Impact of Multiple Risk Factors on Vaccination Inequities: Analysis in Indian Infants Over 2 Decades

Child immunization status according to number of siblings and birth order in 85 low- and middle-income countries: a cross-sectional study

Background

Identification of unvaccinated children is important for preventing deaths due to infections. Number of siblings and birth order have been postulated as risk factors for zero-dose prevalence.

Methods

We analysed nationally representative cross-sectional surveys from 85 low and middle-income countries (2010-2020) with information on immunisation status of children aged 12-35 months. Zero-dose prevalence was defined as the failure to receive any doses of DPT (diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus) vaccine. We examined associations with birth order and the number of siblings, adjusting for child's sex, maternal age and education, household wealth quintiles and place of residence. Poisson regression was used to calculate zero-dose prevalence ratios.

Findings

We studied 375,548 children, of whom 13.7% (n = 51,450) were classified as zero-dose. Prevalence increased monotonically with birth order and with the number of siblings, with prevalence increasing from 11.0% for firstborn children to 17.1% for birth order 5 or higher, and from 10.5% for children with no siblings to 17.2% for those with four or more siblings. Adjustment for confounders attenuated but did not eliminate these associations. The number of siblings remained as a strong risk factor when adjusted for confounders and birth order, but the reverse was not observed. Among children with the same number of siblings, there was no clear pattern in zero-dose prevalence by birth order; for instance, among children with two siblings, the prevalence was 13.0%, 14.7%, and 13.3% for firstborn, second, and third-born, respectively. Similar results were observed for girls and boys. 9513 families had two children aged 12-35 months. When the younger sibling was unvaccinated, 61.9% of the older siblings were also unvaccinated. On the other hand, when the younger sibling was vaccinated, only 5.9% of the older siblings were unvaccinated.

Interpretation

The number of siblings is a better predictor than birth order in identifying children to be targeted by immunization campaigns. Zero-dose children tend to be clustered within families.

Funding

Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance.

Vaccination inequities among children 12-23 months in India: An analysis of inter-state differences

Background

Previous research has shown that socioeconomic and demographic risk factors in children are additive and lead to increasingly negative impacts on vaccination coverage. The goal of this study is to examine if different combinations of four risk factors (infant sex, birth order, maternal education level, and family wealth status) vary by state among children 12-23 months in India and to determine the impact of ≥ 1 risk factor on differences in state vaccination rates.

Methods

Using data from the National Family Health Survey (NFHS) conducted in India between 2005 and 2006 (NFHS-3) and 2015-2016 (NFHS-4), full vaccination of children 12-23 months was examined. Full vaccination was defined as receipt of one dose of bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG), three doses of diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus vaccine (DPT) vaccine, three doses of oral polio vaccine (OPV), and one dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV). Associations between full vaccination and the four risk factors were assessed using logistic regression. Data were analyzed by the state of residence.

Results

A total of 60.9% of children 12-23 months were fully vaccinated, in NFHS-4, ranging from 33.9% in Arunachal Pradesh to 91.3% in Punjab. In NFHS-4, the odds of full vaccination across all states were 15% lower among infants with 2 risk factors versus 0 or 1 risk factors (OR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.80-0.91), and 28% lower among infants with 3 or 4 risk factors versus 0 or 1 risk factor (OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.67-0.78). Overall, the absolute difference in the full vaccination coverage in those with > 2 vs < 2 risk factors decreased from -13% in NFHS-3 to -5.6% in NFHS-4, with substantial variation across states.

Conclusions

Disparities in full vaccination exist among children 12-23 months experiencing > 1 risk factor. Indian states that are more populous or located in the north were more likely to have greater disparities.

Measles seroprevalence in persons over one year of age in Chandigarh, India

Measles continues to result in focal outbreaks in India, despite over three decades of universal infant vaccination. The aims of this study were to examine measles immunity in the population of Chandigarh, India, and to compare immunity by vaccination vs. natural infection. In a cross-sectional study of individuals 1-60 years selected from 30 communities within Chandigarh during 2017-2018, measles immunity was assessed using serological surveys. Seropositivity was compared across demographic groups, and by prior history of vaccination and natural history of infection. Among those 1-20 years old, measles seropositivity, and histories of measles vaccination or prior measles diagnosis were separately assessed as outcomes in logistic regression models, with demographic factors as independent variables. Among 1690 participants, 94% were seropositive, and 6% had borderline or negative antibody levels. Of those positive, 30% had prior vaccination, 16% had a history of natural infection, and 54% had an unknown history. Over 50% of individuals among those >20 years old, had unknown history of immunity. In the multivariable regression models, vaccination was more common in younger ages (P < .0001), and in males compared to females (P = .0220), and in those with more education (P < .0001). The majority of the population was seropositive, and seropositivity increased with age. Older age groups were more likely to be protected because of previous natural infection, whereas younger age groups were protected by vaccination. There was inequity in vaccination coverage by gender, and maternal education status.