Long-Term Outcome of Patients Discharged to a Nursing Home After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Mathematical Analysis of the Effectiveness of Screening for Intracranial Aneurysms in First-Degree Relatives of Persons with Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Population screening for aneurysms in patients with risk factors and preventive surgical treatment are beneficial according to numerous studies. One of the most significant risk factors is heredity, namely, the presence of first-degree relatives (FDR) with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Nevertheless, there are still no generally accepted approaches or evidence bases regarding the benefits of the aneurysm screening strategy.

METHODS

Mathematical modeling of the dynamics of aneurysm development in the population was carried out using an algorithm implementing a discrete Markov's chain. To implement the model, all probabilities of events and distributions are taken from available literature sources. Three-dimensional time of flight noncontrast magnetic resonance angiography was chosen as a screening method. Patients underwent preventive surgical treatment if an aneurysm was detected.

RESULTS

Screening and preventive treatment in the general population reduces the prevalence of aneurysms by 1.74% (3.44% in the FDR group) and the prevalence of aSAH by 14.36% (37.48% in the FDR group). Mortality due to aSAH was reduced by 14.44%. The number of disabilities also decreases. The occurrence of deep disability was reduced by 20.2% in the FDR group. Economic analysis of the part of the population consisting of FDRs showed annual savings of ies also decr CONCLUSIONS: The mathematical model demonstrated that screening and preventive treatment of cerebral aneurysms can reduce aSAH-associated morbidity and mortality. In the FDR group, there was decrease in the prevalence of aSAH and decrease in associated mortality. Screening for cerebral aneurysms is cost-effective.

Screening for Intracranial Aneurysms in Coarctation of the Aorta: A Decision and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with coarctation of the aorta have a high prevalence of intracranial aneurysms (IA) and suffer subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) at younger ages than the general population. American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines recommend IA screening, but appropriate age and interval of screening and its effectiveness remain a critical knowledge gap.

METHODS AND RESULTS

To evaluate the benefits and cost-effectiveness of magnetic resonance angiography screening for IA in patients with coarctation of the aorta, we developed and calibrated a Markov model to match published IA prevalence estimates. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Secondary outcomes included lifetime cumulative incidence of prophylactic IA treatment and mortality and SAH deaths prevented. Using a payer perspective, a lifetime horizon, and a willingness-to-pay of $150 000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, we applied a 3% annual discounting rate to costs and effects and performed 1-way, 2-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. In a simulated cohort of 10 000 patients, no screening resulted in a 10.1% lifetime incidence of SAH and 183 SAH-related deaths. Screening at ages 10, 20, and 30 years led to 978 prophylactic treatments for unruptured aneurysms, 19 procedure-related deaths, and 65 SAH-related deaths. Screening at ages 10, 20, and 30 years was cost-effective compared with screening at ages 10 and 20 years (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $106 841/quality-adjusted life-year). Uncertainty in the outcome after aneurysm treatment and quality of life after SAH influenced the preferred screening strategy. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, screening at ages 10, 20, and 30 years was cost-effective in 41% of simulations and at ages 10 and 20 in 59% of simulations.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model supports the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology recommendation to screen patients with coarctation of the aorta for IA and suggests screening at ages 10 and 20 or at 10, 20, and 30 years would extend life and be cost-effective.

Screening tools for early neuropsychological impairment after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Although most aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients suffer from neuropsychological disabilities, outcome estimation is commonly based only on functional disability scales such as the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Moreover, early neuropsychological screening tools are not used routinely.

OBJECTIVE

To study whether two simple neuropsychological screening tools identify neuropsychological deficits (NPDs), among aSAH patients categorized with favorable outcome (mRS 0-2) at discharge.

METHODS

We reviewed 170 consecutive aSAH patients that were registered in a prospective institutional database. We included all patients graded by the mRS at discharge, and who had additionally been evaluated by a neuropsychologist and/or occupational therapist using the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) and/or Rapid Evaluation of Cognitive Function (ERFC). The proportion of patients with scores indicative of NPDs in each test were reported, and spearman correlation tests calculated the coefficients between the both neuropsychological test results and the mRS.

RESULTS

Of the 42 patients (24.7%) that were evaluated by at least one neuropsychological test, 34 (81.0%) were rated mRS 0-2 at discharge. Among these 34 patients, NPDs were identified in 14 (53.9%) according to the MoCA and 8 (66.7%) according to the ERFC. The mRS score was not correlated with the performance in the MoCA or ERFC.

CONCLUSION

The two screening tools implemented here frequently identified NPDs among aSAH patients that were categorized with favorable outcome according to the mRS. Our results suggest that MoCA or ERFC could be used to screen early NPDs in favorable outcome patients, who in turn might benefit from early neuropsychological rehabilitation.

Outcomes in nursing home patients with traumatic brain injury

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injury is a leading cause of death and disability in the United States. In survivors, traumatic brain injury remains a leading contributor to long-term disability and results in many patients being admitted to skilled nursing facilities for postacute care. Despite this very large population of traumatic brain injury patients, very little is known about the long-term outcomes of traumatic brain injury survivors, including rates of discharge to home or risk of death in long-term nursing facilities. We hypothesized that patient demographics and functional status influence outcomes of patients with traumatic brain injury admitted to skilled nursing facilities.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65 and older discharged alive and directly from hospital to a skilled nursing facility between 2011 and 2014 using the prospectively maintained Federal Minimum Data Set combined with Medicare claims data and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Vital Status files. Records were reviewed for demographic and clinical characteristics at admission to the skilled nursing facility, including age, sex, cognitive function, ability to communicate, and motor function. Activities of daily living were reassessed at discharge to calculate functional improvement. We used robust Poisson regression with skilled nursing facility fixed effects to calculate relative risks and 99% confidence intervals for mortality and functional improvement associated with the demographic and clinical characteristics present at admission. Linear regression was used to calculate adjusted mean duration of stay.

RESULTS

Overall, 87,292 Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries with traumatic brain injury were admitted to skilled nursing facilities. The mean age was 84 years, with 74% of patients older than age 80. Generally, older age, male sex, and poor cognitive or functional status at admission to a skilled nursing facility were associated with increased risk for poorer outcomes. Older patients (age ≥80 years) with traumatic brain injury had a 1.5 times greater risk of death within 30 days of admission compared with adults younger than 80 years (relative risk = 1.49, 99% confidence interval = 1.36, 1.64). Women were 37% less likely to die than men were (relative risk = 0.63, 99% confidence interval = 0.59, 0.68). The risk of death was greater for patients with poor cognitive function (relative risk = 2.55, 99% confidence interval = 2.32, 2.77), substantial motor impairment (relative risk = 2.44, 99% confidence interval = 2.16, 2.77), and patients with impairment in communication (relative risk = 2.58, 99% confidence interval = 2.32, 2.86) compared with those without the respective deficits. One year after admission, these risk factors continued to confer excess risk for mortality. Duration of stay was somewhat greater for older patients (30.1 compared with 27.5 average days) and patients with cognitive impairment (31.7 vs 27.5 average days). At discharge, patients with cognitive impairment (relative risk = 0.86, 99% confidence interval = 0.83, 0.88) and impairment in the ability to communicate (relative risk = 0.67, 99% confidence interval = 0.54, 0.82) were less likely to improve in physical function.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that among patients with traumatic brain injury admitted to skilled nursing facilities, the likelihood of adverse outcomes varies significantly by key demographic and clinical characteristics. These findings may facilitate setting expectations among patients and families as well as providers when these patients are admitted to skilled nursing facilities for rehabilitation after their acute episode.

Long-Term Functioning of Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A 4-yr Follow-up Study

OBJECTIVES

The aim was to study changes over time for multiple outcomes based on the International Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and to compare long-term outcomes with norms.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study with 4-yr follow-up was conducted. Main outcome measures were as follows: Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression Scale, Fatigue Severity Scale, Trail Making Test A and B, Barthel Index, Sickness Impact Profile-68, Impact on Participation and Autonomy Questionnaire, Social Support List-12, Multidimensional Health Locus of Control Scales, COOP-WONCA Charts, and Short Form-36 Health Survey.

RESULTS

Seventy-six patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage were included. Measurements were done at T1 = 0.4 yrs (SD, 0.3 yrs) and T2 = 3.9 yrs (SD, 0.7 yrs) after onset. Significant improvements over time were found for Barthel Index (T1 = 18.5; T2 = 19.5; P = 0.023), Trail Making Test B (T1 = 119.4; T2 = 104.6; P = 0.025), Social Support List-12 total score (T1 = 31.1; T2 = 32.7; P = 0.042) and esteem support (T1 = 10.2; T2 = 10.9; P = 0.027), Multidimensional Health Locus of Control Scales (physician-orientation) (T1 = 21.8; T2 = 19.2; P = 0.020), and Short Form-36 Health Survey (role-emotional) (T1 = 54.6; T2 = 73.9; P = 0.048). Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression Scale, Fatigue Severity Scale, Sickness Impact Profile-68, and Short Form-36 Health Survey scores remained stable over time. A decline was found for COOP-WONCA (overall-health) (T1 = 2.3; T2 = 2.7; P = 0.021). At 4-yr follow-up, proportions of depression (27%) and fatigue (60%) were larger and scores on the Fatigue Severity Scale (mean [SE], 4.3 [0.2]), Trail Making Test A (mean [SE], 51.3 [3.9]), and Trail Making Test B (mean [SE], 104.4 [0.2]) were significantly worse than norm scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Many patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage had fairly good long-term outcomes, but problems in executive functioning, mood, and fatigue still exist at long-term follow-up.

Analysis of Factors That Influence Long-Term Independent Living for Elderly Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Patients

BACKGROUND

The number of elderly subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) patients has been increasing. The aim of this study was to analyze long-term outcome for elderly (≥75 years) SAH patients and to establish a treatment strategy.

METHODS

From January 2005 to December 2013, 86 consecutive cases were treated. We used a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at the outpatient clinic or a telephone interview of patients and/or families. Kaplan-Meier plots were done for mortality and independent (mRS 0 ∼ 2) state. Multivariate analysis was done to distinguish factors that influence on outcome.

RESULTS

Median age was 79, Hunt-Kosnik grade 1 ∼ 3 was 79%, and the radical intervention (clipping or coiling) rate was 78%. Mean follow-up period was 28.7 ± 3.4 standard error months. Half of deaths occurred during the first two months. The number of cases of independent living gradually decreased to 50% at 28 months after SAH. Half of patients lived independently for 36 months at HK grades 1 to 3, and 3 months at HK grades 4 to 5 (p < 0.05). Half of patients lived independently for 40 months in the radical intervention group, and 14 months in the conservative treatment group (p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis for independent living revealed that gender, pre-morbid condition, HK grade, and postoperative complication were significant (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Good-grade elderly SAH cases that were independent pre-stroke should have radical intervention performed for aneurysm. Avoiding perioperative complications have a positive influence on long-term independent living.

Time course of recovery following poor-grade SAH: the incidence of delayed improvement and implications for SAH outcome study design

OBJECT

Data regarding the time course of recovery after poor-grade subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is lacking. Most SAH studies assess outcome at a single time point, often as early as 3 or 6 months following SAH. The authors hypothesized that recovery following poor-grade SAH is a dynamic process and that early outcomes may not always approximate long-term outcomes. To test this hypothesis, they analyzed long-term outcome data from a cohort of patients with poor-grade aneurysmal SAH to determine the incidence and predictors of early and delayed neurological improvement.

METHODS

The authors reviewed outcome data from 88 poor-grade SAH patients enrolled in a prospective SAH treatment trial (the Barrow Ruptured Aneurysm Trial). They assessed modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores at discharge, 6 months, 12 months, and 36 months after treatment to determine the incidence and predictors of neurological improvement during each interval.

RESULTS

The mean aggregate mRS scores at 6 months (3.31 ± 2.1), 12 months (3.28 ± 2.2), and 36 months (3.17 ± 2.3) improved significantly compared with the mean score at hospital discharge (4.33 ± 1.3, p < 0.001), but they did not differ significantly among themselves. Between discharge and 6 months, 61% of patients improved on the mRS. The incidence of improvement between 6-12 months and 12-36 months was 18% and 19%, respectively. Hunt and Hess Grade IV versus V (OR 6.20, 95% CI 2.11-18.25, p < 0.001) and the absence of large (> 4 cm) (OR 2.76, 95% CI 1.02-7.55, p = 0.05) or eloquent (OR 5.17, 95% CI 1.89-14.10, p < 0.01) stroke were associated with improvement up to 6 months. Age ≤ 65 years (OR 5.56, 95% CI 1.17-26.42, p = 0.02), Hunt and Hess Grade IV versus V (OR 4.17, 95% CI 1.10-15.85, p = 0.03), and absence of a large (OR 8.97, 95% CI 2.65-30.40, p < 0.001) or eloquent (OR 4.54, 95% CI 1.46-14.08, p = 0.01) stroke were associated with improvement beyond 6 months. Improvement beyond 1 year was most strongly predicted by the absence of a large stroke (OR 7.62, 95% CI 1.55-37.30, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

A substantial minority of poor-grade SAH patients will experience delayed recovery beyond the point at which most studies assess outcome. Younger patients, those presenting in better clinical condition, and those without CT evidence of large or eloquent stroke demonstrated the highest capacity for delayed recovery.

Long-term functional outcomes in the elderly after burn injury

Although the elderly represent a substantial proportion of the population, limited information exists on postdischarge long-term outcomes of elderly burn survivors. The purpose of this study was to assess elderly burn patient outcomes 2 to 10 years after discharge. This study was a prospective cross-sectional survey assessment of quality of life and retrospective trauma registry for the American College of Surgeons review of patients ≥ 60 years of age discharged alive after acute burn from 1997 to 2007. In-hospital treatment and burn demographic information were obtained from database and chart review. Surviving patients or their families were contacted, and the Short-Form-12 and Functional Independence Measure (FIM) administered. Of the 344 patients discharged, 232 participated. Mean age was 72.3 (60-85.8) years, TBSA burn was 7.8% (1-79), and length of stay was 11.2 ± 0.9 days (1-51). Most patients were discharged home (71%) or to a skilled nursing facility (SNF; 20%). Mean interval between discharge and survey administration was 46.1 months. In all, 24% of patients sent home died after discharge and prior to interview compared with 58% of patients sent to an SNF. On multivariate analysis, mortality increased with age (confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.09), and government insurance (CI 0.34-0.94), but decreased with discharge to home (CI 1.68-4.47). There were no differences in FIM or Short-Form-12 scores between groups. Long-term mortality after discharge in elderly burn survivors is substantial. Patients sent to an SNF or with government insurance had increased mortality postdischarge. These data suggest that issues that may influence disposition status of elderly burn patients should be optimized prior to discharge to mitigate adverse outcomes associated with SNF placement.