIVE

To compare perinatal outcomes on fetuses classified as stage I late-onset fetal growth restriction (FGR) depending on the estimated fetal weight (EFW) centile category and the fetal and maternal Doppler study.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Retrospective cohort study on 131 cases of stage I late-onset FGR (diagnosis ≥32+0 weeks), defined as: EFW < 3rd centile and normal Doppler (G1) or EFW < 10th centile and mean uterine artery pulsatility index (PI) > 95th centile (G2) or EFW < 10th centile and mild fetal Doppler alteration: umbilical artery PI > 95th centile, middle cerebral artery PI < 5th centile, or cerebroplacental ratio < 5th centile (G3). All groups were compared to their perinatal results.

RESULTS

There were 37, 30, and 64 cases in G1, G2, and G3, respectively. G1 and G2 showed lower percentages of cesarean section when compared with G3 (18.4, 22.5, and 45.3% (p < 0.01), respectively), being attributable to an excess of cesarean sections for non-reassuring fetal status. These differences remained when definitive birth weight centile was above that considered to define FGR, being 5.9, 12.5, and 41.8% (p < 0.01), respectively.

DISCUSSION

In stage I late-onset FGR fetuses, abnormal fetal Doppler is associated with a poorer tolerance to vaginal delivery, even when the birth weight is > 10th centile.

Individualized growth assessment: conceptual framework and practical implementation for the evaluation of fetal growth and neonatal growth outcome

Fetal growth abnormalities can pose significant consequences on perinatal morbidity and mortality of nonanomalous fetuses. The most widely accepted definition of fetal growth restriction is an estimated fetal weight less than the 10th percentile for gestational age according to population-based criteria. However, these criteria do not account for the growth potential of an individual fetus, nor do they effectively separate constitutionally small fetuses from ones that are malnourished. Furthermore, conventional approaches typically evaluate estimated fetal weight at a single time point, rather than using serial scans, to evaluate growth. This article provides a conceptual framework for the individualized growth assessment of a fetus/neonate based on measuring second-trimester growth velocity of fetal size parameters to estimate growth potential. These estimates specify size models that generate individualized third-trimester size trajectories and predict birth characteristics. Comparisons of measured and predicted values are used to separate normally growing fetuses from those with growth abnormalities. This can be accomplished with individual anatomical parameters or sets of parameters. A practical and freely available software (Individualized Growth Assessment Program) has been developed to allow implementation of this approach for clinical and research purposes.

Comparison of conventional 2D ultrasound to magnetic resonance imaging for prenatal estimation of birthweight in twin pregnancy

BACKGROUND

During prenatal follow-up of twin pregnancies, accurate identification of birthweight and birthweight discordance is important to identify the high-risk group and plan perinatal care. Unfortunately, prenatal evaluation of birthweight discordance by 2-dimensional ultrasound has been far from optimal.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of the study was to prospectively compare estimates of fetal weight based on 2-dimensional ultrasound (ultrasound-estimated fetal weight) and magnetic resonance imaging (magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight) with actual birthweight in women carrying twin pregnancies.

STUDY DESIGN

Written informed consent was obtained for this ethics committee-approved study. Between September 2011 and December 2015 and within 48 hours before delivery, ultrasound-estimated fetal weight and magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight were conducted in 66 fetuses deriving from twin pregnancies at 34.3-39.0 weeks; gestation. Magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight derived from manual measurement of fetal body volume. Comparison of magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight and ultrasound-estimated fetal weight measurements vs birthweight was performed by calculating parameters as described by Bland and Altman. Receiver-operating characteristic curves were constructed for the prediction of small-for-gestational-age neonates using magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight and ultrasound-estimated fetal weight. For twins 1 and 2 separately, the relative error or percentage error was calculated as follows: (birthweight - ultrasound-estimated fetal weight (or magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight)/birthweight) × 100 (percentage). Furthermore, ultrasound-estimated fetal weight, magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight, and birthweight discordance were calculated as 100 × (larger estimated fetal weight-smaller estimated fetal weight)/larger estimated fetal weight. The ultrasound-estimated fetal weight discordance and the birthweight discordance were correlated using linear regression analysis and Pearson's correlation coefficient. The same was done between the magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight and birthweight discordance. To compare data, the χ², McNemar test, Student t test, and Wilcoxon signed rank test were used as appropriate. We used the Fisher r-to-z transformation to compare correlation coefficients.

RESULTS

The bias and the 95% limits of agreement of ultrasound-estimated fetal weight are 2.99 (-19.17% to 25.15%) and magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight 0.63 (-9.41% to 10.67%). Limits of agreement were better between magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight and actual birthweight as compared with the ultrasound-estimated fetal weight. Of the 66 newborns, 27 (40.9%) were of weight of the 10th centile or less and 21 (31.8%) of the fifth centile or less. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for prediction of birthweight the 10th centile or less by prenatal ultrasound was 0.895 (P < .001; SE, 0.049), and by magnetic resonance imaging it was 0.946 (P < .001; SE, 0.024). Pairwise comparison of receiver-operating characteristic curves showed a significant difference between the areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (difference, 0.087, P = .049; SE, 0.044). The relative error for ultrasound-estimated fetal weight was 6.8% and by magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight, 3.2% (P < .001). When using ultrasound-estimated fetal weight, 37.9% of fetuses (25 of 66) were estimated outside the range of ±10% of the actual birthweight, whereas this dropped to 6.1% (4 of 66) with magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight (P < .001). The ultrasound-estimated fetal weight discordance and the birthweight discordance correlated significantly following the linear equation: ultrasound-estimated fetal weight discordance = 0.03 + 0.91 × birthweight (r = 0.75; P < .001); however, the correlation was better with magnetic resonance imaging: magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight discordance = 0.02 + 0.81 × birthweight (r = 0.87; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

In twin pregnancies, magnetic resonance-estimated fetal weight performed immediately prior to delivery is more accurate and predicts small-for-gestational-age neonates significantly better than ultrasound-estimated fetal weight. Prediction of birthweight discordance is better with magnetic resonance imaging as compared with ultrasound.