Survival in patients with submandibular gland carcinoma — Results of a multi-institutional retrospective study

Novel decision tree models predict the overall survival of patients with submandibular gland cancer

BACKGROUND

While the accurate prediction of the overall survival (OS) in patients with submandibular gland cancer (SGC) is paramount for informed therapeutic planning, the development of reliable survival prediction models has been hindered by the rarity of SGC cases. The purpose of this study is to identify key prognostic factors for OS in SGC patients using a large database and construct decision tree models to aid the prediction of survival probabilities in 12, 24, 60 and 120 months.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Result (SEER) program. Demographic and peri-operative predictor variables were identified. The outcome variables overall survival at 12-, 24-, 60, and 120 months. The C5.0 algorithm was utilized to establish the dichotomous decision tree models, with the depth of tree limited within 4 layers. To evaluate the performances of the novel models, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were generated, and the metrics such as accuracy rate, and area under ROC curve (AUC) were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 1,705, 1,666, 1,543, and 1,413 SGC patients with a follow up of 12, 24, 60 and 120 months and exact survival status were identified from the SEER database. Predictor variables of age, sex, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, tumor histology, summary stage, metastasis to distant lymph node, and marital status exerted substantial influence on overall survival. Decision tree models were then developed, incorporating these vital prognostic indicators. Favorable consistency was presented between the predicted and actual survival statuses. For the training dataset, the accuracy rates for the 12-, 24-, 60- and 120-month survival models were 0.866, 0.767, 0.737 and 0.797. Correspondingly, the AUC values were 0.841, 0.756, 0.725, and 0.774 for the same time points.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the most important predictor variables identified using the large, SEER database, decision tree models were established that predict OS of SGC patients. The models offer a more exhaustive evaluation of mortality risk and may lead to more personalized treatment strategies.

Prognostic factors and novel prediction models for overall survival of patients with submandibular gland cancer: A population-based retrospective cohort study

Background

Accurately predicting the survival rate of submandibular gland cancer (SGC) is of significant importance for guiding treatment decision-making and improving patient outcomes. This study was aimed to identify the independent prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) in SGC patients, and develop novel prediction models to aid clinicians in predicting the survival probability.

Materials and methods

Patients diagnosed with primary SGC after the year 2010 were extracted from SEER database and then randomly allocated into training and test samples in a 7:3 ratio. Uni- and multi-variable COX analyses were employed using the training sample to ascertain independent prognostic factors for OS. Subsequently, graphic and online dynamic nomograms were established basing on the independent prognostic factors. We utilized C-index, calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and area under ROC curve (AUC) value to evaluate the discrimination capacity and the consistency between predicted and actual survival.

Results

A total of 527 SGC patients were included (369 assigned to training group and 158 assigned to test group). The multivariable COX analysis showed that age, sex, marital status, tumor histology, summary stage, metastases to bone, and tumor size were independently associated with OS. Novel graphical and online dynamic (URL: https://yangxg1209.shinyapps.io/overall_survival_submandibular_gland_tumor/) nomograms were established. The C-indices (training: 0.77, 95%CI 0.71-0.84; test: 0.77, 95%CI 0.68-0.85) indicate favorable discrimination ability of the model, and the calibration curves demonstrated favorable consistency between the predicted and actual survival rates.

Conclusions

Our study identified the independent prognostic factors influencing OS in patients with SGC, and successfully established and validated novel nomograms, which provide accurate prediction of survival rates and allows for personalized risk assessment.

Occult Nodal Metastases in Individuals with Clinically Node-Negative Salivary Gland Malignancies

OBJECTIVES

Salivary gland malignancies comprise a heterogeneous group of pathologies, for which treatment of the clinically negative neck may vary depending on numerous factors. Herein we present data on occult nodal metastases (ONM) as well as survival and recurrence from a large series of cN0 salivary gland malignancies.

METHODS

Retrospective chart review was conducted on 532 patients, with 389 patients with major salivary gland cancers and 143 patients with minor salivary gland cancers. Demographic and treatment data were included and rates of ONM, overall survival, local recurrence, regional recurrence, and distant recurrence were analyzed.

RESULTS

We found that the overall rate of ONM for parotid was 27% (63/235), for submandibular/sublingual was 35% (18/52), and for minor was 15% (4/26). Analysis of ONM rate at each nodal level was also performed, finding higher rates of level IV and V ONM than prior studies. Submandibular/sublingual and minor salivary gland malignancies showed a predominance of ONMs at levels I-III. Our survival and recurrence rates were similar to those found in previous studies.

CONCLUSION

Our data also demonstrate a predominance of ONM in levels I-III for submandibular/sublingual and minor salivary gland cancers, suggesting elective dissection in these levels.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 134:1705-1715, 2024.

Pathological nodal status as a main predictive factor of survival and treatment outcomes of submandibular salivary gland cancers: A 25-year single center experience

INTRODUCTION

Aim of this study was to explore the survival predictive factors and treatment outcomes in a cohort of SGC patients treated at a single center over a period of 25 years.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who had received primary treatment for SGC were enroled. Outcomes evaluated were: overall survival (OS), disease specific survival (DSS), recurrence free survival (RFS), locoregional recurrence free survival (LRFS) and distant metastasis free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

A total of 40 patients with SGC were enroled in the study. The most common tumor was the adenoid cystic carcinoma (60% of cases). Cumulative OS for 5-and 10-year follow up period was 81% and 60%, respectively. Thirteen patients (32.5%) developed distant metastases during follow-up. Nodal status, high-grade histology, tumor stage and adjuvant radiation-therapy (RT) were significant variables on multivariate analysis for survival and treatment outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Submandibular gland carcinomas represent rare and heterogenous tumor group regarding histological appearance and locoregional and distant metastatic potential. Tumor histological grade, AJCC tumor stage and nodal status were the strongest predictive factors for survival and treatment outcomes. RT improved OS and locoregional treatment outcome, but not DFS. Elective neck dissection (END) could be beneficial for selected cases of SGC. Superselective neck dissection of levels I-IIa may be the level of dissection for END. Distant metastases were the main cause of death and treatment failure. Prognostic factors for poor DMFS were AJCC stage III and IV, high tumor grade and nodal status.

Prognostic factors and treatment considerations of submandibular gland carcinomas: A population-based study

OBJECTIVES

The therapeutic regimen of submandibular gland carcinoma (SGC) has not reached consensus, especially for the neck treatment of patients with cN0.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with SGC were identified from the medical database of Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital. Kaplan-Meier analysis, univariate and multivariate Cox regression were employed to evaluate the survival and independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Two hundred and fifteen patients with SGC were retrospectively reviewed. The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were 71.5% and 77.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that histological grade, cT classification, cN classification, and perineural invasion (PNI) were independent prognostic factors for DFS, while histological grade, cT classification, cN classification, and age were those for OS. The neck dissection showed no significant survival benefit for patients with cN0. Lung was the most common site of distant metastasis (16.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Histological grade, cT classification, cN classification, age, and PNI were independent prognostic factors of patient with SGC, which should be the main considerations for making therapeutic regimens. Our study also verifies the neck dissection of patient with cN0 is unnecessary, and postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) is vital for patients with pN+.

Epidemiology, outcomes, and prognostic factors in submandibular gland carcinomas: a national DAHANCA study

PURPOSE

The aim of this study is to present incidence, histological subtypes, survival rates, and prognostic factors based on a national cohort of patients with salivary gland carcinoma.

METHODS

All Danish patients with submandibular gland carcinoma diagnosed from 1990 to 2015 (n = 206) were included and analyzed following histological re-evaluation. Data were collected by the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group (DAHANCA). Overall, disease-specific and recurrence-free survival were evaluated. Prognostic factors were analyzed with multivariate Cox Hazard Regression.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 109 (53%) men and 97 (47%) women, median age 62 years (range 11-102). Adenoid cystic carcinoma was the most frequent subtype (50%). Tumour classification T1/T2 (75%) and N0 (78%) was most frequent. The mean crude incidence was 0.17/100,000/year. Most patients (n = 194, 94%) were treated with primary surgery, and 130 (67%) received postoperative radiotherapy. The 5- and 10-year survival rates were for overall survival 64% and 41%, disease-specific survival 74% and 61%, and recurrence-free survival 70% and 56%, respectively. Survival rates were higher for adenoid cystic carcinoma compared to other subtypes, but the difference was not significant in multivariate analysis. Recurrence occurred in 69 patients, and 37 (53.6%) of them had recurrence in a distant site. Advanced T-classification and regional lymph-node metastases had significant negative impact on survival rates.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of submandibular gland carcinoma in Denmark was 0.17/100,000/year and stable during the time period. The most frequent subtype was adenoid cystic carcinoma. Half of the recurrences presented in a distant site, and multivariate analysis confirmed that advanced stage was independent negative prognostic factor for recurrence and survival.

Positive lymph node number and extranodal extension for predicting recurrence and survival in patients with salivary gland cancer

BACKGROUND

This study compared our proposed N classification including the addition of the number of positive lymph node (LN+) and extranodal extension (ENE) with the current and previous American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) N classifications in salivary gland cancer (SGC).

METHODS

This study involved 172 SGC patients who underwent surgery. Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

In multivariate analyses, LN+ number, LN ratio, and ENE were associated with OS and DFS outcomes (all P < .05). Our new N classification proposed three categories: N0 (0 LN+), N1 (1 LN+), and N2 (≥2 LN+ or ENE). The C-index of our N classification showed improvement in OS prediction (0.768) compared with the AJCC seventh (0.743) and eighth (0.756) edition N classifications.

CONCLUSIONS

Our proposed N classification incorporating LN+ number and ENE may improve prediction of post-treatment survival and recurrence in patients with SGC.

A retrospective multicenter study of sublingual gland carcinoma in Japan

OBJECTIVE

Salivary gland carcinoma is rare among head and neck cancers. Sublingual gland carcinoma, a type of salivary gland carcinoma, is even rarer; therefore, the number of cases at a single institute is too small for sufficient evaluation of tumor characteristics. We conducted a multicenter, retrospective analysis of sublingual gland carcinomas in patients who visited 12 institutions associated with the Kyoto Hospital and Affiliated Facilities Head and Neck Clinical Oncology Group.

METHODS

Thirteen previously untreated patients who visited the institutions between 2006 and 2015 were enrolled. The overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates for all patients and by disease stage were analyzed. Statistical analyses were performed for all patients with respect to disease stage.

RESULTS

Eight of thirteen patients were diagnosed with adenoid cystic carcinoma on pathological study. A significant difference in OS rate was observed between patients with Stage I-III and Stage IV disease; however, the difference in DFS rate by disease stage was not significant.

CONCLUSION

Stage IV disease was identified as a poor prognostic factor in patients with sublingual gland carcinoma. However, even patients with Stage I-III disease experienced relatively short DFS. Distant metastasis is a serious problem among patients with sublingual gland carcinoma.

Lymph node ratio predictive of recurrence, distant metastasis, and survival in submandibular gland carcinoma patients

PURPOSE

Submandibular gland (SMG) carcinoma has an unfavorable clinical course and a low survival rate. Specific tumor and nodal findings might help predict posttreatment recurrence and survival in SMG carcinoma patients. This study evaluated factors predictive of posttreatment recurrence and survival in SMG carcinoma patients.

METHODS

This study enrolled 99 consecutive patients with previously untreated SMG carcinoma. All patients underwent tumor and metastatic lymph node resection along with or without radiation/chemo-radiation. The predictive clinical and pathological factors for disease-free survival (DFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and overall survival (OS) were determined using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses.

RESULTS

The median tumor size was 2.7 cm and 53 patients (53.5%) had high-grade tumors. The rates of initial nodal and distant metastasis at initial presentation or follow-up were 45.5% and 42.4%, respectively. The actuarial 5-year DFS, DMFS, DSS, and OS rates were 46.4%, 55.9%, 61.5%, and 59.7%, respectively. The independent factors associated with poor DFS, DMFS, DSS, and OS outcomes (all p < 0.05) were T3-T4 classification and lymph node ratio. A histological high-grade tumor was an independent prognostic factor predictive of poor DMFS, DSS, and OS outcomes (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

A high rate of distant site failure is associated with SMG carcinoma, resulting in a poor survival rate. Lymph node ratio might help predict recurrence, distant metastasis, and death due to SMG carcinoma.