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Teerasarntipan T, Thanapirom K, Chirapongsathorn S, Suttichaimongkol T, Chamroonkul N, Bunchorntavakul C, Siramolpiwat S, Chainuvati S, Sobhonslidsuk A, Leerapun A, Piratvisuth T, Sukeepaisarnjaroen W, Tanwandee T, Treeprasertsuk S. Validation of prognostic scores predicting mortality in acute liver decompensation or acute-on-chronic liver failure: A Thailand multicenter study. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0277959. [PMID: 36413538 PMCID: PMC9681104 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0277959] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2022] [Accepted: 11/07/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES Cirrhosis patients with worsening of the liver function are defined as acute decompensation (AD) and those who develop extrahepatic organ failure are defined as acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Both AD and ACLF have an extremely poor prognosis. However, information regarding prognostic predictors is still lacking in Asian populations. We aimed to identify prognostic factors for 30-day and 90-day mortality in cirrhosis patients who develop AD with or without ACLF. METHODS We included 9 tertiary hospitals from Thailand in a retrospective observational study enrolling hospitalized cirrhosis patients with AD. ACLF was diagnosed according to the EASL-CLIF criteria, which defined as AD patients who have kidney failure or a combination of at least two non-kidney organ failure. Outcomes were clinical parameters and prognostic scores associated with mortality evaluated at 30 days and 90 days. RESULTS Between 2015 and 2020, 602 patients (301 for each group) were included. The 30-day and 90-day mortality rates of ACLF vs. AD were 57.48% vs. 25.50% (p<0.001) and 67.44% vs. 32.78% (p<0.001), respectively. For ACLF patients, logistic regression analysis adjusted for demographic data, and clinical information showed that increasing creatinine was a predictor for 30-day mortality (p = 0.038), while the CLIF-C OF score predicted both 30-day (p = 0.018) and 90-day (p = 0.037) mortalities, achieving the best discriminatory power with AUROCs of 0.705 and 0.709, respectively. For AD patients, none of the parameters was found to be significantly associated with 30-day mortality, while bacterial infection, CLIF-AD score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score were independent parameters associated with 90-day mortality, with p values of 0.041, 0.024 and 0.024. However, their predictive performance became nonsignificant after adjustment by multivariate regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS Regarding Thai patients, the CLIF-C OF score was the best predictor for 30-day and 90-day mortalities in ACLF patients, while appropriate prognostic factors for AD patients remained inconclusive.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tongluk Teerasarntipan
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, and Thai Red Cross, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Kessarin Thanapirom
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, and Thai Red Cross, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Sakkarin Chirapongsathorn
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Phramongkutklao Hospital and College of Medicine, Royal Thai Army, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Tanita Suttichaimongkol
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand
| | - Naichaya Chamroonkul
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Chalermrat Bunchorntavakul
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Rajavithi Hospital, College of Medicine, Rangsit University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Sith Siramolpiwat
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Thammasat University, Pathumthani, Thailand
| | - Siwaporn Chainuvati
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand
| | | | - Apinya Leerapun
- Department of Internal Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand
| | - Teerha Piratvisuth
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand
| | - Wattana Sukeepaisarnjaroen
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand
| | - Tawesak Tanwandee
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Siriraj Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Sombat Treeprasertsuk
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, and Thai Red Cross, Bangkok, Thailand
- * E-mail: ,
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Alabsawy E, Shalimar, Sheikh MF, Ballester MP, Acharya SK, Agarwal B, Jalan R. Overt hepatic encephalopathy is an independent risk factor for de novo infection in cirrhotic patients with acute decompensation. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2022; 55:722-732. [PMID: 35106777 PMCID: PMC9303427 DOI: 10.1111/apt.16790] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2021] [Revised: 12/30/2021] [Accepted: 01/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The occurrence of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) is associated with increased mortality. HE is commonly precipitated by infection, but whether HE predisposes to new infection is unclear. This study aimed to test if OHE predisposes to de novo infection during hospitalisation and its association with short-term mortality. AIMS AND METHODS Seven hundred and fifty-nine consecutive patients were identified at two institutions from prospectively maintained clinical databases of cirrhotic patients admitted with acute decompensation (AD). Infection and HE data were collected on the day of admission, and the occurrence of de novo infections was assessed for 28 days after admission. EASL-CLIF organ failure criteria were used to determine the presence of organ failures. Multivariable analysis using the logistic regression model was used to assess predictors of 28-day mortality and de novo infection. RESULTS Patients were divided into four groups; no baseline OHE or infection (n = 352); OHE with no baseline Infection (n = 221); no OHE but baseline infection (n = 100) and OHE with baseline infection (n = 86). On multivariate analyses, OHE (OR, 1.532 [95% CI, 1.061-2.300, P = 0.024]), and admission to ITU (OR, 2.303 [95% CI, 1.508-3.517, P < 0.001]) were independent risk factors for de novo infection. 28-day mortality was 25.3%, 60.2%, 55.0% and 72.1% in the 4-groups respectively. Age, INR and creatinine were independently predictive of mortality. The presence of overt HE, infection, coagulation, kidney, circulatory, respiratory and liver failures were significantly associated with higher mortality. CONCLUSION OHE is an independent risk factor for de novo infection in cirrhotic patients with AD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eman Alabsawy
- Liver Failure Group, Institute for Liver and Digestive HealthUniversity College LondonLondonUK,Faculty of MedicineAlexandria UniversityAlexandriaEgypt
| | - Shalimar
- Department of GastroenterologyAll India Institute of Medical SciencesNew DelhiIndia
| | - Mohammed Faisal Sheikh
- Liver Failure Group, Institute for Liver and Digestive HealthUniversity College LondonLondonUK
| | - Maria Pilar Ballester
- Digestive Disease DepartmentHospital Clínico Universitario de ValenciaValenciaSpain,INCLIVA Biomedical Research InstituteValenciaSpain
| | - Subrat Kumar Acharya
- Department of GastroenterologyAll India Institute of Medical SciencesNew DelhiIndia,KIIT UniversityBhubaneshwarOdishaIndia
| | - Banwari Agarwal
- Liver Failure Group, Institute for Liver and Digestive HealthUniversity College LondonLondonUK,Intensive Care UnitRoyal Free HospitalLondonUK
| | - Rajiv Jalan
- Liver Failure Group, Institute for Liver and Digestive HealthUniversity College LondonLondonUK
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Maccali C, Augustinho FCD, Zocche TL, Silva TE, Narciso-Schiavon JL, Schiavon LDL. NEUTROPHIL-LYMPHOCYTE RATIO PREDICTS SHORT-TERM MORTALITY IN PATIENTS HOSPITALIZED FOR ACUTE DECOMPENSATION OF CIRRHOSIS. ARQUIVOS DE GASTROENTEROLOGIA 2021; 58:131-138. [PMID: 34287528 DOI: 10.1590/s0004-2803.202100000-23] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2020] [Accepted: 11/16/2020] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Individuals with cirrhosis have a chronic systemic inflammation associated with an immune dysfunction, affecting the progression of the liver disease. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was proposed as a marker of systemic inflammatory response and survival in patients with cirrhosis. OBJECTIVE Evaluate the prognostic role of NLR in cirrhotic patients and its relation with inflammatory cytokines(IL-6, IL-10 and IL-17). METHODS In this prospective study two groups were evaluated: 1) Stable cirrhotic in outpatient follow-up (n=193); 2) Hospitalized cirrhotic for acute decompensation for at least 48 hours (n=334) with admission and 48 hours tests evaluation. Circulating inflammatory cytokines were available for 130 hospitalized patients. RESULTS In outpatients with stable cirrhosis, NLR correlated with MELD score and other variables associated with severity of disease. However, after a median of 32 months of follow up NLR was not associated with mortality (HR 1.058, 95%CI 0.900-1.243; P=0.495). In hospitalized patients, NLR at 48-hour after admission was independently associated with 90-day survival (HR 1.061, 95%CI 1.020-1.103; P=0.003) in multivariate Cox-regression analysis. The 90-day Kaplan-Meier survival probability was 87% for patients with a 48-hour NLR <3.6 and 62% for NLR ≥3.6 (P<0.001). Elevation of NLR in the first 48 hours was also independently associated with mortality (HR 2.038, 95%CI 1295-3207; P=0.002). The 90-day Kaplan-Meier survival probability was 83% when NLR did not increase and 62% when NLR increased (P<0.001). IL-6, IL-10 and IL-17 at admission were positively correlated with both admission and 48-hour NLR. Lower levels of baseline IL-10 were associated with NLR increase during first 48-hour. CONCLUSION NLR evaluated at 48 hours of hospitalization and its early increase after admission were independently associated with short-term mortality in patients hospitalized for acute decompensation of cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Claudia Maccali
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Medicina Interna, Divisão de Gastroenterologia, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
| | - Fernanda Cristina de Augustinho
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Medicina Interna, Divisão de Gastroenterologia, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
| | - Tamara Liana Zocche
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Medicina Interna, Divisão de Gastroenterologia, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
| | - Telma Erotides Silva
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Medicina Interna, Divisão de Gastroenterologia, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
| | - Janaína Luz Narciso-Schiavon
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Medicina Interna, Divisão de Gastroenterologia, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
| | - Leonardo de Lucca Schiavon
- Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Departamento de Medicina Interna, Divisão de Gastroenterologia, Florianópolis, SC, Brasil
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