Necrotizing pancreatitis: A review for the acute care surgeon

Development of a Nomogram to Predict the Risk for Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis

Background/Aims

Necrotizing pancreatitis (NP) presents a more severe clinical trajectory and increased mortality compared to edematous pancreatitis. Prompt identification of NP is vital for patient prognosis. A risk prediction model for NP among Chinese patients has been developed and validated to aid in early detection.

Methods

A retrospective analysis was performed on 218 patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) to examine the association of various clinical variables with NP. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was utilized to refine variables and select predictors. Subsequently, a multivariate logistic regression was employed to construct a predictive nomogram. The model's accuracy was validated using bootstrap resampling (n=500) and its calibration assessed via a calibration curve. The model's clinical utility was evaluated through decision curve analysis.

Results

Of the 28 potential predictors analyzed in 218 AP patients, the incidence of NP was 25.2%. LASSO regression identified 14 variables, with procalcitonin, triglyceride, white blood cell count at 48 hours post-admission, calcium at 48 hours post-admission, and hematocrit at 48 hours post-admission emerging as independent risk factors for NP. The resulting nomogram accurately predicted NP risk with an area under the curve of 0.822, sensitivity of 82.8%, and specificity of 76.4%. The bootstrap-validated area under the curve remained at 0.822 (95% confidence interval, 0.737 to 0.892). This model exhibited excellent calibration and demonstrated greater predictive efficacy and clinical utility for NP than APACHE II, Ranson, and BISAP.

Conclusions

We have developed a prediction nomogram of NP that is of great value in guiding clinical decision.

Step-Up versus Open Approach in the Treatment of Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis: A Case-Matched Analysis of Clinical Outcomes and Long-Term Pancreatic Sufficiency

Background/Objectives: Acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) with secondary infection of necrotic tissue is associated with a high rate of complications and mortality. The optimal approach is still debatable, but the minimally invasive modality has gained great attention in the last decade as it follows the principle of applying minimal surgical trauma to achieve a satisfying therapeutic objective. We compared clinical outcomes between the step-up approach (SUA) and open necrosectomy (ON) in the treatment of acute necrotizing pancreatitis. Methods: A prospective cohort study over the period of 2011-2021 in a university teaching hospital was performed. Results of 99 consecutive patients with ANP who required surgical/radiological intervention were collected. A case match analysis (2:1) was performed, and the final groups comprised 40 patients in the OA group and 20 patients in the SUA group. Demographic, clinicopathologic, and treatment data were reviewed. Results: Baseline characteristics and disease severity were comparable between the two groups. The patients from the SUA group had a significantly lower morbidity rate and rate of pancreatic insufficiency. Death occurred in 4 of 20 patients (20%) in the SUA group and in 11 of 40 patients (27.5%) in the ON group (risk ratio with the step-up approach, 0.72; 95% confidence interval, 0.26 to 1.99; p = 0.53). Conclusions: A minimally invasive step-up approach provides comparable outcomes to open necrosectomy in the treatment of ANP with infected pancreatic necrosis. While mortality and hospital stay were comparable between the groups, morbidity and pancreatic insufficiency were significantly lower in the SUA group. Further studies on a larger number of patients are required to define the place of SUA in the modern treatment of ANP.

A core outcome set for acute necrotizing pancreatitis: An Eastern Association for the Surgery of Trauma modified Delphi method consensus study

BACKGROUND

The management of acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) has changed dramatically over the past 20 years including the use of less invasive techniques, the timing of interventions, nutritional management, and antimicrobial management. This study sought to create a core outcome set (COS) to help shape future research by establishing a minimal set of essential outcomes that will facilitate future comparisons and pooling of data while minimizing reporting bias.

METHODS

A modified Delphi process was performed through involvement of ANP content experts. Each expert proposed a list of outcomes for consideration, and the panel anonymously scored the outcomes on a 9-point Likert scale. Core outcome consensus defined a priori as >70% of scores receiving 7 to 9 points and <15% of scores receiving 1 to 3 points. Feedback and aggregate data were shared between rounds with interclass correlation trends used to determine the end of the study.

RESULTS

A total of 19 experts agreed to participate in the study with 16 (84%) participating through study completion. Forty-three outcomes were initially considered with 16 reaching consensuses after four rounds of the modified Delphi process. The final COS included outcomes related to mortality, organ failure, complications, interventions/management, and social factors.

CONCLUSION

Through an iterative consensus process, content experts agreed on a COS for the management of ANP. This will help shape future research to generate data suitable for pooling and other statistical analyses that may guide clinical practice.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic/Care Management; Level V.

Minimally invasive surgery compared to endoscopic intervention for treating infected pancreatic necrosis. A meta-analysis

Introduction

The current study aimed to compare the outcomes of endoscopic and minimally invasive surgical treatment for infected necrotizing pancreatitis.

Material and methods

A meta-analysis of clinical studies on minimally invasive operations for necrotic infection was conducted. A systematic review and study inclusion were done on multiple databases. English-language prospective comparison studies were included. Random design was used to analyze research with continuous and dichotomous variables.

Results

Ten studies were included in the current study. When compared to minimally invasive surgery, endoscopic procedures showed significant beneficial outcomes regarding low post-operative complication rates (p = 0.006), new onset organ failure (p < 0.001), and pancreatic fistula (p < 0.001). However, there was no significant difference between the two interventions regarding hospital stay, postoperative bleeding, incisional hernia, endocrine insufficiency, and perforation of a visceral organ.

Conclusions

Endoscopic therapy appears to have potential advantages over minimally invasive surgery. However, there is no difference between interventions regarding several parameters.

Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis Following Intragastric Balloon Insertion

Obesity has become a widespread global issue, particularly in the developed world. One popular weight loss technique is the intragastric balloon placement due to its simplicity of insertion and safe nature. While some side effects have been linked to its use, most are benign. However, severe complications do occur in some cases. One such rare complication is pancreatitis due to compression of the pancreas or the pancreatic duct. We encountered an interesting case of necrotizing pancreatitis following gastric balloon insertion, about which scarce data is available in the literature; its incidence is also unknown currently. Our patient was a 22-year-old male with a gastric balloon inserted for obesity eight months before his presentation. The mechanism of the inflammation, the age of the patient, and the progression to necrosis are the compelling aspects of this case.

A Comprehensive Physiotherapeutic Approach in a Young Patient With Necrotizing Pancreatitis With Bilateral Pleural Effusion: A Case Report

Necrotizing pancreatitis represents a severe variant of acute pancreatitis characterized by the death of pancreatic tissue (necrosis). This condition commonly stems from inflammation and damage to the pancreas, leading to the development of areas of dead tissue within the organ. Pleural effusion, on the other hand, involves the accumulation of fluid within the pleural cavity. Typically, these effusions are of mild to moderate severity and tend to occur on the left side. In the following case report, we present a 25-year-old male who was diagnosed with necrotizing pancreatitis and bilateral pleural effusion. It is important to emphasize that cardiopulmonary physiotherapy plays a crucial role in managing pleural effusion. Such interventions, which encompass breathing exercises and thoracic expansion exercises, are pivotal for optimizing lung ventilation, enhancing oxygen levels, and preventing complications such as atelectasis and pneumonia. By boosting oxygenation and improving lung compliance, physiotherapy helps reduce the risk of respiratory problems and expedites the recovery process. This approach enables young individuals to regain their lung function and overall quality of life. In this particular case, the patient received medical management and pulmonary rehabilitation, resulting in a decrease in the Modified Medical Research Council Scale score and an improvement in the six-minute walk test (6 MWT), which subsequently enhanced their quality of life.

The Emerging Roles of the Adaptive Immune Response in Acute Pancreatitis

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an abrupt, variable inflammatory condition of the pancreas, potentially escalating to severe systemic inflammation, rampant pancreatic necrosis, and multi-organ failure. Its complex pathogenesis involves an intricate immune response, with different T cell subsets (Th1, Th2, Th9, Th17, Th22, TFH, Treg, and CD8+ T cells) and B cells playing pivotal roles. Early T cell activation initiates the AP development, triggering cytokines associated with the Th1 response, which stimulate macrophages and neutrophils. Other T cell phenotypes contribute to AP's pathogenesis, and the balance between pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines influences its progression. Regulatory T and B cells are crucial for moderating the inflammatory response and promoting immune tolerance. B cells further contribute through antibody production, antigen presentation, and cytokine secretion. Understanding these immune cells' roles in AP could aid in developing new immunotherapies to enhance patient outcomes. However, further research is required to define these cells' precise roles in AP and their potential as therapeutic targets.

Abdominal paracentesis drainage improves outcome of acute pancreatitis complicated with intra-abdominal hypertension in early phase

BACKGROUND

Intra-abdominal hypertension (IAH) is an important risk factor for organ dysfunction, and it occurs in the early phase of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). We have reported a novel step-up approach and shown the benefit of performing abdominal paracentesis drainage (APD) ahead of percutaneous catheter drainage (PCD) when treating Patients with SAP with fluid collections. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of APD in Patients with SAP complicated with IAH in the early phase.

METHODS

In the present study, 206 AP patients complicated with IAH in the early phase were enrolled in hospital between June 2017 and December 2020. The patients were divided into two groups: 109 underwent APD (APD group) and 97 were managed without APD (non-APD group). We retrospectively compared the outcomes of the APD and non-APD groups for IAH treatment. The parameters including mortality, infection, organ failure, inflammatory factors, indications for further interventions, and drainage-related complications were observed.

RESULTS

The demographic data and severity scores of the two groups were comparable. The mortality rate was lower in the APD group (3.7%) than in the non-APD group (8.2%). Compared with the non-APD group, the intra-abdominal pressure and laboratory parameters of the APD group decreased more rapidly, and the mean number of failed organs was lower. However, there was no significant difference in incidence of infections between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Application of APD is beneficial to AP patients. It significantly attenuated inflammation injury, avoided further interventions, and reduced multiple organ failure.

Gut microbiota on admission as predictive biomarker for acute necrotizing pancreatitis

Background

Acute necrotizing pancreatitis (NP), a severe form of acute pancreatitis (AP), has higher mortality and worse outcome than non-necrotizing pancreatitis (non-NP). Infected NP is a devastating subgroup of NP. To date neither NP nor infected NP has robust prediction strategies, which may delay early recognition and timely intervention. Recent studies revealed correlations between disturbed gut microbiota and AP severity. Some features of intestinal microbiota have the potential to become biomarkers for NP prediction.

Methods

We performed 16S rRNA sequencing to analyze gut microbiota features in 20 healthy controls (HC), and 58 AP patients on hospital admission. The AP patients were later classified into NP and non-NP groups based on subsequent diagnostic imaging features. Random forest regression model and ROC curve were applied for NP and infected NP prediction. PIRCUSt2 was used for bacterial functional pathway prediction analysis.

Results

We found that the three groups (HC, NP, and non-NP) had distinct microorganism composition. NP patients had reduced microbial diversity, higher abundance of Enterobacteriales, but lower abundance of Clostridiales and Bacteroidales compared with the non-NP group. Correlation analyses displayed that intestine bacterial taxonomic alterations were related to severity, ICU admission, and prognosis. By pathway prediction, species more abundant in NP patients had positive correlation with synthesis and degradation of ketone bodies, and benzoate degradation. Enterococcus faecium (ASV2) performed best in discriminating NP and non-NP patients. Finegoldia magna (ASV3) showed the maximal prediction capacity among all ASVs and had comparable accuracy with Balthazar CT to detect patients with infected NP.

Conclusions

Our study suggests that NP patients have distinct intestinal microbiota on admission compared to non-NP patients. Dysbiosis of intestinal microbiota might influence NP progression through ketone body or benzoate metabolism. Enterococcus faecium and Finegoldia magna are potential predictors for NP and infected NP. Our findings explore biomarkers which may inform clinical decision-making in AP and shed light on further studies on NP pathophysiology and management.

Early prediction of acute necrotizing pancreatitis by artificial intelligence: a prospective cohort-analysis of 2387 cases

Pancreatic necrosis is a consistent prognostic factor in acute pancreatitis (AP). However, the clinical scores currently in use are either too complicated or require data that are unavailable on admission or lack sufficient predictive value. We therefore aimed to develop a tool to aid in necrosis prediction. The XGBoost machine learning algorithm processed data from 2387 patients with AP. The confidence of the model was estimated by a bootstrapping method and interpreted via the 10th and the 90th percentiles of the prediction scores. Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were calculated to quantify the contribution of each variable provided. Finally, the model was implemented as an online application using the Streamlit Python-based framework. The XGBoost classifier provided an AUC value of 0.757. Glucose, C-reactive protein, alkaline phosphatase, gender and total white blood cell count have the most impact on prediction based on the SHAP values. The relationship between the size of the training dataset and model performance shows that prediction performance can be improved. This study combines necrosis prediction and artificial intelligence. The predictive potential of this model is comparable to the current clinical scoring systems and has several advantages over them.

Routine laboratory parameters in patients with necrotizing pancreatitis by the time of operative pancreatic debridement: Food for thought

BACKGROUND

Timing of invasive intervention such as operative pancreatic debridement (OPD) in patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) is linked to the degree of encapsulation in necrotic collections and controlled inflammation. Additional markers of these processes might assist decision-making on the timing of surgical intervention. In our opinion, it is logical to search for such markers among routine laboratory parameters traditionally used in ANP patients, considering simplicity and cost-efficacy of routine laboratory methodologies.

AIM

To evaluate laboratory variables in ANP patients in the preoperative period for the purpose of their use in the timing of surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of routine laboratory parameters in 53 ANP patients undergoing OPD between 2017 and 2020 was performed. Dynamic changes of routine hematological and biochemical indices were examined in the preoperative period. Patients were divided into survivors and non-survivors. Survivors were divided into subgroups with short and long post-surgery length of stay (LOS) in hospital. Correlation analysis was used to evaluate association of laboratory variables with LOS. Logistic regression was used to assess risk factors for patient mortality.

RESULTS

Seven patients (15%) with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and 46 patients (85%) with moderately SAP (MSAP) were included in the study. Median age of participants was 43.2 years; 33 (62.3%) were male. Pancreatitis etiology included biliary (15%), alcohol (80%), and idiopathic/other (5%). Median time from diagnosis to OPD was ≥ 4 wk. Median postoperative LOS was at the average of 53 d. Mortality was 19%. Progressive increase of platelet count in preoperative period was associated with shortened LOS. Increased aspartate aminotransferase and direct bilirubin (DB) levels the day before the OPD along with weak progressive decrease of DB in preoperative period were reliable predictors for ANP patient mortality.

CONCLUSION

Multifactorial analysis of dynamic changes of routine laboratory variables can be useful for a person-tailored timing of surgical intervention in ANP patients.