Tumor size as a prognostic factor in patients with stage IIa colon cancer

Varying clinical relevance of sarcopenia and myosteatosis according to age among patients with postoperative colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVES

The present retrospective study reviewed the association among sarcopenia, myosteatosis, and overall survival (OS) in patients with postoperative colorectal cancer (CRC) with regard to age.

DESIGN

A retrospective study was conducted with a five-year follow-up.

SETTING

Data from all patients with CRC, who underwent surgery between February 2005 and April 2014, were reviewed.

PARTICIPANTS

Data from 1053 patients (622 male [59.1%], 431 female [40.9%]; mean [± SD] age, 62.8 ± 11.8 years) were analyzed.

MEASUREMENTS

Patients were divided into three groups according to age: ≤50, 51-74, and ≥75 years. Data, including perioperative parameters, and the presence of sarcopenia and myosteatosis according to skeletal muscle index (SMI) and skeletal muscle radiodensity (SMD), respectively, were collected. Sarcopenia was evaluated using CT by calculating the SMI at the L3 level by dividing the area of the skeletal muscle by height squared (cm2/m2). SMD was also calculated using CT at the L3 level, but by evaluating fat attenuation according to Hounsfield units (HU).

RESULTS

Patient allocation according to age group was as follows: ≤50 years, n = 147 (14.0%); 51-74 years, n = 742 (70.5%); and ≥75 years, n = 164 (15.5%). The presence of sarcopenia and myosteatosis were statistically significant with increasing age (P = 0.004 and P < 0.001, respectively). The 51-74 years age group exhibited a significant association in OS for myosteatosis (P < 0.001) while the ≥75 years group was significantly associated with sarcopenia (P = 0.04) with regard to OS. Multivariable analysis also revealed a statistically significant association between myosteatosis in the 51-74 years age group (P = 0.033) and sarcopenia in the ≥75 years age group (P = 0.005) even when adjusted for recurrence status.

CONCLUSION

Different age groups exhibited significantly variable skeletal muscle indices. Although an abundance of irrefutable results demonstrated a correlation between CT-defined sarcopenia, myosteatosis, and clinical prognosis, data regarding age-dependent correlations are scarce. Results of this study demonstrated that sarcopenia and myosteatosis did not influence the prognosis of young patients with postoperative CRC (≤50 years of age), inferring the existence of significantly different skeletal muscle-related parameters according to age. Patients over 75 years of age showed significant association with sarcopenia while those in the 51-74 age group displayed significant link to myosteatosis. Clinicians should consider the impact of sarcopenia and myosteatosis on patient prognosis and should also be aware that the effect may differ according to patient age.

Endoscopic obstruction predominantly occurs in right-side colon cancer and endoscopic obstruction with tumor size ≤ 5 cm seems poor prognosis in colorectal cancer

Background

Endoscopic obstruction (eOB) is associated with a poor prognosis in colorectal cancer (CRC). Our study aimed to investigate the association between tumor location and eOB, as well as the prognostic differences among non-endoscopic obstruction (N-eOB), eOB with tumor size ≤ 5 cm, and eOB with tumor size > 5 cm in non-elderly patients.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the clinicopathological variables of 230 patients with CRC who underwent curative surgery. The multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors for eOB. The association between eOB with tumor size ≤ 5 cm and disease-free survival (DFS) was evaluated using multivariate cox regression analysis.

Results

A total of 87 patients had eOB while 143 had N-eOB. In multivariate analysis, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (p = 0.014), tumor size (p = 0.010), tumor location (left-side colon; p = 0.033; rectum; p < 0.001), and pT stage (T3, p = 0.009; T4, p < 0.001) were significant factors of eOB. The DFS rate for eOB with tumor size ≤ 5 cm was significantly lower (p < 0.001) in survival analysis. The eOB with tumor size ≤ 5 cm (p = 0.012) was an unfavorable independent factor for DFS.

Conclusions

The patients with eOB were significantly associated with right-side colon cancer as opposed to left-side colon cancer and rectal cancer. The eOB with tumor size ≤ 5 cm was an independent poor prognostic factor. Further studies are needed to target these high-risk groups.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis analysis of postoperative patients with stage I-III colon cancer based on SEER database

PURPOSE

To identify the relevant factors affecting the prognosis and survival time of colon cancer and construct a survival prediction model.

METHODS

Data on postoperative stage I-III colon cancer patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We used R project to analyze the data. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for independent factors correlated with overall survival from colon cancer. The C-index was used to screen the factors that had the greatest influence in overall survival after surgery in colon cancer patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was made according to the Risk score and calculated to validate the predictive accuracy of the model. In addition, we used decision curve analysis (DCA) to evaluate the clinical benefits and utility of the nomogram. We created a model survival curve to determine the difference in prognosis between patients in the low-risk group and those in the high-risk group.

RESULTS

Univariate and multifactor COX analyses showed that the race, Grade, tumor size, N-stage and T-stage were independent risk factors affecting survival time of patients. The analysis of ROC and DCA showed the nomogram prediction model constructed based on the above indicators has good predictive effects.

CONCLUSION

Overall, the nomogram constructed in this study has good predictive effects. It can provide a reference for future clinicians to evaluate the prognosis of colon cancer patients.

Prognostic Value of Tumor Size in Colon Cancer-Smaller is Better?

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of tumor size in colon cancer remains controversial. This study aimed to reveal the correlation between tumor size and prognosis of colon cancer.

METHODS

A total of 491 patients with colon cancer were included in this study. The correlation of tumor size with prognosis, mismatch repair status, and other clinicopathological characteristics as well as tumor microenvironment was analyzed.

RESULTS

For stage IIA microsatellite stable (MSS) colon cancer, tumors sized <3.5 cm and ≥5 cm were associated with a poorer disease free survival (DFS) compared with tumors sized between 3.5 and 5 cm (P = .002). Small tumor size (HR = 5.098, P = .001) and large tumor size (HR = 2.749, P = .029) were found to be independent prognostic factors for stage IIA MSS colon cancer. Moreover, high expression of transgelin (TAGLN), a marker of cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), was found to be an independent prognostic factor for poorer DFS (HR = 9.651, P = .009), which was also associated with smaller tumor size (P = .027).

CONCLUSION

Small (<3.5 cm) and large (≥5 cm) tumor sizes are associated with decreased DFS in stage IIA MSS colon cancer. Enrichment of TAGLN+ CAFs is associated with decreased DFS and small tumor size.

Mapping lesion-specific response and progression dynamics and inter-organ variability in metastatic colorectal cancer

Achieving systemic tumor control across metastases is vital for long-term patient survival but remains intractable in many patients. High lesion-level response heterogeneity persists, conferring many dissociated responses across metastatic lesions. Most studies of metastatic disease focus on tumor molecular and cellular features, which are crucial to elucidating the mechanisms underlying lesion-level variability. However, our understanding of lesion-specific heterogeneity on the macroscopic level, such as lesion dynamics in growth, response, and progression during treatment, remains rudimentary. This study investigates lesion-specific response heterogeneity through analyzing 116,542 observations of 40,612 lesions in 4,308 metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients. Despite significant differences in their response and progression dynamics, metastatic lesions converge on four phenotypes that vary with anatomical site. Importantly, we find that organ-level progression sequence is closely associated with patient long-term survival, and that patients with the first lesion progression in the liver often have worse survival. In conclusion, our study provides insights into lesion-specific response and progression heterogeneity in mCRC and creates impetus for metastasis-specific therapeutics.

Adjuvant chemotherapy benefits on patients with elevated carcinoembryonic antigen in stage IIA colon cancer: a SEER-based analysis

OBJECTIVE

Indications for adjuvant chemotherapy in stage IIA (T3N0M0) colon cancer are still controversial. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels for cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage IIA colon cancer. We aimed to examine the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on OS in stage IIA colon cancer patients with elevated CEA levels.

METHODS

Patients with stage IIA colon cancer (N = 3477) diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the prognostic effect of CEA on CSS and OS.

RESULTS

Cox regression analysis demonstrated that CEA was an independent risk factor for CSS and OS in patients with stage IIA colon cancer (CSS: HR = 2.001, 95% CI 1.603-2.499, P < 0.001; OS: HR = 1.530, 95% CI 1.335-1.752, P < 0.001). In the subgroup with elevated CEA, patients received adjuvant chemotherapy had a better OS compared with those did not (χ2 = 10.585, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CEA was an independent risk factor for CSS and OS in patients with stage IIA colon cancer. Patients with stage IIA colon cancer with an elevated CEA level might benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Association of tumor size in pathological T4 colorectal cancer with desmoplastic reaction and prognosis

Background

Tumor size in pathological T4 (pT4) colorectal cancer (CRC) is associated with oncological prognosis; however, its relation to epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT)-associated histology is unclear. We aimed to investigate the association of tumor size with oncological prognosis and EMT.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of 95 patients with primary CRC who underwent radical surgery and were consecutively diagnosed with pT4.

Results

Both 3-y disease-free survival (DFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were significantly higher in patients with tumor size ≥50 mm than in those with tumor size <50 mm (P = .009 and P = .011, respectively). The independent factors identified in the multivariate analysis for DFS were pathological lymph node metastasis (hazard ratio [HR], 2.551; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.031-6.315; P = .043), distant metastasis (HR, 2.511; 95% CI, 1.140-5.532; P = .022), tumor size (HR, 0.462; 95% CI, 0.234-0.913; P = .026), and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR, 0.357; 95% CI, 0.166-0.766; P = .008). The independent factors identified in multivariate analysis for CSS were tumor location (HR, 10.867; 95% CI, 2.539-45.518; P = .001) and tumor size (HR, 0.067; 95% CI, 0.014-0.321; P < .001). In pT4 CRC, smaller tumor size was associated with nonmature desmoplastic reaction and EMT-related histology.

Conclusions

Tumor size ≥50 mm was associated with a better DFS and CSS than that of <50 mm, in patients with pT4 CRC. Smaller tumor size with advanced invasion likely reflects a more biologically aggressive phenotype in pT4 CRC.

Predictive Significance of Tumour Size in Patients Undergoing Curative Surgery for Colorectal Cancer: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objectives To evaluate the predictive significance of tumour size in patients undergoing curative surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC). Methods All patients undergoing curative surgery for colon or rectum cancer performed by a single colorectal surgeon between January 2013 and January 2020 were considered eligible for inclusion. Linear and binary logistic regression analyses were modelled to assess whether colonic or rectal tumour size could predict R0 resection, specimen length, number of harvested and positive lymph nodes, lymphocytic infiltration, venous invasion, and overall survival. Results A total of 192 patients were eligible for inclusion. In patients with colon cancer, tumour size was the independent predictor of the number of harvested lymph nodes (P<0.001), the number of positive lymph nodes (P=0.001), and lymphocytic infiltration (P=0.009). However, it did not predict R0 resection (P=0.563), specimen length (P=0.111), specimen length >120 mm (P=0.186), >12 harvested lymph nodes (P=0.145), venous invasion (P=0.103), and five-year overall survival (P=0.543). In patients with rectal cancer, tumour size was the independent predictor of the number of harvested lymph nodes (P<0.001) and the number of positive lymph nodes (P<0.001). However, it did not predict R0 resection (P=0.108), specimen length (P=0.774), specimen length >120 mm (P=0.405), >12 harvested lymph nodes (P= 0.069), lymphocytic infiltration (P=0.912), venous invasion (P= 0.105), and five-year overall survival (P=0.413). Conclusions The results of the current study suggest that tumour size on its own may not have a significant predictive value in oncological or survival outcomes in patients undergoing curative surgery for colon or rectum cancer.

Evaluating the value of tumor length times width in colorectal adenocarcinoma with different tumor locations

The T classification, which reflects the vertical growth pattern of the tumor, is one of the most important prognostic factors in colorectal cancer. We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of tumor length and width in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). A total of 259 patients with stage I-III CRC who underwent curative resection were reevaluated according to tumor location. One-way ANOVA analysis was conducted to investigate the relationship between the tumor length times width (TLTW) and clinical parameters. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to analyze the potential prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS) of patients with stage I-III CRC. In the entire cohort, the TLTW was analyzed as a continuous variable. The results suggested that TLTW (P = .003) and tumor location (P = .04) could be independent prognostic factors for patients with CRC. In addition, TLTW had an intimate relationship with tumor location (P < 0.001) and differentiation (P = .003). The mean TLTW of the right colon was significantly larger than mean TLTW of the left colon and rectal cancers. However, the mean TLTW of the left colon cancer was similar to that of the rectal cancer TLTW (P > 0.05, not shown). Subgroup analysis of TLTW according to tumor location suggested that TLTW was an independent prognostic factor for patients with right colon cancer (RCC) (P = .007) rather than left colon cancer (LCC) (P = .49) or rectal cancer (P = .16). Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis based on tumor location suggested that the survival rate of RCC patients had a distinctly higher trend rate than LCC patients and RECC patients in the long-term rather than in the short-term. TLTW is closely associated with tumor location in CRC. In addition, TLTW may be an independent prognostic factor for patients with RCC.

Tumor Size >5 cm and Harvested LNs <12 Are the Risk Factors for Recurrence in Stage I Colon and Rectal Cancer after Radical Resection

Simple Summary

We analyzed the data from 1952 patients with stage I colorectal cancer to evaluate the risk factors for recurrence and survival rates. In the entire cohort, the recurrence rate was 4.6%. There were some differences in the risk factors for recurrence between colon and rectal cancer in stage I colorectal cancer. Left-sided tumors, T2, tumor size >5 cm, and lymphovascular invasion were independent risk factors of colon cancer recurrence. Male, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥2.5 ng/mL, and harvested lymph nodes (LNs) <12 were independently associated with recurrence of rectal cancer. Even though patients with early-stage CRC underwent curative resection, survival sharply decreased in cases of recurrence. Our findings could suggest more aggressive surveillance for patients with an increased risk of recurrence.

Abstract

Recurrence can still occur even after radical resection of stage I colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aimed to identify subgroups with a high risk for recurrence in the stage I CRC. We retrospectively reviewed prospectively collected data of 1952 patients with stage I CRC after radical resection between 2002 and 2017 at our institute. 1398 (colon, 903 (64.6%), rectum, 495 (35.4%)) were eligible for analysis. We analyzed the risk factors for recurrence and survival. During the follow-up period (median: 59 months), 63 (4.6%) had a recurrence. The recurrence rate of rectal cancer was significantly higher than that of colon cancer (8.5% vs. 2.3%). Left-sided tumors, T2, tumor size >5 cm, and lymphovascular invasion were independent risk factors of colon cancer recurrence. Male, preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥2.5 ng/mL, and harvested lymph nodes (LNs) <12 were independently associated with recurrence of rectal cancer. Recurrence affected OS (5-year OS: 97.1% vs. 67.6%). Despite curative resection, survival sharply decreased with recurrence. The risk factors for recurrence were different between colon and rectal cancer. Patients with a higher risk for recurrence should be candidates for more aggressive surveillance, even in early-stage CRC.

Prognostic value of the ratio of carcinoembryonic antigen concentration to maximum tumor diameter in patients with stage II colorectal cancer

Background

Recently, a study from our center indicated that the ratio of preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) concentration to maximum tumor diameter (DMAX) may be a prognostic marker for patients with rectal cancer. Therefore, the study aimed to evaluate whether this ratio (CEA/DMAX) has prognostic value for patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC).

Methods

A prospectively maintained database was searched for patients with pathologically confirmed stage II CRC who underwent surgery between January 2010 and March 2019. Patients were stratified according to the mean CEA/DMAX value into low and high CEA/DMAX groups. Kaplan-Meier, univariable, and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate whether the CEA/DMAX could predict overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Nomograms were constructed in terms of the results of multivariable Cox regression analyses.

Results

The study included 2,499 patients with stage II CRC. The mean CEA/DMAX value was 2.33 (ng/mL per cm). Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that, relative to the low CEA/DMAX group, the high CEA/DMAX group had significantly poorer OS (67.31% vs. 85.02%, P<0.001) and DFS (61.41% vs. 77.10%, P<0.001). The multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that CEA/DMAX independently predicted OS (hazard ratio: 2.58, 95% confidence interval: 1.51-4.38, P<0.001) and DFS (hazard ratio: 1.97, 95% confidence interval: 1.38-2.83, P<0.001). Two simple-to-use nomograms comprising CEA/DMAX, age, T stage, and lymphovascular invasion were developed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year rates of OS and DFS among patients with stage II CRC. The nomograms had good performance based on the concordance index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and calibration curves. Subgroup analyses further confirmed that a high CEA/DMAX was associated with poor OS and DFS among patients with stage II colon cancer and among patients with stage II rectal cancer (both P<0.05).

Conclusions

Among patients with stage II CRC, a high CEA/DMAX independently predicted poor OS and DFS, and the predictive abilities were also observed in subgroup analyses of patients with stage II colon cancer or rectal cancer. Furthermore, we developed two nomograms that had good accuracy for predicting the prognosis of stage II CRC.

Tumor size improves the accuracy of the prognostic prediction of T4a stage colon cancer

The aim of this study was to evaluate the potential impact of tumor size on the long-term outcome of colon cancer (CC) patients after curative surgery. A total of 782 curatively resected T4a stage CC patients without distant metastasis were enrolled. Patients were categorized into 2 groups according to the best threshold of tumor size: larger group (LG) and smaller group (SG). Propensity score matching was used to adjust for the differences in baseline characteristics. The ideal cutoff point of tumor size was 5 cm. In the multivariate analysis for the whole study series, tumor size was an independent prognostic factor. Patients in the LG had significant lower 5-year overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) rates (OS: 63.5% versus 75.2%, P < 0.001; RFS: 59.5% versus 72.4%, P < 0.001) than those in the SG. After matching, patients in the LG still demonstrated significant lower 5-year OS and RFS rates than those in the SG. The modified tumor-size-node-metastasis (mTSNM) staging system including tumor size was found to be more appropriate for predicting the OS and RFS of T4a stage CC than TNM stage, and the -2log likelihood of the mTSNM staging system was smaller than the value of TNM stage. In conclusion, tumor size was an independent prognostic factor for OS and RFS. We maintain that tumor size should be incorporated into the staging system to enhance the accuracy of the prognostic prediction of T4a stage CC patients.

The correlation between tumor size, lymph node status, distant metastases and mortality in rectal cancer patients without neoadjuvant therapy

Tumor size has an effect on decision making for the treatment rectal cancer. Transanal local excision can be selected to remove rectal cancer with favorable histopathological features. It is generally recognized that the risk of lymph node involvement and distant metastases increases as the tumor enlarges. However, the majority of the studies classified patients into two groups using concrete value as a cutoff point. The coarse classification was not sufficient to reveal a correlation between the tumor size and lymph node status or distant metastases across the full range of sizes examined. Between 1988 and 2015, a total of 77,746 patients were diagnosed with first primary rectal cancer who had not received neoadjuvant therapy. These subjects were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The association between tumor size, lymph node status, distant metastases and cancer-specific mortality was investigated. Tumor size was examined as a continuous (1-30 mm) and categorical variable (11 size groups; 10-mm intervals). A non-linear correlation between increasing tumor size and the prevalence of lymph node involvement was observed, while a near-positive correlation between tumor size and distant metastases was presented. In addition, the 5-year and 10-year rates of rectal cancer-specific mortality were increased as the tumor enlarged. For small tumors (under 30 mm), a positive correlation was noted between tumor size and lymph node involvement. The clinical value of the tumor size should be reevaluated by exact classification.

Association of tumor size with prognosis in colon cancer: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database analysis

BACKGROUND

Thus far, the association of tumor size with prognosis in colon cancer has not been considered and has remained unclear. This study, therefore, aimed to investigate the association between tumor size as a continuous variable and prognosis in colon cancer using Cox models with restricted cubic splines.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we selected 128,369 patients with colon cancer who underwent surgery. Overall survival and colon cancer-specific survival were separately analyzed, and tumor size was separately evaluated as a continuous variable and a categorical variable. To investigate the relationship after adjusting for covariates, we used the proportional hazards models. The restricted cubic splines model was used to determine the presence of nonlinear or linear association and flexibly visualize the association.

RESULTS

The adjusted covariate model showed that the hazard ratio of colon cancer rapidly increased with a tumor size of 4 cm and slowly increased with a tumor size larger than 4 cm. When tumor size was analyzed as a categorical variable, the multivariable-adjusted model demonstrated a nearly linear relationship between tumor size and hazard ratio regardless of overall survival or cancer-specific survival, and the hazard ratio of group 5 (4.1-5 cm) was nearly a turning point. Subgroup analysis with respect to lymph node metastasis showed that the relationship between tumor size and prognosis in colon cancer was evident in lymph node metastasis.

CONCLUSION

There was a strong negative relationship between tumor size and prognosis in colon cancer. However, when tumor size was less than 4 cm, the relationship between tumor size and prognosis was steep compared with that when tumor size was larger than 4 cm, especially in lymph node metastasis.

Dysregulated PDGFR alpha expression and novel somatic mutations in colorectal cancer: association to RAS wild type status and tumor size

Background

Platelet derived growth factor receptor alpha (PDGFRα) has been considered as a relevant factor in tumor proliferation, angiogenesis and metastatic dissemination. It was a target of tyrosine kinase (TK) inhibitors emerged in the therapy of diverse cancers. In colorectal cancer, the commonly used therapy is anti-epithelial growth factor receptor (EGFR). However, both RAS mutated and a subgroup of RAS wild type patients resist to such therapy. The aim of this study is to investigate PDGFRα protein expression and mutational status in colorectal adenocarcinoma and their association with clinicopathological features and molecular RAS status to provide useful information for the identification of an effective biomarker that might be implicated in prognosis and treatment prediction.

Methods

Our study enrolled 103 formalin fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) colorectal adenocarcinoma. PDGFRα expression was investigated by immunohistochemistry (IHC). Hotspot exon 18 of PDGFRA was studied by PCR followed by Sanger sequencing and RAS status was determined by real time quantitative PCR. Thirteen normal colon tissues were used as negative controls.

Results

PDGFRα staining was detected in the cytoplasm of all tissues. Low expression was observed in all normal colon mucosa. In adenocarcinoma, 45% (45/100) of cases showed PDGFRα overexpression. This overexpression was significantly associated with mutations in exon 18 (P = 0.024), RAS wild type status (P < 10^–3), tumor diameter (P = 0.048), whereas there was no association with tumor side (P = 0.13) and other clinicopathological features.

Conclusion

Overexpression of PDGFRα in adenocarcinoma suggests its potential role in tumor cells growth and invasion. The association between PDGFRα overexpression in both tumor and stromal adenocarcinoma cells with RAS wild type status suggests its potential role in anti-EGFR therapy resistance and the relevance of using it as specific or adjuvant therapeutic target.

A persistent high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts poor prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer undergoing resection

The prognostic role of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported in colorectal cancer (CRC); however, its variation and corresponding predicative value in patients undergoing resection remain largely unknown. In the present study, data from 146 patients with CRC were retrospectively collected, optimal cut-off points for preoperative and postoperative low and high NLRs were set, and ΔNLR was calculated. Subsequently, patients were classified into low-low, low-high, high-low and high-high subgroups based on the cut-off points, and their progression-free survival (PFS) was determined. A Cox proportional hazard model was applied to calculate the prognostic value of all factors. The results demonstrated that both preoperative and postoperative NLRs (pre-NLR and post-NLR) but not ΔNLR could predict PFS with optimal cut-off points of 2.39 and 2.96, respectively. For predicting PFS, the pre-NLR had a sensitivity and specificity of 48.80 and 79.50%, respectively, and the post-NLR had a sensitivity and specificity of 63.20 and 56.20%, respectively. Significant differences were identified between low and high pre-NLRs in terms of histological grade (P<0.01) and tumor diameter (P<0.01); however, such differences were only found in terms of age (P<0.01) for low and high post-NLRs. The PFS of patients in the low-low, low-high, high-low and high-high subgroups was 50.30±21.36, 43.67±22.78, 31.06±25.56 and 29.87±24.13 months, respectively, and patients in the high-high subgroup had the worst PFS (P<0.01). Preoperative CEA level, invasive depth, node involvement, distant metastasis and preoperative NLR were independent prognostic factors. In conclusion, a persistently high NLR for patients with CRC undergoing resection was associated with poor prognosis.

Prognostic implications of pre-operative platelet count to maximum tumor diameter ratio for colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Pre-operative platelet count and maximum tumor diameter are useful in predicting the prognosis of colorectal cancer patients, however, it is still largely unknown whether the combination of these two parameters, e.g., the pre-operative platelet count to maximum tumor diameter ratio (PTR), could contribute to prognostic prediction for these patients.

AIM

To explore the prognostic role of pre-operative PTR in predicting the 3-year progression free survival (PFS) in colorectal cancer patients.

METHODS

A total of 127 patients who were pathologically confirmed with adenocarcinoma and underwent surgery were collected from December 2012 to June 2019 at Hainan Hospital of PLA General Hospital. The PTR was calculated and its prognostic significance for PFS were analyzed.

RESULTS

PTR displayed appreciated prediction value for the patients (AUC = 0.66, 95%CI: 0.56-0.76, P < 0.01), and when the cut-off value point was set at 57.27, it had a sensitivity and specificity of 73.30% and 56.10%, respectively. Patients with a high PTR had a better prognosis (log rank = 9.70, P < 0.01) and much longer PFS (50.02 mo ± 22.33 mo vs 38.46 mo ± 24.39 mo, t = -2.76, P < 0.01) than those with a low PTR. Univariate analysis showed that pre-operative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 199, TNM stage, and PTR could influence the PFS (P < 0.01), but only pre-operative CEA, N stage, and M stage were identified to be independent prognostic factors by multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

PTR is helpful in predicating the 3-year PFS for colorectal cancer patients. An elevated PTR correlates with a good survival, but it is not an independent prognostic factor.

The Critical Role of Tumor Size in Predicting Prognosis for T1 Colon Cancer

BACKGROUND

The role of horizontal growth index of tumor size in survival prediction is still underappreciated in colon cancer because of the identification of vertical infiltration index reflected by T stage. We sought to reveal the impact of T stage on the prognostic and predictive value of tumor size in colon cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data of patients with stage I-III colon cancer were extracted from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) and Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center (FUSCC) databases. Harrell's concordance index (c-index) and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were used to analyze the discriminative ability of prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Stratified analyses based on T stage found that the increase of T stage significantly and negatively repressed the effect of tumor size on death and recurrence risk. In addition, tumor size showed the greatest hazard ratio of cancer-specific death and relapse in T1 colon cancer. Even more importantly, the discriminatory ability of tumor size outperformed any other widely accepted prognostic clinical features in predicting cancer-specific survival (SEER: c-index 0.637, area under the ROC [AUC] 0.649; FUSCC: c-index 0.673, AUC 0.686) and disease-free survival (FUSCC: c-index 0.645, AUC 0.656) in T1 stage colon cancer.

CONCLUSION

Tumor size is a critical clinical factor with considerable prognostic and predictive value for T1 colon cancer, and it should be selectively incorporated into the current staging system to facilitate prediction of death and recurrence risk.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

To date, no consensus has been reached about the prognostic and predictive value of tumor size in colon cancer. Although tumor size is an independent prognostic factor for patients with colon cancer, the impact of tumor size on death or recurrence risk decreased notably with the increase of T stage. More importantly, the discriminative ability of tumor size outperformed any other clinical factors including N stage in patients with T1 colon cancer. Therefore, tumor size should be recommended to be incorporated into current staging systems to facilitate prognosis prediction for patients with T1 colon cancer.

Tumor Size Improves the Accuracy of the Prognostic Prediction of Lymph Node-Negative Gastric Cancer

BACKGROUND

Tumor size has been regarded as the "T" stage of many solid tumors because of its effect on prognosis. However, the prognostic impact of tumor size in gastric cancer (GC) is still controversial.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 436 patients with curatively resected GC and those without lymph node metastasis in our center were retrospectively enrolled. The appropriate cutoff points for tumor size were determined. Potential prognostic factors were analyzed. In addition, a pathological tumor-size (pTS) classification system was proposed to evaluate the superiority of its prognostic prediction of node-negative GC patients compared with that of the pT staging system.

RESULTS

The ideal cutoff points for tumor size were 4 and 8 cm. In the multivariate analysis, tumor size was identified as an independent prognostic factor for node-negative GC patients after surgery, as was pT stage. The pTS classification was found to be more appropriate for predicting the overall survival of node-negative GC patients after curative surgery than pT stage, and the -2 log-likelihood of the pTS classification (1680.782) was smaller than the value of pT (1695.239).

CONCLUSIONS

As an independent prognostic factor, tumor size should be incorporated into the pT staging system to enhance the accuracy of the prognostic prediction of node-negative GC patients.

Prognostic Value of the Tumor Size in Resectable Colorectal Cancer with Different Primary Locations: A Retrospective Study with the Propensity Score Matching

Objective: To investigate the prognostic value of the tumor size in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with different primary tumor locations. Patients and methods: We retrospectively recruited 3971 stage I-III CRC patients with curative resection. The propensity score matching technique was conducted to reduce the selection bias, producing a propensity score matched cohort of 1347 pairs of patients based on the tumor size (≤4 cm and >4 cm groups). Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and univariate and multivariate analyses were used to compare the overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and disease-free survival (DFS) between the two groups. Subgroup analyses which were stratified by primary tumor locations and several other baseline variables were also performed for conformation. Results: In the propensity score matched cohort, the Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed that patients with a tumor size less than 4 cm had similar OS, CSS and DFS, compared to patients with a tumor size greater than 4 cm. While in multivariate analyses, the smaller tumor size was an independent risk factor for CSS (HR, 1.275; 95% CI, 1.006-1.616; P=0.045). Subgroup analyses based on primary tumor locations further suggested that the smaller tumor size was significantly associated with worse OS (HR, 2.455; 95% CI, 1.297-4.649; P=0.006) and CSS (HR, 2.493; 95% CI, 1.202-5.174; P=0.014) in patients with right-side colon cancers (RCC). Conclusions: Our propensity matching score study indicated that the smaller tumor size was an independent risk factor for CSS in patients with stage I-III CRC, and for OS and CSS in patients with RCC.