A booming economy means a bursting trauma system: association between hospital admission for major injury and indicators of economic activity in a large Canadian health region

The Crush Index: Orthopedic Trauma as an Economic Indicator

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between economic activity and the incidence of high-energy orthopedic trauma. California's Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development patient discharge database was queried to identify monthly orthopedic trauma incidence from 1995 to 2010. Patient inclusion required 1 diagnosis code and 1 associated procedural code for fractures of the femur, tibia, ankle, pelvis, or acetabulum. Data on composite market indices, energy and transportation use, and unemployment were obtained from government sources. Statistical analysis was performed using univariate and multivariate linear regression. The average monthly incidence of orthopedic trauma was 2.92 cases per 100,000 people. Of 15 economic indicators analyzed with univariate regression, 7 variables correlated with trauma incidence to statistical significance. Dow Jones Industrial Average (P=.032), Standard & Poor's 500 (P=.034), vehicle miles driven (P<.001), personal disposable income (P=.033), Coincident Economic Activity Index for California (P=.007), and vehicles purchased (P<.001) were positively correlated with trauma incidence. Unemployment (P<.001) was inversely correlated with trauma incidence. Multivariate regression was used to compute a combination of independent predictors of trauma volume: personal disposable income (P<.001), vehicles purchased (P=.008), and unemployment (P=.005). This combination of variables was used to develop the Crush Index to model the relationship between economic activity and orthopedic trauma volume. The authors show a positive correlation between economic strength and activity and the monthly volume of high-energy orthopedic trauma. The Crush Index serves as a proof of concept that may be useful in guiding preparedness among practitioners and health care system administrators. [Orthopedics. 2017; 40(4):248-255.].

The evolution of trauma surgery at a high-volume Canadian centre: implications for public health, prevention, clinical care, education and recruitment

BACKGROUND

Trauma centres continue to evolve with respect to clinical care and their impact on public health. Despite improvements in patient outcomes, operative volumes, and therefore maintenance of surgical skills, has become a challenging issue. We sought to determine whether injury demographics and treatments at a high-volume centre changed over time.

METHODS

We used the Alberta Trauma Registry to analyze all severely injured (injury severity score [ISS] ≥ 12) patient admissions over a 16-year period (1995-2011).

RESULTS

Of the 12,879 severely injured patients requiring admission, there was a 1.5- fold increase in the annual admission rate despite population normalization (p = 0.001). Over the 16-year interval, patients were older with a subsequent lower mortality (p = 0.001) and length of hospital stay (p = 0.007). In patients with the most severe ISS (≥ 48), there was no change in mortality (27%, p = 0.26). In 2011, falls were the most common mechanism compared with motor vehicle crashes (41% v. 23%; p < 0.001); this was a complete reversal compared with 1995 (25% v. 41%). Motorized recreational vehicle and motorcycle injuries also increased (p < 0.001). The mean number of operations performed by trauma surgeons decreased (laparotomies: 67 [17%] in 1995 v. 47 [5%] in 2011, p < 0.001). Thoracotomies and tracheostomies remained unchanged (p = 0.19).

CONCLUSION

Clinical care has improved despite an increasing overall volume of severely injured patient admissions. The number of operative interventions performed by trauma surgeons continues to decrease concurrent to a change in injury mechanisms. Despite these improvements, maintenance of technical skills among trauma surgeons has become an important issue.