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Li Y, Shen L, Ding J, Xie D, Yang J, Zhao Y, Carretta A, Petersen RH, Gilbert S, Hida Y, Bölükbas S, Fernando HC, Jiang G, Zhu Y. Derivation and validation of a nomogram model for pulmonary thromboembolism in patients undergoing lung cancer surgery. Transl Lung Cancer Res 2021; 10:1829-1840. [PMID: 34012796 PMCID: PMC8107740 DOI: 10.21037/tlcr-21-109] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
Background A specific risk-stratification tool is needed to facilitate safe and cost-effective approaches to the prophylaxis of acute pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) in lung cancer surgery patients. This study aimed to develop and validate a simple nomogram model for the prediction of PTE after lung cancer surgery using readily obtainable clinical characteristics. Methods A total of 14,427 consecutive adult patients who underwent lung cancer surgery between January 2015 and July 2018 in our institution were retrospectively reviewed. Included in the cohort were 136 patients who developed PTE and 544 non-PTE patients. The patients were randomly divided into the derivation group (70%, 95 PTE patients and 380 non-PTE patients) and the validation group (30%, 41 PTE patients and 164 non-PTE patients). A nomogram model was developed based on the results of multivariate logistic analysis in the derivation group. The cut-off values were defined using Youden's index. The prognostic accuracy was measured by area under the curve (AUC) values. Results In the derivation group, multivariate logistic analysis was carried out to evaluate the risk score. The risk assessment model contained five variables: age [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.008-1.083, P=0.016], body mass index (95% CI: 1.077-1.319, P=0.001), operation time (95% CI: 1.002-1.014, P=0.008), the serum level of cancer antigen 15-3 (CA15-3) before surgery (95% CI: 1.019-1.111, P=0.005), and the abnormal results of compression venous ultrasonography before surgery (95% CI: 2.819-18.838, P<0.001). All of them were independent risk factors of PTE. To simplify the risk assessment model, a nomogram model was established, which showed a good predictive performance in the derivation group (AUC 0.792, 95% CI: 0.734-0.853) and in the validation group (AUC 0.813, 95% CI: 0.737-0.890). Conclusions A high-performance nomogram was established on the risk factors for PTE in patients undergoing lung cancer surgery. The nomogram could be used to provide an individual risk assessment and guide prophylaxis decisions for patients. Further external validation of the model is needed in lung cancer surgery patients in other clinical centers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuping Li
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lei Shen
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Junrong Ding
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Dong Xie
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Jian Yang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yanfeng Zhao
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Angelo Carretta
- School of Medicine, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.,Department of Thoracic Surgery, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Via Olgettina 60, Milan, Italy
| | - René Horsleben Petersen
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, University Hospital of Copenhagen-Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Sebastien Gilbert
- Division of Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, The Ottawa Hospital, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada
| | - Yasuhiro Hida
- Department of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
| | - Servet Bölükbas
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Kliniken Essen-Mitte, Essen, Germany
| | - Hiran C Fernando
- Cardiothoracic Surgery, Allegheny General Hospital, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Gening Jiang
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yuming Zhu
- Department of Thoracic Surgery, Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
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López-Núñez JJ, Sigüenza P. Predicting risk indices of recurrence in the unprovoked venous thromboembolic disease. Med Clin (Barc) 2020; 155:538-540. [PMID: 32561188 DOI: 10.1016/j.medcli.2020.05.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2020] [Revised: 05/12/2020] [Accepted: 05/13/2020] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Juan J López-Núñez
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitari Germans Trial i Pujol, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Badalona, Barcelona, España.
| | - Patricia Sigüenza
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitari Germans Trial i Pujol, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Badalona, Barcelona, España
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Anghel L, Sascău R, Radu R, Stătescu C. From Classical Laboratory Parameters to Novel Biomarkers for the Diagnosis of Venous Thrombosis. Int J Mol Sci 2020; 21:ijms21061920. [PMID: 32168924 PMCID: PMC7139541 DOI: 10.3390/ijms21061920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2020] [Revised: 03/06/2020] [Accepted: 03/09/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Venous thrombosis is a common and potentially fatal disease, because of its high morbidity and mortality, especially in hospitalized patients. To establish the diagnosis of venous thrombosis, in the last years, a multi-modality approach that involves not only imaging modalities but also serology has been evolving. Multiple studies have demonstrated the use of some biomarkers, such as D-dimer, selectins, microparticles or inflammatory cytokines, for the diagnosis and treatment of venous thrombosis, but there is no single biomarker available to exclusively confirm the diagnosis of venous thrombosis. Considering the fact that there are some issues surrounding the management of patients with venous thrombosis and the duration of treatment, recent studies support the idea that these biomarkers may help guide the length of appropriate anticoagulation treatment, by identifying patients at high risk of recurrence. At the same time, biomarkers may help predict thrombus evolution, potentially identifying patients that would benefit from more aggressive therapies. This review focuses on classic and novel biomarkers currently under investigation, discussing their diagnostic performance and potential benefit in guiding the therapy for venous thrombosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Larisa Anghel
- Internal Medicine Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iași 700503, Romania; (L.A.); (R.R.); (C.S.)
- Cardiology Department, Cardiovascular Diseases Institute “Prof. Dr. George I.M. Georgescu”, Iași 700503, Romania
| | - Radu Sascău
- Internal Medicine Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iași 700503, Romania; (L.A.); (R.R.); (C.S.)
- Cardiology Department, Cardiovascular Diseases Institute “Prof. Dr. George I.M. Georgescu”, Iași 700503, Romania
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +40-0232-211834
| | - Rodica Radu
- Internal Medicine Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iași 700503, Romania; (L.A.); (R.R.); (C.S.)
- Cardiology Department, Cardiovascular Diseases Institute “Prof. Dr. George I.M. Georgescu”, Iași 700503, Romania
| | - Cristian Stătescu
- Internal Medicine Department, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iași 700503, Romania; (L.A.); (R.R.); (C.S.)
- Cardiology Department, Cardiovascular Diseases Institute “Prof. Dr. George I.M. Georgescu”, Iași 700503, Romania
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