Does mitotic rate predict sentinel lymph node metastasis or survival in patients with intermediate and thick melanoma?

Could the mitotic count improve personalized prognosis in melanoma patients?

A number of studies have indicated that the mitotic rate may be a predictive factor for poor prognosis in melanoma patients. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the mitotic rate is associated with other prognostic clinical and anatomopathological characteristics. After adjusting for other anatomopathological characteristics, we then verified the prognostic value of the number of mitoses, determining in which population subgroup this variable may have greater prognostic significance on 3-year mortality. The Veneto Cancer Registry (Registro Tumori del Veneto-RTV), a high-resolution population-based dataset covering the regional population of approximately 4.9 million residents, served as the clinical data source for the analysis. Inclusion criteria included all incident cases of invasive cutaneous malignant melanoma recorded in the RTV in 2015 (1,050 cases) and 2017 (1,205 cases) for which the number of mitoses was available. Mitotic classes were represented by Kaplan-Meier curves for short-term overall survival. Cox regression calculated hazard ratios in multivariable models to evaluate the independent prognostic role of different mitotic rate cut-offs. The results indicate that the mitotic rate is associated with other survival prognostic factors: the variables comprising the TNM stage (e.g., tumor thickness, ulceration, lymph node status and presence of metastasis) and the characteristics that are not included in the TNM stage (e.g., age, site of tumor, type of morphology, growth pattern and TIL). Moreover, this study demonstrated that, even after adjusting for these prognostic factors, mitoses per mm2 are associated with higher mortality, particularly in T2 patients. In conclusion, these findings revealed the need to include the mitotic rate in the histological diagnosis because it correlates with the prognosis as an independent factor. The mitotic rate can be used to develop a personalized medicine approach in the treatment and follow-up monitoring of melanoma patients.

Diagnostic and prognostic risk factors analysis for distant metastasis in melanoma: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop tools that could predict the occurrence of distant metastases in melanoma and its prognosis based on clinical and pathological characteristics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We obtained data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of melanoma patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2019. Logistic analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors associated with distant metastasis. Additionally, multivariate Cox analyses were conducted to determine independent prognostic factors for patients with distant metastasis. Two nomograms were established and evaluated with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Furthermore, we performed a retrospective analysis of melanoma with distant metastasis from our institute between March 2018 and June 2022.

RESULTS

Of the total 19 396 melanoma patients, 352 (1.8%) had distant metastases at the time of diagnosis. The following clinical and pathological characteristics were identified as independent risk factors for distant metastasis in melanoma: N stage, tumor size, ulceration, mitosis, primary tumor site, and pathological subtype. Furthermore, tumor size, pathological subtype, and radiotherapy were identified as independent prognostic factors. The results of the training and validation cohorts' ROC curves, calibration, DCA, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrate the effectiveness of the two nomograms. The retrospective study results from our center supported the results from the SEER database.

CONCLUSION

The clinical and pathological characteristics of melanoma can predict a patient's risk of metastasis and prognosis, and the two nomograms are expected to be effective tools to guide therapy decisions.

Prognostic significance of regression and mitotic rate in head and neck cutaneous melanoma

Importance

While regression is a commonly reported microscopic feature of melanoma, its prognostic significance is unclear.

Objective

To examine the impact of regression on sentinel node status and the likelihood of recurrence in primary cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck.

Design

Retrospective analysis of 191 adults who underwent surgical management for primary cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck between May 2002 and March 2019.

Setting

Tertiary academic center.

Participants

Patients appropriate for the study were identified by the Academic Health Center Information Exchange using a list of current procedural terminology codes. One hundred and ninety‐one cases of invasive melanoma of the head and neck were included from 830 patients identified. Clinical features assessed for each patient included age, sex, location of primary lesion, date of diagnosis, and current disease status (alive with or without disease). Histologic features assessed were histological melanoma subtype (nodular vs non‐nodular), Breslow thickness, Clark level, presence/absence of ulceration, mitotic rate per square millimeter, and regression. If applicable, sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) status, date of recurrence, interval treatments, and date of death related to melanoma were recorded. Exclusion criteria included melanoma outside the anatomic parameters of head and neck, ocular or choroidal melanoma, mucosal melanoma, metastatic melanoma to the head or neck with no known primary tumor, melanoma of the head or neck with no surgical intervention, and non‐melanoma skin cancers of the head and neck.

Intervention/Exposure

Surgery for cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck.

Main Outcome(s) and Measure(s)

The association between presence of regression and Breslow thickness, sentinel node status, and recurrence.

Results

Of the 191 patients identified, 30.9% were female and 69.1% were male with a mean age at diagnosis of 62.6 (range 20‐97) years. Mean Breslow thickness was 1.2 mm in those with regression and 2.0 mm in those without regression. In patients with regression, 17.6% had a positive sentinel node, and 13.0% experienced a recurrence. In patients without regression, 26.5% had a positive sentinel node, and 31.4% experienced a recurrence. When adjusted for other factors above, regression was not associated with positive sentinel node (odds ratio [OR] = 0.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.13‐2.00) or recurrence (OR = 0.33, CI = 0.07‐1.01). Mitotic rate >2 was associated with recurrence (OR = 2.71, CI = 1.11‐6.75, P = .03).

Conclusions and Relevance

Patients with presence of regression had thinner melanomas and trended toward decreased rates of sentinel node positivity and recurrence, suggesting regression may not be a negative prognostic indicator in patients with cutaneous melanoma of the head and neck.

Guidelines of care for the management of primary cutaneous melanoma

The incidence of primary cutaneous melanoma continues to increase each year. Melanoma accounts for the majority of skin cancer-related deaths, but treatment is usually curative following early detection of disease. In this American Academy of Dermatology clinical practice guideline, updated treatment recommendations are provided for patients with primary cutaneous melanoma (American Joint Committee on Cancer stages 0-IIC and pathologic stage III by virtue of a positive sentinel lymph node biopsy). Biopsy techniques for a lesion that is clinically suggestive of melanoma are reviewed, as are recommendations for the histopathologic interpretation of cutaneous melanoma. The use of laboratory, molecular, and imaging tests is examined in the initial work-up of patients with newly diagnosed melanoma and for follow-up of asymptomatic patients. With regard to treatment of primary cutaneous melanoma, recommendations for surgical margins and the concepts of staged excision (including Mohs micrographic surgery) and nonsurgical treatments for melanoma in situ, lentigo maligna type (including topical imiquimod and radiation therapy), are updated. The role of sentinel lymph node biopsy as a staging technique for cutaneous melanoma is described, with recommendations for its use in clinical practice. Finally, current data regarding pregnancy and melanoma, genetic testing for familial melanoma, and management of dermatologic toxicities related to novel targeted agents and immunotherapies for patients with advanced disease are summarized.

Tumor mitotic rate is an independent predictor of survival for nonmetastatic melanoma

BACKGROUND

Tumor mitotic rate is a known prognostic variable in Stage I melanoma; however, its importance is unclear in Stages II and III.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with nonmetastatic cutaneous melanoma from 2010 to 2014 were identified from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry.

RESULTS

Of a total of 71,235 patients, the majority were white (94.7%), male (58.5%), and had a Stage I tumor (79.0%). On univariable analysis, 5-year disease-specific survival decreased with each increasing tumor mitotic rate category of 0-3, 4-10, and >10 mitoses/mm² (Stage I 98.3%, 90.9%, 79.7%; Stage II 86.1%, 74.2%, 72.9%; and Stage III 72.5%, 58.6%, 49.7%). In multivariable models, tumor mitotic rate as both a continuous and categorical variable was associated with disease-specific survival for Stages I-III melanoma. Each unit increase in tumor mitotic rate increased the risk of death by 23% in Stage I, 5% in Stage II, and 3% in Stage III. Compared with the 0-3 tumor mitotic rate category, the risk of disease-specific mortality increased for tumors in the 4-10 and >10 categories for Stage I (RR 3.07 and 6.74, P < .0001), Stage II (RR 1.37 and 1.62, P = .0002), and Stage III (RR 1.24 and 1.35, P = .0004).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort study, tumor mitotic rate is an independent predictor of survival for localized melanoma.

Tumor Mitotic Rate and Association with Recurrence in Sentinel Lymph Node Negative Stage II Melanoma Patients

Tumor mitotic rate (TMR) is a known prognostic variable in thin melanoma patients. Its significance in stage II melanoma patients is yet to be demonstrated. Retrospective analysis of a prospective melanoma database from 9/1997 to 7/2015 was performed. All stage II melanoma, with documented TMR, and six months of follow-up were included. We evaluated the association of clinicopathologic variables, TMR, as a continuous and categorical variable with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) using Cox proportional hazards modeling. We used a statistical model, X-tile, to develop optimal categorizations of TMR. A total of 265 patient characteristics are included in this study. Recurrences occurred in 82 (30.9%) patients, including 5 local, 41 regional, and 36 distant patients. In multivariate model, ulceration, Breslow, and continuous TMR were associated with worse RFS\OS. Continuous TMR demonstrated worse RFS (hazards ratio [HR] 1.02 (1.00–1.05)) and OS (HR 1.02 (1.00–1.04)), whereas dichotomized TMR (≥1 vs <1) was not significant. TMR >10.4 mitoses/mm2 has a 5-year RFS\OS of 27.2 and 44.3 per cent, respectively, compared with 57.4 and 71.4 per cent, respectively, for TMR <3.2 mitoses/mm2. Continuous TMR predicts incidence of recurrence in stage II melanoma. We propose a new categorization method developed by statistical modeling for optimal stratification that may guide surveillance for this disparate patient population.

Prognostic Role of Multiple Lymphatic Basin Drainage in Sentinel Lymph Node-Negative Trunk Melanoma Patients: A Multicenter Study from the Italian Melanoma Intergroup

BACKGROUND

Multiple lymphatic basin drainage (MLBD) is frequently observed in patients with trunk melanoma undergoing sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy. Conflicting data regarding the prognostic association of MLBD in SLN-negative patients have been reported. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of MLBD in patients with negative SLN biopsy.

METHODS

Retrospective data from 656 melanoma patients who underwent a SLN biopsy (1991-2012) at six Italian centers were gathered in a multicenter database. MLBD was defined as lymphoscintigraphic and intraoperative identification of an SLN in more than one nodal basin. Clinical and pathologic variables were recorded and analyzed for their impact on survival.

RESULTS

SLN-negative patients with MLBD were at lower risk of melanoma recurrence [hazard ratio (HR) 0.73, P = 0.05) and melanoma-related death (HR 0.68, P = 0.001) independent of common staging features. Multivariable Cox analyses of disease-free interval (DFI) and disease-specific survival (DSS) showed that MLBD maintained a favorable role and ulceration an unfavorable role. Histologic regression was independently associated only with DFI. When survival was stratified according to presence of MLBD, histologic regression and Breslow thickness <2 mm were associated with improved DFI (5-year DFI: 96.9 vs. 66,1 %, respectively; HR 0.48, P < 0.001) and DSS (5-year DSS: 96.7 vs. 71.8 %, respectively; HR 0.52, P = 0.005) compared to patients without these three favorable parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with negative SLN biopsy results have better prognosis when two or more lymphatic basins are identified and analyzed. Further research is required to investigate the mechanisms behind this evidence.

Absence of Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocyte Is a Reproducible Predictive Factor for Sentinel Lymph Node Metastasis: A Multicenter Database Study by the Brazilian Melanoma Group

Aims

The aim of this study is to confirm the function of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in sentinel lymph node (SLN) metastasis.

Materials and Methods

This retrospective study included 633 patients with invasive melanoma who underwent sentinel lymph node biopsy in 7 referral centers certified by the Brazilian Melanoma Group. Independent risk factors of sentinel node metastasis (SNL) were identified by multiple logistic regression.

Results

SLN metastasis was detected in 101 of 633 cases (16.1%) and in 93 of 428 patients (21.7%) when melanomas ≤ 1mm were excluded. By multiple logistic regression, the absence of TILs was as an independent risk factor of SLN metastasis (OR = 1.8; 95%CI: 1.1–3.0), in addition to Breslow index (greater than 2.00 mm), lymph vascular invasion, and presence of mitosis.

Conclusion

SLNB can identify patients who might benefit from immunotherapy, and the determination of predictors of SLNB positivity can help select the proper population for this type of therapy. The absence of TILs is a reproducible parameter that can predict SLNB positivity in melanoma patients, since this study was made with several centers with different dermatopathologists.

Tumor mitotic rate added to the equation: melanoma prognostic factors changed? : a single-institution database study on the prognostic value of tumor mitotic rate for sentinel lymph node status and survival of cutaneous melanoma patients

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of the tumor mitotic rate per mm(2) (TMR) for sentinel lymph node (SLN) status and survival in intermediate and thick cutaneous melanoma.

METHODS

Patients treated for stage I and II melanoma with wide local excision and SLN biopsy between May 1995 and May 2013 were analyzed. In case of insufficient data regarding TMR, pathology slides were reanalyzed. Prognostic factors for SLN status and survival were analyzed with the emphasis on TMR, which was analyzed as a continuous variable, dichotomized (median value) and categorized by two methods.

RESULTS

The study analyzed 453 patients with complete TMR data. The median Breslow thickness was 2.20 mm, and 31.8 % of patients had tumor-positive sentinel lymph node biopsies (SLNBs). In the univariate analysis, TMR was associated with tumor-positive SLNB. This association was not significant in the multivariate analysis. Breslow thickness, primary tumor location on trunk and legs, and younger age were associated with tumor-positive SNLB. At a median follow-up of 47 months, 119 patients (26.3 %) had recurrent disease, and 92 (20.3 %) had died of melanoma. In the univariate analysis, TMR could be established as a significant prognostic factor for disease-free and disease-specific survival, but not in the multivariate analyses. Breslow thickness, ulcerated melanoma, and tumor-positive SLNB were significant prognostic factors for survival.

CONCLUSION

The study was unable to establish TMR as an independent prognostic factor associated with the presence of SLN metastasis. Regarding survival, increasing TMR showed a strong association with decreased survival in the univariate analysis, but this association was rendered nonsignificant by the importance of Breslow thickness and ulceration status in the multivariate model.

Long-term follow-up and survival of patients following a recurrence of melanoma after a negative sentinel lymph node biopsy result

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the predictors and patterns of recurrence of melanoma in patients with a negative sentinel lymph node biopsy result.

DESIGN

Retrospective chart review of a prospectively created database of patients with cutaneous melanoma. SETTING Tertiary university hospital.

PATIENTS

A total of 515 patients with melanoma underwent a sentinel lymph node biopsy without evidence of metastatic disease between 1996 and 2008.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Time to recurrence and overall survival.

RESULTS

Of 515 patients, 83 (16%) had a recurrence of melanoma at a median of 23 months during a median follow-up of 61 months (range, 1-154 months). Of these 83 patients, 21 had melanoma that metastasized in the studied nodal basin for an in-basin false-negative rate of 4.0%. Patients with recurrence had deeper primary lesions (mean thickness, 2.7 vs 1.8 mm; P < .01) that were more likely to be ulcerated (32.5% vs 13.5%; P < .001) than those without recurrence. The primary melanoma of patients with recurrence was more likely to be located in the head and neck region compared with all other locations combined (31.8% vs 11.7%; P < .001). Median survival following a recurrence was 21 months (range, 1-106 months). Favorable characteristics associated with lower risk of recurrence included younger age at diagnosis (mean, 49 vs 57 years) and female sex (9% vs 21% for males; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Overall, recurrence of melanoma (16%) after a negative sentinel lymph node biopsy result was similar to that in previously reported studies with an in-basin false-negative rate of 4.0%. Lesions of the head and neck, the presence of ulceration, increasing Breslow thickness, older age, and male sex are associated with increased risk of recurrence, despite a negative sentinel lymph node biopsy result.

Mitotic rate in melanoma: prognostic value of immunostaining and computer-assisted image analysis

The prognostic value of mitotic rate in melanoma is increasingly recognized, particularly in thin melanoma in which the presence or absence of a single mitosis/mm can change staging from T1a to T1b. Still, accurate mitotic rate calculation (mitoses/mm) on hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained sections can be challenging. Antimonoclonal mitotic protein-2 (MPM-2) and antiphosphohistone-H3 (PHH3) are 2 antibodies reported to be more mitosis-specific than other markers of proliferation such as Ki-67. We used light microscopy and computer-assisted image analysis software to quantify MPM-2 and PHH3 staining in melanoma. We then compared mitotic rates by each method with conventional H&E-based mitotic rate for correlation with clinical outcomes. Our study included primary tissues from 190 nonconsecutive cutaneous melanoma patients who were prospectively enrolled at New York University Langone Medical Center with information on age, gender, and primary tumor characteristics. The mitotic rate was quantified manually by light microscopy of corresponding H&E-stained, MPM-2-stained, and PHH3-stained sections. Computer-assisted image analysis was then used to quantify immunolabeled mitoses on the previously examined PHH3 and MPM-2 slides. We then analyzed the association between mitotic rate and both progression-free and melanoma-specific survival. Univariate analysis of PHH3 found significant correlation between increased PHH3 mitotic rate and decreased progression-free survival (P=0.04). Computer-assisted image analysis enhanced the correlation of PHH3 mitotic rate with progression-free survival (P=0.02). Regardless of the detection method, neither MPM-2 nor PHH3 offered significant advantage over conventional H&E determination of mitotic rate.

Controversial issues on melanoma

In this chapter, we try to debate two of the most several controversial points about melanoma: the role of the ultraviolet (UV) ray exposure and the position of the sentinel node biopsy in the dermatological daily activity. It has been demonstrated as a direct relationship between UV exposure and the risk of developing melanoma, but it is also true that a chronic continuous UV ray exposure can develop a protective action. Nodal evaluation is one of the most important prognostic indicators to be considered for the patient outcome. The aims for which sentinel node biopsy is so often adopted can be summarized in three points: a detailed nodal staging, a regional disease control, and a possible overall improved survival. At present, many authors do not think that it let the overall survival grow; therefore, they suggest its use only to stage regional lymph nodes and accurately identify patients who could benefit through an early complete regional lymphadenectomy.

Risk factors for the development of locoregional cutaneous metastases as the sole form of recurrence in patients with melanoma

BACKGROUND

While locoregional cutaneous metastases (in transit and satellite) in melanoma have received little attention from researchers to date, they have pathogenic and prognostic features that distinguish them from other forms of locoregional recurrence. Identifying predictors of these metastases would be of great value for their prevention, early diagnosis, and treatment. The aim of this study was to identify the risk factors associated with locoregional cutaneous metastases as the first form of recurrence in the metastatic progression of melanoma.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Between 2000 and 2010, we prospectively collected the data of 1327 patients diagnosed with stage I and II melanoma. During follow up, 112 patients (8.4%) developed metastases. Of these, 36 had exclusively locoregional cutaneous metastases. The clinical and histological characteristics of this subgroup were evaluated.

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, significant predictors were patient age, primary tumor thickness, site, ulceration, mitotic index, and histological type. After multivariate analysis, the independent risk factors were tumor thickness (risk ratio [RR] 5.6; 95% CI: 2.7-11.5) and the location of the primary tumor on the lower limbs (RR 3.4; 95% CI: 1.0-11.5), on the head or neck (RR 4.8; 95% IC: 1.7-13.5), or in acral sites (RR 6.7; 95% IC: 2.2-20.8).

CONCLUSION

Patients who have melanomas with a Breslow thickness of more than 2mm located on the lower limbs, head, neck, or acral sites have a higher risk of developing locoregional cutaneous metastases. These findings could be useful in the design of future guidelines for the monitoring and management of melanoma.