Using multilevel regression with poststratification to obtain regional health estimates from a Facebook-recruited sample

Novel insights into pivotal risk factors for rectal carriage of extended-spectrum-β-lactamase-producing enterobacterales within the general population in Lower Saxony, Germany

AIMS

To estimate the prevalence of extended-spectrum-β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing enterobacterales (ESBL-E) carriage in the general population of Lower Saxony, Germany, and to identify risk factors for being colonized.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Participants were recruited through local press and information events. Detection of ESBL-E by culture was conducted using ESBL-selective chromagar plates containing third-generation cephalosporins. Identification of pathogens was performed using matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization time-of-flight (MALDI-TOF)_technology on Vitek mass spectrometry. Antibiotic susceptibility testing was conducted by microdilution (Vitek II) and an ESBL confirmation assay was carried out using a combination disk test. Of 527 randomly collected stool samples from healthy volunteers, 5.5% were tested positive for ESBL-E. Post-stratification for age and gender yielded a similar population estimate (5.9%). People traveling abroad and taking antibiotics had the greatest rectal ESBL-E carriage.

CONCLUSIONS

Potential risk factors (eg, working in healthcare facilities, recent inpatient stay) did not attribute to rectal ESBL-E carriage as other factors (eg, travelling, taking antibiotics). Rectal ESBL-E carriage within the general population seems to be high.

SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY

The known risk factors for carriage with MDRO might not be fully applicable to ESBL-E and require further examination in order to develop effective strategies for the prevention of ESBL-E dissemination within the general population.

Association of vaccine hesitancy and immunization coverage rates in the European Union

While previous studies have validated vaccine hesitancy scales with uptake behavior at the individual level, the conditions under which aggregated survey data are useful are less clear. We show that vaccine public opinion data aggregated at the subnational level can serve as a valid indicator of aggregate vaccine behaviour. We use a public opinion survey (Eurobarometer EB 91.2) with data on vaccine hesitancy for the EU in 2019. We link this information to (subnational) regional immunization coverage rates for childhood vaccines - DTP3, MCV1, and MCV2 -- obtained from the WHO for 2019. We conduct multilevel regression analyses with data for 177 regions in 20 countries. Given the variation in vaccine hesitancy and immunization rates between countries and within countries, we affirm the valuable role that surveys can play as a public health surveillance tool when it comes to vaccine behavior. We find statistically significantly lower regional vaccine immunization rates in regions where vaccine hesitancy is more pronounced. Our results suggest that different uptake rates across subnational regions are due, at least in part, to differences in attitudes towards vaccines and vaccination. The results are robust to several alternative specifications.