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Wallwork SB, Braithwaite FA, O'Keeffe M, Travers MJ, Summers SJ, Lange B, Hince DA, Costa LOP, Menezes Costa LDC, Chiera B, Moseley GL. The clinical course of acute, subacute and persistent low back pain: a systematic review and meta-analysis. CMAJ 2024; 196:E29-E46. [PMID: 38253366 PMCID: PMC10805138 DOI: 10.1503/cmaj.230542] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/16/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Understanding the clinical course of low back pain is essential to informing treatment recommendations and patient stratification. Our aim was to update our previous systematic review and meta-analysis to gain a better understanding of the clinical course of acute, subacute and persistent low back pain. METHODS To update our 2012 systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched the Embase, MEDLINE and CINAHL databases from 2011 until January 2023, using our previous search strategy. We included prospective inception cohort studies if they reported on participants with acute (< 6 wk), subacute (6 to less than 12 wk) or persistent (12 to less than 52 wk) nonspecific low back pain at study entry. Primary outcome measures included pain and disability (0-100 scale). We assessed risk of bias of included studies using a modified tool and assessed the level of confidence in pooled estimates using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) tool. We used a mixed model design to calculate pooled estimates (mean, 95% confidence interval [CI]) of pain and disability at 0, 6, 12, 26 and 52 weeks. We treated time in 2 ways: time since study entry (inception time uncorrected) and time since pain onset (inception time corrected). We transformed the latter by adding the mean inception time to the time of study entry. RESULTS We included 95 studies, with 60 separate cohorts in the systematic review (n = 17 974) and 47 cohorts (n = 9224) in the meta-analysis. Risk of bias of included studies was variable, with poor study attrition and follow-up, and most studies did not select participants as consecutive cases. For the acute pain cohort, the estimated mean pain score with inception time uncorrected was 56 (95% CI 49-62) at baseline, 26 (95% CI 21-31) at 6 weeks, 22 (95% CI 18-26) at 26 weeks and 21 (95% CI 17-25) at 52 weeks (moderate-certainty evidence). For the subacute pain cohort, the mean pain score was 63 (95% CI 55-71) at baseline, 29 (95% CI 22-37) at 6 weeks, 29 (95% CI 22-36) at 26 weeks and 31 (95% 23-39) at 52 weeks (moderate-certainty evidence). For the persistent pain cohort, the mean pain score was 56 (95% CI 37-74) at baseline, 48 (95% CI 32-64) at 6 weeks, 43 (95% CI 29-57) at 26 weeks and 40 (95% CI 27-54) at 52 weeks (very low-certainty evidence). The clinical course of disability was slightly more favourable than the clinical course of pain. INTERPRETATION Participants with acute and subacute low back pain had substantial improvements in levels of pain and disability within the first 6 weeks ( moderate-certainty evidence); however, participants with persistent low back pain had high levels of pain and disability with minimal improvements over time (very low-certainty evidence). Identifying and escalating care in individuals with subacute low back pain who are recovering slowly could be a focus of intervention to reduce the likelihood of transition into persistent low back pain. PROTOCOL REGISTRATION PROSPERO - CRD42020207442.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah B Wallwork
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Felicity A Braithwaite
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Mary O'Keeffe
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Mervyn J Travers
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Simon J Summers
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Belinda Lange
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Dana A Hince
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Leonardo O P Costa
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Luciola da C Menezes Costa
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - Belinda Chiera
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
| | - G Lorimer Moseley
- IIMPACT in Health (Wallwork, Braithwaite, Moseley), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia; Persistent Pain Research Group, Hopwood Centre for Neurobiology (Braithwaite), South Australian Health and Medical Research Institute (SAHMRI), Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Musculoskeletal Health (O'Keeffe), School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; School of Health Sciences and Physiotherapy (Travers), University of Notre Dame Australia, Fremantle, Australia; School of Biomedical Science (Summers), Queensland University of Technology, Queensland, Australia; Caring Futures Institute (Lange), College of Nursing and Health Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia; Institute for Health Research (Hince), Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, Midwifery and Health Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Fremantle, Australia; Masters and Doctoral Programs in Physical Therapy (Costa, Menezes Costa), Universidade Cidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil; UniSA STEM (Chiera), University of South Australia, Kaurna Country, Adelaide, Australia
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Roseen EJ, Smith CN, Essien UR, Cozier YC, Joyce C, Morone NE, Phillips RS, Gergen Barnett K, Patterson CG, Wegener ST, Brennan GP, Delitto A, Saper RB, Beneciuk JM, Stevans JM. Racial and Ethnic Disparities in the Incidence of High-Impact Chronic Pain Among Primary Care Patients with Acute Low Back Pain: A Cohort Study. PAIN MEDICINE (MALDEN, MASS.) 2023; 24:633-643. [PMID: 36534910 PMCID: PMC10233486 DOI: 10.1093/pm/pnac193] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2022] [Revised: 11/07/2022] [Accepted: 11/17/2022] [Indexed: 10/20/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE We assessed whether race or ethnicity was associated with the incidence of high-impact chronic low back pain (cLBP) among adults consulting a primary care provider for acute low back pain (aLBP). METHODS In this secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study, patients with aLBP were identified through screening at seventy-seven primary care practices from four geographic regions. Incidence of high-impact cLBP was defined as the subset of patients with cLBP and at least moderate disability on Oswestry Disability Index [ODI >30]) at 6 months. General linear mixed models provided adjusted estimates of association between race/ethnicity and high-impact cLBP. RESULTS We identified 9,088 patients with aLBP (81.3% White; 14.3% Black; 4.4% Hispanic). Black/Hispanic patients compared to White patients, were younger and more likely to be female, obese, have Medicaid insurance, worse disability on ODI, and were at higher risk of persistent disability on STarT Back Tool (all P < .0001). At 6 months, more Black and Hispanic patients reported high-impact cLBP (30% and 25%, respectively) compared to White patients (15%, P < .0001, n = 5,035). After adjusting for measured differences in socioeconomic and back-related risk factors, compared to White patients, the increased odds of high-impact cLBP remained statistically significant for Black but not Hispanic patients (adjusted odds ration [aOR] = 1.40, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-1.87 and aOR = 1.25, 95%CI: 0.83-1.90, respectively). CONCLUSIONS We observed an increased incidence of high-impact cLBP among Black and Hispanic patients compared to White patients. This disparity was partly explained by racial/ethnic differences in socioeconomic and back-related risk factors. Interventions that target these factors to reduce pain-related disparities should be evaluated. CLINICALTRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER NCT02647658.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eric J Roseen
- Section of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine and Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Rehabilitation Sciences, MGH Institute for Health Professions, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, VA Boston Healthcare System, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Clair N Smith
- University of Pittsburgh School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Utibe R Essien
- Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Yvette C Cozier
- Slone Epidemiology Center, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Christopher Joyce
- School of Physical Therapy, Massachusetts College of Pharmacy and Health Sciences, Worcester, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Natalia E Morone
- Section of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine and Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Russell S Phillips
- Center for Primary Care, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
- Division of General Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Katherine Gergen Barnett
- Department of Family Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine and Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Charity G Patterson
- University of Pittsburgh School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Stephen T Wegener
- Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Gerard P Brennan
- Department of Physical Therapy, Intermountain Healthcare Rehabilitation Services, Murray, Utah, USA
| | - Anthony Delitto
- University of Pittsburgh School of Health and Rehabilitation Sciences, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Robert B Saper
- Department of Wellness and Preventive Medicine, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA
| | - Jason M Beneciuk
- Department of Physical Therapy, University of Florida College of Public Health and Health Professions, Gainesville, Florida, USA
| | - Joel M Stevans
- Department of Physical Therapy, University of Florida College of Public Health and Health Professions, Gainesville, Florida, USA
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